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Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: NVO (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 69.19% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 84 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 69.19% | Avg. Invested days: 84 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 482.15B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 34.71 | 1Y Target Price 131.95 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.98 |
Volume (30-day avg) 5388900 | Beta 0.17 |
52 Weeks Range 81.50 - 147.59 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 482.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 34.71 | 1Y Target Price 131.95 |
Dividends yield (FY) 1.40% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.98 | Volume (30-day avg) 5388900 | Beta 0.17 |
52 Weeks Range 81.50 - 147.59 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 35.01% | Operating Margin (TTM) 47.43% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 21.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) 88.73% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 34.71 | Forward PE 26.39 |
Enterprise Value 461879239432 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.09 |
Shares Outstanding 3366779904 | Shares Floating 3186288495 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.16 |
Trailing PE 34.71 | Forward PE 26.39 | Enterprise Value 461879239432 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.09 | Shares Outstanding 3366779904 | Shares Floating 3186288495 |
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 10.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.82 | Target Price 80.4 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold 2 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.82 | Target Price 80.4 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold 2 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Novo Nordisk A/S Stock Overview
Company Profile
History & Background
Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) is a global healthcare company established in Denmark in 1923. Initially known for its insulin production for diabetes treatment, Novo Nordisk has expanded to offer various pharmaceuticals for chronic diseases such as obesity, hemophilia, and growth hormone deficiencies.
Core Businesses
Novo Nordisk's core business areas are divided into four segments:
- Diabetes & Obesity Care: comprising insulins, GLP-1 receptor agonists, oral anti-diabetics, and weight management solutions.
- Biopharmaceuticals: includes products for hemophilia treatment, growth hormone deficiencies, and other rare diseases.
- Novo Nordisk Foundation: focuses on research and education in diabetes and related fields.
- Other Operations: includes activities like animal health and biopharmaceutical contract manufacturing.
Leadership & Structure
The company is led by CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen and a diverse executive management team with extensive experience in healthcare and pharmaceuticals. Novo Nordisk operates as a dual-class share company, ensuring continued control by the Novo Nordisk Foundation, which focuses on long-term research and innovation.
Top Products & Market Share
Top Products & Offerings
Novo Nordisk's top-selling product is Ozempic (semaglutide), a GLP-1 receptor agonist for type 2 diabetes treatment. Other key products include Victoza (liraglutide), GLP-1 receptor agonist for diabetes and weight loss; Tresiba (insulin degludec), long-acting basal insulin; Norditropin (somatropin) for growth hormone deficiencies; and NovoSeven (recombinant factor VII) for hemophilia A treatment.
Market Share Analysis
Novo Nordisk holds a dominant position in the global insulin market with a market share exceeding 50%. In the United States, its market share for insulins is approximately 30%, second only to Eli Lilly. The company also holds significant market shares in GLP-1 receptor agonists and other biopharmaceutical segments.
Product & Competition Performance
Novo Nordisk's products have been generally well received by healthcare professionals and patients, with Ozempic leading in the GLP-1 receptor agonist market and Victoza showing strong growth. However, competition from Eli Lilly, Sanofi, and other pharmaceutical giants remains fierce, particularly in diabetes and obesity treatment segments.
Total Addressable Market
The global diabetes market, Novo Nordisk's primary focus area, is estimated at over $450 billion and is projected to grow significantly due to rising prevalence of diabetes worldwide. The market for obesity treatment is also vast, estimated at $120 billion, showcasing significant growth potential.
Financial Performance
Recent Performance
Novo Nordisk has demonstrated consistent financial performance in recent years. In 2022, the company reported a revenue of $32 billion, a net income of $7.2 billion, a profit margin of 22.5%, and an EPS of 5.20 DKK.
Year-Over-Year Performance
The company has exhibited steady revenue growth over the past years, driven by increased demand for its diabetes and obesity care products. Profit margins and EPS have also remained stable, indicating efficient cost management.
Cashflow & Balance Sheet
Novo Nordisk maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio. This financial strength allows the company to invest in R&D, pursue acquisitions, and maintain dividend payouts.
