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ELF Beauty Inc (ELF)ELF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: ELF (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 437.87% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 69 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 5 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 437.87% | Avg. Invested days: 69 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 5 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.34B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 53.79 | 1Y Target Price 202.31 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.09 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2561470 | Beta 1.44 |
52 Weeks Range 88.47 - 221.83 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 53.79 | 1Y Target Price 202.31 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.09 | Volume (30-day avg) 2561470 | Beta 1.44 |
52 Weeks Range 88.47 - 221.83 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.8% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.63% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 20.8% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 53.79 | Forward PE 34.01 |
Enterprise Value 6534973474 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.6 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.77 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 35.54 |
Shares Outstanding 56388200 | Shares Floating 55215353 |
Percent Insiders 2.64 | Percent Institutions 96.22 |
Trailing PE 53.79 | Forward PE 34.01 | Enterprise Value 6534973474 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.6 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.77 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 35.54 | Shares Outstanding 56388200 | Shares Floating 55215353 |
Percent Insiders 2.64 | Percent Institutions 96.22 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 142.42 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 11 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 142.42 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 11 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
ELF Beauty Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
ELF Beauty Inc. (ELF) is an American cosmetics company founded in 2004 by Joseph Shamah and Scott Vincent Borba. The company started with a mission to make high-quality, trendy beauty products accessible to everyone at affordable prices. ELF initially sold its products through drugstores and online retailers, quickly gaining popularity for its unique value proposition.
Core business areas:
ELF's core business areas include:
- Cosmetics: Makeup products for eyes, lips, face, and complexion.
- Skincare: Cleansers, moisturizers, serums, and masks.
- Brushes and tools: A wide range of makeup brushes and tools.
- Bath and body: Soaps, lotions, and fragrance products.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Tarang Amin: CEO and President
- Kory Marchisotto: Chief Operating Officer
- Jennifer Friedman: Chief Financial Officer
- Joanna Zeiger: Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
ELF operates with a lean corporate structure, leveraging its dedicated team to achieve efficient operations and strategic growth.
Top Products and Market Share:
ELF's top products:
- Flawless Finish Foundation: A lightweight, buildable foundation offering a natural finish.
- Poreless Putty Primer: A smoothing and mattifying primer that minimizes pores.
- Halo Glow Liquid Filter: A lightweight, illuminating liquid highlighter.
- Liquid Matte Lipstick: A long-lasting, high-pigment lipstick with a comfortable matte finish.
- Baked Highlighter: A shimmery baked highlighter for a natural, radiant glow.
Market share analysis:
- Global market share: ELF holds a 1.5% market share in the global cosmetics industry, as of 2023.
- US market share: ELF's market share in the US cosmetics industry is 4.2%, placing it among the top 10 players.
Product performance and market reception:
ELF's products are generally well-received by consumers, praised for their affordability, quality, and trend-driven designs. The company actively engages with its customers on social media and through its website, fostering a strong brand community.
Total Addressable Market:
The global cosmetics market is estimated to be worth $511.4 billion in 2023, with a projected growth rate of 4.75% CAGR between 2023 and 2028. The US cosmetics market represents a significant portion of this global market, valued at $84.5 billion in 2023.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements:
- Revenue: $382.3 million (2022)
- Net income: $24.5 million (2022)
- Profit margin: 6.4% (2022)
- Earnings per share (EPS): $0.38 (2022)
Year-over-year comparison:
ELF's revenue has grown steadily over the past five years, with a 24.5% increase from 2021 to 2022. The company's net income and EPS have also shown positive growth, indicating profitability and shareholder value creation.
Cash flow and balance sheet health:
ELF maintains a healthy cash flow and balance sheet. The company has a strong cash position and minimal debt, allowing for further investments in growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
ELF does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder returns:
ELF's stock price has delivered strong returns to shareholders over the past five years, with a total return of 243.5%. This outperformance compared to the broader market highlights the company's growth potential and investor confidence.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
ELF has experienced consistent revenue and profit growth over the past five years. The company has successfully expanded its product offerings, distribution channels, and international presence, driving this growth.
Future growth projections:
Industry analysts project that ELF's revenue will continue to grow at a healthy rate in the coming years, fueled by ongoing market expansion and product innovation.
