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Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Novo Nordisk A/S
$103.44
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/19/2024: NVO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: 69.19%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 84
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 12/19/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: 69.19%
Avg. Invested days: 84
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 482.15B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 34.71
1Y Target Price 131.95
Dividends yield (FY) 1.40%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.98
Volume (30-day avg) 5388900
Beta 0.17
52 Weeks Range 81.50 - 147.59
Updated Date 12/20/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 482.15B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 34.71
1Y Target Price 131.95
Dividends yield (FY) 1.40%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.98
Volume (30-day avg) 5388900
Beta 0.17
52 Weeks Range 81.50 - 147.59
Updated Date 12/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 35.01%
Operating Margin (TTM) 47.43%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 21.47%
Return on Equity (TTM) 88.73%

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 34.71
Forward PE 26.39
Enterprise Value 461879239432
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.09
Shares Outstanding 3366779904
Shares Floating 3186288495
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 10.16
Trailing PE 34.71
Forward PE 26.39
Enterprise Value 461879239432
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.09
Shares Outstanding 3366779904
Shares Floating 3186288495
Percent Insiders -
Percent Institutions 10.16

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.82
Target Price 80.4
Buy 2
Strong Buy 5
Hold 2
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3.82
Target Price 80.4
Buy 2
Strong Buy 5
Hold 2
Sell 1
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

Novo Nordisk A/S Stock Overview

Company Profile

History & Background

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) is a global healthcare company established in Denmark in 1923. Initially known for its insulin production for diabetes treatment, Novo Nordisk has expanded to offer various pharmaceuticals for chronic diseases such as obesity, hemophilia, and growth hormone deficiencies.

Core Businesses

Novo Nordisk's core business areas are divided into four segments:

  • Diabetes & Obesity Care: comprising insulins, GLP-1 receptor agonists, oral anti-diabetics, and weight management solutions.
  • Biopharmaceuticals: includes products for hemophilia treatment, growth hormone deficiencies, and other rare diseases.
  • Novo Nordisk Foundation: focuses on research and education in diabetes and related fields.
  • Other Operations: includes activities like animal health and biopharmaceutical contract manufacturing.

Leadership & Structure

The company is led by CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen and a diverse executive management team with extensive experience in healthcare and pharmaceuticals. Novo Nordisk operates as a dual-class share company, ensuring continued control by the Novo Nordisk Foundation, which focuses on long-term research and innovation.

Top Products & Market Share

Top Products & Offerings

Novo Nordisk's top-selling product is Ozempic (semaglutide), a GLP-1 receptor agonist for type 2 diabetes treatment. Other key products include Victoza (liraglutide), GLP-1 receptor agonist for diabetes and weight loss; Tresiba (insulin degludec), long-acting basal insulin; Norditropin (somatropin) for growth hormone deficiencies; and NovoSeven (recombinant factor VII) for hemophilia A treatment.

Market Share Analysis

Novo Nordisk holds a dominant position in the global insulin market with a market share exceeding 50%. In the United States, its market share for insulins is approximately 30%, second only to Eli Lilly. The company also holds significant market shares in GLP-1 receptor agonists and other biopharmaceutical segments.

Product & Competition Performance

Novo Nordisk's products have been generally well received by healthcare professionals and patients, with Ozempic leading in the GLP-1 receptor agonist market and Victoza showing strong growth. However, competition from Eli Lilly, Sanofi, and other pharmaceutical giants remains fierce, particularly in diabetes and obesity treatment segments.

Total Addressable Market

The global diabetes market, Novo Nordisk's primary focus area, is estimated at over $450 billion and is projected to grow significantly due to rising prevalence of diabetes worldwide. The market for obesity treatment is also vast, estimated at $120 billion, showcasing significant growth potential.

Financial Performance

Recent Performance

Novo Nordisk has demonstrated consistent financial performance in recent years. In 2022, the company reported a revenue of $32 billion, a net income of $7.2 billion, a profit margin of 22.5%, and an EPS of 5.20 DKK.

Year-Over-Year Performance

The company has exhibited steady revenue growth over the past years, driven by increased demand for its diabetes and obesity care products. Profit margins and EPS have also remained stable, indicating efficient cost management.

