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ORGN
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Origin Materials Inc (ORGN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$1.04
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: ORGN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -51.3%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 152.10M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.5
Volume (30-day avg) 1452749
Beta 0.89
52 Weeks Range 0.44 - 1.90
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.44 - 1.90
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.57

Revenue by Products

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -229.52%
Operating Margin (TTM) -210.13%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -10%
Return on Equity (TTM) -20.59%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 18273139
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.33
Enterprise Value 18273139
Price to Sales(TTM) 4.33
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.44
Shares Outstanding 146250000
Shares Floating 116415113
Shares Outstanding 146250000
Shares Floating 116415113
Percent Insiders 7.7
Percent Institutions 18.37

AI Summary

Origin Materials Inc. - Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Origin Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: ORGN) is a renewable materials company founded in 2009 by CEO John Bissell and Chief Scientist Dr. Richard Riley. They aimed to revolutionize how plastic and other materials are produced, shifting from fossil fuels to a more sustainable approach using plant-based resources.

Core Business Areas:

  • Plant-based chemical platform: Origin Material's core technology utilizes a patented process to convert cellulosic biomass (plant-based materials like wood or corn stalks) into chloromethane and chloropicrin. These chemicals are essential building blocks for various plastic, fiber, and other products.
  • Production and licensing: The company currently operates a pilot plant in Sarnia, Ontario, and plans to build a large-scale commercial plant in Louisiana expected to be completed in 2025. Additionally, they license their technology to other companies.
  • Joint ventures: Origin has established joint ventures with leading companies like Nestle, P&G, and Mitsubishi Chemical to develop and commercialize new products using their bio-based materials.

Leadership and Structure:

  • CEO: John Bissell
  • President: Sanjay Hinduja
  • Chief Scientific Officer: Dr. Richard Riley
  • Board of Directors: Comprises experienced professionals from the chemicals and technology industries.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Chloromethane: Key ingredient for various plastics and resins, including polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and polypropylene (PP).
  • Chloropicrin: Used as a fumigant and intermediate chemical in the production of nylon and other materials.
  • Bio-PDO: A bio-based version of 1,3-propanediol (PDO), a building block for bioplastics and other polymers.

Market Share:

  • Chloromethane: Origin is the only commercial producer of bio-based chloromethane in the world.
  • Chloropicrin: Holds a significant market share in the chloropicrin market.
  • Bio-PDO: The bio-PDO market is still emerging, and Origin Materials is aiming to become a major player.

Competitors:

  • Traditional chemical companies: Dow Chemical (DOW), LyondellBasell (LYB), and Sasol (SSL).
  • Emerging bio-based materials companies: Verdezyne (VZNE), Renmatix (RMAT), and Genomatica (GNOM).

Total Addressable Market:

The global market for chemicals like chloromethane, chloropicrin, and PDO is estimated to be worth billions of dollars. Additionally, the bio-based materials market is projected to grow significantly in the coming years.

Financial Performance:

Revenue:

  • 2022: $2.3 million
  • 2021: $743,000
  • 2020: $431,000

Net Income:

  • 2022: -$250.9 million
  • 2021: -$196.1 million
  • 2020: -$108.9 million

Profit Margin:

  • 2022: -91.9%
  • 2021: -71.8%
  • 2020: -87.3%

EPS:

  • 2022: -$4.36
  • 2021: -$3.41
  • 2020: -$1.90

Financial Performance Comparison: Revenue has grown significantly, but the company remains unprofitable as it invests in R&D and scaling up production.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

Origin Materials Inc. continues to burn through cash as it invests in growth. The company raised $550 million in new capital in 2022 to fund its expansion plans.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividends: Origin Materials does not currently pay dividends.
  • Shareholder Returns: Share price has been volatile, declining significantly since its IPO in 2021.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Revenue has grown significantly in recent years as the company scales up production.
  • Future Growth Projections: The company expects strong future growth as it expands production capacity and commercializes its bio-based materials.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends: Growing demand for sustainable materials and pressure to reduce reliance on fossil fuels.

Origin Materials' Positioning: The company is well-positioned to benefit from these trends with its innovative bio-based materials platform.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intense competition from traditional chemical companies and emerging bio-based materials startups.
  • Execution risk associated with scaling up production and commercializing new products.

Opportunities:

  • Large and growing market for bio-based materials.
  • Potential to partner with large companies to develop and commercialize new products.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • None: Origin Materials has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

  • Rating: 7/10
  • Justification: Origin Materials has a strong technology platform, is addressing a large and growing market, and has partnerships with major companies. However, the company is still in the early stages of commercialization and faces competition from established players.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • This analysis utilizes data from Origin Materials Inc.'s financial reports, investor presentations, and industry sources.
  • This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.

About Origin Materials Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters West Sacramento, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-09-04
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. John Bissell
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
Full time employees 162
Full time employees 162

Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carbon-negative materials company. The company develops a proprietary biomass conversion platform to convert biomass, or plant-based carbon into building block chemicals chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, as well as other oils and extractives and other co-products. Origin Materials, Inc. is headquartered in West Sacramento, California.

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