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Wayfair Inc (W)W
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: W (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -34.89% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -34.89% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.11B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 55.43 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.46 |
Volume (30-day avg) 5600087 | Beta 3.46 |
52 Weeks Range 37.35 - 76.17 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 55.43 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.46 | Volume (30-day avg) 5600087 | Beta 3.46 |
52 Weeks Range 37.35 - 76.17 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-01 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.13 | Actual 0.22 |
Report Date 2024-11-01 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.13 | Actual 0.22 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.54% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.57% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -8.06% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 40.82 |
Enterprise Value 7723732705 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.75 |
Shares Outstanding 99627296 | Shares Floating 97848758 |
Percent Insiders 4.61 | Percent Institutions 116 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 40.82 | Enterprise Value 7723732705 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -7.75 | Shares Outstanding 99627296 | Shares Floating 97848758 |
Percent Insiders 4.61 | Percent Institutions 116 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.86 | Target Price 84.93 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold 18 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.86 | Target Price 84.93 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold 18 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Wayfair Inc: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Wayfair Inc. is an American e-commerce company founded in 2002 as CSN Stores, later renamed Wayfair in 2011. Headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, Wayfair operates a vast online marketplace for home goods, offering furniture, décor, appliances, and more. Over the years, the company has grown into one of the largest online retailers for home furnishings, boasting a global presence and a diversified portfolio of brands.
Core Business Areas:
Wayfair's core business revolves around its online marketplace, where it facilitates transactions between thousands of suppliers and millions of customers. The company operates through a network of websites serving various markets, including the US, Canada, Europe, and Australia. Wayfair also offers private label brands and provides logistics and fulfillment services.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
Niraj Shah serves as the CEO and co-founder of Wayfair, leading a team of experienced executives with expertise in e-commerce, technology, and retail. The company's corporate structure comprises several departments, including merchandising, marketing, technology, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
Wayfair offers an extensive selection of furniture, including sofas, beds, dining tables, and outdoor furniture. The company also carries a wide range of décor items, such as rugs, curtains, lighting, and wall art. Appliances, kitchenware, and bedding are also prominent categories within Wayfair's product portfolio.
Market Share Analysis:
Wayfair holds a significant market share in the online furniture and home goods market. In the US, the company captured an estimated 12.4% market share in 2022, trailing behind Amazon and Walmart. Globally, Wayfair's market share stands at approximately 5%.
Product Performance and Competitor Comparison:
Wayfair's products generally receive positive reviews for their quality and value. However, competition in the online furniture market is fierce, with major players like Amazon, Walmart, and Target offering similar products at competitive prices. Wayfair differentiates itself by focusing on a broader selection, exclusive brand partnerships, and a user-friendly shopping experience.
Total Addressable Market:
The global home furnishings market is vast, estimated to reach a value of $2.4 trillion by 2027. The online segment of this market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing internet penetration and consumer preference for online shopping. Wayfair operates in a dynamic and sizable addressable market, offering significant growth potential.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis:
Wayfair's recent financial performance has been marked by revenue growth but also operating losses. In 2022, the company generated $14.1 billion in revenue, a 20% increase from the previous year. However, net income remained negative at $1.5 billion. Profit margins are under pressure due to factors such as rising shipping costs and investments in growth initiatives.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
While revenue has grown steadily, Wayfair is yet to achieve profitability. The company is investing heavily in expanding its customer base, developing its logistics network, and enhancing its technology platform. Investors are looking for signs of profitability and improved margins in the coming years.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
Wayfair's cash flow statement reflects ongoing investments in growth. The company has a strong balance sheet with a significant cash position, providing enough resources to support future expansion plans. However, managing cash flow effectively and generating positive free cash flow will be crucial for the company's long-term success.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Wayfair does not currently pay dividends, choosing to reinvest its earnings into growth initiatives. As a relatively young company focused on expansion, it may take some time before the company considers initiating dividend payments.
