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Hershey Co (HSY)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$166.1
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: HSY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -20.29%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 33.62B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.21
1Y Target Price 159.53
Price to earnings Ratio 15.21
1Y Target Price 159.53
Volume (30-day avg) 2106011
Beta 0.37
52 Weeks Range 138.94 - 206.26
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 138.94 - 206.26
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.34%
Basic EPS (TTM) 10.92

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-06
When Before Market
Estimate 2.3752
Actual 2.69

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.83%
Operating Margin (TTM) 32.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 15.06%
Return on Equity (TTM) 50.4%

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.21
Forward PE 26.6
Enterprise Value 37891911075
Price to Sales(TTM) 3
Enterprise Value 37891911075
Price to Sales(TTM) 3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.38
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.21
Shares Outstanding 147796992
Shares Floating 145035316
Shares Outstanding 147796992
Shares Floating 145035316
Percent Insiders 0.6
Percent Institutions 86.81

AI Summary

Hershey Co: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History:

  • Founded in 1894 by Milton Hershey as the Lancaster Caramel Company, later renamed Hershey Chocolate Company.
  • The company expanded rapidly throughout the early 20th century, becoming a leading chocolate manufacturer in the US.
  • In 2015, the company acquired Amplify Snack Brands, expanding its portfolio beyond chocolate and confectionery into salty snacks.
  • Today, the Hershey Co. is one of the largest candy and snack companies in the world, with operations in over 80 countries.

Business Areas:

  • North America Chocolate: This segment comprises the majority of the company's business, encompassing chocolate brands like Hershey's, Reese's, Kit Kat, and Twizzlers, among others.
  • Global Confectionary: This segment includes international chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery businesses, including brands like Brookside, Ice Breakers, and Droste.
  • North America Snacking: Following the Amplify acquisition, this segment includes popular snack brands such as SkinnyPop popcorn, Pirate's Booty, and Crunchmaster.

Leadership:

  • President and Chief Executive Officer: Michele Buck
  • Chief Financial Officer: Steven Voskuil
  • Chairman of the Board: John Bilbrey
  • Hershey operates a Board of Directors and Executive Leadership Team responsible for overseeing company strategy and operations.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Hershey's top products include:
    • Hershey's chocolate bars (including classic milk chocolate and special editions like Cookies & Cream)
    • Reese's peanut butter cups
    • Kit Kat chocolate bars
    • Twizzlers licorice
    • Kisses chocolates
  • Hershey possesses a dominant market share in chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery within the US.
    • In the US chocolate market, Hershey holds a approximately 30% share.
    • In the US non-chocolate confectionery market, Hershey commands a share close to 45%.
  • Competitors in the US confectionery market include Mars Wrigley and Mondelez. While Hershey retains a leading position, the market is quite competitive, with these competitors claiming significant shares of the market.

Total Addressable Market:

  • Hershey operates within the global confectionery market.
  • This market encompasses chocolate, candy, gum, mints, and other sweet treats.
  • The global confectionery market is massive, estimated to be valued at approximately $275 billion in 2023, with projections of reaching $335 billion by 2028.

Financial Performance:

  • Recent Financial Performance:
    • Revenue: $9.4 billion in 2022 (a 12.1% increase year-over-year)
    • Net Income: $1 billion in 2022 (a 7.7% increase year-over-year)
    • Profit Margin: 10.3% in 2022
    • Earnings Per Share (EPS): $5.48 in 2022
    • Cash Flow Statement: Positive and growing with strong operating cash flows.
    • Balance Sheet Health: Healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividends: Hershey has a long history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of approximately 1.8%.
  • The company has also consistently increased its dividend payments over the past decade.
  • Shareholder Returns: Strong historical returns, with a total shareholder return of over 160% in the past five years.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Hershey has shown steady growth in recent years, driven by a combination of organic growth and acquisitions.
  • Future Projections: Continued moderate growth is expected, fueled by new product introductions, increased focus on international markets, and expanding the snacking business.
  • Growth Initiatives: Recent product launches include Hershey's Cookies & Creme and Kit Kat Duos. Additionally, Hershey is expanding into new categories like protein snacks and plant-based alternatives.

Market Dynamics:

  • The confectionery industry is characterized by:
    • Strong consumer demand for chocolate and other sweets
    • Growing popularity of premium and innovative products
    • Increasing demand for healthier snack options
    • Heightened competition from both established players and emerging brands

-Hershey's strong brand recognition, diversified product portfolio, and focus on innovation position the company well within this dynamic market.

Competitors:

  • Major competitors include:
    • Mars Wrigley (M&M's, Snickers, Twix, Skittles): 14% share of the US chocolate market.
    • Mondelez International (Oreo, Cadbury, Toblerone): 13% share of the US chocolate market.
    • Other notable competitors: Ferrero (Nutella), Lindt & Sprüngli, Godiva.

Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Maintaining market share in a highly competitive landscape.
  • Balancing innovation with maintaining the popularity of classic products.
  • Navigating rising commodity costs and supply chain disruptions.
  • Adapting to evolving consumer preferences towards healthier零食.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into emerging markets with high growth potential.
  • Leveraging its strong brand portfolio to introduce new product innovations.
  • Capitalizing on the growing demand for healthier snacks.
  • Utilizing strategic partnerships and acquisitions to gain a competitive edge.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2023: Dot's Homestyle Pretzels
  • 2022: Lily's Sweets (low-sugar chocolate brand)
  • 2020: Pirate Brands (Pirate's Booty and Smart Puffs)

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an analysis of various financial and market factors, Hershey Co. receives an AI-Based Fundamental Rating of 8 out of 10. This indicates a solid and fundamentally sound company with good growth prospects.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Sources:

Additional Notes:

This overview provides a general summary of the Hershey Co. It is recommended to conduct further research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About Hershey Co

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Hershey, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 1985-07-01
Chairman, President & CEO Ms. Michele Gross Buck
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Confectioners
Full time employees 18540
Full time employees 18540

The Hershey Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of confectionery products and pantry items in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International. It offers chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery products; gum and mint refreshment products, including mints, chewing gums, and bubble gums; protein bars; pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings, beverages, and sundae syrups; and snack items comprising spreads, bars, snack bites, mixes, popcorn, and pretzels. The company provides its products primarily under the Hershey's, Reese's, Kisses, Jolly Rancher, Almond Joy, Brookside, barkTHINS, Cadbury, Good & Plenty, Heath, Kit Kat, Payday, Rolo, Twizzlers, Sour Strips, Whoppers, York, Ice Breakers, Breath Savers, Bubble Yum, Lily's, SkinnyPop, Pirates Booty, Dot's Homestyle Pretzels, and ONE Bar brands, as well as under the Pelon Pelo Rico, IO-IO, and Sofit brands. It markets and sells its products to wholesale distributors, chain grocery stores, mass merchandisers, chain drug stores, vending companies, wholesale clubs, convenience stores, dollar stores, concessionaires, and department stores. The company exports its products in approximately 80 countries worldwide. The Hershey Company was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Hershey, Pennsylvania.

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