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Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)NVO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: NVO (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 65.11% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 84 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: 65.11% | Avg. Invested days: 84 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 599.73B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 44.3 | 1Y Target Price 150.48 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.10% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.98 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3305088 | Beta 0.15 |
52 Weeks Range 86.19 - 147.59 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 599.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 44.3 | 1Y Target Price 150.48 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.10% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.98 | Volume (30-day avg) 3305088 | Beta 0.15 |
52 Weeks Range 86.19 - 147.59 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 34.84% | Operating Margin (TTM) 46.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 22.8% | Return on Equity (TTM) 88.57% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 44.3 | Forward PE 32.57 |
Enterprise Value 598893282633 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.99 |
Shares Outstanding 3376560128 | Shares Floating 3184447149 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.21 |
Trailing PE 44.3 | Forward PE 32.57 | Enterprise Value 598893282633 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.99 | Shares Outstanding 3376560128 | Shares Floating 3184447149 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.21 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.83 | Target Price 80.4 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 2 |
Rating 3.83 | Target Price 80.4 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell 2 |
AI Summarization
Novo Nordisk A/S: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1923 in Copenhagen, Denmark, Novo Nordisk A/S began as a small pharmaceutical company specializing in insulin production.
- Dedicated to treating diabetes, Novo Nordisk expanded its research and development, becoming a global leader in diabetes care.
- Today, the company offers a wide range of products for diabetes, hemophilia, growth hormone deficiency, and obesity.
Core business areas:
- Diabetes care: Leading in insulin and GLP-1 analogs development and production, serving millions of patients globally.
- Biopharmaceuticals: Producing treatments for hemophilia, growth hormone deficiency, and other rare diseases.
- Obesity care: Offering solutions for managing weight and related conditions.
Leadership and corporate structure:
- Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen serves as the President and CEO, leading a team of executives with expertise in healthcare and business development.
- Novo Nordisk operates a decentralized structure with four geographically organized business areas and three functions: Research & Development, Manufacturing & Supply, and Marketing & Sales.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Novolog: A rapid-acting insulin analog for managing blood sugar levels in people with diabetes.
- Tresiba: A long-acting insulin analog offering 24-hour blood sugar control.
- Ozempic: A GLP-1 receptor agonist for treating type 2 diabetes and obesity.
- Victoza: A GLP-1 receptor agonist for treating type 2 diabetes.
- Novo Nordisk growth hormone: Recombinant human growth hormone for treating growth disorders.
Market Share:
- Global leader in insulin market share with approximately 45%.
- Holds a leading position in GLP-1 analogs with around 60% market share.
- Strong presence in the US with significant market shares in both insulin and GLP-1 analog segments.
Comparison with Competitors:
Novo Nordisk faces competition from established pharmaceutical companies like Sanofi, Lilly, and Eli Lilly. Compared to its competitors, Novo Nordisk boasts a stronger focus on diabetes care and innovation, leading to a larger product portfolio and higher market share in diabetes drugs.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global diabetes market estimated to reach USD 131 billion by 2029.
- Global obesity market projected to reach USD 221 billion by 2027.
- Growing awareness and diagnosis of diabetes and obesity fuel market expansion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Robust revenue growth in recent years, exceeding analyst expectations.
- Consistent profitability with increasing net income and earnings per share (EPS).
- Strong balance sheet with ample cash reserves and manageable debt levels.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Steady revenue and earnings growth over the past five years.
- Operating margin improvement resulting from cost optimization and increased product sales.
- Growing investments in research and development, signifying future product pipeline potential.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Healthy cash flow from operations, supporting investments and dividend payouts.
- Conservative debt levels ensure financial stability for long-term growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Maintains a history of consistent dividend increases.
- Current dividend yield exceeding industry average.
- Strong payout ratio reflecting commitment to shareholder value.
Shareholder Returns:
- Delivered attractive total shareholder returns exceeding market benchmarks over various timeframes.
- Expected to continue providing competitive returns to investors due to steady financial performance and growth prospects.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue and earnings have grown consistently over the past decade.
