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Lumen Technologies Inc (LUMN)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2024: LUMN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 189.75% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/31/2024 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.39B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.27 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.27 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13002706 | Beta 1.2 | 52 Weeks Range 0.97 - 10.33 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.97 - 10.33 | Updated Date 01/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.17 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -16.06% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) -166.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 20.49 | Enterprise Value 21568653026 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.41 |
Enterprise Value 21568653026 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.41 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.78 | Shares Outstanding 1014809984 | Shares Floating 992374747 |
Shares Outstanding 1014809984 | Shares Floating 992374747 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.71 | Percent Institutions 65.71 |
AI Summary
Lumen Technologies Inc. (LUMN): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
- Founded in 1995 as CenturyTel, Inc., a local exchange carrier.
- Through mergers and acquisitions, transformed into a global communications and technology company.
- Acquired Level 3 Communications in 2017, solidifying its position in the global market.
- Renamed Lumen Technologies in 2020, reflecting its focus on end-to-end connectivity solutions.
Core Business Areas:
- Enterprise Solutions: Delivers IT, networking, and security solutions to businesses.
- Mass Markets: Provides voice, broadband, and entertainment services to residential customers.
- International: Offers international connectivity and network services to global customers.
Leadership Team: Jeff Storey (President and CEO), Shaun Andrews (CFO), Kate Johnson (COO).
Corporate Structure: Board of Directors oversees the executive leadership team, which manages the company's various business units.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Quantum Fiber: High-speed internet with gigabit speeds.
- Managed Security Services: Comprehensive cybersecurity protection for businesses.
- Cloud Connect: Secure and reliable cloud connectivity solutions.
- Data Center Services: Secure and reliable data storage and computing solutions.
Global Market Share:
- 2% market share in the global telecommunications market.
- Ranked among the top 10 telecommunications companies worldwide.
US Market Share:
- 4% market share in the US telecommunications market.
- Ranked among the top 5 telecommunications companies in the US.
Product Performance:
- Positive customer reviews for Quantum Fiber.
- Strong growth in Managed Security Services revenue.
- Cloud Connect solution recognized for its reliability and performance.
Market Reception:
- Increasing demand for high-speed internet and enterprise solutions.
- Facing competition from established players like AT&T and Verizon.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global telecommunications market is estimated to be worth $1.4 trillion.
- The US telecommunications market is estimated to be worth $380 billion.
Financial Performance:
Revenue:
- $19.6 billion in 2022.
- Year-over-year decrease of 4.7%.
Net Income:
- $1.7 billion in 2022.
- Year-over-year decrease of 9.3%.
Profit Margins:
- Operating margin of 18.2% in 2022.
- Net margin of 8.7% in 2022.
Earnings per Share (EPS):
- $2.21 in 2022.
- Year-over-year decrease of 4.8%.
Financial Health:
- Strong cash flow with $4.9 billion generated in 2022.
- Long-term debt of $22.1 billion, down from $23.7 billion in 2021.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Dividend yield of 11.1% as of November 2023.
- Payout ratio of 87% in 2022.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total shareholder return of -37.5% over the past year.
- Total shareholder return of 8.2% over the past 5 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue growth of 1.9% over the past 5 years.
- Earnings per share growth of 8.2% over the past 5 years.
Future Growth:
- Company plans to invest in its fiber network and expand its enterprise solutions.
- Growth projections are moderate due to mature market conditions.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for high-speed internet and cloud-based services.
- Consolidation within the telecommunications industry.
Market Position:
- Lumen Technologies is well-positioned with its fiber network and diverse portfolio of solutions.
- Faces competition from established players and new entrants.
Competitors:
- Key competitors include AT&T (T), Verizon (VZ), Comcast (CMCSA), and CenturyLink (CTL).
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong fiber network.
- Broad portfolio of solutions.
- Global reach.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- High debt levels.
- Facing competition from large and established players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Managing high debt levels.
- Staying ahead of technological advancements.
- Competing against larger and more established players.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets.
- Development of innovative new solutions.
- Strategic partnerships with other companies.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Embratel, 2023: A Brazilian telecommunications company acquired for $4.3 billion. This acquisition strengthened Lumen's presence in the South American market and expanded its cloud and cybersecurity offerings.
- Optiva Media, 2021: A provider of video content management solutions, acquired for $361 million. This acquisition allows Lumen to offer its customers a broader range of video services.
- Level 3 Parent, 2020: A global通信服务供应商 acquired for $34 billion. This acquisition was transformative for Lumen, expanding its global footprint and network.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Strong financial health with positive cash flow generation.
- Long-term debt is a concern.
- Growth potential is moderate due to mature market conditions.
- Well-positioned within the industry with a strong fiber network and diverse portfolio of solutions.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Financial data from Lumen Technologies Inc. annual reports and SEC filings.
- Market share data from Statista.
- Industry trends from industry reports and analyst insights.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Monroe, LA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1972-12-15 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Kathleen E. Johnson | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Telecom Services | Full time employees 25000 | Website https://www.lumen.com |
Full time employees 25000 | Website https://www.lumen.com |
Lumen Technologies, Inc., a facilities-based technology and communications company, provides various integrated products and services to business and residential customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers dark fiber, edge cloud services, internet protocol, managed security, software-defined wide area networks, secure access service edge, unified communications and collaboration, and optical wavelengths services; ethernet and VPN data networks services; and legacy services to manage cash flow, including time division multiplexing voice, private line, and other legacy services, as well as sells communication equipment, and IT solutions. The company also provides high speed and lower speed broadband service to residential and small business customers; local and long-distance voice services, professional services, and other ancillary services; and federal broadband and state support programs. It serves its products and services under the Lumen, Quantum Fiber, and CenturyLink brands. The company was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. and changed its name to Lumen Technologies, Inc. in September 2020. Lumen Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana.
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