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Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)CHDN
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/16/2024: CHDN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 1.74% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 08/16/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 1.74% | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/16/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.32B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.64 | 1Y Target Price 160 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.27% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.46 |
Volume (30-day avg) 424652 | Beta 0.97 |
52 Weeks Range 106.10 - 146.64 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.32B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.64 | 1Y Target Price 160 |
Dividends yield (FY) 0.27% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.46 | Volume (30-day avg) 424652 | Beta 0.97 |
52 Weeks Range 106.10 - 146.64 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 15.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) 37.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.22% | Return on Equity (TTM) 43.06% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.64 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 14995118842 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.66 |
Shares Outstanding 73416600 | Shares Floating 66596915 |
Percent Insiders 9.75 | Percent Institutions 79.52 |
Trailing PE 25.64 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 14995118842 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.95 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.66 | Shares Outstanding 73416600 | Shares Floating 66596915 |
Percent Insiders 9.75 | Percent Institutions 79.52 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.9 | Target Price 144.75 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 9 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.9 | Target Price 144.75 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 9 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Churchill Downs Incorporated: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background:
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) is a publicly traded company with a rich history dating back to 1875. The company began as the Louisville Jockey Club, which organized the first Kentucky Derby in 1875. Through strategic acquisitions and expansions, it evolved into Churchill Downs Incorporated, a leading provider of entertainment experiences, including horse racing, online wagering, and casino gaming.
Core Business Areas:
CHDN operates in three key business segments:
- Live Racing: This segment includes the Churchill Downs Racetrack, home to the Kentucky Derby and other major horse racing events.
- TwinSpires Interactive: This segment focuses on online wagering for horse racing and other sports, offering a user-friendly platform for customers across the globe.
- Gaming: CHDN operates casinos and racetracks with casino facilities in several states, providing a diverse entertainment experience.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
The company is led by Bill Carstanjen, the CEO and President, with a seasoned executive team overseeing various operations and strategic initiatives. The Board of Directors comprises experienced individuals with diverse expertise in finance, law, and business.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Kentucky Derby: The most renowned horse race globally, generating significant revenue and media attention.
- TwinSpires: A leading online wagering platform, offering a user-friendly experience and access to various racing events.
- Casino Resorts: A growing portfolio of casinos in Kentucky and Louisiana, providing entertainment and gaming options.
Market Share:
- Live Racing: CHDN holds a significant market share in the North American live racing industry, particularly for high-profile events like the Kentucky Derby.
- Online Wagering: TwinSpires competes with other online platforms for market share, estimated to be around 5% in the US online horse racing wagering market.
- Gaming: CHDN's market share in the gaming industry varies by location, facing competition from established regional players.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for CHDN encompasses various segments:
- Global Horse Racing Industry: Estimated to be around $120 billion, with significant growth potential in online wagering.
- US Online Horse Racing Wagering Market: Projected to reach $3.5 billion by 2025, driven by increasing adoption and legal expansion.
- US Casino Gaming Industry: A $44 billion industry, with ongoing competition and potential for regional expansion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: CHDN's revenue has fluctuated in recent years, affected by seasonality and economic factors.
- Net Income: The company has reported net income in most recent quarters, demonstrating profitability.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins vary across business segments, with online wagering and gaming contributing higher margins.
- EPS: Earnings per share have shown a positive trend in recent quarters, indicating profitability and potential for shareholder value creation.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue: Revenue has exhibited fluctuations, showcasing the seasonality and economic influences on the business.
- Net Income: Net income has been positive in recent quarters, demonstrating consistent profitability.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins are expanding in some segments, reflecting efficient operations and strategic investments.
- EPS: EPS has shown positive growth, indicating improved profitability and potential for shareholder returns.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
CHDN maintains a healthy cash flow position, enabling strategic investments and debt management. The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with manageable debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: CHDN has a history of paying dividends, with recent increases in dividend payouts.
Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder returns over the past year have been positive, exceeding the market performance.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: CHDN has experienced moderate historical growth, primarily driven by online wagering and strategic acquisitions.
Future Growth Projections: The company projects continued growth in online wagering and casino expansion, with potential for market share gains.
Recent Initiatives:
- Expansion of TwinSpires platform: CHDN is investing in enhancing the online wagering platform to attract new customers and increase market share.
- Acquisition of Presque Isle Downs & Casino: This acquisition solidified CHDN's presence in Pennsylvania, a key gaming market.
- Strategic partnerships: CHDN is forging partnerships with major sports leagues and media companies to expand its reach and offerings.
Market Dynamics:
The industry faces trends like increasing online wagering, evolving consumer preferences, and technological advancements. CHDN is actively adapting to these changes through strategic investments and partnerships.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Penn National Gaming (PENN)
- DraftKings (DKNG)
- Caesars Entertainment (CZR)
- Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
Competitive Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition: CHDN benefits from its association with the Kentucky Derby and established racetracks.
- Diversified business model: The company generates revenue from various segments, mitigating risks and increasing resilience.
- Focus on innovation: CHDN is actively investing in technology and product development to enhance customer experience and gain a competitive edge.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intensified competition: The gaming and online wagering industries are highly competitive, requiring ongoing innovation and differentiation.
- Economic uncertainty: Economic fluctuations can impact consumer spending and impact overall business performance.
- Regulatory changes: The evolving regulatory landscape for gambling requires constant adaptation and compliance.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets: CHDN has potential for growth in new states and international markets with favorable regulations.
- Technological advancements: Utilizing technology to further enhance the customer experience and explore new revenue streams.
- Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with major players in the sports and entertainment industries can open up new opportunities for growth.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- Presque Isle Downs & Casino (2022): This acquisition expanded CHDN's presence in Pennsylvania, a key gaming market.
- Del Mar Thoroughbred Club (2021): This acquisition added a prestigious racetrack in California to CHDN's portfolio.
- Big Fish Games (2019): This acquisition diversified CHDN's business into the casual gaming market, offering further growth potential.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis, CHDN receives a fundamental rating of 7.5 out of 10.
Justification:
- Financial health: The company demonstrates strong cash flow, manageable debt, and a consistent track record of profitability.
- Market position: CHDN holds a strong brand position in the horse racing industry and competitive positioning in online wagering and casino segments.
- Future prospects: The company's growth strategy, focus on innovation, and potential for expansion provide promising future prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis utilizes information from CHDN's financial reports, investor presentations, industry news, and reputable financial websites. Remember, this information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Churchill Downs Incorporated
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Louisville, KY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-03-29 | CEO & Director | Mr. William C. Carstanjen |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com |
Industry | Gambling | Full time employees | 5660 |
Headquaters | Louisville, KY, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. William C. Carstanjen | ||
Website | https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com | ||
Website | https://www.churchilldownsincorporated.com | ||
Full time employees | 5660 |
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates as a racing, online wagering, and gaming entertainment company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, TwinSpires, and Gaming. The company operates pari-mutuel gaming entertainment venues; TwinSpires, an online wagering platform for horse racing, sports, and iGaming; retail sports books; casino gaming; and Terre Haute Casino Resort. It also offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data. In addition, the company manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, off-track betting facilities, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses. Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
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