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NGNE
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Neurogene Inc (NGNE)

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$17.31
Delayed price
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PASS
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: NGNE (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -35.56%
Avg. Invested days 25
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 593.14M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 54.6
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 54.6
Volume (30-day avg) 249739
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 14.42 - 74.49
Updated Date 02/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 14.42 - 74.49
Updated Date 02/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -3.66

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -2176.65%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -32.36%
Return on Equity (TTM) -41.34%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 127624683
Price to Sales(TTM) 277.98
Enterprise Value 127624683
Price to Sales(TTM) 277.98
Enterprise Value to Revenue 137.97
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.02
Shares Outstanding 14828600
Shares Floating 4052058
Shares Outstanding 14828600
Shares Floating 4052058
Percent Insiders 10.69
Percent Institutions 103.05

AI Summary

Neurogene Inc. (NASDAQ: NGN): A Detailed Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

  • Founded in 2006, Neurogene Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing gene therapy treatments for neurological and orphan diseases.
  • The company's headquarters are in New York, with additional facilities in Massachusetts and California.
  • They have over 200 employees, 60 of whom are scientists, as of their most recent 10-K report.
  • The company went public on the NASDAQ in 2021.

Core Business Areas:

  • Neurogene's primary focus lies on developing gene therapy treatments targeting central nervous system (CNS) diseases with high unmet medical needs.
  • Their lead product candidate, NGN-257, is in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of Batten Disease, a rare and fatal neurodegenerative disorder.
  • They also have a second product candidate, NGN-343, in preclinical development for the treatment of Sanfilippo Syndrome Type A, another rare neurodegenerative disease.
  • They are exploring the potential for NGN-257 to treat additional CNS diseases.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • The company's leadership team consists of experienced individuals with extensive expertise in drug development and gene therapy.
  • The CEO is Greg A. Mayes, who has over 30 years of experience in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries.
  • The Chairman of the Board is Dr. Michael Powell, a renowned geneticist and former president of the American Society of Gene & Cell Therapy.
  • The company's corporate structure includes a Board of Directors, Scientific Advisory Board, and Management Team.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • NGN-257: This is the company's lead product candidate in Phase 2 clinical trials for Batten Disease.
  • NGN-257 is an adeno-associated virus (AAV) vector that delivers a functional copy of the CLN2 gene to the brain cells of affected individuals, potentially halting the disease progression.
  • NGN-343: This is a preclinical-stage product candidate for Sanfilippo Syndrome Type A. NGN-343 aims to address the underlying genetic defect in this disease.

Market Share:

  • As a clinical-stage company, Neurogene doesn't currently have any marketed products and therefore doesn't hold a market share in the traditional sense.
  • However, they are targeting niche markets within the rare disease space, especially Batten Disease, which has limited treatment options.
  • Their success in developing effective therapies for these diseases could lead them to capture a significant share of these markets.

Comparison with competitors:

  • Several companies are developing gene therapies for CNS diseases, including uniQure (QURE), Regenxbio (RGNX), and BioMarin (BMRN).
  • Neurogene differentiates itself through its proprietary AAV vector platform and its focus on rare, devastating diseases with high unmet medical need.

Total Addressable Market (TAM):

  • The global market for Batten Disease treatments is estimated to be around $150 million, while the global market for Sanfilippo Syndrome Type A treatments is estimated to be around $100 million.
  • These markets are expected to grow steadily in the coming years due to increasing awareness and diagnosis of these rare diseases.

Financial Performance:

Recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: As of the most recent 10-K, Neurogene primarily generates revenue from research and development collaborations with other companies. Their revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, amounted to $10.5 million, primarily from a research collaboration with BioMarin.
  • Net Income: The company is currently pre-profitability and has incurred net losses each year since its inception. In 2022, the net loss was $44.2 million.
  • Profit Margins: Due to no marketed products and development-heavy operations, Neurogene currently has negative profit margins.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): As the company doesn't have any earnings, its EPS is currently negative.

