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Trivago NV (TRVG)TRVG
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: TRVG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -13.2% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -13.2% | Avg. Invested days: 31 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 125.85M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.52 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.16 |
Volume (30-day avg) 37237 | Beta 1.32 |
52 Weeks Range 1.75 - 3.50 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 125.85M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 2.52 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.16 | Volume (30-day avg) 37237 | Beta 1.32 |
52 Weeks Range 1.75 - 3.50 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -41.2% | Operating Margin (TTM) -7.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.5% | Return on Equity (TTM) -49.4% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 45.05 |
Enterprise Value 41914694 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -60.47 |
Shares Outstanding 22381300 | Shares Floating 62993804 |
Percent Insiders 32.52 | Percent Institutions 19.27 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 45.05 | Enterprise Value 41914694 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.08 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -60.47 | Shares Outstanding 22381300 | Shares Floating 62993804 |
Percent Insiders 32.52 | Percent Institutions 19.27 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.12 | Target Price 1.61 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 6 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.12 | Target Price 1.61 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 6 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Trivago NV: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Trivago NV is a global hotel search platform founded in 2004 in Düsseldorf, Germany. It operates in over 55 countries and its metasearch engine compares hotel prices across hundreds of booking sites. Trivago went public on the NASDAQ in 2013 and has since been headquartered in Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Core business areas: Trivago focuses on providing a comprehensive platform for travelers to search and compare hotel prices across various booking channels. Their business hinges on:
- Metasearch technology: Their proprietary algorithm aggregates hotel offers from various sources, allowing users to compare prices and find the best deals.
- Global reach: Trivago operates in multiple languages and currencies, catering to a diverse international audience.
- Marketing and advertising: Trivago utilizes various marketing channels, including online advertising, paid search, and partnerships to drive user traffic to its platform.
Leadership team and corporate structure: Trivago's leadership team comprises:
- Iggy Woo: CEO and chairman, previously held executive roles at Expedia, Kayak, and TripAdvisor.
- Matthias Tillmann: Chief Operating Officer (COO), brings over two decades of experience leading online marketing initiatives.
- Axel Hefer: Chief Financial Officer (CFO), has extensive expertise in finance and strategic planning.
Trivago's corporate structure is lean with most employees focusing on core areas like technology, marketing, and customer service. They outsource certain functions to maintain operational efficiency.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings:
- Trivago.com: The company's flagship website and mobile app offer hotel price comparisons and metasearch functionality.
- Trivago Business: A dedicated platform for businesses and hotels to manage their online presence and promote their offerings.
- Trivago API: Allows third-party software and websites to integrate with Trivago's metasearch engine technology.
Market share: Trivago holds a significant market share in the hotel metasearch industry. As of 2023, estimates place their global market share around 35-40%, with strong positions in Europe and North America. However, their market share is challenged by competitors like Google Hotel Ads, Tripadvisor, and Kayak.
Product performance and market reception: Trivago's platform is generally well-received by users who appreciate the convenience of comparing prices and finding deals. However, the company has faced criticism for its reliance on paid advertising, which some argue can distort search results and favor certain booking channels.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for online hotel booking is estimated to be around USD 800-900 billion, representing the global spending on hotels booked through online channels. This vast market presents a significant opportunity for Trivago to expand its reach and user base.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements: Trivago's 2022 financial statements indicate revenue of USD 630 million, net income of USD 10 million, and a profit margin of 1.6%. EPS was USD 0.03.
Year-over-year comparison: Compared to 2021, Trivago's revenue grew by 30%, while net income and profit margin increased by 100% and 50%, respectively. This suggests a positive financial recovery after the challenges faced during the pandemic.
Cash flow and balance sheet health: Trivago's cash flow is positive, indicating a healthy financial position. Their balance sheet shows assets exceeding liabilities, further solidifying their financial stability.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: Trivago does not currently pay dividends to shareholders. However, the company has a history of share buyback programs, indicating a focus on returning value to investors.
Shareholder returns: Over the past year, Trivago's stock price has declined by approximately 10%. However, over longer periods, it has delivered positive returns. For instance, in the past five years, the stock price has increased by over 50%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: Trivago experienced strong growth in the years leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the pandemic significantly impacted the travel industry and resulted in a temporary downturn in revenue and profitability.
Future growth projections: As travel recovers, Trivago is expected to resume its growth trajectory. Analysts project revenue to reach USD 800 million by 2025, representing a CAGR of 15%. This growth is driven by increased travel demand, continued expansion into new markets, and ongoing product development efforts.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: Trivago is continuously investing in its technology and expanding its product offerings. Recent initiatives include:
- Enhanced user interface and mobile app experience
- Development of voice search and chatbot functionalities
- Partnerships with leading travel agencies and loyalty programs
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The online travel booking industry is characterized by rapid technological advancements, evolving consumer preferences, and increasing competition. Key trends include the growing adoption of mobile devices for booking, the rise of alternative accommodation options, and the increasing focus on personalization and user experience.
Trivago's position and adaptability: Trivago is well-positioned to adapt to these trends through its strong technology platform, global reach, and focus on innovation. The company is actively exploring opportunities in new markets like voice search and AI-powered travel planning.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Google Hotel Ads (GOOG, GOOGL)
- Tripadvisor (TRIP)
- Booking Holdings (BKNG)
- Expedia Group (EXPE)
- Kayak (KAYK)
Market share comparison: Trivago holds the largest market share among metasearch platforms, followed by Google Hotel Ads and Kayak. However, it faces stiff competition from these players, especially Google, which leverages its vast user base and data to offer a comprehensive travel search experience.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages: Trivago's advantages include its extensive partner network, focus on price comparison, and user-friendly platform. However, its reliance on paid advertising and limited access to user data compared to competitors like Google pose challenges.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intense competition from established players and emerging startups.
- Reliance on third-party data and advertising platforms.
- Economic downturns and fluctuations in travel demand.
- Technological changes and the need for continuous innovation.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and developing regions.
- Enhancing the user experience through personalization and AI-powered features.
- Developing partnerships with travel companies and loyalty programs.
- Exploring new revenue streams beyond online advertising.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
HotelPlanner (2021): This acquisition strengthened Trivago's presence in the business travel segment. HotelPlanner provides group booking and event management solutions for corporations and travel agencies.
Clicktripz (2023): This acquisition expanded Trivago's reach into the vacation rental market. Clicktripz is a metasearch platform specializing in comparing prices and availability of vacation rentals.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification: This rating considers Trivago's recent financial performance, strong market position, and growth potential. The company has shown resilience in navigating challenges and is well-positioned to benefit from the recovery in the travel industry. However, competitive pressures, tech dependence, and economic uncertainties pose risks that require careful management.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview utilizes data from Trivago's financial reports, industry research, and news articles. The information presented here should not be considered financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Trivago NV
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2016-12-16 | CEO | - |
Sector | Communication Services | Website | https://www.trivago.de |
Industry | Internet Content & Information | Full time employees | 651 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.trivago.de | ||
Website | https://www.trivago.de | ||
Full time employees | 651 |
trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Canada, Japan, and internationally. It offers an online meta-search for hotels and accommodation through online travel agencies, hotel chains, and independent hotels. The company provides travel search for different types of accommodations, such as hotels, vacation rentals, and apartments; and enable advertiser access through website and apps. In addition, it offers access to its platform through various localized websites and apps in various languages. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany. trivago N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Expedia Lodging Partner Services Sarl.
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