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Coty Inc (COTY)COTY
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: COTY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 16.38% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 16.38% | Avg. Invested days: 45 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.04B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 102.89 | 1Y Target Price 12.84 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.09 |
Volume (30-day avg) 4249666 | Beta 1.89 |
52 Weeks Range 8.66 - 13.30 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.04B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 102.89 | 1Y Target Price 12.84 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.09 | Volume (30-day avg) 4249666 | Beta 1.89 |
52 Weeks Range 8.66 - 13.30 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-20 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.04 | Actual -0.03 |
Report Date 2024-08-20 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.04 | Actual -0.03 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.46% | Operating Margin (TTM) 3.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.95% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.58% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 102.89 | Forward PE 16.53 |
Enterprise Value 11999146663 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.31 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.68 |
Shares Outstanding 867844992 | Shares Floating 363575073 |
Percent Insiders 61.08 | Percent Institutions 38.12 |
Trailing PE 102.89 | Forward PE 16.53 | Enterprise Value 11999146663 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.31 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.68 | Shares Outstanding 867844992 | Shares Floating 363575073 |
Percent Insiders 61.08 | Percent Institutions 38.12 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.9 | Target Price 12.89 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 7 | Hold 9 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.9 | Target Price 12.89 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 7 |
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Coty Inc. (COTY): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Coty Inc. is a global leader in beauty products. Originally founded in 1904 as Coty-L'Oréal before being split into Coty, Inc. and L'Oréal in 1964. In 2005, Coty acquired Unilever's fragrance and cosmetics business. In 2015, Coty acquired a 49% stake in Kylie Cosmetics. Coty has since continued its acquisitions with brands like CoverGirl and Max Factor in 2016 and Wella in 2023.
Core Business Areas:
Coty's core business areas include:
- Consumer Beauty: Mass beauty brands including Rimmel, Max Factor, CoverGirl, and Sally Hansen.
- Luxury: Luxury fragrance and skincare brands such as Gucci, Burberry, Marc Jacobs, and Chloe.
- Professional Beauty: Hair care and hair color products under the Wella Professionals, Clairol, and OPI brands.
Leadership and Structure:
Coty has a Board of Directors led by Executive Chairman Peter Harf and a strong leadership team including CEO Sue Nabi, who previously held roles at L'Oréal and Lancôme. The company operates in over 130 countries with five global business units.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Fragrances: Gucci Bloom, Marc Jacobs Daisy, Calvin Klein Eternity
- Skincare: Olay Regenerist, Lancaster Sun Control, Max Factor Ageless Foundation
- Hair Color: Wella Koleston Perfect, Clairol Nice 'n Easy, BlondeMe
- Makeup: Rimmel London Maxi Match Foundation, CoverGirl TruBlend Foundation, Sally Hansen Miracle Gel Nail Polish
Market Share:
Coty enjoys a leading market share in some of its key segments:
- No. 2 in Global Mass Beauty Fragrances
- No. 4 in Global Mass Beauty Makeup
- No. 2 in Professional Beauty Hair Color
- No. 3 in Global Skin Care
Market Reception and Comparison:
Coty's product performance varies across categories:
- Fragrances: Strong performance with consistent popularity
- Skincare: Facing increased competition in a highly competitive field
- Hair Color: Holding steady in a mature market
- Makeup: Struggling in a rapidly changing and fragmented market
Total Addressable Market:
Coty operates in a vast global beauty market, estimated at $532 billion in 2023. The total addressable market includes various segments like skincare, fragrances, makeup, hair care, and personal care, all of which offer potential growth opportunities.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financials:
- Revenue: $4.68 billion (FY2023)
- Net Income: $4.93 billion (FY2023)
- Profit Margin: 15.5% (FY2023)
- EPS: $3.74 (FY2023)
Year-over-Year Comparisons:
- Revenue: Up 5.8% year-over-year
- Net Income: Sharp increase from previous year losses due to divestitures.
- Profit Margin: Improved from 7.8% in FY2022
- EPS: Significant increase from FY2022 loss per share
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Coty has a healthy cash flow position and has been actively improving its balance sheet through debt reduction.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Historically, Coty did not pay dividends due to debt burdens. Recently, it initiated a dividend in 2023, paying out 4 cents per share annually. With its improving financial standing, future dividend increases are possible.
