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Neurogene Inc (NGNE)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2024: NGNE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -35.56% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 12/24/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -35.56% | Avg. Invested days: 25 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/24/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 593.14M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.6 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66 |
Volume (30-day avg) 599072 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 14.44 - 74.49 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 593.14M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.6 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66 | Volume (30-day avg) 599072 | Beta - |
52 Weeks Range 14.44 - 74.49 | Updated Date 11/13/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -2176.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -32.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) -41.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 211553879 | Price to Sales(TTM) 363.26 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 228.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02 |
Shares Outstanding 14828600 | Shares Floating 4052058 |
Percent Insiders 10.69 | Percent Institutions 103.05 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 211553879 | Price to Sales(TTM) 363.26 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 228.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02 | Shares Outstanding 14828600 | Shares Floating 4052058 |
Percent Insiders 10.69 | Percent Institutions 103.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 38 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 5 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 38 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 5 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
## Neurogene Inc. Stock Analysis: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background of Neurogene Inc.
Neurogene Inc. (NASDAQ: NGEN) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing therapies for neurodegenerative diseases. Founded in 2014, the company has its headquarters in New York City and is led by Dr. Rafael A. Garcia, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Neurogene has a team of experienced scientists and drug developers with expertise in neurology, neuroscience, and drug discovery.
Description of the company’s core business areas.
Neurogene's core business areas are:
- Development of NGM621 for acute ischemic stroke: NGM621 is a novel, first-in-class, small molecule drug candidate that selectively targets and inhibits the enzyme p38 MAPK, which is believed to play a critical role in the cascade of events leading to neuronal death after a stroke.
- Development of NGM120 for Alzheimer's disease: NGM120 is a novel, first-in-class, small molecule drug candidate that inhibits the enzyme BACE1, which is essential for the production of amyloid beta, a key component of the amyloid plaques found in the brains of Alzheimer's patients.
- Discovery of new therapies for other neurodegenerative diseases: Neurogene's research team is actively exploring the potential of its p38 MAPK and BACE1 platforms to develop new therapies for other neurodegenerative diseases, such as Parkinson's disease, Huntington's disease, and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS).
Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure.
Neurogene's leadership team includes:
- Dr. Rafael A. Garcia, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
- Dr. Michael A. Wolk, Chief Operating Officer
- Dr. David W. Smith, Chief Medical Officer
- Dr. Mark J. Albers, Chief Scientific Officer
The company's board of directors consists of experienced professionals with expertise in various fields, including medicine, biotechnology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of Neurogene Inc's top products and offerings.
Currently, Neurogene has two lead product candidates in its pipeline:
- NGM621 for acute ischemic stroke: NGM621 is a small molecule inhibitor of p38 MAPK, designed to limit neuronal damage and improve neurological function after a stroke. It is currently in Phase 2 clinical trials.
- NGM120 for Alzheimer's disease: NGM120 is a small molecule inhibitor of BACE1, designed to prevent the formation of amyloid beta plaques in the brain, a key pathological feature of Alzheimer's disease. It is currently in Phase 1 clinical trials.
Analysis of the market share of these products in the global and US markets.
As of now, neither NGM621 nor NGM120 are commercially available, thus they have no current market share. However, the potential markets for these products are substantial. The global market for stroke treatment was valued at $8.2 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $12.2 billion by 2028. The global market for Alzheimer's disease treatment was valued at $6.7 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $13.5 billion by 2028.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors.
There are several competitors developing therapies for both stroke and Alzheimer's disease. Some of the key competitors for NGM621 include Genentech (Roche), AstraZeneca, and Eli Lilly. For NGM120, major competitors include Biogen, Eisai, and Eli Lilly.
Total Addressable Market.
The total addressable market (TAM) for Neurogene's products is significant. The global market for stroke treatment is estimated to be worth $12.2 billion by 2028, and the global market for Alzheimer's disease treatment is estimated to be worth $13.5 billion by 2028.
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements, including revenue, net income, profit margins, and earnings per share (EPS).
As a clinical-stage company, Neurogene does not currently generate any revenue. In 2022, the company reported a net loss of $22.5 million, compared to a net loss of $17.3 million in 2021. The company's research and development expenses have been increasing as it progresses with its clinical trials.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison.