Cashflow & Balance Sheet

Novo Nordisk maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio. This financial strength allows the company to invest in R&D, pursue acquisitions, and maintain dividend payouts.

Dividends & Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

Novo Nordisk has a strong track record of dividend payments, consistently increasing dividends over the past years. The current dividend yield is approximately 2.5%, and the payout ratio stands at around 40%.

Shareholder Returns

Shareholders have enjoyed significant returns over the past years. The stock price has more than doubled in the last five years, and total shareholder return has surpassed 20% annually on average over the same period.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

Novo Nordisk has experienced consistent historical growth, propelled by strong product sales and expansion into new markets. Revenue has grown at an average rate of 10% over the past five years.

Future Predictions

Analysts project continued growth for Novo Nordisk, driven by increasing demand for diabetes and obesity treatment, expansion of product portfolio, and potential new blockbuster drug launches.

Recent Growth Initiatives

Novo Nordisk is actively pursuing growth through various initiatives, including product innovation, strategic acquisitions, and expansion into emerging markets. The company recently launched Rybelsus, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, and is investing heavily in R&D for new diabetes and obesity treatments.

Market Dynamics ## Industry Overview

The pharmaceutical industry, particularly the diabetes and obesity treatment segments, are experiencing rapid growth due to rising chronic disease Prevalence and expanding access to healthcare. Technological advancements are also driving innovation in drug development and delivery systems.

Novo Nordisk's Positioning

The company is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, R&D capabilities, diversified product portfolio, and global presence. Novo Nordisk is adapting to market changes by focusing on personalized medicine and digital health solutions.

Competitors

The primary competitors of Novo Nordisk include:

  • Eli Lilly (LLY)
  • Sanofi (SNY)
  • Boehringer Ingelheim (BPI)
  • Merck (MRK)

Novo Nordisk maintains a competitive edge through its strong market share, innovative product pipeline, and focus on patient needs.

Challenges & Opportunities

Key challenges

Novo Nordisk faces challenges such as:

  • Increasing competition
  • Drug pricing pressures
  • Regulatory hurdles

Opportunities

The company is exploring opportunities in:

  • Emerging markets
  • New drug development
  • Personalized medicine

Recent Acquisitions

Novo Nordisk has made several strategic acquisitions in the past three years:

  • 2021: Acquisition of Emisphere Technologies, Inc. for $1.8 billion, expanding their drug delivery technology portfolio.
  • 2021: Acquired Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc. for $3.3 billion, gaining access to promising RNAi therapeutics for diabetes and other diseases.
  • 2022: Partnership with Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to co-develop and commercialize setmelanotide, a potential treatment for obesity.

These acquisitions align with Novo Nordisk's strategy to expand its product offerings, enter new therapeutic areas, and enhance its R&D capabilities.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating ## Rating

Novo Nordisk receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10.

Justification

This high rating reflects the company's strong financials, competitive positioning, market leadership, innovative product portfolio, and solid growth prospects.

Disclaimer

The information presented in this overview should not be considered investment advice. Always consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Sources

  • Novo Nordisk Annual Report 2022
  • Reuters
  • Bloomberg
  • Statista
  • Novo Nordisk Investor Relations Website
  • Google Finance
  • Seeking Alpha
  • Yahoo Finance

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Novo Nordisk A/S

Exchange NYSE Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 1982-01-04 President, CEO & Member of Management Board Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.novonordisk.com
Industry Drug Manufacturers - General Full time employees 71880
Headquaters -
President, CEO & Member of Management Board Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen
Website https://www.novonordisk.com
Website https://www.novonordisk.com
Full time employees 71880

Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diabetes and Obesity Care, and Rare Disease. The Diabetes and Obesity care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The company also provides insulin pens, growth hormone pens, and injection needles. In addition, it offers smart solutions for diabetes treatment, such as smart insulin pens and Dose Check, an insulin dose guidance application. The company has a collaboration agreement with Aspen Pharmaceuticals to produce insulin products; and with Korro Bio, Inc. for the discovery and development of new genetic medicines to treat cardiometabolic diseases. Novo Nordisk A/S was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.

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