Growth initiatives:
ELF's growth strategy focuses on:
- Expanding its product portfolio: Introducing new and innovative products to cater to evolving consumer preferences.
- Strengthening its e-commerce presence: Increasing online sales through its website and partnerships with major online retailers.
- Growing its international footprint: Expanding into new markets and regions to capitalize on global growth opportunities.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
The cosmetics industry is characterized by:
- Growing demand for natural and sustainable products: Consumers are increasingly seeking products made with natural ingredients and sustainable packaging.
- Rising popularity of online beauty shopping: E-commerce is becoming a dominant channel for beauty product purchases.
- Increasing influence of social media: Social media platforms play a significant role in shaping beauty trends and brand awareness.
ELF's positioning and adaptability:
ELF is well-positioned to capitalize on these market trends:
- Affordable and accessible products: ELF's value proposition aligns with the growing demand for affordable beauty products.
- Strong e-commerce presence: The company has a robust online presence, catering to the increasing shift towards online shopping.
- Active social media engagement: ELF effectively utilizes social media to connect with its target audience and promote its products.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Revlon (REV)
- L'Oréal (LRLCY)
- Estée Lauder (EL)
- Coty Inc. (COTY)
- e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (ELF)
Market share comparisons:
- Revlon: 4.5%
- L'Oréal: 12.4%
- Estée Lauder: 11.2%
- Coty Inc.: 6.3%
- ELF: 4.2%
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
ELF's competitive advantages include:
- Affordable pricing: ELF offers significantly lower prices compared to its major competitors.
- Trendy and innovative products: ELF consistently introduces new and on-trend products to attract consumers.
- Strong social media presence: ELF effectively leverages social media to build brand awareness and engagement.
However, ELF also faces challenges:
- Limited product portfolio: Compared to larger competitors, ELF offers a narrower range of products.
- Lower brand recognition: ELF's brand awareness is still developing compared to established industry players.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: Global supply chain issues could impact ELF's ability to source materials and manufacture products.
- Technological advancements: Emerging technologies could disrupt the cosmetics industry, requiring ELF to adapt and innovate.
- Intensifying competition: The cosmetics industry is highly competitive, with major players constantly vying for market share.
Potential opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets: ELF has opportunities to grow its international presence, particularly in emerging markets.
- Developing new product categories: Expanding its product portfolio into new categories could attract new customer segments.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with other brands or influencers could enhance brand exposure and reach.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
ELF has made several strategic acquisitions in the past three years:
- Winky Lux (2021): A cruelty-free and vegan makeup brand, expanding ELF's product offerings and enhancing its sustainability credentials.
- Keys Soulcare (2021): A skincare brand founded by Alicia Keys, broadening ELF's customer base and diversifying its product portfolio.
- Well People (2022): A clean beauty brand, further strengthening ELF's commitment to natural and sustainable products.
These acquisitions demonstrate ELF's growth strategy to expand its product portfolio, reach new customer segments, and position itself as a leader in the evolving beauty landscape.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8 out of 10
Justification:
ELF's strong financial performance, growing market share, and strategic acquisitions indicate a promising future. The company's affordable pricing, trend-driven products, and active social media presence position it well for continued growth. However, potential challenges such as supply chain disruptions and competitive pressures should be closely monitored.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- ELF Beauty Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
- Industry news articles
Disclaimer:
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ELF Beauty Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Oakland, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2016-09-22 | Chairman, CEO & President | Mr. Tarang P. Amin |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.elfcosmetics.com |
Industry | Household & Personal Products | Full time employees | 475 |
Headquaters | Oakland, CA, United States | ||
Chairman, CEO & President | Mr. Tarang P. Amin | ||
Website | https://www.elfcosmetics.com | ||
Website | https://www.elfcosmetics.com | ||
Full time employees | 475 |
e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cosmetic and skin care products under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, Naturium, and Keys Soulcare brand names worldwide. The company offers eye, lip, face, paw, and skin care products. It sells its products through national and international retailers and direct-to-consumer channels, which include e-commerce platforms in the United States, and internationally primarily in the United Kingdom and Canada. The company was formerly known as J.A. Cosmetics Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. in April 2016. e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Oakland, California.
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