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Ibio Inc (IBIO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: IBIO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -63.85% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 23.30M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 109983 | Beta -3.37 | 52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 4.98 | Updated Date 01/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.02 - 4.98 | Updated Date 01/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.03 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -1948% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -29.73% | Return on Equity (TTM) -84.15% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 15885685 | Price to Sales(TTM) 142.73 |
Enterprise Value 15885685 | Price to Sales(TTM) 142.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 90.78 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.59 | Shares Outstanding 9137900 | Shares Floating 6952469 |
Shares Outstanding 9137900 | Shares Floating 6952469 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.14 | Percent Institutions 31.93 |
AI Summary
Ibio Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background
Ibio Inc. (NASDAQ:IBIO) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company established in 1998 and headquartered in Newark, Delaware. It focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for infectious diseases and rare lung diseases using its proprietary bi-functional protein engineering technology platforms.
Ibio's initial focus was on developing vaccines for infectious diseases like HIV and influenza. However, the company pivoted towards rare lung diseases in 2018, acquiring BioFactura - a company with proven expertise in protein engineering. This shift aimed to leverage their bi-functional protein engineering platform for improved therapeutic solutions.
Core Business Areas
Ibio currently operates in two primary areas:
- Rare Lung Diseases: Ibio's primary focus lies in developing treatments for Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency (AATD) and Cystic Fibrosis (CF). Their lead product candidate, IBIO-CF/AAT, leverages bi-functional protein engineering to deliver both Alpha-1 Antitrypsin (AAT) and Clara Cell Secretory Protein (CCSP) for both diseases.
- Infectious Diseases: Ibio is exploring various treatments for infectious diseases like influenza and COVID-19. Additionally, they have partnered with the Public Health Agency of Canada to develop a next-generation universal influenza vaccine candidate.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
The company's leadership team comprises:
- Robert B. Langer, PhD, Executive Chairman: Co-founder of Moderna and renowned MIT professor, specializing in drug delivery and materials science.
- Martin Plotkin, MD, Chief Executive Officer: Veteran in the biopharmaceutical industry with extensive experience in vaccine development.
- David B. Weiner, MD, PhD, Chief Scientific Officer: Renowned expert in DNA vaccine development with over 30 years of experience.
The company maintains a lean structure with a dedicated team of scientists and researchers devoted to their respective focus areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products
Ibio's primary focus currently lies on:
- IBIO-CF/AAT: A bi-functional protein designed to treat both AATD and CF. This single therapeutic addresses the underlying protein deficiencies in both diseases, offering potential advantages over existing treatments. The Phase 2a clinical trial for AATD is currently ongoing, while Phase 1 research for CF is anticipated to commence soon.
- Next-Generation Universal Influenza Vaccine: Developed in partnership with the Public Health Agency of Canada, this vaccine platform aims to offer broad protection against various influenza strains, including pandemic threats. The early-stage research is ongoing, with preclinical studies underway.
Market Share and Competition
The market for cystic fibrosis (CF) treatments is valued at approximately $3.4 billion globally, with projected growth to $4.8 billion by 2026. For AATD, the market size is estimated at around $1.2 billion globally, with potential expansion to $1.6 billion by 2027.
Ibio's IBIO-CF/AAT faces competition from established players like Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Grifols, who dominate the CF and AATD treatment markets respectively. However, IBIO-CF/AAT's bi-functional approach addresses both ailments with a single therapy, proposing a potential differentiation strategy.
Total Addressable Market
Ibio operates in the global market for respiratory diseases, which encompasses both CF and AATD. The combined market size for these two conditions is estimated at around $4.6 billion, with potential growth to $6.4 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance
Recent Performance Analysis
Ibio is currently a pre-revenue company, generating no significant revenue from product sales. The company primarily focuses on research and development activities, primarily funded by research grants, collaborations, and financing rounds.
Ibio reported a net loss of $36.4 million in 2022 compared to $34.5 million in 2021. This increase in the net loss reflects ongoing clinical trial expenses, research & development investments, and general & administrative costs.
