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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: XPOF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -42.74% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/01/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 384.85M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1029205 | Beta 1.39 | 52 Weeks Range 7.21 - 18.95 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.21 - 18.95 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -21.12% | Operating Margin (TTM) 22.96% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.78% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.84% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 18.08 | Enterprise Value 631219750 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.2 |
Enterprise Value 631219750 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.2 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.97 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.87 | Shares Outstanding 33745000 | Shares Floating 20675562 |
Shares Outstanding 33745000 | Shares Floating 20675562 | ||
Percent Insiders 6.57 | Percent Institutions 94.44 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.22 | Target Price 19.56 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 5 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Xponential Fitness Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Xponential Fitness Inc. was founded in 2017. It acquires, operates, and franchises boutique fitness brands. The company rapidly expanded through acquisitions and franchise growth.
Core Business Areas
- Franchising: Franchises studio locations for various boutique fitness brands. Collects royalties and franchise fees.
- Company-Owned Studios: Operates a smaller number of company-owned studios to test concepts and provide operational insights.
- Merchandise Sales: Sales of branded apparel, equipment, and other merchandise through studios and online.
Leadership and Structure
Anthony Geisler serves as the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a board of directors and a management team overseeing various functions such as franchise development, operations, and marketing.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Club Pilates: Pilates franchise. One of the largest Pilates brands. Competitors include CorePower Yoga (yoga also pilates like classes).
- CycleBar: Indoor cycling franchise. Offers premium cycling experiences. Competitors include SoulCycle.
- StretchLab: Assisted stretching franchise. Competitors include Massage Envy (Offers stretch like services).
- AKT: Dance-based cardio franchise. Competitors include Zumba studios.
- Pure Barre: Barre fitness franchise. Competitors include The Bar Method and Physique 57.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The boutique fitness industry is growing, driven by consumer demand for specialized fitness experiences. Growth is fueled by demand for social workouts that are more specialized than a regular gym.
Positioning
Xponential Fitness Inc. is a leading franchisor in the boutique fitness space, with a diverse portfolio of brands. Its competitive advantages include a scalable franchise model and brand diversification.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The fitness industry is expected to reach $131.9 billion by 2028. Xponential is positioned to capture a segment of this TAM through its franchise model.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified brand portfolio
- Scalable franchise model
- Strong brand recognition
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- High reliance on franchisee performance
- Potential for brand cannibalization
- Debt levels
- Dependence on franchisor-franchisee relationship
Opportunities
- Further brand acquisitions
- International expansion
- Digital fitness offerings
- Partnerships with wellness and lifestyle brands
Threats
- Increased competition from other fitness franchises
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Economic downturns
- Regulatory changes affecting franchise operations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- F45 Training Holdings Inc (FXLV)
- Planet Fitness Inc (PLNT)
- Anytime Fitness (Self-Owned Franchises)
Competitive Landscape
Xponential Fitness has a diverse portfolio of brands compared to some competitors. However, Planet Fitness is a larger player with a different business model focused on low-cost memberships. F45 provides a similar niche franchise model, but Xponential has a wider brand portfolio.
Major Acquisitions
Rumble Boxing
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded the company's brand portfolio and reach into the boxing fitness segment.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by new studio openings and same-store sales growth. The company has focused on expanding its franchise network.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth in revenue and studio count. The company's long-term growth depends on its ability to attract and retain franchisees and customers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic brand acquisitions and investments in technology to enhance the member experience.
Summary
Xponential Fitness is a leading franchisor in the boutique fitness industry. Its diverse brand portfolio and scalable franchise model are working well. However, the company relies heavily on franchisee performance and must manage its debt effectively. Economic downturns and competition pose potential challenges.
Similar Companies
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
PLNT
Planet Fitness Inc
PLNT
Planet Fitness Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Website
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and competitor information are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Xponential Fitness Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-23 | CEO & Director Mr. Mark James King | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Leisure | Full time employees 288 | Website https://www.xponential.com |
Full time employees 288 | Website https://www.xponential.com | ||
Xponential Fitness, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a boutique fitness brands franchisor in North America. The company's brands portfolio consist of Club Pilates, a Pilates facility franchisor; CycleBar, a premier indoor cycling franchise; StretchLab, a fitness concept offering one-on-one assisted stretching services; YogaSix, a yoga concept; Pure Barre, a total body workout concept that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; Rumble, a boxing concept that offers boxing-inspired group fitness classes; BFT, a high-intensity interval training concept that combines functional, high-energy strength, cardio, and conditioning-based classes to achieve the unique health of its members; and Lindora, a provider of medically guided wellness and metabolic health solutions. Xponential Fitness, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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