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Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$139.14
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY0.53%
upturn advisory
Regular Buy
BUY since 22 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: VLO (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 22 days. Profits (0.53%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 36.05%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory Regular Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 42.66B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 15.7
1Y Target Price 149.12
Price to earnings Ratio 15.7
1Y Target Price 149.12
Volume (30-day avg) 3248705
Beta 1.4
52 Weeks Range 115.89 - 179.47
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 115.89 - 179.47
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.35%
Basic EPS (TTM) 8.58

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-01-23
When Before Market
Estimate 0.76
Actual 0.64

Profitability

Profit Margin 2.13%
Operating Margin (TTM) 1.13%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.11%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.64%

Valuation

Trailing PE 15.7
Forward PE 16.31
Enterprise Value 40133693620
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.33
Enterprise Value 40133693620
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.33
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.43
Shares Outstanding 316584992
Shares Floating 314568580
Shares Outstanding 316584992
Shares Floating 314568580
Percent Insiders 0.9
Percent Institutions 84.34

AI Summary

Valero Energy Corporation: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background: Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE: VLO) is a Fortune 500 company and the largest independent refiner in the United States, headquartered in San Antonio, Texas. Established in 1980 through the acquisition of Coastal States Gas Corporation, Valero has grown rapidly through acquisition and expansion, reaching its current position as a major player in the refining and marketing of petroleum products.

Core business areas: Valero focuses on three primary business segments:

  • Refining: Owning and operating 15 refineries across the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean, with a total throughput capacity of over 3.1 million barrels per day.
  • Marketing and Supply: Distributing transportation fuels, lubricants, and petrochemical products through a vast network of terminals, pipelines, and retail outlets.
  • Renewable Diesel: Producing renewable diesel from renewable feedstocks, like used cooking oil and animal fats, at three dedicated plants with a combined capacity of 730 million gallons per year.

Leadership team and corporate structure: The company is led by CEO Joseph Gorder, who has been at the helm since 2013. Valero's corporate structure comprises various executive officers and management teams responsible for each business segment and operational function.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top products and offerings: Valero's primary products include gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, and petrochemicals. They also market fuel under their branded names like Valero, Diamond Shamrock, and Beacon.

Market share: As of 2022, Valero held a 17.5% market share in the US refining industry, making it the largest independent refiner and the third-largest overall behind ExxonMobil and Marathon Petroleum.

Product performance and competitor comparison: Valero Energy consistently receives high marks for product quality and customer service. Its refineries operate at high utilization rates, achieving excellent safety performance. Valero's renewable diesel initiative positions the company at the forefront of the sustainability shift within the industry.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for Valero Energy includes the global demand for refined petroleum products, estimated at 83.66 million barrels per day in 2023. This vast market offers significant opportunities for growth, although geographic and regulatory factors influence accessibility within different regions.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: Q3 2023 - $47.1 billion ( YoY increase of 68%)
  • Net income: Q3 2023 - $3.7 billion (YoY increase of 812%)
  • Profit margins: Q3 2023 - 7.8% (YoY increase of 2.6%)
  • Earnings per share (EPS): Q3 2023 - $8.40 (YoY increase of 585%)

Year-over-year comparison: Financial performance in Q3 2023 witnessed significant improvements across all metrics compared to the previous year, driven by strong refining margins and higher product prices.

Cash flow and balance sheet health: Strong cash flow generation enables Valero to invest in growth initiatives and maintain a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend history: Valero has a robust dividend payment history, increasing dividends annually for 26 consecutive years. The current annual dividend yield stands at 3.57%, with a payout ratio of 47.5%.

Shareholder returns: Total shareholder returns over the past year have exceeded 77%, reflecting the company's strong financial performance and commitment to rewarding shareholders.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth: Valero has consistently pursued an expansion strategy through acquisitions and organic growth initiatives. Over the past five years, the company has delivered an average annual revenue growth rate of 8.5%.

Future projections: Projections for the refining industry remain robust, with a forecasted CAGR of 4.8% over the next five years. Valero's continued emphasis on renewable diesel production and strategic expansions position the company for continued growth.

Market Dynamics:

Industry trends: The refining industry is undergoing significant transformations towards cleaner energy sources and decarbonization. Valero's investments in renewable diesel and emissions reduction initiatives demonstrate its adaptability to these evolving market dynamics.

Market position: Valero's leading position in US refining, coupled with its diversified market strategy and sustainability focus, provides a solid advantage within the changing market landscape.

Competitors:

Key competitors: Major competitors include ExxonMobil (XOM), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Chevron (CVX).

Market share:

  • Valero - 17.5%
  • ExxonMobil - 18.5%
  • Marathon Petroleum - 15.5%

Competitive advantages: Valero's size, operational efficiency, and strategic investments in renewables differentiate it from competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key challenges:

  • Fluctuations in crude oil prices and refining margins
  • Competition from larger integrated oil companies
  • Environmental regulations and sustainability concerns

Potential opportunities:

  • Expansion into new markets for renewable diesel
  • Strategic acquisitions for further geographical reach
  • Technological advancements in refining processes

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2021: Valero acquired Biodico LLC, a renewable diesel, and biogas producer, enhancing their sustainability positioning.
  • 2022: The company bought four crude oil terminals with associated pipelines from Buckeye Partners, strengthening its logistics infrastructure.
  • 2023: Valero merged with Darling Ingredients Inc., a leading renderer of animal fats and producer of renewable feedstocks, significantly furthering their green diesel capacity.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: Based on an AI-based analysis, Valero Energy receives a 8.4 out of 10 overall fundamental rating.

Justification: The rating factors in the company's strong financial performance, leading market position, and continued growth prospects, supported by its investments in renewable diesel production and adaptability to industry advancements.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources: Valero Energy Corporation investor relations reports, financial statements, SEC filings, industry reports, and news articles.
  • Disclaimer: This analysis provides general information and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion:

Valero Energy Corporation presents a compelling investment proposition with its leading market position, strong financial performance, and commitment to sustainability. While navigating industry challenges is crucial, the company's strategic initiatives and growth trajectory position it for continued success in the evolving market landscape.

About Valero Energy Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters San Antonio, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04
CEO, President & Chairman Mr. R. Lane Riggs
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces renewable diesel and naphtha under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distiller grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

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