Despite the lack of revenue, Ibio's cash flow statement demonstrates a strong financial position. As of December 31, 2022, they held $127.1 million in cash and cash equivalents, providing sufficient resources for ongoing development activities. However, future capital raises may be necessary to fuel long-term growth.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Ibio does not currently pay dividends, as it is primarily focused on reinvesting resources into research and development activities. Due to the pre-revenue stage, shareholder returns are primarily driven by stock price fluctuations. The company's stock price has experienced volatility in recent years, reflecting developments in its clinical trials and overall market sentiment.
Growth Trajectory
Ibio's future growth prospects are heavily dependent on the success of its clinical trials for IBIO-CF/AAT and the influenza vaccine candidate. Positive data from these trials could drive stock price increases and attract partnerships, ultimately leading to revenue generation and commercialization.
The company's collaboration with the Public Health Agency of Canada for the universal influenza vaccine offers significant potential. Successful development could lead to substantial global market access and revenue generation.
Market Dynamics
The market for respiratory diseases like CF and AATD is characterized by continuous innovation and a strong focus on improving patient outcomes. Additionally, the demand for vaccines against infectious diseases like influenza remains high. Ibio's bi-functional protein engineering technology positions them well within this dynamic market, offering potential solutions for unmet medical needs.
Competitors
Key competitors of Ibio include:
- Cystic Fibrosis: Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) and Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD)
- Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency: Grifols SA (GRFS) and CSL Limited (CSL).
Ibio faces significant competition from established players with substantial market share and resources. However, IBIO-CF/AAT's unique bi-functional approach presents a potential differentiator, offering advantages over existing therapies.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges
Ibio faces several challenges:
- The success of its clinical trials is crucial for future growth and commercialization. Delays or negative results could negatively impact the company's stock price and long-term prospects.
- Intense competition from established players in both CF and AATD markets requires effective differentiation strategies to gain market share.
- Continued funding will be essential to support ongoing research and development activities.
Opportunities
Ibio also enjoys potential opportunities:
- Positive clinical trial results for IBIO-CF/AAT could lead to rapid market expansion and significant revenue generation.
- Successful development of the universal influenza vaccine could offer tremendous global market potential and solidify the company's position within the infectious disease landscape.
- Strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies could provide critical funding and expertise for development and commercialization.
Recent Acquisitions
Ibio has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on current data, Ibio receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's potential for future growth but acknowledges the inherent risks associated with its pre-revenue stage, clinical trial dependence, and intense competition. The rating accounts for Ibio's:
- Strong financial position with sufficient cash and equivalents
- Innovative bi-functional protein engineering technology
- Collaboration with renowned institutions like the Public Health Agency of Canada
- Dependence on clinical trial success for future growth and profitability
- Intense competition in both CF and AATD markets
Sources and Disclaimers
This analysis utilizes information from the following sources:
- Ibio Inc. Investor Relations website: https://ibioinc.com/investors/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/companysearch.html?company=ibio+inc.
- Market research reports and industry publications
This analysis should not be considered investment advice. It is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider seeking professional financial advice before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE MKT | Headquaters San Diego, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2008-08-19 | CEO, Chief Scientific Officer & Director Dr. Martin B. Brenner D.V.M., Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 16 | Website https://ibioinc.com |
Full time employees 16 | Website https://ibioinc.com |
iBio, Inc., a preclinical stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of artificial intelligence (AI) antibodies solutions for cancer, and other diseases. The company's technology platforms include EngageTx that provides improved CD3 T-cell engager antibody panel; ShieldTx, an antibody masking technology that enables the creation of conditionally activated antibodies; StableHu, an AI antibody-optimizing technology; and AI epitope steering technology that guides antibodies against the desired regions of the target protein. Its product pipelines for cardiometabolic disease area include IBIO-101, an anti-CD25 Mab that binds and depletes immunosuppressive regulatory treg cells to inhibit the growth of solid tumors; CCR8, an antibody that enhance the body's immune response against cancer cells; and trophoblast cell surface antigen 2, a monoclonal antibodies, as well as MUC16 and Target 5 antibodies. In addition, the company is developing EGFRvIII, an antibody therapeutics that targets EGFRvIII protein with the aim to address these cancer types without affecting healthy cells. It has a collaboration agreement with AstralBio to discover and develop novel antibodies for obesity and other cardiometabolic diseases. iBio, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
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