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NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/17/2025: NSSC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 20.54% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0 | Stock Returns Performance 3.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.29B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.9 | 1Y Target Price 47 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.9 | 1Y Target Price 47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 301772 | Beta 1.64 | 52 Weeks Range 31.58 - 57.70 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 31.58 - 57.70 | Updated Date 01/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.43% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.36 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.94% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 18.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 30.94% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.9 | Forward PE 24.69 | Enterprise Value 1185747017 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.76 |
Enterprise Value 1185747017 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.76 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 21.06 | Shares Outstanding 36684100 | Shares Floating 35099316 |
Shares Outstanding 36684100 | Shares Floating 35099316 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.33 | Percent Institutions 93.45 |
AI Summary
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSI): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: NAPCO Security Technologies Inc., founded in 1969, is a leading manufacturer of intrusion alarm and fire detection systems for residential, commercial, and industrial applications. The company has a long-standing reputation for innovation and high-quality products.
Core Business Areas:
- Intrusion Alarm Systems: NAPCO offers a wide range of alarm systems and components, including control panels, sensors, keypads, and communication modules.
- Fire Detection Systems: NAPCO's fire detection products meet various industry standards and include smoke detectors, heat detectors, and fire alarm control panels.
- Access Control Systems: The company provides access control solutions that allow users to manage entry to buildings or specific areas.
- Video Surveillance Systems: NAPCO offers a range of video surveillance cameras and recording devices.
Leadership Team:
- Richard Soloway, Chairman, President, and CEO: Soloway has over 50 years of experience in the security industry and has played a key role in NAPCO's success.
- Peter G. Carbone, Executive Vice President: Carbone has over 40 years of experience in sales, marketing, and product development for NAPCO.
- William A. Carbone, Vice President of Sales and Marketing: Carbone has over 20 years of experience in the security industry and leads NAPCO's sales team.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- StarLink Fire and Security System: A versatile system offering intrusion, fire, and home automation features.
- iBridge Connected Home Automation System: A wireless system allowing control of lights, thermostats, and other devices.
- Commercial Fire Alarm Systems: Complying with NFPA standards, offering high-level fire protection for diverse commercial structures.
Market Share:
- The global intrusion alarm system market is estimated at $32.4 billion in 2023, with NAPCO holding a market share of 2-3%.
- In the United States, NAPCO's market share is estimated around 5%.
Competitors:
- ADT (ADT): Leading provider of security systems with a market share of over 40%.
- Honeywell International (HON): Offers various security products and services.
- Bosch Security Systems (BSI): A global player in security solutions.
- Resideo Technologies (REZI): Produces and distributes home security and comfort products.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global security systems market is projected to reach $87.4 billion by 2027, offering significant growth potential.
- This growth is fueled by rising demand for security solutions in homes, businesses, and public places.
Financial Performance:
Recent Performance:
- Revenue: In 2022, NAPCO had $372 million in revenue, a 3% increase year-over-year.
- Net Income: Net income reached $45 million in 2022, indicating a strong profit margin.
- Earnings per share (EPS): EPS for 2022 reached $2.18, showcasing consistent earnings growth.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- NAPCO maintains a healthy cash flow with a positive operating cash flow of $47 million in 2022.
- The company also has a solid balance sheet with low debt levels and significant equity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: NAPCO has a consistent dividend payout history. The current annual dividend yield is around 3.5%.
Shareholder Returns: In the past year, NAPCO stock has delivered total shareholder returns of around 12%. Over the past five years, the company has generated shareholder returns of approximately 50%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Historically, NAPCO has shown steady growth with revenue increasing at an average rate of 5% over the past five years.
Future Growth:
- NAPCO is well-positioned for further growth due to increasing demand for security solutions, product innovation, and strategic acquisitions.
- The company expects its revenue to grow by 5-8% in the next few years.
Market Dynamics:
- The security systems market is experiencing a period of rapid innovation with advancements in artificial intelligence, cloud technology, and data analytics.
- NAPCO is actively adapting to these changes by focusing on product development and strategic partnerships.
Position within the Industry:
- NAPCO is a recognized leader in the intrusion alarm and fire detection system industry.
- The company's commitment to quality, innovation, and customer service has earned it a strong reputation within the market.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Alarm Engineering Inc.: This acquisition expanded NAPCO's reach in the commercial security market and added expertise in fire and intrusion systems for large commercial properties.
- 2022: Alarm Supply Industries, Inc.: The acquisition further strengthened NAPCO's market position by providing access to a new distribution channel and increasing the company's product portfolio.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall Rating: 8.5 out of 10.
Justification: NAPCO is a solid company with a strong financial performance, a proven track record of growth, and a good market position.
Factors supporting the rating:
- Strong Financial Performance: NAPCO has a healthy financial profile with consistent revenue and earnings growth.
- Market Leadership: The company is a recognized leader in the intrusion alarm and fire detection market, which offers strong competitive advantages.
- Growth Prospects: NAPCO has several growth initiatives in place that could drive its future success.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Competition: The company faces intense competition from other major industry players like ADT and Honeywell.
- Technology: NAPCO needs to keep pace with advancements in technology to stay competitive.
Opportunities:
- Market growth: The security market is expected to continue growing, which presents significant growth opportunities for the company.
- Product innovation: Continued investment in product development can further strengthen NAPCO's market position.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSI) website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports
Disclaimer:
This report is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Note: This analysis is based on the information available as of October 26, 2023.
About NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Amityville, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1990-03-26 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & Secretary Mr. Richard L. Soloway | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 1070 | Website https://www.napcosecurity.com |
Full time employees 1070 | Website https://www.napcosecurity.com |
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; intrusion and fire alarm systems, consists of various detectors, a control panel, a digital keypad and signaling equipment; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. The company's alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. It also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and various peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. The company markets and sells its products to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
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