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ORGN
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Origin Materials Inc (ORGN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$0.67
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: ORGN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -51.3%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 104.95M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.5
Volume (30-day avg) 1681911
Beta 0.89
52 Weeks Range 0.54 - 1.90
Updated Date 04/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.54 - 1.90
Updated Date 04/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.58

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-03-14
When -
Estimate -0.11
Actual -0.1033

Profitability

Profit Margin -267.56%
Operating Margin (TTM) -174.89%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -10.36%
Return on Equity (TTM) -22%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 5942450
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.35
Enterprise Value 5942450
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.19
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.44
Shares Outstanding 149456992
Shares Floating 125345232
Shares Outstanding 149456992
Shares Floating 125345232
Percent Insiders 8.24
Percent Institutions 17.97

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 2.5
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Origin Materials Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Origin Materials was founded in 2008 and is focused on developing and commercializing carbon negative materials. They use a platform to convert biomass into chemicals and materials that can replace petroleum-based products. The company went public via SPAC in 2021.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Chemical Intermediates: Production of chloromethyl furfural (CMF), hydrothermal carbon, and HTC char. CMF can be further processed into various polymers and chemicals.
  • Polymers and Plastics: Development of PET (polyethylene terephthalate) plastic from sustainable sources as drop-in replacement.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Origin Materials is led by co-founders John Bissell (Co-CEO) and Rich Riley (Co-CEO). They have a board of directors overseeing the company's strategic direction.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • CMF (Chloromethylfurfural): A platform chemical derived from wood residues, which can be transformed into a range of downstream chemicals and materials, including polymers, resins, and solvents. Market share is currently developing as the company scales production. Competitors include companies producing petroleum-based chemical intermediates like ethylene and propylene.
  • PET (Polyethylene Terephthalate): Bio-based PET plastic as a sustainable alternative to traditional petroleum-based PET. Market share is nascent but targeting the $100+ billion PET market. Competitors are producers of traditional PET, such as Indorama Ventures (IVL.BK).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The chemical and materials industry is facing increasing pressure to reduce its carbon footprint and adopt sustainable practices. There is growing demand for bio-based alternatives to traditional petroleum-based products.

Positioning

Origin Materials aims to be a leading provider of carbon-negative materials, offering a sustainable alternative to traditional chemical products. Their competitive advantage lies in their proprietary technology platform.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for Origin Materials is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, considering the demand for sustainable materials in various industries such as packaging, textiles, and automotive. Origin Materials is positioned to capture a significant share of this market by offering cost-competitive and carbon-negative solutions.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Proprietary technology platform
  • Carbon-negative materials production
  • Partnerships with major corporations
  • First-mover advantage in certain markets

Weaknesses

  • Limited commercial production capacity
  • Dependence on securing biomass feedstock
  • Relatively high production costs compared to traditional materials
  • Cash burn

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for sustainable materials
  • Expansion of production capacity
  • Development of new applications for their materials
  • Government incentives for bio-based products

Threats

  • Competition from established chemical companies
  • Fluctuations in feedstock prices
  • Technological advancements in competing materials
  • Economic downturn impacting demand

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ADM (ADM)
  • DANISCO (No Public US Ticker)
  • INDORAMA VENTURES (IVL.BK)

Competitive Landscape

Origin Materials faces competition from established chemical companies with greater resources and market share. However, Origin Materials has a competitive advantage in carbon negative materials.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by partnerships and technology development, not significant commercial sales.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project significant revenue growth over the next few years as the company scales production capacity.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the construction of commercial-scale production facilities and the formation of strategic partnerships with major corporations.

Summary

Origin Materials is an early-stage company with a promising technology platform for producing carbon-negative materials. The company is focused on scaling production and forming strategic partnerships. Cash burn and competition from established players are key challenges. The long term outlook is positive if they execute on strategy.

Similar Companies

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Origin Materials Inc. Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Company Press Releases

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your own research and due diligence.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Origin Materials Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
Full time employees 109
Full time employees 109

Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. Origin Materials, Inc. is headquartered in West Sacramento, California.

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