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Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/14/2025: VIPS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -1.2% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/14/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.66B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.27 | 1Y Target Price 15.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.27 | 1Y Target Price 15.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2969331 | Beta 0.33 | 52 Weeks Range 11.50 - 19.69 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.50 - 19.69 | Updated Date 01/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.10% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.07 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.31% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.94% | Return on Equity (TTM) 23.17% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.27 | Forward PE 6.17 | Enterprise Value 4294599298 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 4294599298 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.28 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.96 | Shares Outstanding 435526016 | Shares Floating 52918241 |
Shares Outstanding 435526016 | Shares Floating 52918241 | ||
Percent Insiders - | Percent Institutions 68.96 |
AI Summary
Vipshop Holdings Limited: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History: Founded in 2008, Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE: VIPS) is a leading online discount retailer in China. It primarily focuses on offering branded apparel and accessories at discounted prices through flash sales and other promotional events. The company commenced operations in Guangzhou and has since expanded to various regions across China.
Core Business Areas:
- Flash Sales: Vipshop's core business model revolves around flash sales, where branded products are offered for limited periods at significant discounts. These sales typically last for a few hours and are supported by a mobile-first approach.
- Private Label Brands: Vipshop also develops and markets its own private label brands across various categories, complementing its offerings of established brands.
- Value-Added Services: Vipshop provides value-added services such as warehousing, logistics, and customer service to enhance the overall shopping experience.
Leadership:
- Mr. Eric Shen: Founder, Chairman, and CEO of Vipshop Holdings Limited.
- Ms. Ya Jade Zhang: Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President.
- Mr. Jianhui Wang: Chief Technology Officer and Executive Vice President.
Corporate Structure: Vipshop operates as a holding company with subsidiaries focusing on various aspects of its business, including online retail, technology, and logistics.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products: Vipshop offers a wide range of products across various categories, including apparel, footwear, accessories, cosmetics, and homeware. Popular brands available on the platform include Nike, Adidas, Tommy Hilfiger, and Coach.
Market Share: As of 2022, Vipshop held a market share of approximately 6.5% in China's online apparel retail market, ranking it as the third-largest player in the sector.
Product Performance and Competition: Vipshop's flash sales model has been successful in attracting a large customer base. However, it faces intense competition from other e-commerce players like Alibaba and JD.com. Vipshop differentiates itself by focusing on branded products and offering competitive prices through its flash sales approach.
Total Addressable Market
The total addressable market (TAM) for online apparel retail in China is estimated to be around USD 450 billion in 2023. This market is expected to continue growing at a healthy pace, driven by increasing internet penetration and rising disposable income levels.
Financial Performance
Revenue and Profitability: Vipshop's revenue has grown steadily over the past few years, reaching USD 24.6 billion in 2022. The company's net income margin has also improved, reaching 5.5% in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison: Vipshop's revenue and net income have experienced consistent year-over-year growth in recent years. However, the company's growth rate has slowed down in 2023 due to macroeconomic factors and increased competition.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Vipshop maintains a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet. The company has significant cash reserves and low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History: Vipshop has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The company's recent dividend yield was 1.5%, and its payout ratio was around 30%.
Shareholder Returns: Vipshop's stock has generated positive returns for investors over the past few years. The company's total shareholder return (TSR) over the past 5 years has been approximately 30%.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth: Vipshop has experienced strong historical growth, with revenue and net income increasing significantly over the past five years.
Future Growth Projections: The company's future growth is expected to be driven by factors such as increasing online penetration in China, expansion into new product categories, and strategic partnerships.
Recent Growth Initiatives: Vipshop is investing in initiatives such as expanding its private label business, enhancing its technology platform, and strengthening its logistics network to support its growth plans.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends: The online retail industry in China is characterized by rapid growth, intense competition, and technological advancements. Mobile commerce, personalization, and data-driven decision making are some key trends shaping the industry.
Market Position: Vipshop is well-positioned within the industry due to its focus on branded products, flash sales model, and strong mobile-first approach. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors and needs to adapt to changing consumer preferences.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Alibaba (NYSE: BABA)
- JD.com (NASDAQ: JD)
- Pinduoduo (NASDAQ: PDD)
- Suning.com (SZSE: 002024)
Market Share Comparison: Alibaba and JD.com are the market leaders in China's online retail market, with market shares exceeding 50%. Vipshop ranks as the third-largest player, followed by Pinduoduo and Suning.com.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: Strong brand partnerships, flash sales model, mobile-first approach, efficient logistics network.
- Disadvantages: Smaller market share compared to larger competitors, reliance on third-party logistics providers.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition from larger e-commerce players
- Increasing operating expenses
- Macroeconomic headwinds
- Potential changes in consumer preferences
Potential Opportunities:
- Expansion into new product categories
- Growth of private label brands
- Strategic partnerships
- Further development of mobile commerce platform
Recent Acquisitions
- 2021: Vipshop acquired a majority stake in Lefeng.com, an online platform for luxury goods. This acquisition aimed to expand the company's reach into the luxury market.
- 2020: Vipshop acquired a minority stake in Shanghai Bailian Group, a leading department store operator in China. This strategic partnership aimed to enhance Vipshop's offline presence and integrate its online and offline channels.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating
Rating: 7/10
Justification: Vipshop's strong financial performance, leading market position in the online discount retail segment, and growth potential are reflected in its positive AI-based rating. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors and需要 to adapt to changing market dynamics.
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Vipshop Holdings Limited Annual Report 2022
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Statista
- World Bank
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About NVIDIA Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2012-03-23 | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Ya Shen | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 14638 | Website https://www.vip.com |
Full time employees 14638 | Website https://www.vip.com |
Vipshop Holdings Limited operates online platforms in the People's Republic of China. It operates in Vip.com, Shan Shan Outlets, and Others segments. The company offers womenswear, menswear, sportswear and sporting goods, shoes and bags, accessories, baby and children products, skincare and cosmetics, home goods and other lifestyle products, and supermarket products. It also provides internet finance services, including consumer and supplier financing. In addition, the company engages in warehousing, retail business, product procurement, and software development and information technology support activities. The company provides branded products through its vip.com and vipshop.com online platforms, as well as through retail stores. Vipshop Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
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