Dividends & Shareholder Returns
Dividend History
Novo Nordisk has a strong track record of dividend payments, consistently increasing dividends over the past years. The current dividend yield is approximately 2.5%, and the payout ratio stands at around 40%.
Shareholder Returns
Shareholders have enjoyed significant returns over the past years. The stock price has more than doubled in the last five years, and total shareholder return has surpassed 20% annually on average over the same period.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth
Novo Nordisk has experienced consistent historical growth, propelled by strong product sales and expansion into new markets. Revenue has grown at an average rate of 10% over the past five years.
Future Predictions
Analysts project continued growth for Novo Nordisk, driven by increasing demand for diabetes and obesity treatment, expansion of product portfolio, and potential new blockbuster drug launches.
Recent Growth Initiatives
Novo Nordisk is actively pursuing growth through various initiatives, including product innovation, strategic acquisitions, and expansion into emerging markets. The company recently launched Rybelsus, an oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, and is investing heavily in R&D for new diabetes and obesity treatments.
Market Dynamics ## Industry Overview
The pharmaceutical industry, particularly the diabetes and obesity treatment segments, are experiencing rapid growth due to rising chronic disease Prevalence and expanding access to healthcare. Technological advancements are also driving innovation in drug development and delivery systems.
Novo Nordisk's Positioning
The company is well-positioned within the industry due to its strong brand recognition, R&D capabilities, diversified product portfolio, and global presence. Novo Nordisk is adapting to market changes by focusing on personalized medicine and digital health solutions.
Competitors
The primary competitors of Novo Nordisk include:
- Eli Lilly (LLY)
- Sanofi (SNY)
- Boehringer Ingelheim (BPI)
- Merck (MRK)
Novo Nordisk maintains a competitive edge through its strong market share, innovative product pipeline, and focus on patient needs.
Challenges & Opportunities
Key challenges
Novo Nordisk faces challenges such as:
- Increasing competition
- Drug pricing pressures
- Regulatory hurdles
Opportunities
The company is exploring opportunities in:
- Emerging markets
- New drug development
- Personalized medicine
Recent Acquisitions
Novo Nordisk has made several strategic acquisitions in the past three years:
- 2021: Acquisition of Emisphere Technologies, Inc. for $1.8 billion, expanding their drug delivery technology portfolio.
- 2021: Acquired Dicerna Pharmaceuticals, Inc. for $3.3 billion, gaining access to promising RNAi therapeutics for diabetes and other diseases.
- 2022: Partnership with Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to co-develop and commercialize setmelanotide, a potential treatment for obesity.
These acquisitions align with Novo Nordisk's strategy to expand its product offerings, enter new therapeutic areas, and enhance its R&D capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating ## Rating
Novo Nordisk receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10.
Justification
This high rating reflects the company's strong financials, competitive positioning, market leadership, innovative product portfolio, and solid growth prospects.
Disclaimer
The information presented in this overview should not be considered investment advice. Always consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Sources
- Novo Nordisk Annual Report 2022
- Reuters
- Bloomberg
- Statista
- Novo Nordisk Investor Relations Website
- Google Finance
- Seeking Alpha
- Yahoo Finance
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Novo Nordisk A/S
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 1982-01-04 | President, CEO & Member of Management Board | Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.novonordisk.com |
Industry | Drug Manufacturers - General | Full time employees | 71880 |
Headquaters | - | ||
President, CEO & Member of Management Board | Mr. Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen | ||
Website | https://www.novonordisk.com | ||
Website | https://www.novonordisk.com | ||
Full time employees | 71880 |
Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Diabetes and Obesity Care, and Rare Disease. The Diabetes and Obesity care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The company also provides insulin pens, growth hormone pens, and injection needles. In addition, it offers smart solutions for diabetes treatment, such as smart insulin pens and Dose Check, an insulin dose guidance application. The company has a collaboration agreement with Aspen Pharmaceuticals to produce insulin products; and with Korro Bio, Inc. for the discovery and development of new genetic medicines to treat cardiometabolic diseases. Novo Nordisk A/S was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Bagsvaerd, Denmark.
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