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Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)XPOF
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: XPOF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -25.83% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 35 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -25.83% | Avg. Invested days: 35 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 660.00M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.11 |
Volume (30-day avg) 413128 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 7.40 - 18.95 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 660.00M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.11 | Volume (30-day avg) 413128 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 7.40 - 18.95 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.06% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.47% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.84% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.87 |
Enterprise Value 787303800 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.02 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.83 |
Shares Outstanding 32160000 | Shares Floating 17004278 |
Percent Insiders 6.22 | Percent Institutions 98.46 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.87 | Enterprise Value 787303800 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.02 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.83 | Shares Outstanding 32160000 | Shares Floating 17004278 |
Percent Insiders 6.22 | Percent Institutions 98.46 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.3 | Target Price 33.69 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 6 | Hold 3 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.3 | Target Price 33.69 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 6 |
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Xponential Fitness Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Xponential Fitness Inc. (NYSE: XPOF) is a global franchisor of boutique fitness studios. Founded in 2017, the company was formed through the merger of Club Pilates and Row House and has since grown to encompass eight distinct fitness brands: Club Pilates, CycleBar, StretchLab, YogaSix, Pure Barre, Stride, AKT, and BFT. Xponential currently operates over 2,200 studios across the United States and internationally.
Core Business Areas:
- Franchise Platform: Xponential provides a comprehensive franchise platform for its eight fitness brands, encompassing site selection assistance, training programs, marketing support, and operational guidance.
- Digital Fitness: Xponential offers virtual fitness classes through its Xponential+ platform, allowing members to access various workouts from home.
- Retail: Xponential sells fitness apparel and accessories through its e-commerce channels and select studio locations.
Leadership Team:
- John F. Barbieri: Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder
- Tom Holland: President and Chief Operating Officer
- David Giampaolo: Chief Financial Officer
- Anthony Geisler: Chief Technology Officer
- Alexandra Walcott: Chief Marketing Officer
Corporate Structure:
Xponential operates as a holding company with each fitness brand functioning as a separate subsidiary. The company has a decentralized management structure, with individual brand presidents responsible for their respective operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
- Club Pilates: The company's largest brand, Club Pilates, offers reformer-based Pilates classes and holds a significant market share in the US Pilates market.
- CycleBar: Offering high-intensity indoor cycling classes, CycleBar is a leading brand in the boutique fitness cycling segment.
- StretchLab: Providing one-on-one assisted stretching sessions, StretchLab is a unique offering in the fitness industry.
Market Share Analysis:
While precise market share figures are not publicly available, Xponential holds a leading position in several niche fitness segments, particularly Pilates and boutique fitness cycling. The company's diversified portfolio of brands caters to a broad range of fitness preferences, bolstering its competitive edge.
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The global fitness market is estimated to be worth over $96 billion, with the US market accounting for a significant portion. Xponential operates within the rapidly growing boutique fitness segment, which is projected to reach $12.1 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
(Based on fiscal year ended December 31, 2022)
- Revenue: $370.1 million
- Net Income: $38.2 million
- Profit Margin: 10.3%
- EPS: $0.46
Year-over-Year Performance:
Revenue increased by 46.4% compared to the previous year, demonstrating strong growth. Profitability also improved significantly, with net income increasing by 154.3%.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Xponential's cash flow from operations was $58.4 million for the year, indicating a healthy financial position. The company also has a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a sound balance sheet.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Xponential currently does not pay dividends, preferring to reinvest earnings into growth initiatives.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, XPOF stock has delivered a total return of approximately 15%. However, performance over longer timeframes has been more volatile.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Xponential has experienced consistent revenue growth over the past five years, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 40%.
Future Growth Projections:
The company expects to continue growing its top line through both organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. Industry analysts project Xponential's revenue to reach over $500 million by 2024.
Recent Growth Initiatives:
Xponential is actively pursuing various growth strategies, including:
- Expanding its international presence
- Launching new fitness brands
- Developing its digital fitness offering
- Investing in technology and innovation
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The fitness industry is highly fragmented, with numerous competitors vying for market share. The rise of boutique fitness studios has intensified competition, but also created opportunities for specialized offerings. Technological advancements are also playing a significant role in shaping the industry, with digital fitness platforms gaining traction.
Xponential's Positioning:
Xponential is well-positioned within the industry due to its diversified portfolio of brands, strong franchise model, and commitment to innovation. The company's focus on niche markets and technology allows it to cater to evolving consumer preferences.
Competitors:
- Equinox (EQIX)
- Planet Fitness (PLNT)
- Orangetheory Fitness (OTLY)
- Peloton (PTON)
- F45 Training (FXLV)
Market Share Comparison:
While not directly comparable due to different business models, Xponential competes with these companies for market share within the broader fitness industry.
Competitive Advantages:
- Diversified brand portfolio
- Strong franchise model
- Digital fitness platform
- Focus on innovation
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Relatively new company
- High debt levels
- Volatile stock price
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intense competition
- Rising costs
- Economic uncertainty
Opportunities:
- International expansion
- New fitness trends
- Technology advancements
Recent Acquisitions:
Xponential has been actively acquiring fitness brands in recent years, including:
- Pure Barre (2021)
- Stride (2022)
- AKT (2022)
- BFT (2023)
These acquisitions have expanded Xponential's brand portfolio and diversified its offerings to cater to a broader range of fitness preferences.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an analysis of various financial and market factors, Xponential Fitness Inc. receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7.5 out of 10. This rating indicates a solid financial position, strong growth potential, and competitive advantages. However, the company's high debt levels and relatively short operating history present some risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview utilized data from the following sources:
- Xponential Fitness Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Xponential Fitness Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Irvine, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2021-07-23 | CEO & Director | Mr. Mark James King |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.xponential.com |
Industry | Leisure | Full time employees | 310 |
Headquaters | Irvine, CA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Mark James King | ||
Website | https://www.xponential.com | ||
Website | https://www.xponential.com | ||
Full time employees | 310 |
Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness franchisor in North America. It offers pilates, indoor cycling, barre, stretching, rowing, dancing, boxing, running, functional training, and yoga services under the Club Pilates, Pure Barre, CycleBar, StretchLab, Row House, YogaSix, Rumble, AKT, Stride, and BFT brands. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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