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Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$6.47
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/18/2025: GPRE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -48.44%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/18/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 400.03M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 13.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 13.5
Volume (30-day avg) 1818888
Beta 1.44
52 Weeks Range 5.96 - 24.04
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 5.96 - 24.04
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.29

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-05
When Before Market
Estimate -0.4176
Actual -0.86

Profitability

Profit Margin -3.36%
Operating Margin (TTM) -7.01%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.63%
Return on Equity (TTM) -8.71%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 62.11
Enterprise Value 876294976
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16
Enterprise Value 876294976
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.16
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.36
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.75
Shares Outstanding 64729400
Shares Floating 63073019
Shares Outstanding 64729400
Shares Floating 63073019
Percent Insiders 2.79
Percent Institutions 100.29

AI Summary

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. (GPRE) Stock Overview:

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. (GPRE) was founded in 2007 as a subsidiary of Green Plains Inc. (GPN). In 2011, GPRE became an independent, publicly traded company. The company primarily focuses on the production and sale of ethanol and other bio-based products.

Core Business Areas:

  • Ethanol Production: GPRE operates 13 ethanol plants across the United States, with a combined production capacity of approximately 1.4 billion gallons per year.
  • Renewable Energy: GPRE also generates renewable electricity from biogas produced at its ethanol plants.
  • Ingredient Solutions: The company produces and markets corn oil and distillers grains, by-products of the ethanol production process, used in animal feed and other industrial applications.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Todd Becker - President and CEO
  • John Neppl - Chief Financial Officer
  • Tye Batson - Chief Operating Officer
  • Board of Directors consists of 9 members with expertise in energy, finance, and agriculture.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Ethanol: GPRE is a leading producer of ethanol in the United States, with a market share of approximately 3%.
  • Corn Oil: The company is a significant producer of corn oil, with a market share of around 2%.
  • Distillers Grains: GPRE is a major supplier of distillers grains, with a market share of approximately 4%.

Market Share Comparison:

GPRE faces competition from major ethanol producers such as ADM (ADM), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), and POET (POET). While GPRE's market share is smaller, the company differentiates itself by focusing on renewable energy generation and ingredient solutions.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for GPRE includes:

  • Ethanol: The US ethanol market is estimated to be over $25 billion.
  • Corn Oil: The global corn oil market is valued at around $10 billion.
  • Distillers Grains: The global distillers grains market is estimated to be over $15 billion.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Highlights (2023):

  • Revenue: $2.3 billion
  • Net Income: $145 million
  • Profit Margin: 6.3%
  • EPS: $2.32

Year-over-Year Comparison:

GPRE's revenue and net income have increased year-over-year, driven by higher ethanol prices and increased production volumes.

Financial Health:

The company has a strong balance sheet with low debt levels and a healthy cash flow.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

GPRE has a history of paying dividends, with a current annual dividend yield of around 2%.

Shareholder Returns:

Over the past year, GPRE stock has returned approximately 15%, outperforming the S&P 500.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

GPRE has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by investments in new ethanol plants and increased demand for renewable fuels.

Future Growth Projections:

Analysts expect GPRE to continue growing in the coming years, driven by favorable industry trends and the company's expansion plans.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: The ethanol industry is expected to benefit from growing demand for renewable fuels and government政策s supporting biofuels.
  • Demand-Supply: Ethanol demand is expected to remain strong, while供給 is expected to remain tight due to limited capacity expansion.
  • Technological Advancements: Continued advancements in ethanol production technology could create new opportunities for GPRE.

Market Position and Adaptability:

GPRE is well-positioned within the industry with its diversified business model and focus on renewable energy. The company has a proven track record of adapting to market changes.

Competitors:

  • ADM (ADM)
  • Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)
  • POET (POET)
  • Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)

Market Share Comparison:

GPRE has a smaller market share compared to some of its larger competitors. However, the company is a leader in renewable energy generation and ingredient solutions.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Diversified business model
  • Focus on renewable energy
  • Strong financial position
  • Experienced management team

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • Smaller market share than some competitors
  • Exposed to commodity price fluctuations

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Volatile commodity prices
  • Increasing competition

Potential Opportunities:

  • Growth in the renewable fuels market
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of new products

Recent Acquisitions:

GPRE has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

GPRE has a strong financial position, a diversified business model, and a focus on renewable energy. The company is well-positioned to benefit from favorable industry trends. However, GPRE faces challenges from supply chain disruptions, volatile commodity prices, and increasing competition.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

  • Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. website
  • SEC filings
  • Reuters
  • Bloomberg

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

About Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Omaha, NE, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-03-15
President, CEO & Director Mr. Todd A. Becker
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
Full time employees 923
Full time employees 923

Green Plains Inc. produces low-carbon fuels in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Ethanol Production, and Agribusiness and Energy Services. The Ethanol Production segment produces, stores, and transports ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and renewable corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement and commodity marketing businesses; and marketing ethanol for a third-party producer, as well as buys and sells ethanol, distiller grains, renewable corn oil, grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

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