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Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE)EXPE
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: EXPE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -27.5% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -27.5% | Avg. Invested days: 30 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.68B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 24.94 | 1Y Target Price 148.24 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.55 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1762666 | Beta 1.79 |
52 Weeks Range 92.48 - 160.05 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.68B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 24.94 | 1Y Target Price 148.24 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.55 | Volume (30-day avg) 1762666 | Beta 1.79 |
52 Weeks Range 92.48 - 160.05 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.09% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) 25.46% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 24.94 | Forward PE 8.87 |
Enterprise Value 18296137674 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.33 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.04 |
Shares Outstanding 124656000 | Shares Floating 123440060 |
Percent Insiders 0.89 | Percent Institutions 98.66 |
Trailing PE 24.94 | Forward PE 8.87 | Enterprise Value 18296137674 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.33 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.04 | Shares Outstanding 124656000 | Shares Floating 123440060 |
Percent Insiders 0.89 | Percent Institutions 98.66 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 126.72 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 11 | Hold 23 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.67 | Target Price 126.72 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 11 |
Hold 23 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Expedia Group Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Expedia Group Inc. was founded in 1996 and went public in 2001. The company has evolved from its initial focus on booking flights to becoming a comprehensive travel platform, offering hotels, vacation rentals, cruises, car rentals, and activities.
Core business areas: Expedia Group operates through two primary segments:
- Expedia Brands: This segment includes various brands like Expedia.com, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Hotwire, and Travelocity. It focuses on online travel booking services for flights, accommodations, and other travel products.
- eLong: This segment caters to the Chinese travel market, offering online booking services for hotels and flights.
Leadership team and corporate structure: The company is led by Chairman and CEO Peter Kern and President and COO John Kim. Expedia Group employs a decentralized structure, with each brand operating independently while leveraging shared technology and resources.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products: Expedia's top offerings include its online booking platforms for flights, hotels, vacation rentals, cruises, car rentals, and activities. It also provides solutions like Expedia for Business for corporate travel and Vrbo for vacation rentals.
Market share:
- Global: Expedia Group holds a significant market share in the online travel agency (OTA) market, with estimates ranging from 19% to 25%.
- US: Expedia's market share in the US is estimated to be around 35%, making it one of the leading OTA players in the country.
Product performance vs. competitors: Expedia's platforms generally receive positive feedback for their user-friendliness, wide selection, and competitive pricing. However, some competitors might offer better deals or specialized features in specific travel segments.
Total Addressable Market:
Market size: The global travel and tourism market is vast, estimated to reach $8.98 trillion by 2025. The online segment is rapidly growing, and the OTA market alone is projected to reach $726.24 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance:
Recent financials: Expedia Group's revenue for 2022 was $14.06 billion, with a net income of $1.12 billion. The company’s profit margin stood at 7.93%, and EPS was $4.98.
Year-over-year performance: Compared to 2021, the company witnessed an increase in revenue, net income, and EPS, highlighting its recovery from the pandemic’s impact.
Cash flow and balance sheet: Expedia's cash flow remains positive, and its balance sheet shows healthy levels of cash and investments.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: Expedia has a history of paying dividends, with the most recent annualized dividend payout of $0.96 per share, representing a yield of 2.49%. The payout ratio is around 20%.
Shareholder returns: Expedia's total shareholder return over the past year has been 28.75%, exceeding the S&P 500's return. However, over longer periods (5 and 10 years), its performance has lagged the broader market.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: Expedia has a history of strong growth, particularly in its online booking segment. Revenue has significantly increased in the last decade, and its user base has expanded globally.
Future projections: The travel industry is expected to continue its recovery in the coming years. Expedia's strategic focus on expanding its product offerings and strengthening its global presence suggests potential for continued growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry overview: The online travel industry is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. The industry is also experiencing increased technological innovation, with AI and machine learning playing an expanding role in personalized recommendations and dynamic pricing.
Market positioning: Expedia's established brand, diversified offerings, and global reach position the company well within the competitive landscape. The company's continuous investments in technology and partnerships could further enhance its market standing.
Competitors:
Key competitors include:
- Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG)
- Trip.com Group Limited
- Travelport Worldwide Limited (Tport)
- Airbnb
- Google Travel
These competitors hold varying market shares and offer similar services, often at competitive prices, posing challenges to Expedia's market leadership.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: The intense competition within the online travel industry puts pressure on Expedia's margins and market share.
- Dependence on travel demand: Expedia's business is highly dependent on overall travel demand, making it susceptible to economic downturns and external events.
- Technological disruption: The rapid evolution of technology in travel could pose challenges for Expedia if it fails to adapt to evolving consumer preferences and new market entrants.
Opportunities:
- Emerging markets: There's potential for growth in untapped or emerging travel markets, particularly in Asia and Latin America.
- Expansion of product offerings: Offering new services like destination-based activities and luxury travel experiences could attract new customer segments.
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships: Collaborating with other travel-related companies or acquiring niche players can strengthen Expedia's market position and expand its offerings.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- In 2022, Expedia Group acquired Classic Vacations, a US tour operator specializing in luxury vacations. This move expanded Expedia's offerings in the high-end travel segment and aimed to capture growing demand for personalized and curated travel experiences.
- In 2021, Expedia acquired SilverRail Technologies, a UK-based rail distribution platform. This acquisition boosted Expedia's access to global rail content, enhancing its ability to offer multimodal travel solutions and cater to travelers seeking diverse transportation options.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on various financial and market indicators, Expedia Group can be assigned an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. This rating reflects the company's strong brand, global presence, and potential for growth. However, the competitive environment and dependence on travel demand require cautious consideration.
Sources:
This overview was compiled using information from various sources, including:
- Expedia Group's official website and investor relations materials
- Financial statements and market research reports
- Industry news articles and analyst commentaries
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell Expedia Group Inc. stock. Any investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting your own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Expedia Group Inc.
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Seattle, WA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1999-11-10 | CEO & Director | Ms. Ariane Gorin |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.expediagroup.com |
Industry | Travel Services | Full time employees | 17100 |
Headquaters | Seattle, WA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Ms. Ariane Gorin | ||
Website | https://www.expediagroup.com | ||
Website | https://www.expediagroup.com | ||
Full time employees | 17100 |
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. Its B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz, Travelocity, Wotif Group, ebookers, CheapTickets, Hotwire.com and CarRentals.com. The company's B2B segment provides various travel and non-travel companies including airlines, offline travel agents, online retailers, corporate travel management, and financial institutions who leverage its travel technology and tap into its diverse supply to augment their offerings and market Expedia Group rates and availabilities to its travelers. Its trivago segment, a hotel metasearch website, which send referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites. In addition, the company provides brand advertising through online and offline channels, loyalty programs, mobile apps, and search engine marketing, as well as metasearch, social media, direct and personalized traveler communications on its websites, and through direct e-mail communication with its travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
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