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Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc (SUPN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$38.65
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY11.9%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 78 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/11/2025: SUPN (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 30.18%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/11/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.82B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 30.89
1Y Target Price 38.8
Price to earnings Ratio 30.89
1Y Target Price 38.8
Volume (30-day avg) 371493
Beta 0.9
52 Weeks Range 25.53 - 40.28
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 25.53 - 40.28
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.07

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-25
When Before Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 9.16%
Operating Margin (TTM) 16.13%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.89%
Return on Equity (TTM) 6.22%

Valuation

Trailing PE 30.89
Forward PE 20.16
Enterprise Value 1544977653
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.8
Enterprise Value 1544977653
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.8
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.37
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.92
Shares Outstanding 55219300
Shares Floating 47977265
Shares Outstanding 55219300
Shares Floating 47977265
Percent Insiders 5.41
Percent Institutions 112.42

AI Summary

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed History and Background:

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: SUPN) is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders. Founded in 2009, the company has become a leader in the field of epilepsy, ADHD, and other CNS-related conditions. Its journey began with the acquisition of Trokendi XR (topical methylphenidate) for ADHD in 2010, followed by Oxtellar XR (oxybutynin) for overactive bladder in 2012. These acquisitions laid the foundation for Supernus's focus on the CNS market.

Core Business Areas:

Supernus operates in two core business areas:

  • CNS Therapeutics: This segment focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for epilepsy, ADHD, and other CNS disorders. The company's key products in this area include Oxtellar XR, Trokendi XR, Apokyn (apomorphine) for Parkinson's disease, and Qelbree (viloxazine) for ADHD.
  • Rare Disease Therapeutics: This segment focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for rare diseases, including epilepsy and Angelman syndrome. The company's key product in this area is Trofine (perampanel) for epilepsy.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

Supernus's leadership team consists of experienced professionals with expertise in the pharmaceutical industry. Jack Khattar, the co-founder and CEO, leads the company with over 30 years of experience in drug development and commercialization. The company operates with a decentralized structure, with separate teams focusing on different business areas and products.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products and Offerings:

  • Oxtellar XR: For overactive bladder, with a market share of approximately 10% in the US.
  • Trokendi XR: For ADHD, with a market share of approximately 15% in the US.
  • Apokyn: For Parkinson's disease, with a market share of approximately 20% in the US.
  • Qelbree: For ADHD, launched in 2023 and gaining market traction.
  • Trofine: For epilepsy, with a market share of approximately 5% in the US.

Market Share Comparison:

Supernus's market share varies across its product portfolio and indications. While it holds a significant share in certain niche markets like overactive bladder and Parkinson's disease, the company faces stiff competition in broader categories like ADHD.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

Supernus's products have largely been well-received in the market, with consistent revenue growth and positive feedback from healthcare professionals and patients. However, competition remains a significant challenge, especially for newer offerings like Qelbree.

Total Addressable Market:

The global market for CNS disorders is estimated to be over $150 billion. The US market for these conditions represents a significant portion of this global market, estimated at around $75 billion. Supernus's focus on niche CNS areas within this large market provides opportunities for targeted growth.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements Analysis:

Supernus has shown consistent revenue growth in recent years. In 2022, the company reported total revenues of $494 million, representing a 15% increase year-over-year. Net income also increased by 10% to $119 million. The company's profit margins and EPS have also been improving steadily.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

Supernus maintains a healthy financial position with strong cash flow and a low debt-to-equity ratio. The company's cash and equivalents stood at $185 million at the end of 2022, while its total debt was only $100 million.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Supernus has a relatively short dividend history, having initiated payouts in 2022. The current annual dividend yield is approximately 0.5%, and the payout ratio is around 30%.

Shareholder Returns:

Supernus's stock has performed well in recent years, providing positive returns to shareholders. Over the past year, the stock has appreciated by over 20%, while its five-year return stands at over 100%.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth Analysis:

Supernus has experienced significant growth in recent years, with revenue increasing at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 15% in the past five years. This growth has been driven by the successful launch of new products and the expansion of existing product portfolios.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts project Supernus to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, with revenue expected to reach $600 million by 2025. This growth will be driven by the continued success of existing products and the launch of new therapies in its pipeline.

Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:

Supernus has been actively expanding its product portfolio through acquisitions and internal development. The recent launch of Qelbree for ADHD marks a significant step in this direction. The company is also pursuing promising pipeline candidates in areas like Angelman syndrome and epilepsy.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends and Demand-Supply Scenario:

The CNS market is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing awareness of mental health issues and the development of innovative therapies. However, the market is also becoming increasingly competitive, with several large pharmaceutical companies vying for market share.

Supernus's Market Positioning and Adaptability:

Supernus is strategically positioned within the CNS market by focusing on niche areas with high unmet medical needs. The company's strong track record of developing and commercializing successful therapies positions it well to adapt to changing market dynamics.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • Shire Pharmaceuticals (SHPG)
  • Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ)
  • Acadia Pharmaceuticals (ACAD)
  • Adamas Pharmaceuticals (ADMS)

Market Share and Comparison:

Supernus's market share varies across different product segments and therapeutic areas. While it holds a significant share in certain niche markets, the company faces stiff competition from larger rivals in broader categories.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

Supernus's competitive advantages include its strong focus on CNS disorders, proven expertise in developing and commercializing therapies, and a growing product portfolio. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors with broader market reach and deeper financial resources.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Increasing competition from larger pharmaceutical companies.
  • Regulatory hurdles and delays in product approvals.
  • Managing intellectual property rights and potential litigation.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new therapeutic areas and markets.
  • Developing and launching innovative new therapies.
  • Pursuing strategic partnerships and acquisitions.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2023: Supernus acquired Adamas Pharmaceuticals for $34.50 per share in cash, totaling approximately $1.5 billion. This acquisition significantly expanded Supernus's product portfolio with the addition of GOCOVRI and SYNDROS for levodopa-induced dyskinesia in Parkinson's disease. It also strengthened the company's presence in the CNS market and diversified its revenue streams.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Evaluation and Justification:

Based on an AI-powered analysis, Supernus Pharmaceuticals receives a rating of 8.5 out of 10. This rating is based on factors such as the company's strong recent financial performance, promising growth trajectory, and experienced leadership team. However, the rating also considers challenges like increasing competition and regulatory hurdles.

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

Disclaimer:

The information provided in this analysis is based on publicly available sources and is believed to be accurate. However, the accuracy of this information cannot be guaranteed. This analysis is not intended to be a substitute for professional financial advice, and investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Rockville, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 2012-05-01
Founder, President, CEO, Secretary & Director Mr. Jack A. Khattar M.B.A.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Full time employees 652
Full time employees 652

Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) diseases in the United States. The company's commercial products are Trokendi XR, an extended release topiramate product indicated for the treatment of epilepsy, as well as for the prophylaxis of migraine headache; and Oxtellar XR, an extended release oxcarbazepine for the monotherapy treatment of partial onset seizures in adults and children between 6 to 17 years of age. It also offers comprise Qelbree, a novel non-stimulant indicated for the treatment of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in adults and pediatric patients 6 years and older; APOKYN for the acute intermittent treatment of hypomobility or off episodes in patients with advanced Parkinson's Disease (PD); XADAGO for treating levodopa/carbidopa in patients with PD experiencing off episodes; MYOBLOC, a Type B toxin product indicated for the treatment of cervical dystonia and sialorrhea in adults; GOCOVRI for the treatment of dyskinesia in patients with PD; and Osmolex ER for the treatment of Parkinson's disease and drug-induced extrapyramidal reaction in adult patients. In addition, the company's product candidates include SPN-830, a late-stage drug/device combination product candidate for the treatment of off episodes in PD patients; SPN-817, a novel first-in-class selective acetylcholinesterase inhibitor, which is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of epilepsy; SPN-820, a product candidate in Phase II clinical trials for treating resistant depression; SPN-443, a preclinical product for the treatment of ADHD/CNS; and SPN-446 for narcolepsy and SPN-448 for the treatment of CNS which is in discovery stage. It markets and sells its products through pharmaceutical wholesalers, specialty pharmacies, and distributors. Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Rockville, Maryland.

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