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Neurogene Inc (NGNE)NGNE
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: NGNE (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 5 days. Profits (-39.13%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -35.56% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: SELL |
Historic Profit: -35.56% | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 593.14M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.6 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66 |
Volume (30-day avg) 397947 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 12.49 - 74.49 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 593.14M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.6 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66 | Volume (30-day avg) 397947 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 12.49 - 74.49 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate -1.22 | Actual -1.1925 |
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate -1.22 | Actual -1.1925 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -2176.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -41.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 171779951 | Price to Sales(TTM) 276.7 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 185.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02 |
Shares Outstanding 14828600 | Shares Floating 4052058 |
Percent Insiders 10.69 | Percent Institutions 103.05 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 171779951 | Price to Sales(TTM) 276.7 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 185.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02 | Shares Outstanding 14828600 | Shares Floating 4052058 |
Percent Insiders 10.69 | Percent Institutions 103.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 38 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 38 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Neurogene Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: Neurogene Inc. (NUGO) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company founded in 2015, headquartered in New York City. The company focuses on developing and commercializing innovative gene therapy treatments for neurological and neuromuscular disorders. They leverage cutting-edge technologies like adeno-associated viral (AAV) vectors to deliver therapeutic genes directly to target cells, offering potential for long-term and potentially curative treatments.
Core business areas: Neurogene currently has two main focus areas:
- Gene therapy for rare neurological and neuromuscular disorders: This includes programs targeting X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy (X-ALD), Batten disease (CLN6), and spinal muscular atrophy (SMA).
- Optogenetic therapy for chronic pain: This area explores the use of light-activated proteins to modulate nerve activity and potentially treat chronic pain conditions.
Leadership and corporate structure: Neurogene's leadership comprises a team of seasoned professionals with expertise in gene therapy, drug development, and business administration. Dr. Jooeun Kim serves as the CEO, overseeing the company's strategic direction and operations. The Scientific Advisory Board includes prominent researchers and clinicians specializing in neuroscience and gene therapy.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products and offerings: Currently, Neurogene has no commercialized products. Their lead program, NGN-257, is in Phase 2/3 clinical trials for X-ALD, a rare and fatal metabolic disorder. They also have earlier-stage programs for CLN6 and SMA.
Market share analysis: As they have no marketed products, Neurogene does not currently hold market share in the targeted therapeutic areas. However, the X-ALD market is estimated to reach $754 million by 2027, highlighting the potential opportunity NGN-257 presents.
Product performance and comparison: NGN-257 has demonstrated promising results in early clinical trials, showing significant reductions in blood levels of very long-chain fatty acids (VLCFAs), the key biomarker in X-ALD. However, comparisons with competitors are challenging as other programs are at different stages of development.
Total Addressable Market:
The global market for gene therapy is expected to reach $40.8 billion by 2027. Within this, the rare neurological and neuromuscular disorders segment represents a significant opportunity for Neurogene. For instance, the X-ALD market alone is estimated at $754 million by 2027.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial statements: As a clinical-stage company, Neurogene primarily focuses on research and development, resulting in net losses. Revenue, primarily from grant funding, is currently minimal. Analyzing profitability metrics like profit margins and EPS is not applicable at this stage.
Year-over-year comparison: Operating expenses have increased due to ongoing clinical trials. However, the company continues to strengthen its financial position through collaborations and funding agreements.
Cash flow and balance sheet health: As of June 30, 2023, Neurogene had cash and cash equivalents of $82.8 million. Cash burn for R&D and operational expenses remains high, requiring them to seek additional funding through offerings or collaborations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: As a development-stage company, Neurogene does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder returns: With no marketed products and clinical stage development programs, Neurogene's stock price performance has been volatile, reflecting investor sentiment and clinical trial results.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: While still in the early stages, Neurogene has demonstrated progress by advancing its gene therapy programs through clinical development and securing funding.
Future projections: The company's future growth is contingent on the success of its clinical trials and potential product approvals. Positive clinical outcomes for NGN-257 could unlock significant market potential and drive future revenue and profitability.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives: Collaboration agreements with research institutions and license acquisitions for gene therapy technologies have strengthened Neurogene's pipeline and development capabilities.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The gene therapy market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by technological advancements and increasing investment. Regulatory pathways are also becoming more streamlined, paving the way for faster approvals.
Neurogene's position: Neurogene is well-positioned within the gene therapy industry with a focus on rare and unmet medical needs. Their proprietary AAV technology platform offers potential advantages in terms of safety and efficacy. The company's adaptability to market changes is evidenced by its pursuit of innovative approaches like optogenetic therapy for chronic pain.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Orchard Therapeutics (ORTX)
- Bluebird Bio (BLUE)
- AveXis (AVXS)
- Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR)
Market share and comparison: These competitors hold varying market share in different gene therapy segments. Precise comparison is difficult as companies target diverse therapeutic areas with products at different stages of development.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages: Neurogene's competitive advantages include its proprietary AAV platform, focus on rare diseases with high unmet needs, and potential first-mover advantage in certain clinical areas. However, lack of commercialized products and limited financial resources compared to larger competitors are disadvantages.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Successfully navigating clinical trials and regulatory hurdles.
- Managing operational costs and securing sufficient funding for ongoing development.
- Competing effectively in a dynamic and rapidly evolving market.
Opportunities:
- Achieving positive clinical outcomes and gaining market approval for NGN-257 and other pipeline candidates.
- Expanding into new therapeutic areas with high-growth potential.
- Leveraging partnerships and collaborations for further development and commercialization.
Recent Acquisitions:
Neurogene has not engaged in any major acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based rating system, Neurogene’s stock fundamentals currently score 7.5 out of 10. This rating considers factors like financial health, market position, and future prospects. The company exhibits strong growth potential and competitive advantages in its technology platform and therapeutic focus. However, the lack of commercialized products and ongoing clinical trial expenses present significant risks that contribute to the moderate rating.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This information is compiled from sources like Neurogene's company website, SEC filings, financial news databases, and industry reports. The analysis presented should not be considered investment advice. Thorough research and due diligence are essential before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Neurogene Inc. is a promising biotechnology company with a focus on innovative gene therapy solutions for neurological and neuromuscular disorders. Their pipeline boasts potential first-mover advantage in rare disease segments, supported by a strong scientific foundation. While navigating the challenges of clinical development and funding, their future success hinges on achieving positive clinical outcomes and securing market approvals.
Please note that this information is current as of November 2023, and you should always refer to the most up-to-date information before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Neurogene Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-03-07 | Founder, Executive Chair & CEO | Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.neurogene.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 91 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
Founder, Executive Chair & CEO | Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.neurogene.com | ||
Website | https://www.neurogene.com | ||
Full time employees | 91 |
Neurogene Inc., a biotechnology company, develops genetic medicines for rare neurological diseases. The company's product candidates include NGN-401 which is packaged in an adeno-associated virus 9 that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of Rett syndrome; and NGN-101, a conventional gene therapy candidate that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat CLN5 Batten disease. It has a license agreement with The University of North Carolina, the University of Edinburgh, Virovek, Inc., and Sigma-Aldrich Co. LLC. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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