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Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$61.18
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/18/2025: MDLZ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.35%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/18/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 83.65B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.91
1Y Target Price 65.17
Price to earnings Ratio 18.91
1Y Target Price 65.17
Volume (30-day avg) 11286879
Beta 0.55
52 Weeks Range 53.95 - 74.98
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 53.95 - 74.98
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.91%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.42

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-04
When After Market
Estimate 0.7
Actual 0.69

Profitability

Profit Margin 12.65%
Operating Margin (TTM) 17.19%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.76%
Return on Equity (TTM) 16.71%

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.91
Forward PE 21.41
Enterprise Value 100673272549
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.3
Enterprise Value 100673272549
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.76
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.47
Shares Outstanding 1293529984
Shares Floating 1289877426
Shares Outstanding 1293529984
Shares Floating 1289877426
Percent Insiders 0.53
Percent Institutions 85.51

AI Summary

Mondelez International Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background:

Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) is a global snacking and food company formed in 2012 through the spin-off of Kraft Foods Inc.'s snack food business. The company boasts a rich history dating back to the 19th century, with roots in iconic brands like Cadbury, Nabisco, and Kraft. Today, Mondelez is a leading player in the global snacking industry, with a portfolio of beloved brands enjoyed by consumers worldwide.

Core Business Areas:

Mondelez operates in the global snacking industry, offering a diverse range of products across various categories:

  • Chocolate: Includes iconic brands like Cadbury, Milka, Toblerone, and Côte d'Or.
  • Biscuits: Features popular brands like Oreo, belVita, Ritz, and TUC.
  • Gum and Candy: Includes brands like Trident, Dentyne, Halls, and Stride.
  • Powdered Beverages: Offers brands like Tang, Kool-Aid, and Country Time.
  • Cheese and Grocery: Includes brands like Philadelphia, Kraft, and Lunchables.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

Mondelez is led by Chairman and CEO Dirk Van de Put, who joined the company in 2017. The executive leadership team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in various areas, including finance, marketing, operations, and research and development. The company operates a decentralized structure, with regional presidents responsible for driving growth in their respective markets.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products and Offerings:

Mondelez boasts a portfolio of leading global brands, including:

  • Oreo: The world's best-selling cookie brand, enjoyed in over 100 countries.
  • Cadbury: A global chocolate powerhouse, with iconic brands like Dairy Milk, Flake, and Crunchie.
  • Trident: The world's leading chewing gum brand, offering a variety of flavors and formats.
  • Philadelphia: The leading cream cheese brand globally, used in various culinary applications.
  • Ritz: A popular cracker brand known for its crispy texture and buttery flavor.

Market Share Analysis:

Mondelez holds significant market share in various categories:

  • Chocolate: Holds the #2 position globally with an estimated 11% market share.
  • Biscuits: Ranks #1 globally with an estimated 17% market share.
  • Gum: Holds the #1 position globally with an estimated 31% market share.
  • Cheese and Grocery: Maintains a strong presence in key markets like the US and Canada.

Competitor Comparison:

Mondelez faces competition from various players in the snacking industry, including:

  • PepsiCo (PEP): A major competitor in the beverage and snacking space, with brands like Lays, Quaker, and Gatorade.
  • Nestlé (NSRGY): A global food and beverage giant with a strong presence in chocolate and confectionery.
  • Mars (MARS): A privately held company with leading brands like M&M's, Snickers, and Twix.
  • Hershey (HSY): A leading US chocolate company with brands like Hershey's Kisses and Reese's.

Mondelez differentiates itself through its iconic brands, global reach, innovation capabilities, and focus on emerging markets.

Total Addressable Market:

The global snacking market is vast, valued at over $1.5 trillion in 2023. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors like increasing urbanization, rising disposable income, and changing consumer preferences. Mondelez operates in a significant portion of this market, focusing on categories with high growth potential.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements Analysis:

  • Revenue: Mondelez's revenue has grown steadily in recent years, reaching $29.6 billion in 2022.
  • Net Income: The company's net income also increased in 2022, reaching $3.7 billion.
  • Profit Margin: Operating profit margin stood at 15.3% in 2022, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS grew to $2.22 in 2022, demonstrating strong profitability.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

Mondelez has consistently delivered year-over-year revenue and profit growth, reflecting effective execution of its strategic priorities.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:

The company maintains a healthy cash flow position, with operating cash flow exceeding $5 billion in 2022. The balance sheet shows a strong financial position with manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Mondelez has a consistent dividend payout history, with an annual dividend of $1.26 per share in 2023. The company's recent dividend yield is around 2.2%, and the payout ratio is approximately 40%.

