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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: RH (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 4 days. Profits (-4.55%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -24.51% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -24.51% | Avg. Invested days: 28 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.22B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 161.15 | 1Y Target Price 330.96 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.09 |
Volume (30-day avg) 602731 | Beta 2.43 |
52 Weeks Range 212.43 - 367.00 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.22B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 161.15 | 1Y Target Price 330.96 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.09 | Volume (30-day avg) 602731 | Beta 2.43 |
52 Weeks Range 212.43 - 367.00 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.8% | Return on Equity (TTM) 29.86% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 161.15 | Forward PE 28.09 |
Enterprise Value 9895749349 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.04 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.73 |
Shares Outstanding 18482700 | Shares Floating 14026888 |
Percent Insiders 18.89 | Percent Institutions 88.07 |
Trailing PE 161.15 | Forward PE 28.09 | Enterprise Value 9895749349 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.04 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.73 | Shares Outstanding 18482700 | Shares Floating 14026888 |
Percent Insiders 18.89 | Percent Institutions 88.07 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.68 | Target Price 344.53 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 8 | Hold 11 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.68 | Target Price 344.53 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 8 |
Hold 11 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
RH (RH): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
RH (formerly Restoration Hardware) was founded in 1979 by Stephen Gordon as a purveyor of antique reproductions. It initially focused on traditional, European-inspired furniture and accessories. Over the years, RH transformed itself into a luxury home furnishings retailer with a focus on high-end design and a curated lifestyle experience.
Core Business Areas:
RH operates in three core areas:
- RH Interiors: High-end furniture, lighting, textiles, and home decor for various rooms.
- RH Outdoor: Luxury outdoor furniture, accessories, and landscaping elements.
- RH Baby & Child: Premium furniture, bedding, decor, and gifts for babies and children.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
RH's leadership team comprises:
- Gary Friedman: Chairman and CEO
- Carlos Alberini: President
- Kate Kelly: CFO
- Maria Renz: Chief Brand Officer
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- RH Cloud Sofa: A modular sofa system known for its luxurious comfort and customization options.
- RH Modern Leather Sofa: A contemporary-style sofa with clean lines and premium leather upholstery.
- RH Cloud Linen Duvet Cover: A high-end bedding item made from soft, luxurious linen.
- RH Belgian Linen Sheet Set: A luxurious sheet set woven from Belgian flax for a comfortable and breathable sleep experience.
Market Share:
RH holds a dominant position in the high-end furniture market. It is estimated that RH controls approximately 20% of the US market for luxury furniture, surpassing competitors like Williams-Sonoma and Pottery Barn.
Comparison to Competitors:
RH differentiates itself through its exclusive designs, high-quality materials, and focus on creating a curated lifestyle experience. Compared to competitors, RH's products are more expensive, but the company emphasizes superior quality, craftsmanship, and exclusivity.
Total Addressable Market:
The global luxury furniture market is estimated to be worth around $41.3 billion in 2023, with the US accounting for a significant share. The market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising disposable income and increasing demand for high-end home furnishings among affluent consumers.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financials:
RH's recent financial performance has been strong, with consistent revenue and profit growth.
- Revenue: Q2 2023 revenue reached $969 million, representing a 7% year-over-year increase.
- Net Income: Q2 2023 net income stood at $182 million, an 8% increase from the same period in 2022.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin for Q2 2023 was 56.9%, while operating margin stood at 23.8%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): Q2 2023 EPS reached $5.13, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
RH maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet. The company generated $281 million in cash from operations during Q2 2023 and has a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
RH has consistently paid dividends since becoming a public company in 2012. The current annual dividend is $6.00 per share, with a yield of approximately 2.8%. The company has a history of increasing dividends, with the most recent dividend increase occurring in June 2023.
Shareholder Returns:
RH has delivered impressive shareholder returns over various timeframes. Over the past year, RH stock has returned approximately 27%, while over the past five years, returns have reached close to 200%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
RH has experienced consistent revenue and earnings growth over the past five to ten years. Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15%, while earnings have grown at a CAGR of around 20%.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued growth for RH, with revenue expected to increase by an average of 10-12% annually over the next five years. This growth will be driven by factors such as continued expansion of the company's product offerings, increasing online sales, and growth in international markets.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The luxury furniture market is experiencing several trends, including a growing demand for high-quality, handcrafted products, increasing consumer interest in interior design and home improvement, and the shift towards online furniture purchases.
RH's Positioning:
RH is well-positioned to benefit from these trends due to its focus on high-quality products, curated lifestyle experience, and strong online presence. The company continues to invest in expanding its online capabilities and physical store network, further strengthening its market position.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Williams-Sonoma (WSM)
- Pottery Barn (PB)
- West Elm (ELMC)
- Restoration Hardware (RH)
Market Share:
- RH: 20%
- Williams-Sonoma: 15%
- Pottery Barn: 10%
- West Elm: 5%
- Others: 50%
Competitive Advantages:
RH's key competitive advantages include:
- Exclusive product designs and high-quality materials
- Strong brand reputation and curated lifestyle experience
- Growing online presence and omnichannel capabilities
- Loyal customer base
Disadvantages:
- Higher price points compared to competitors
- Dependence on high-income consumers
- Limited international presence
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions and rising costs of raw materials
- Competition from established players and emerging brands
- Changes in consumer preferences and spending habits
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets, such as Asia and Europe
- Increasing online sales and digital marketing efforts
- Introducing new product categories and collaborations
- Partnering with interior designers and architects
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- RH Teen (2020): This acquisition expanded RH's product offerings into the teen furniture and decor market, targeting a younger demographic.
- RH Modern (2021): Acquired for $1.6 billion, RH Modern broadened the company's product portfolio with contemporary and mid-century modern furniture designs.
- The Antique and Design Center at Hudson Yards (2023): The acquisition aimed to establish a flagship design destination and expand RH's presence in New York City.
These acquisitions align with RH's strategy to diversify its product offerings, cater to different customer segments, and solidify its position as a leading luxury home furnishings brand.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification: RH receives a strong AI-based fundamental rating of 8/10. The rating is supported by the company's solid financial performance, healthy balance sheet, strong brand recognition, and favorable growth prospects. Additionally, RH's focus on high-quality products, curated lifestyle experience, and online expansion positions it well to capitalize on emerging trends in the luxury furniture market.
However, potential challenges like supply chain disruptions, competitive pressures, and dependence on high-income consumers could impact the company's future growth.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- RH Investor Relations website (https://ir.rh.com/)
- SEC filings
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Conduct your own research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About RH
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Corte Madera, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1998-06-19 | Chairman & CEO | Mr. Gary G. Friedman |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.rh.com |
Industry | Specialty Retail | Full time employees | 5330 |
Headquaters | Corte Madera, CA, United States | ||
Chairman & CEO | Mr. Gary G. Friedman | ||
Website | https://www.rh.com | ||
Website | https://www.rh.com | ||
Full time employees | 5330 |
RH, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer in the home furnishings market. The company offers products in various categories, including furniture, lighting, textiles, bathware, décor, outdoor and garden, baby, child, and teen furnishings. It provides its products through rh.com, rhbabyandchild.com, rhteen.com, rhmodern.com, and waterworks.com online channels, as well as operates RH Galleries, RH outlet stores, RH Guesthouse, and Waterworks showrooms in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Germany. The company was formerly known as Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to RH in January 2017. RH was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Corte Madera, California.
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