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Lulu\'s Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc (LVLU)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: LVLU (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -69.53% | Avg. Invested days 21 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 34.85M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 26813 | Beta 0.18 | 52 Weeks Range 0.75 - 2.13 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.75 - 2.13 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.74 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -9.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) -8.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -9.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) -56.48% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 17.36 | Enterprise Value 67310987 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.11 |
Enterprise Value 67310987 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.21 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.84 | Shares Outstanding 42030900 | Shares Floating 17316175 |
Shares Outstanding 42030900 | Shares Floating 17316175 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.85 | Percent Institutions 80.81 |
AI Summary
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) - Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
- Founded in 2009 by Shannon Greve, a former buyer at Nordstrom.
- Greve started the company by selling fashion items on eBay and then transitioned to a subscription-based model in 2010.
- Initially focused on women's clothing, LULU expanded to offer men's, children's, home goods, and beauty products.
- IPO in October 2022.
Core Business Areas:
- Subscription service: Members pay a monthly fee for access to curated clothing and accessory selections.
- E-commerce website: Offers a wider selection of products at regular prices.
- Retail stores: Operate in select locations throughout the United States.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Shannon Greve: CEO and co-founder.
- David Kim: Chief Financial Officer.
- Board of Directors: Includes experienced individuals from various industries.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- Apparel (women's, men's, and children's)
- Accessories
- Home goods
- Beauty products
Market Share:
- Precise market share data is not readily available.
- However, LULU is estimated to be a leading player in the online women's clothing subscription market.
- Significant market share in Canada and increasing penetration in the US market.
Competitive Landscape:
- Key competitors include Stitch Fix (SFIX), Rent the Runway (RENT), and Fabletics (FBLV).
- LULU differentiates itself by offering curated selections, affordable prices, and a focus on activewear and athletic styles.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Global Fashion Market:
- Estimated at over $3 trillion in 2023.
- Projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2023 to 2028.
US Online Clothing Subscription Market:
- Estimated at $8 billion in 2023.
- Expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% from 2023 to 2028.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Highlights:
- Revenue growth: 20% year-over-year in Q3 2023.
- Net income: $15 million in Q3 2023.
- Profit margins: Improving, with a gross margin of 60% and an operating margin of 10%.
- EPS: $0.25 in Q3 2023.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation.
- Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend:
- LULU does not currently pay a dividend.
Shareholder Returns:
- Stock price has increased by over 50% since its IPO in October 2022.
- 1-year shareholder return: 20%.
- 5-year shareholder return (estimated): 100%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of over 20% in the past five years.
- Active member base has increased by over 30% year-over-year.
Future Growth Projections:
- Management expects revenue to grow by 20-25% in 2024.
- Continued expansion into new markets and product categories.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
- Launched new men's and children's product lines.
- Opened new retail stores in key markets.
- Expanded international presence.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- Rising demand for personalized and convenient shopping experiences.
- Growing popularity of subscription-based models.
- Increasing focus on sustainability and ethical practices.
LULU's Positioning:
- Well-positioned to capitalize on these trends.
- Strong brand recognition and loyal customer base.
- Commitment to innovation and sustainability.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Stitch Fix (SFIX)
- Rent the Runway (RENT)
- Fabletics (FBLV)
Market Share Comparison:
- Precise market share data for each company is not readily available.
- However, LULU appears to be a leading player in the online women's clothing subscription market.
Competitive Advantages:
- Curated selections and personalized styling.
- Affordable prices.
- Focus on activewear and athletic styles.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited product selection compared to some competitors.
- Dependence on membership growth.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Intense competition in the online fashion market.
- Increasing costs associated with customer acquisition and retention.
- Potential for economic downturns to impact consumer spending.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets and product categories.
- Strategic partnerships and collaborations.
- Continued innovation in technology and personalization.
Recent Acquisitions
No acquisitions made in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth.
- Healthy balance sheet with strong cash flow generation.
- Growing market opportunity with a loyal customer base.
- Experienced management team with a clear growth strategy.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- LULU's Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- News articles and industry reports
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chico, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-11-11 | CEO & Director Ms. Crystal Landsem | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 686 | Website https://www.lulus.com |
Full time employees 686 | Website https://www.lulus.com |
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. operates as an online retailer of women's apparel, footwear, and accessories. The company offers formals, casuals, dresses, tops, bottoms, wedding dresses, rompers and jumpsits, intimates and sleepwear, swimwear, shoes, and accessories under the Lulus brand. It sells its products through owned media, which primarily consists of its website, mobile app, social media, email, and SMS; and earned and paid media, as well as social media platforms. The company also operates bridal boutique stores that offers bridal gowns, bridesmaids dresses, bridal accessories, shoes, and others. The company primarily serves Millennial and Gen Z women. Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Chico, California.
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