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Origin Materials Inc (ORGN)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: ORGN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -51.3% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 104.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 1.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1681911 | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 0.54 - 1.90 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.54 - 1.90 | Updated Date 04/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.58 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-14 | When - | Estimate -0.11 | Actual -0.1033 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -267.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) -174.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -10.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 5942450 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.35 |
Enterprise Value 5942450 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.44 | Shares Outstanding 149456992 | Shares Floating 125345232 |
Shares Outstanding 149456992 | Shares Floating 125345232 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.24 | Percent Institutions 17.97 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 2.5 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Origin Materials Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Origin Materials was founded in 2008 and is focused on developing and commercializing carbon negative materials. They use a platform to convert biomass into chemicals and materials that can replace petroleum-based products. The company went public via SPAC in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Chemical Intermediates: Production of chloromethyl furfural (CMF), hydrothermal carbon, and HTC char. CMF can be further processed into various polymers and chemicals.
- Polymers and Plastics: Development of PET (polyethylene terephthalate) plastic from sustainable sources as drop-in replacement.
Leadership and Structure
Origin Materials is led by co-founders John Bissell (Co-CEO) and Rich Riley (Co-CEO). They have a board of directors overseeing the company's strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- CMF (Chloromethylfurfural): A platform chemical derived from wood residues, which can be transformed into a range of downstream chemicals and materials, including polymers, resins, and solvents. Market share is currently developing as the company scales production. Competitors include companies producing petroleum-based chemical intermediates like ethylene and propylene.
- PET (Polyethylene Terephthalate): Bio-based PET plastic as a sustainable alternative to traditional petroleum-based PET. Market share is nascent but targeting the $100+ billion PET market. Competitors are producers of traditional PET, such as Indorama Ventures (IVL.BK).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The chemical and materials industry is facing increasing pressure to reduce its carbon footprint and adopt sustainable practices. There is growing demand for bio-based alternatives to traditional petroleum-based products.
Positioning
Origin Materials aims to be a leading provider of carbon-negative materials, offering a sustainable alternative to traditional chemical products. Their competitive advantage lies in their proprietary technology platform.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for Origin Materials is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, considering the demand for sustainable materials in various industries such as packaging, textiles, and automotive. Origin Materials is positioned to capture a significant share of this market by offering cost-competitive and carbon-negative solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary technology platform
- Carbon-negative materials production
- Partnerships with major corporations
- First-mover advantage in certain markets
Weaknesses
- Limited commercial production capacity
- Dependence on securing biomass feedstock
- Relatively high production costs compared to traditional materials
- Cash burn
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable materials
- Expansion of production capacity
- Development of new applications for their materials
- Government incentives for bio-based products
Threats
- Competition from established chemical companies
- Fluctuations in feedstock prices
- Technological advancements in competing materials
- Economic downturn impacting demand
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADM (ADM)
- DANISCO (No Public US Ticker)
- INDORAMA VENTURES (IVL.BK)
Competitive Landscape
Origin Materials faces competition from established chemical companies with greater resources and market share. However, Origin Materials has a competitive advantage in carbon negative materials.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by partnerships and technology development, not significant commercial sales.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project significant revenue growth over the next few years as the company scales production capacity.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the construction of commercial-scale production facilities and the formation of strategic partnerships with major corporations.
Summary
Origin Materials is an early-stage company with a promising technology platform for producing carbon-negative materials. The company is focused on scaling production and forming strategic partnerships. Cash burn and competition from established players are key challenges. The long term outlook is positive if they execute on strategy.
Similar Companies
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Origin Materials Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Analyst Reports
- Company Press Releases
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your own research and due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Origin Materials Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Chemicals | Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com |
Full time employees 109 | Website https://www.originmaterials.com |
Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. Origin Materials, Inc. is headquartered in West Sacramento, California.
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