Shareholder Returns:

Mondelez has delivered strong shareholder returns over the past year, with a total return of over 15%. Over the past 5 and 10 years, the company's total shareholder returns have outperformed the S&P 500 index.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth Analysis:

Mondelez has shown consistent organic revenue growth over the past 5 to 10 years, driven by product innovation, market expansion, and strategic acquisitions.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts project continued moderate growth for Mondelez in the coming years, supported by favorable industry trends and the company's focus on emerging markets and e-commerce.

Recent Growth Initiatives:

Mondelez is actively pursuing growth initiatives, including:

  • New product launches: The company continuously introduces new products to cater to evolving consumer preferences.
  • Market expansion: Mondelez is focusing on expanding its presence in high-growth markets like Asia and Latin America.
  • Strategic partnerships: The company is forming strategic partnerships to enhance its innovation capabilities and distribution reach.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

The snacking industry is characterized by strong growth potential, driven by changing consumer lifestyles and increasing demand for convenient and healthy options. Technological advancements are also playing a significant role in shaping the industry, with e-commerce and digital marketing becoming increasingly important.

Mondelez's Positioning:

Mondelez is well-positioned within the industry, with a strong brand portfolio, global reach, and a focus on innovation. The company is adapting to market changes by expanding its e-commerce presence and developing healthier snacking options.

Competitors:

Key Competitors and Market Share:

  • PepsiCo (PEP): Holds a global market share of approximately 13% in the snacking industry.
  • Nestlé (NSRGY): Has a global market share of around 10%.
  • Mars (MARS): Holds a global market share of approximately 8%.
  • Hershey (HSY): Maintains a market share of around 5% in the US chocolate market.

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

Mondelez's competitive advantages include its strong brand portfolio, global reach, scale, and innovation capabilities. However, the company faces competition from large and established players with similar resources and market access.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions: Global supply chain issues could impact Mondelez's ability to source raw materials and deliver products to consumers.
  • Changing consumer preferences: Evolving consumer preferences for healthier and more sustainable snacking options could challenge existing product offerings.
  • Intense competition: The snacking industry is highly competitive, with major players vying for market share.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Emerging markets: Expanding into high-growth emerging markets offers significant potential for future growth.
  • Product innovation: Developing innovative and healthier snacking options could capture new customer segments and drive growth.
  • Strategic partnerships: Collaborating with other companies could enhance Mondelez's innovation capabilities and distribution reach.

Recent Acquisitions (past 3 years):

  • 2021: Clif Bar & Company, a leading maker of organic energy bars, acquired for $2.9 billion. This acquisition expanded Mondelez's portfolio into the growing health and wellness snacking segment.
  • 2022: Grupo Bimbo's baked goods business in Mexico, acquired for $1.3 billion. This acquisition strengthened Mondelez's position in the Mexican snacking market.
  • 2023: Perfect Snacks, a producer of protein and fiber-rich snacks, acquired for an undisclosed amount. This acquisition further expanded Mondelez's offerings in the health and wellness snacking category.

These acquisitions demonstrate Mondelez's commitment to expanding its product portfolio and entering new markets to drive future growth.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7.5 out of 10

Justification:

Mondelez International Inc. receives a moderately positive rating based on a comprehensive analysis of its fundamentals. The company's strong brand portfolio, global reach, consistent financial performance, and focus on growth initiatives are key strengths. However, factors like supply chain challenges, changing consumer preferences, and intense competition pose potential risks.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Mondelez International Inc. Investor Relations website
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Statista
  • S&P Global Market Intelligence

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About Mondelez International Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2001-06-13
Chairman & CEO Mr. Dirk Van de Put
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Confectioners
Full time employees 90000
Full time employees 90000

Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and sells snack food and beverage products in the Latin America, North America, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. It provides biscuits and baked snacks, including cookies, crackers, salted snacks, snack bars, and cakes and pastries; chocolates; and gums and candies, as well as various cheese and grocery, and powdered beverage products. The company's brand portfolio includes Oreo, Ritz, LU, CLIF Bar, and Tate's Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, as well as Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka, and Toblerone chocolate. It serves to supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores, and other retail food outlets through direct store delivery, company-owned and satellite warehouses, distribution centers, third party distributors, and other facilities, as well as through independent sales offices and agents. The company also sells products directly to businesses and consumers through e-retail platforms, retailer digital platforms, as well as through its direct-to-consumer websites and social media platforms. Mondelez International, Inc. was formerly known as Kraft Foods Inc. and changed its name to Mondelez International, Inc. in October 2012. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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