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NCMI logo NCMI
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
NCMI logo

National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$5.98
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

04/01/2025: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -60.2%
Avg. Invested days 24
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 04/01/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 571.15M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.5
Volume (30-day avg) 741866
Beta 2.19
52 Weeks Range 4.09 - 7.56
Updated Date 04/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 4.09 - 7.56
Updated Date 04/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.01%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.23

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-03-17
When Before Market
Estimate 0.31
Actual 0.269

Profitability

Profit Margin -9.26%
Operating Margin (TTM) 23.41%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.06%
Return on Equity (TTM) -5.27%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 31.65
Enterprise Value 504049427
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.37
Enterprise Value 504049427
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.37
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.91
Shares Outstanding 95192200
Shares Floating 89996980
Shares Outstanding 95192200
Shares Floating 89996980
Percent Insiders 5.44
Percent Institutions 88.57

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.25
Target Price 8.06
Buy 1
Strong Buy 2
Buy 1
Strong Buy 2
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

National CineMedia Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) was formed in 2005 as a joint venture between AMC Entertainment, Cinemark USA, and Regal Entertainment Group. It operates as a cinema advertising network in the United States.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Cinema Advertising: NCMI's primary business is selling advertising time before feature films in movie theaters. This includes on-screen advertising (NCM Spark) and lobby promotions.
  • Digital Advertising: NCMI also provides digital advertising solutions, leveraging its network of cinema screens and digital platforms to reach moviegoers.
  • Partnerships: NCMI works with cinema circuits and advertising partners to provide advertising solutions, using the reach and impact of cinema to communicate with audiences.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

National CineMedia is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. The company's organizational structure includes departments for sales, marketing, operations, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • NCM Spark: NCM Spark delivers cinema advertising on movie theater screens before showtime. Market share varies based on reporting period and definition of the cinema advertising market. Major competitors are smaller regional cinema advertising networks and digital advertising platforms competing for ad dollars. Difficult to find accurate, up-to-date marketshare figures for specific offerings but it is a leader in its segment.
  • Lobby Entertainment Network: The Lobby Entertainment Network provides digital advertising opportunities in cinema lobbies. The company competes with other out-of-home advertising providers and digital advertising solutions. Similar to NCM Spark, specific market share data for Lobby Entertainment Network is not widely available.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The cinema advertising industry is evolving with changes in moviegoing habits and the rise of digital advertising. While competition from streaming and other entertainment options exists, cinema advertising can offer high impact and engaged audiences. The return to cinemas post-COVID has been slow, with advertising budgets shifting to other mediums in the interim.

Positioning

National CineMedia is one of the largest cinema advertising networks in the U.S. Its competitive advantages include its extensive network of screens, its partnerships with major cinema chains, and its ability to reach a captive audience. Its largest risk involves the cost and appeal of going to a movie theatre vs watching from home.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for cinema advertising is estimated to be several billion dollars. NCMI is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its relationships with major movie theatre chains and its diverse product offerings. However, increased competition from digital channels impact their TAM capture.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Extensive network of cinema screens
  • Partnerships with major cinema chains
  • High-impact advertising medium
  • Captive audience reach

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on cinema attendance rates
  • Vulnerability to economic downturns
  • Competition from digital advertising
  • High debt load

Opportunities

  • Growth in digital advertising solutions
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Partnerships with streaming services
  • Increased investment in experiential advertising

Threats

  • Decline in cinema attendance
  • Shift in advertising budgets to digital media
  • Economic recession
  • Competition from alternative entertainment options

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AMC (AMC)
  • Cinemark (CNK)
  • Regal (Private)
  • Screenvision Media (Private)

Competitive Landscape

National CineMedia faces competition from other cinema advertising networks, as well as digital advertising platforms. Its advantages include its large network and partnerships with major chains. Its disadvantages include its dependence on cinema attendance and its relatively high debt burden.

Major Acquisitions

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: National CineMedia's historical growth has been tied to the performance of the cinema industry and advertising spending. Revenue has fluctuated depending on movie releases.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates should be consulted for future revenue and earnings projections. Factors that need to be looked at include the recovery of cinema attendance, the adoption of digital advertising solutions, and partnerships.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include development of digital advertising formats, partnerships with streaming services, and investments in new technologies to enhance the cinema advertising experience. Up-to-date initiatives are reported in current press releases from the company.

Summary

National CineMedia is a major player in cinema advertising, leveraging its extensive network of screens and partnerships. The company is vulnerable to the cyclical nature of the movie industry, and faces increasing competition from digital advertising. While its core business is strong, the company must innovate and expand its digital offerings to remain competitive. A high debt load also contributes to a more challenged outlook.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Industry reports
  • Financial news sources
  • Analyst estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on independent research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market data is subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About National CineMedia Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08
CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski
Sector Communication Services
Industry Advertising Agencies
Full time employees 254
Full time employees 254

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost and Boomerang; and through digital gaming products, including Noovie Trivia app. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

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