Neurogene's research and development expenses have been increasing steadily year-over-year. In 2022, the company spent $19.4 million on R&D, compared to $13.8 million in 2021. This increase is primarily due to the advancement of its clinical trials for NGM621 and NGM120.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health.
Neurogene's cash and cash equivalents were $44.4 million as of December 31, 2022. The company's cash burn rate was $9.5 million during the year. The company believes that its current cash and cash equivalents are sufficient to fund its operating expenses and capital expenditures for at least the next 12 months.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Neurogene does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Neurogene's stock price has been volatile in recent years. The stock price reached a high of $13.94 in February 2021 but has since fallen to around $2.50 as of November 7, 2023.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years.
Neurogene is a relatively young company, founded in 2014. As such, it does not have a long history of growth. However, the company has made significant progress in advancing its clinical trials for NGM621 and NGM120.
Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance.
The market for stroke and Alzheimer's disease treatments is expected to grow significantly in the coming years. Neurogene is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth with its promising product candidates.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives on growth prospects.
Neurogene has several ongoing clinical trials for NGM621 and NGM120. The company is also exploring strategic partnerships to expand its reach and accelerate its development programs.
Market Dynamics:
Overview of the industry stock Neurogene Inc operates in, including current trends, demand-supply scenarios, and technological advancements.
The neurodegenerative disease market is characterized by a high unmet need for effective treatments. There is a growing demand for new therapies that can slow or stop the progression of these diseases. Technological advancements are playing a key role in the development of new therapies, including gene therapy, stem cell therapy, and targeted therapies.
Analysis of how Neurogene Inc is positioned within the industry and its adaptability to market changes.
Neurogene is well-positioned within the neurodegenerative disease market with its promising product candidates and experienced management team. The company is also adaptable to market changes, as evidenced by its recent strategic partnerships and ongoing clinical trials.
Competitors:
Identification of key competitors (including stock symbols).
Key competitors for Neurogene Inc. include:
- Genentech (Roche): RHHBY
- AstraZeneca: AZN
- Eli Lilly: LLY
- Biogen: BIIB
- Eisai: ESALY
Market share percentages and comparison with Neurogene Inc.
As none of Neurogene's products are currently commercially available, it has no market share. However, the company's competitors have significant market share in the stroke and Alzheimer's disease markets.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages relative to these competitors.
Neurogene's competitive advantages include its novel product candidates, experienced management team, and strong financial position. However, the company faces competition from large pharmaceutical companies with established products and significant resources.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
Neurogene faces several challenges, including:
- Successfully completing clinical trials for NGM621 and NGM120
- Obtaining regulatory approval for NGM621 and NGM120
- Commercializing NGM621 and NGM120
- Competing with established pharmaceutical companies
Potential Opportunities:
Neurogene has several opportunities, including:
- The potential for NGM621 and NGM120 to be successful treatments for stroke and Alzheimer's disease
- The growing market for stroke and Alzheimer's disease treatments
- The potential for strategic partnerships to expand its reach and accelerate its development programs
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
Neurogene has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based fundamental rating system, Neurogene Inc. receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating takes into account the company's financial health, market position, and future prospects.
Justification of the rating:
- Financial health: Neurogene has a strong cash position and is well-funded to continue its clinical trials.
- Market position: Neurogene has promising product candidates in the large and growing market for stroke and Alzheimer's disease treatments.
- Future prospects: Neurogene has a strong pipeline of product candidates and is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of the neurodegenerative disease market.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information from the following sources:
- Neurogene Inc. website (https://neurogene.com/)
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Neurogene Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2014-03-07 | Founder, Executive Chair & CEO | Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.neurogene.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 91 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
Founder, Executive Chair & CEO | Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D. | ||
Website | https://www.neurogene.com | ||
Website | https://www.neurogene.com | ||
Full time employees | 91 |
Neurogene Inc., a biotechnology company, develops genetic medicines for rare neurological diseases. The company's product candidates include NGN-401 which is packaged in an adeno-associated virus 9 that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of Rett syndrome; and NGN-101, a conventional gene therapy candidate that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat CLN5 Batten disease. It has a license agreement with The University of North Carolina, the University of Edinburgh, Virovek, Inc., and Sigma-Aldrich Co. LLC. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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