Shareholder Returns:
Wayfair's stock price has experienced significant volatility since its IPO in 2014. While the stock has delivered strong returns for early investors, it has faced challenges in recent years due to concerns about profitability and market competition.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
Wayfair has experienced rapid growth over the past decade, driven by the increasing popularity of online furniture shopping. The company's revenue has increased tenfold since 2013, reflecting its successful expansion strategy.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts expect Wayfair to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, benefiting from the expanding online furniture market. However, achieving profitability remains a key challenge for the company's long-term success.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:
Wayfair has launched several initiatives to fuel future growth, including expanding its private label offerings, developing its logistics network, and investing in personalization and artificial intelligence. These initiatives aim to improve customer experience, enhance operational efficiency, and drive sustained revenue growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The online furniture and home goods market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increasing internet penetration, changing consumer preferences, and the convenience of online shopping. However, competition is fierce, with major players like Amazon, Walmart, and Target vying for market share.
Wayfair's Positioning:
Wayfair differentiates itself by focusing on a broader selection of products, exclusive brand partnerships, and a user-friendly shopping experience. The company also leverages data analytics and artificial intelligence to personalize the customer experience and provide targeted recommendations.
Adaptability to Market Changes:
Wayfair has demonstrated its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics. The company has expanded its product offerings, invested in technology, and adjusted its pricing strategies to remain competitive. However, the company needs to continue innovating and optimizing its operations to maintain its market position.
Main Competitors:
- Amazon (AMZN)
- Walmart (WMT)
- Target (TGT)
- Overstock.com (OSTK)
- IKEA
Key Competitors' Market Share:
- Amazon: 40%
- Walmart: 25%
- Target: 15%
- Overstock.com: 5%
- IKEA: 5%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Extensive product selection
- Exclusive brand partnerships
- Data-driven personalization
- User-friendly shopping experience
Disadvantages:
- Lack of profitability
- Intense competition
- Reliance on third-party logistics
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions
- Rising shipping costs
- Intense competition
- Achieving profitability
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets
- Developing innovative products
- Leveraging data analytics and AI
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
- DwellStudio (2021): Acquired for $225 million to enhance its mid-century modern furniture offerings.
- Birch Lane (2021): Acquired for $310 million to expand its reach in the curated home furnishings market.
- Perigold (2020): Acquired for $275 million to strengthen its position in the luxury home furnishings segment.
These acquisitions demonstrate Wayfair's commitment to expanding its product offerings, targeting specific customer segments, and solidifying its position as a leading online furniture retailer.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI Rating: 7/10
Justification:
Wayfair exhibits strong growth potential, operating in a large and expanding market. The company has a solid brand reputation and a user-friendly platform. However, concerns about profitability and intense competition pose challenges. The company's success will depend on its ability to achieve profitability, optimize its operations, and differentiate itself from competitors.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Wayfair Inc. Investor Relations: https://investors.wayfair.com/
- Statista: https://www.statista.com/
- Marketwatch: https://www.marketwatch.com/
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
This comprehensive overview provides a detailed analysis of Wayfair Inc., covering various aspects from its history and financial performance to its competitive landscape and growth prospects. By understanding these factors, investors can make informed decisions regarding Wayfair stock.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Wayfair Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Boston, MA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-10-02 | Co-Founder, Co-Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. Niraj S. Shah |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.wayfair.com |
Industry | Internet Retail | Full time employees | 12800 |
Headquaters | Boston, MA, United States | ||
Co-Founder, Co-Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. Niraj S. Shah | ||
Website | https://www.wayfair.com | ||
Website | https://www.wayfair.com | ||
Full time employees | 12800 |
Wayfair Inc. provides e-commerce business in the United States and internationally. The company offers approximately thirty million products for the home sector. It offers online selections of furniture, décor, housewares, and home improvement products through its sites consisting of Wayfair, Joss & Main, AllModern, Birch Lane, Perigold, and Wayfair Professional. The company offers its products under the Three Posts and Mercury Row brand name. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
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