Financial performance comparison:

  • Year-over-year, the company's revenue has grown significantly, primarily due to the research collaboration agreement with BioMarin.
  • However, the net loss has also increased year-over-year as the company continues to invest heavily in R&D.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

  • The company's cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2022, were $126.4 million.
  • The company has a relatively healthy balance sheet, with total assets of approximately $140.5 million and total liabilities of $14.1 million.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Neurogene doesn't currently pay dividends, as it is a pre-profitability company focused on growth.
  • Since its IPO in 2021, the company's share price has been volatile, reflecting the risks associated with early-stage biotechnology companies.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • The company has experienced strong revenue growth over the past few years, primarily driven by collaboration agreements and research grants.

Future Growth Projections:

  • Future growth will depend on the success of the company's ongoing clinical trials for NGN-257 and the development of NGN-343.
  • If these programs are successful, Neurogene could launch its first product by 2025-2026, leading to significant revenue and market share gains.

Recent strategic initiatives:

  • The company recently entered a strategic collaboration with BioMarin to develop and commercialize NGN-343 for Sanfilippo Syndrome Type A, providing access to broader expertise and funding.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

  • The gene therapy industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by advancements in technology and increasing investment from pharmaceutical companies.
  • The market for CNS gene therapies is particularly promising due to the high prevalence of neurological diseases and limited treatment options.

Neurogene's Positioning:

  • The company has a strong position within this market due to its proprietary AAV vector platform and focus on rare, severe diseases with high unmet medical need.

Adaptability:

  • Neurogene actively seeks partnerships and collaborations to further develop its pipeline and share the risks associated with drug development, demonstrating its adaptability within the evolving landscape of the gene therapy industry.

Competitors:

Key Competitors:

  • uniQure (QURE)
  • Regenxbio (RGNX)
  • BioMarin (BMRN)
  • Orchard Therapeutics (ORTX)
  • AveXis (AVXS)

Market share and comparison:

  • Currently, none of these competitors have an approved gene therapy for Batten Disease or Sanfilippo Syndrome Type A, making Neurogene a potential frontrunner in these markets.

Competitive advantages:

  • Neurogene's proprietary AAV vector platform is designed to deliver genes to the brain more effectively than traditional AAV vectors, potentially leading to improved therapeutic outcomes.
  • The company's focus on rare, severe diseases with limited treatment options provides a significant first-mover advantage.

Competitive disadvantages:

  • As a young company, Neurogene has limited financial resources compared to larger competitors.
  • Their clinical trials are still ongoing, and the success of these trials is not guaranteed.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • The lengthy and expensive clinical trial process for gene therapies.
  • Regulatory hurdles and potential safety concerns associated with gene therapy.
  • Competition from other pharmaceutical companies developing similar therapies.
  • Difficulty in obtaining reimbursement for expensive gene therapy treatments.

Potential Opportunities:

  • The growing market for gene therapies, particularly in the CNS space.
  • The potential for NGN-257 and NGN-343 to become the first approved treatments for Batten Disease and Sanfilippo Syndrome Type A, respectively, leading to significant market share.
  • Opportunities for partnerships and collaborations to further develop the pipeline and share risks.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • Neurogene hasn't made any acquisitions within the past three years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

  • Neurogene has a promising pipeline of potentially breakthrough gene therapies for rare CNS diseases with high unmet medical needs.
  • Their proprietary AAV vector platform and strategic partnerships provide a strong competitive advantage.
  • The gene therapy market is expected to experience significant growth in the coming years.
  • However, the company is still pre-revenue and faces significant risks associated with clinical development and commercialization of its therapies.

Disclaimer:

This information is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About Neurogene Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2014-03-07
Founder, Executive Chair & CEO Dr. Rachel L. McMinn Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 91
Full time employees 91

Neurogene Inc., a biotechnology company, develops genetic medicines for rare neurological diseases. The company's product candidates include NGN-401 which is packaged in an adeno-associated virus 9 that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of Rett syndrome; and NGN-101, a conventional gene therapy candidate that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat CLN5 Batten disease. It has a license agreement with The University of North Carolina, the University of Edinburgh, Virovek, Inc., and Sigma-Aldrich Co. LLC. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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