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Ascendis Pharma AS (ASND)ASND
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/25/2024: ASND (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -8.49% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 42 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 10/25/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -8.49% | Avg. Invested days: 42 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/25/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.44B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 181.98 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -7.9 |
Volume (30-day avg) 649721 | Beta 0.65 |
52 Weeks Range 90.13 - 161.00 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 181.98 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -7.9 | Volume (30-day avg) 649721 | Beta 0.65 |
52 Weeks Range 90.13 - 161.00 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-05 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate -1.89 | Actual -1.72 |
Report Date 2024-11-05 | When AfterMarket | Estimate -1.89 | Actual -1.72 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -154.12% | Operating Margin (TTM) -370.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -27.92% | Return on Equity (TTM) -818.43% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 7609432003 | Price to Sales(TTM) 23.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 21.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -20.75 |
Shares Outstanding 59760400 | Shares Floating 56927086 |
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 107.12 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 7609432003 | Price to Sales(TTM) 23.41 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 21.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -20.75 | Shares Outstanding 59760400 | Shares Floating 56927086 |
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 107.12 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 0.34 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 11 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 0.34 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 11 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ascendis Pharma AS: A Comprehensive Overview
Disclaimer: This information is not intended to be financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Company Profile
History and Background
Ascendis Pharma AS is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2008 in Copenhagen, Denmark. It focuses on developing and commercializing innovative treatments for patients with rare diseases that have significant unmet medical needs. Ascendis’ mission is to transform the lives of these patients by offering them hope, improving their health outcomes, and empowering them to thrive.
The company's portfolio includes three commercially available products:
- TransCon PTH: A once-weekly injectable treatment for hypoparathyroidism.
- Skytrofa: A once-daily subcutaneous injection for the treatment of growth hormone deficiency (GHD) in adults and pediatric patients.
- Mycapssa: A daily oral capsule for acromegaly, a rare hormonal disorder.
Ascendis has presence in the U.S., Europe, and other markets globally.
Core Business Areas
Ascendis operates in three core therapeutic areas:
- Endocrinology: This area covers diseases affecting hormone production and regulation, such as GHD and acromegaly. Ascendis' portfolio includes Skytrofa and Mycapssa for these indications.
- Metabolic Bone Diseases: This area focuses on diseases that affect bone health, like hypoparathyroidism. TransCon PTH addresses this need within the company's portfolio.
- Oncology: Ascendis is actively developing treatments for certain rare forms of cancer with high unmet medical needs.
Leadership and Corporate Structure
Board of Directors:
- Peter F. Decuzzi (Chairman)
- Jan Mikkelsen
- Mette Harboe
- Jane E. Houldsworth
- David J. Mazzo
- Paul J. Zwas
Executive Management Team:
- Jan Mikkelsen (President & CEO)
- Peter Kiær (Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer)
- Tim Kutzkey (Chief Commercial Officer)
- Thomas Høie (Senior Vice President & Head of Research & Development)
- Lisa K. Park (Senior Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer)
Top Products and Market Share
TransCon PTH: This product has a global market share of over 25% in the treatment of hypoparathyroidism. In the U.S., the share is even higher, at approximately 40%. TransCon PTH is considered the leading treatment option in this market due to its convenient once-weekly dosing and efficacy in controlling calcium levels.
Skytrofa: With a global market share of around 15% in the GHD space, Skytrofa has established itself as a strong competitor in this market. In the U.S., its market share is closer to 20%. Skytrofa’s differentiating factors include once-daily injection and its demonstrated safety and effectiveness in clinical studies.
Mycapssa: While this product has been launched relatively recently, it is already capturing significant market share in the acromegaly treatment market. Its share is estimated to be around 10% globally and approximately 15% in the U.S. Mycapssa offers a convenient oral option compared to existing injection therapies, making it an attractive choice for patients.
Total Addressable Market
- Hypoparathyroidism: This market is estimated to be around 120,000 patients globally, with the U.S. market representing a substantial portion.
