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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: ADM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.82% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 24.94B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 14.36 | 1Y Target Price 56.18 |
Price to earnings Ratio 14.36 | 1Y Target Price 56.18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3118805 | Beta 0.72 | 52 Weeks Range 48.40 - 67.09 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 48.40 - 67.09 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.79% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.63 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.42% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 14.36 | Forward PE 10.66 | Enterprise Value 35506167062 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 |
Enterprise Value 35506167062 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.57 | Shares Outstanding 478534016 | Shares Floating 473508832 |
Shares Outstanding 478534016 | Shares Floating 473508832 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.59 | Percent Institutions 80.5 |
AI Summary
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1923 through a merger of several grain companies, including Archer and Daniels.
- Initially focused on grain storage, transportation, and processing, expanding into other agricultural products like soybeans and oilseeds.
- Grew through acquisitions and mergers, becoming one of the largest agricultural processing companies globally.
Core Business Areas:
- Oilseeds Processing: Production of vegetable oils and protein meals from soybeans, rapeseed, sunflower, and other oilseeds.
- Corn Processing: Production of starch, sweeteners, and fuel ethanol from corn.
- Wheat Milling: Production of flour and other wheat-based products.
- Nutrition & Health: Production of food and beverage ingredients, specialty ingredients, and animal nutrition products.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Juan Luciano (Chairman & CEO)
- Michael S. Burke (EVP & CFO)
- Board of Directors with expertise in various fields.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Soybean Oil and Meal:
- Global market leader with ~15% share.
- Competitor: Bunge (BG)
- Corn sweeteners:
- Leading producer in North America with ~35% share.
- Competitor: Ingredion (INGR)
- High-protein wheat gluten:
- Holds a significant share in the global market.
Total Addressable Market:
The global agricultural processing market is projected to reach $2.5 trillion by 2027. ADM operates in various segments of this market, including:
- Oilseed processing: $195 billion
- Corn processing: $125 billion
- Wheat milling: $85 billion
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Highlights (2022):
- Revenue: $90.6 billion
- Net income: $2.3 billion
- EPS: $5.12
- Profit Margin: 11.3%
- Healthy cash flow and balance sheet.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue increased 12.5%
- Net income decreased 20%
- EPS decreased 12%
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Consistent dividend payer for decades.
- Current dividend yield: ~2.5%
- Payout ratio: ~40%
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year return: ~15%
- 5-year return: ~60%
- 10-year return: ~250%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown steadily over the past 5-10 years, driven by acquisitions, increasing demand, and rising commodity prices.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued growth expected in core businesses.
- Focus on expanding in emerging markets and high-value segments like protein and nutrition.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for plant-based protein
- Growing focus on sustainable agriculture
- Technological advancements in food processing
ADM's Positioning:
- Well-positioned to capitalize on market trends.
- Strong global footprint, diversified portfolio, and R&D capabilities.
Competitors:
- Bunge (BG)
- Ingredion (INGR)
- Cargill (private)
- Louis Dreyfus (private)
Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Volatility in commodity prices
- Competition from larger private players
Opportunities:
- Growth in emerging markets
- Innovation in product offerings
- Partnerships and acquisitions
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- 2020:
- WILD Flavors & Specialty Ingredients (flavor and ingredient solutions).
- Aim: strengthen position in the high-value food and beverage ingredients segment.
- 2022:
- Protient (plant-based protein ingredients).
- Aim: expand into the growing plant-based protein market.
- 2023:
- Harvest Innovations (precision agriculture technology).
- Aim: improve efficiency and sustainability across its agricultural value chain.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5 out of 10 Positive Factors:
- Strong financial performance
- Leading market positions in core businesses
- Diversified portfolio and global presence
- Strong focus on innovation and sustainability
- Potential for growth in emerging markets
Negative Factors:
- Exposure to commodity price volatility
- Competition from large private players
- Potential for supply chain disruptions
Disclaimer: This information is for general knowledge and educational purposes only and does not constitute professional financial advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making investment decisions.
Sources:
- ADM Investor Relations website
- Reuters
- Bloomberg
- Seeking Alpha
- Statista
Note: This analysis uses publicly available information as of November 2023. Please refer to official company reports and relevant sources for the most up-to-date data.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1983-04-05 | Chairman, CEO & President Mr. Juan Ricardo Luciano | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Farm Products | Full time employees 40213 | Website https://www.adm.com |
Full time employees 40213 | Website https://www.adm.com |
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company engages in the procurement, transportation, storage, processing, and merchandising of agricultural commodities, ingredients, flavors, and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition. The company originates, merchandises, stores, and transports agricultural raw materials, such as oilseeds and soft seeds. It also engages in the agricultural commodity and feed product import, export, and distribution; and various structured trade finance activities. In addition, the company offers soybean meal and oil; vegetable and salad oils and protein meals; ingredients for the food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; margarine, shortening, and other food products; and partially refined oils to produce biodiesel and glycols for use in chemicals, paints, and other industrial products. Further, it provides peanuts, peanut-derived ingredients, and cotton cellulose pulp; sweeteners, corn and wheat starches, syrup, glucose, wheat flour, and dextrose; alcohol, and other food and animal feed ingredients; ethyl alcohol and ethanol; corn gluten feed and meal; distillers' grains; corn germ; and citric acids. Additionally, the company provides proteins, natural flavors, flavor systems, natural colors, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, and botanical extracts; and other specialty food and feed ingredients; edible beans; formula feeds, and animal health and nutrition products; and contract and private label pet treats and food products. It also offers futures commission merchant; commodity brokerage services; cash margins and securities pledged to commodity exchange clearinghouse; and cash pledged as security under certain insurance arrangements. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
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