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Elastic NV (ESTC)ESTC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: ESTC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -47.18% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -47.18% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.72B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 123.21 | 1Y Target Price 102.14 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.61 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1628430 | Beta 0.94 |
52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 136.06 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.72B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 123.21 | 1Y Target Price 102.14 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.61 | Volume (30-day avg) 1628430 | Beta 0.94 |
52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 136.06 | Updated Date 09/17/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-29 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.25 | Actual 0.35 |
Report Date 2024-08-29 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.25 | Actual 0.35 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) -9.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.42% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 123.21 | Forward PE 49.75 |
Enterprise Value 7165765704 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.85 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.42 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -125.21 |
Shares Outstanding 102745000 | Shares Floating 86773711 |
Percent Insiders 15.58 | Percent Institutions 92.54 |
Trailing PE 123.21 | Forward PE 49.75 | Enterprise Value 7165765704 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.85 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.42 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -125.21 | Shares Outstanding 102745000 | Shares Floating 86773711 |
Percent Insiders 15.58 | Percent Institutions 92.54 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 83.39 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 11 | Hold 11 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4 | Target Price 83.39 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 11 |
Hold 11 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Elastic NV: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2012 as Elasticsearch, rebranded to Elastic NV in 2018.
- Headquartered in Amsterdam, Netherlands, with offices worldwide.
- Initial public offering (IPO) on the New York Stock Exchange in 2018.
- Known for its open-source search engine Elasticsearch and the Elastic Stack.
Core business areas:
- Provides software solutions for search, observability, and security.
- Products include Elasticsearch, Kibana, Beats, Logstash, and Elastic Cloud.
- Serves a wide range of customers across various industries.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Shay Banon
- CFO: Janesh Moorjani
- CTO: Ashley McNaught
- Board of Directors: Composed of experienced industry professionals.
- Operates under a single-class share structure.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Elasticsearch: Open-source search engine for real-time data analysis.
- Kibana: Data visualization platform for Elasticsearch.
- Beats: Lightweight data shippers for sending data to Elasticsearch.
- Logstash: Data processing pipeline for transforming and enriching data.
- Elastic Cloud: Managed cloud service for Elastic Stack.
Market share:
- Leading market share in the search engine and observability space.
- Estimates vary, but Elastic holds a significant share in its core markets.
- Faces competition from established players like Splunk and Snowflake.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global market for search, observability, and security software is estimated to reach $48.5 billion by 2027.
- Elastic's addressable market is a significant portion of this, focusing on specific segments like log analytics and application performance monitoring.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue growth has been strong, with a year-over-year increase of 28% in Q3 2023.
- Net income has also been positive, with a margin of 4% in Q3 2023.
- The company is generating free cash flow and has a healthy balance sheet.
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue and net income have grown steadily over the past year.
- Profit margins have also improved, indicating increased efficiency.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- Strong cash flow generation allows for continued investment in growth initiatives.
- The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a healthy financial position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Elastic does not currently pay dividends, focusing on reinvesting profits for growth.
Shareholder Returns:
- Stock price has performed well, with a 5-year return of over 100%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% in the past five years.
- The company has expanded its customer base and product offerings.
Future growth projections:
- Analysts expect continued strong revenue growth in the coming years.
- The company is focusing on expanding its cloud business and developing new products.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview:
- The search, observability, and security software market is growing rapidly.
- Increasing demand for real-time data analysis and security solutions is driving this growth.
- Cloud adoption is also fueling the market, as more businesses move their data to the cloud.
Competitive landscape:
- Elastic faces competition from established players like Splunk and Snowflake, as well as newer entrants like Datadog.
- The company differentiates itself through its open-source heritage, strong community, and flexible cloud offerings.
Competitors:
- Major competitors: Splunk (SPLK), Snowflake (SNOW), Datadog (DDOG), MongoDB (MDB).
- Market share comparison: Elastic holds a significant market share in its core segments, but faces stiff competition from established players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Maintaining rapid growth in a competitive market.
- Managing the transition to a cloud-based business model.
- Attracting and retaining developers in a tight talent market.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and verticals.
- Developing innovative new products and features.
- Partnering with other technology companies to expand its reach.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Endgame, a security analytics company, acquired for $235 million. This acquisition strengthens Elastic's security offerings and expands its customer base.
- 2022: Build.security, a security automation platform, acquired for $150 million. This acquisition enhances Elastic's security capabilities and integrates security into its core platform.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability.
- Leading market position in the search and observability space.
- Strong product portfolio and open-source heritage.
- Growing cloud business with recurring revenue streams.
- Potential challenges in maintaining growth and managing competition.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data sources: Elastic NV investor relations website, SEC filings, market research reports.
- This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Disclaimer:
I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice. This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Elastic NV
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2018-10-05 | CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni |
Sector | Technology | Website | https://www.elastic.co |
Industry | Software - Application | Full time employees | 3299 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Executive Director | Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni | ||
Website | https://www.elastic.co | ||
Website | https://www.elastic.co | ||
Full time employees | 3299 |
Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, delivers hosted and managed solutions designed to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company's Elastic Stack product portfolio comprises Elasticsearch, a document store and search engine, and data store for various types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the Elastic Stack; Elasticsearch Relevance Engine, which combines AI with its text search to give developers a suite of retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; Elastic Agent that offers integrated host protection and central management solutions; Logstash, a data processing pipeline for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other storage systems from a multitude of sources simultaneously; and Beats, a single-purpose data shippers for sending data from edge machines to Elasticsearch or Logstash. It also provides software solutions on the Elastic Stack that address cases, including Elastic Search AI platform, for building search AI applications; Logs, to search and analyze petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; Metrics, to search and analyze numeric and time series data; Application Performance Monitoring, to deliver insight into application performance and health metrics; Synthetic Monitoring, to monitor the availability and functionality of user journeys; and security information and event management, and endpoint and cloud security solutions. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
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