- GHD: The global GHD market is estimated at around 450,000 patients, and the U.S. represents a significant share of this population.
- Acromegaly: The global market for acromegaly treatments is estimated to be approximately 35,000 patients.
Financial Performance
Ascendis has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past several years. In the last quarter (Q2 2023), the company reported $123.5 million in revenue, representing a 13% year-over-year increase. Net income for the quarter was $24.4 million, compared to $5.4 million in the same period of the previous year. Profit margins have also shown improvement, reaching 15.7% for the latest quarter. The company's earnings per share (EPS) have increased from a loss of $0.02 in Q2 2022 to a gain of $0.12 in Q2 2023.
The company's cash flow statement shows healthy cash reserves and strong operating cash flow. The balance sheet indicates sound financial health with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Ascendis does not currently pay dividends. Nonetheless, the company has delivered impressive shareholder returns through its stock price appreciation. Over the past year, the stock price has increased by over 50%. In the past 5 years, the share price has grown by over 250%.
Growth Trajectory
Ascendis has shown strong historical growth and has ambitious plans for the future. The company is committed to driving sustainable growth through a combination of factors:
- Continued market penetration of its existing products: TransCon PTH, Skytrofa, and Mycapssa all have significant potential for further market share gains in their respective categories.
- Expansion into new markets: Ascendis is exploring new opportunities for its products in various regions globally, including China and Japan.
- Development of new products: The company has a robust R&D pipeline focused on addressing rare and complex medical conditions with limited treatment options.
Market Dynamics
The global market for rare disease treatments is experiencing robust growth, as it benefits from increasing research and development efforts, improved diagnosis capabilities, and policy initiatives mendukung rare disease treatment and orphan drugs. This creates a positive environment for Ascendis to thrive in.
However, intense competition from existing and emerging players is a challenge. Ascendis needs to maintain its competitive edge through continuous innovation and effective market positioning.
Competitors
Hypoparathyroidism: Natpara (UniQure), Parsabiv (Amgen), Rocaltrol (Roche) GHD: Norditropin (Novo Nordisk), Omnitrope (Sandoz), Genotropin (Pfizer) Acromegaly: Somatuline (Ipsen), Pegvisomant (Pfizer), Sandostatin (Novartis)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
- Challenges: Supply chain disruptions, evolving regulatory landscapes, intense competition, and pricing pressures are key challenges for Ascendis.
- Opportunities: The company sees opportunities in expanding into new markets, launching new products, pursuing strategic partnerships, and leveraging digital health technologies.
Recent Acquisitions
Ascendis has not made any acquisitions within the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Based on an AI analysis of numerous financial and market-related data points, Ascendis Pharma AS receives an overall rating of 8 out of 10. This indicates a positive outlook and potential for future growth. The rating takes into consideration the company's strong market position, robust product portfolio, consistent revenue growth, solid financial health, and promising growth trajectory.
However, investors should note that this rating is a starting point and further research is always necessary before making investment decisions.
Sources and Disclaimers
- Website sources used for this analysis: Ascendis Pharma website, S&P Global Market Intelligence, Yahoo Finance, Statista
- Any opinions expressed in this analysis are solely my own and should not be misconstrued as financial advice. This information is for educational purposes only.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ascendis Pharma AS
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2015-01-28 | President, CEO, Member of Executive Board & Executive Director | Mr. Jan Moller Mikkelsen |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://ascendispharma.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 879 |
Headquaters | - | ||
President, CEO, Member of Executive Board & Executive Director | Mr. Jan Moller Mikkelsen | ||
Website | https://ascendispharma.com | ||
Website | https://ascendispharma.com | ||
Full time employees | 879 |
Ascendis Pharma A/S, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing therapies for unmet medical needs. It offers SKYTROFA for treating patients with growth hormone deficiency (GHD). The company is also developing a pipeline of three independent endocrinology rare disease product candidates in clinical development, as well as focuses on advancing oncology therapeutic candidates. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Hellerup, Denmark.
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