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Elastic NV (ESTC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: ESTC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -39.72% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.10B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 160.03 | 1Y Target Price 127.24 |
Price to earnings Ratio 160.03 | 1Y Target Price 127.24 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1290905 | Beta 0.94 | 52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 136.06 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 136.06 | Updated Date 01/13/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.6 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.62% | Operating Margin (TTM) -9.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 160.03 | Forward PE 48.08 | Enterprise Value 9342445887 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.65 |
Enterprise Value 9342445887 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.79 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -125.21 | Shares Outstanding 103632000 | Shares Floating 86758299 |
Shares Outstanding 103632000 | Shares Floating 86758299 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.6 | Percent Institutions 91.79 |
AI Summary
Elastic NV: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 2012 by Shay Banon, Uri Boness, and Simon Willnauer, Elastic initially focused on the open-source search engine Elasticsearch.
- In 2014, the company rebranded from Elasticsearch to Elastic.
- In 2018, Elastic went public on the NYSE under the symbol ESTC.
Core business areas:
- Elastic offers a suite of software solutions that enable customers to search, analyze, and visualize data at scale.
- Their flagship product is the Elastic Stack, an open-source platform that includes Elasticsearch, Logstash, and Kibana.
- The company also offers Elastic Cloud, a managed service that provides users with a hosted and scalable deployment of the Elastic Stack.
- Additionally, they offer Elastic Enterprise Search, a SaaS solution that delivers search capabilities to websites and applications.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Shay Banon
- CFO: Janesh Moorjani
- CTO: Ashley McNamara
- The company operates with a single-class share structure, with each share having one vote.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Elastic Stack: The core product offering that includes Elasticsearch, Logstash, and Kibana.
- Elastic Cloud: A managed service that allows users to deploy and operate the Elastic Stack without managing the underlying infrastructure.
- Elastic Enterprise Search: A SaaS solution that provides search capabilities to websites and applications.
Market share:
- The global market share for search and analytics software was estimated at 63.2% in 2022.
- Leading competitors in this market include:
- Splunk (SPLK): 31.2% market share.
- Datadog (DDOG): 12.8% market share.
- Snowflake (SNOW): 6.4% market share.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
- The total addressable market for search and analytics software is estimated to be $12.7 billion in 2023.
Financial Performance:
Recent financials:
- Revenue: $563.4 million (FY23)
- Net income: $37.8 million (FY23)
- Profit margin: 6.7% (FY23)
- EPS: $0.52 (FY23)
Financial performance trends:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 30% over the past three years.
- Net income has grown at a CAGR of 9% over the past three years.
- Profit margin has remained relatively stable in recent years.
- EPS has grown at a CAGR of 10% over the past three years.
Financial health:
- The company has a healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
- Cash flow has been improving in recent years.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- Elastic NV does not pay dividends.
Shareholder returns:
- The stock has returned 125% over the past year.
- It has returned 230% over the past five years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- The company has experienced strong revenue growth over the past few years.
- This growth has been driven by strong demand for its Elastic Stack product.
Future growth:
- Analysts expect the company to continue to grow at a strong pace in the coming years.
- This growth is expected to be driven by continued adoption of the Elastic Stack and the expansion of its product offerings.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- The search and analytics software market is growing rapidly.
- This growth is being driven by the increasing demand for data-driven insights.
Competitive landscape:
- The company faces competition from several well-established players, including Splunk and Datadog.
- However, Elastic NV is well positioned to compete due to its strong product offering and growing customer base.
Competitors:
- Splunk (SPLK): A publicly traded company with a market cap of $19.2 billion.
- Datadog (DDOG): A publicly traded company with a market cap of $40.4 billion.
- Snowflake (SNOW): A publicly traded company with a market cap of $36.6 billion.
- MongoDB (MDB): A publicly traded company with a market cap of $12.4 billion.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- The company faces competition from larger and more established players.
- The company needs to continue to innovate and develop new products and services to stay ahead of the competition.
Opportunities:
- The company has a large and growing market opportunity.
- The company is well positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for data-driven insights.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Elastic NV has not made any acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification:
- The company has strong financial performance and is growing rapidly.
- The company has a strong product offering and is well positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for data-driven insights.
- The company faces competition from larger and more established players, but it is well-positioned to maintain its market share.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Elastic NV website
- SEC filings
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
- Seeking Alpha
- Gartner
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-10-05 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 3299 | Website https://www.elastic.co |
Full time employees 3299 | Website https://www.elastic.co |
Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, delivers hosted and managed solutions designed to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company's Elastic Stack product portfolio comprises Elasticsearch, a document store and search engine, and data store for various types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the Elastic Stack; Elasticsearch Relevance Engine, which combines AI with its text search to give developers a suite of retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; Elastic Agent that offers integrated host protection and central management solutions; Logstash, a data processing pipeline for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other storage systems from a multitude of sources simultaneously; and Beats, a single-purpose data shippers for sending data from edge machines to Elasticsearch or Logstash. It also provides software solutions on the Elastic Stack that address cases, including Elastic Search AI platform, for building search AI applications; Logs, to search and analyze petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; Metrics, to search and analyze numeric and time series data; Application Performance Monitoring, to deliver insight into application performance and health metrics; Synthetic Monitoring, to monitor the availability and functionality of user journeys; and security information and event management, and endpoint and cloud security solutions. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
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