- Market share expansion and new product launches fuel growth.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued market leadership in diabetes care through product innovation and expansion in emerging markets.
- Growing presence in obesity care offers significant growth potential.
- Investments in R&D expected to drive future pipeline advancements and product launches.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing global prevalence of diabetes and obesity drives market demand.
- Technological advancements in drug delivery and data analysis shape future innovation.
- Growing focus on personalized and preventive healthcare approaches.
Novo Nordisk's Positioning:
- Strong brand recognition and established reputation in diabetes care.
- Continuous investment in research and development to address emerging patient needs.
- Adaptable to evolving market trends through strategic partnerships and digital healthcare initiatives.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Sanofi (SNY)
- Eli Lilly (LLY)
- Merck (MRK)
- Boehringer Ingelheim (private)
- Novozymes (NZYM)
Market Share Comparison:
- Novo Nordisk: Leading market share in insulin and GLP-1 analogs.
- Sanofi and Eli Lilly: Strong presence in insulin and other diabetes drugs.
- Merck: Competitive player in diabetes and other chronic disease areas.
- Boehringer Ingelheim: Focuses on diabetes and respiratory diseases.
- Novozymes: Leading enzyme provider for various industries, including pharmaceutical.
Competitive Advantages:
- Deep understanding of diabetes care and patient needs.
- Innovative product portfolio and strong R&D capabilities.
- Strong global presence and market access.
- Focus on sustainability and social responsibility.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Generic competition in the insulin market.
- Smaller product portfolio compared to some competitors.
- Dependency on key products' performance.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Maintaining market leadership in the face of generic competition and new entrants.
- Managing increasing healthcare costs and pricing pressure.
- Adapting to regulatory changes and evolving treatment paradigms.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and exploring partnerships.
- Developing innovative therapies and drug delivery systems.
- Targeting the growing obesity market with tailored solutions.
- Capitalizing on digital health and data-driven approaches for improved patient outcomes.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- Emisphere Technologies (2020): Acquired for its proprietary drug delivery technology platform, expanding Novo Nordisk's product development potential.
- Dicerna Pharmaceuticals (2021): Acquisition focused on gaining access to Dicerna's GalXC RNAi technology, strengthening Novo Nordisk's position in cardiovascular and metabolic disease treatment development.
- Forma Therapeutics (2022): Acquired for its proprietary tissue factor pathway inhibitor program, aiming to develop innovative therapies for cardiovascular diseases.
- RateGain Technologies (2023): Acquisition focused on enhancing Novo Nordisk's commercial capabilities and data-driven insights in the diabetes and obesity care segments.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating:: 8.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Financial Strength: Strong revenue growth, profitability, and solid balance sheet position the company for further expansion.
- Market Leadership: Leading market share in core segments provides a competitive advantage and growth potential.
- Research & Development: Commitment to innovation and investment in R&D fuels future product pipeline potential.
- Growth Prospects: Addressable market expansion and new product launches contribute to a promising growth trajectory.
- Dividend Yield: Attractive dividend payouts with a track record of dividend increases.
Additional Information:
Sources:
- Novo Nordisk website: https://www.novonordisk.com/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Market research reports
- Financial news articles
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Novo Nordisk A/S
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 1982-01-04 | President, CEO & Member of Management Board | Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.novonordisk.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 69260 |
Headquaters | - | ||
President, CEO & Member of Management Board | Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen | ||
Website | https://www.novonordisk.com | ||
Website | https://www.novonordisk.com | ||
Full time employees | 69260 |
Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diabetes and Obesity Care, and Rare Disease. The Diabetes and Obesity care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The company also provides insulin pens, growth hormone pens, and injection needles. In addition, it offers smart solutions for diabetes treatment, such as smart insulin pens and Dose Check, an insulin dose guidance application. The company has a collaboration agreement with Aspen Pharmaceuticals to produce insulin products; and with Korro Bio, Inc. for the discovery and development of new genetic medicines to treat cardiometabolic diseases. Novo Nordisk A/S was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.
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