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National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -60.2% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 571.15M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 741866 | Beta 2.19 | 52 Weeks Range 4.09 - 7.56 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 4.09 - 7.56 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.23 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-17 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.31 | Actual 0.269 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -9.26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.06% | Return on Equity (TTM) -5.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 31.65 | Enterprise Value 504049427 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.37 |
Enterprise Value 504049427 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.37 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.91 | Shares Outstanding 95192200 | Shares Floating 89996980 |
Shares Outstanding 95192200 | Shares Floating 89996980 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.44 | Percent Institutions 88.57 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 8.06 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
National CineMedia Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) was formed in 2005 as a joint venture between AMC Entertainment, Cinemark USA, and Regal Entertainment Group. It operates as a cinema advertising network in the United States.
Core Business Areas
- Cinema Advertising: NCMI's primary business is selling advertising time before feature films in movie theaters. This includes on-screen advertising (NCM Spark) and lobby promotions.
- Digital Advertising: NCMI also provides digital advertising solutions, leveraging its network of cinema screens and digital platforms to reach moviegoers.
- Partnerships: NCMI works with cinema circuits and advertising partners to provide advertising solutions, using the reach and impact of cinema to communicate with audiences.
Leadership and Structure
National CineMedia is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. The company's organizational structure includes departments for sales, marketing, operations, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- NCM Spark: NCM Spark delivers cinema advertising on movie theater screens before showtime. Market share varies based on reporting period and definition of the cinema advertising market. Major competitors are smaller regional cinema advertising networks and digital advertising platforms competing for ad dollars. Difficult to find accurate, up-to-date marketshare figures for specific offerings but it is a leader in its segment.
- Lobby Entertainment Network: The Lobby Entertainment Network provides digital advertising opportunities in cinema lobbies. The company competes with other out-of-home advertising providers and digital advertising solutions. Similar to NCM Spark, specific market share data for Lobby Entertainment Network is not widely available.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The cinema advertising industry is evolving with changes in moviegoing habits and the rise of digital advertising. While competition from streaming and other entertainment options exists, cinema advertising can offer high impact and engaged audiences. The return to cinemas post-COVID has been slow, with advertising budgets shifting to other mediums in the interim.
Positioning
National CineMedia is one of the largest cinema advertising networks in the U.S. Its competitive advantages include its extensive network of screens, its partnerships with major cinema chains, and its ability to reach a captive audience. Its largest risk involves the cost and appeal of going to a movie theatre vs watching from home.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for cinema advertising is estimated to be several billion dollars. NCMI is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its relationships with major movie theatre chains and its diverse product offerings. However, increased competition from digital channels impact their TAM capture.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive network of cinema screens
- Partnerships with major cinema chains
- High-impact advertising medium
- Captive audience reach
Weaknesses
- Dependence on cinema attendance rates
- Vulnerability to economic downturns
- Competition from digital advertising
- High debt load
Opportunities
- Growth in digital advertising solutions
- Expansion into new markets
- Partnerships with streaming services
- Increased investment in experiential advertising
Threats
- Decline in cinema attendance
- Shift in advertising budgets to digital media
- Economic recession
- Competition from alternative entertainment options
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AMC (AMC)
- Cinemark (CNK)
- Regal (Private)
- Screenvision Media (Private)
Competitive Landscape
National CineMedia faces competition from other cinema advertising networks, as well as digital advertising platforms. Its advantages include its large network and partnerships with major chains. Its disadvantages include its dependence on cinema attendance and its relatively high debt burden.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: National CineMedia's historical growth has been tied to the performance of the cinema industry and advertising spending. Revenue has fluctuated depending on movie releases.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates should be consulted for future revenue and earnings projections. Factors that need to be looked at include the recovery of cinema attendance, the adoption of digital advertising solutions, and partnerships.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include development of digital advertising formats, partnerships with streaming services, and investments in new technologies to enhance the cinema advertising experience. Up-to-date initiatives are reported in current press releases from the company.
Summary
National CineMedia is a major player in cinema advertising, leveraging its extensive network of screens and partnerships. The company is vulnerable to the cyclical nature of the movie industry, and faces increasing competition from digital advertising. While its core business is strong, the company must innovate and expand its digital offerings to remain competitive. A high debt load also contributes to a more challenged outlook.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Financial news sources
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on independent research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market data is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About National CineMedia Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Advertising Agencies | Full time employees 254 | Website https://www.ncm.com |
Full time employees 254 | Website https://www.ncm.com |
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost and Boomerang; and through digital gaming products, including Noovie Trivia app. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.
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