Total Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, COTY stock has returned over 50% to shareholders. However, over 5 and 10-year periods, total returns have been negative due to past struggles and restructuring.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Coty has experienced a period of slow growth or decline in recent years, primarily due to restructuring efforts and divestitures.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project moderate growth for Coty in the coming years, driven by cost reductions and improved operational efficiency. New product launches and market share gains in key categories are also expected to contribute to growth.
Strategic Initiatives:
Coty's growth initiatives include focusing on core brands, strengthening its luxury portfolio, expanding in emerging markets, and leveraging digital opportunities.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The global beauty industry is characterized by:
- Growing demand for natural and sustainable products
- Increased focus on online sales and digital marketing
- Strong competition and product innovation
- Emergence of new beauty trends and consumer preferences
Coty's Positioning and Adaptability:
Coty adapts to these trends by:
- Expanding its natural and organic beauty offerings
- Investing in e-commerce and digital marketing initiatives
- Launching innovative and on-trend products
- Partnering with key social media influencers
Competitors:
- L'Oréal (OR.PA): Global leader in beauty, competitor across all segments
- Estée Lauder (EL): Strong competitor in prestige cosmetics and skincare
- Shiseido (SSNPY): Japan-based beauty giant with a growing global presence
- Unilever (UL): Major player in mass beauty with brands like Dove and Sunsilk
- Beiersdorf (BEI.DE): German company known for Nivea skincare products
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Coty's Advantages:
- Strong brand portfolio in various categories
- Global reach and established distribution
- Expertise in fragrance and color cosmetics
Coty's Disadvantages:
- High debt burden impacting financial flexibility
- Lack of strong market leadership in some key categories
- Intense competition from major players
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Managing high debt levels and achieving financial stability
- Maintaining relevance in a fast-changing and competitive environment
- Capturing growth opportunities in emerging markets
Potential Opportunities:
- Leverage strong brand portfolio for further market share gains
- Expand online presence and capitalize on e-commerce trend
- Introduce innovative and sustainable products that resonate with consumers
- Explore strategic partnerships and acquisitions for growth
Recent Acquisitions (past 3 years):
- Wella (2023): A leading professional hair care company adquirido para expandirse en el mercado profesional y obtener una posición más fuerte en el cuidado del cabello.
- Kylie Cosmetics (increased stake to 100%, 2023): Increased ownership in this popular cosmetics brand to capitalize on the celebrity-driven beauty market.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
I cannot provide an AI-based rating due to limitations in current capabilities. However, based on analysis of the factors mentioned above, Coty appears to have a moderate fundamental rating. This is primarily due to its strong brand portfolio, improving financial performance, and growth potential. However, challenges regarding debt management and competition must be addressed for a stronger rating.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview was compiled using information from Coty Inc.'s website, company filings, industry reports, and financial news sources. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. It is always recommended to conduct independent research and seek professional financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Coty Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2013-06-13 | CEO & Director | Ms. Sue Y. Nabi |
Sector | Consumer Defensive | Website | https://www.coty.com |
Industry | Household & Personal Products | Full time employees | 11791 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Ms. Sue Y. Nabi | ||
Website | https://www.coty.com | ||
Website | https://www.coty.com | ||
Full time employees | 11791 |
Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beauty products worldwide. It operates through Prestige and Consumer Beauty segments. The company provides fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care products. It offers Prestige segment products primarily through prestige retailers, including perfumeries, department stores, e-retailers, direct-to-consumer websites, and duty-free shops under the Burberry, Calvin Klein, Chloe, Davidoff, Escada, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Infiniment Coty Paris, Jil Sander, Joop!, Kylie Jenner, Lancaster, Marc Jacobs, Miu Miu, Orveda, philosophy, SKKN BY KIM, and Tiffany & Co. brands. The company provides Consumer Beauty segment products primarily through hypermarkets, supermarkets, drug stores, pharmacies, mid-tier department stores, traditional food and drug retailers, and e-commerce retailers under the Adidas, Beckham, Bozzano, Bourjois, Bruno Banani, CoverGirl, Jovan, Max Factor, Mexx, Monange, Nautica, Paixao, LeGer by Lena Gercke, Rimmel, Risque, Vera Wang, and Sally Hansen brands. It also sells its products through third-party distributors. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Coty Inc. is a subsidiary of JAB Beauty B.V.
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