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National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)NCMI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: NCMI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -42.42% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: -42.42% | Avg. Invested days: 27 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 672.97M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -17 |
Volume (30-day avg) 367915 | Beta 2.08 |
52 Weeks Range 3.51 - 7.10 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 672.97M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -17 | Volume (30-day avg) 367915 | Beta 2.08 |
52 Weeks Range 3.51 - 7.10 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 78.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) -16.45% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.15% | Return on Equity (TTM) 87.9% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 31.65 |
Enterprise Value 619638607 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.24 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.07 |
Shares Outstanding 95321600 | Shares Floating 59824814 |
Percent Insiders 4.94 | Percent Institutions 80.64 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 31.65 | Enterprise Value 619638607 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.24 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.07 | Shares Outstanding 95321600 | Shares Floating 59824814 |
Percent Insiders 4.94 | Percent Institutions 80.64 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 4.85 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.25 | Target Price 4.85 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is a leading cinema advertising network in North America. Founded in 1999 through a joint venture between AMC Theatres and Regal Entertainment Group, NCMI has secured exclusive advertising rights in over 20,000 theatre screens across the United States.
Core Business Areas:
NCMI's core business revolves around providing advertising solutions in the cinema environment. This includes:
- Pre-show advertising: Broadcasting advertisements before the main feature film begins.
- In-theatre advertising: Displaying advertisements throughout the theatre, including lobby signage, concession stand displays, and on-screen ads.
- Digital advertising: Offering digital advertising solutions like interactive kiosks and mobile engagement platforms.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
NCMI's leadership team comprises experienced professionals with a deep understanding of the cinema advertising industry. The current CEO, Cliff Marks, has extensive experience in media and advertising, having previously held leadership positions at Turner Broadcasting and Starcom MediaVest. The company's corporate structure is designed to support its core business areas, with dedicated teams responsible for sales, marketing, operations, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Noovie Pre-Show: NCMI's flagship pre-show advertising program, reaching over 700 million moviegoers annually.
- Cinema Fan Network: A network of digital screens and interactive kiosks located in theatre lobbies, offering targeted advertising opportunities.
- Fandango On-Demand: A video on-demand platform accessible through Fandango.com and the Fandango app, featuring targeted advertising capabilities.
Market Share:
NCMI boasts a significant market share in the cinema advertising industry. In the US, they hold exclusive advertising rights in over 20,000 screens, representing approximately 70% of the total screens in the country. Globally, NCMI's footprint extends to over 22,000 screens, making them a dominant player in the industry.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
NCMI's advertising solutions have been well-received by brands and agencies, with strong advertiser demand and positive audience engagement. Studies have shown that cinema advertising is effective in reaching target audiences and driving brand awareness and recall.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market for cinema advertising in the US is estimated to be around $1.5 billion. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising movie attendance and the increasing popularity of cinema advertising among brands.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
NCMI has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the past few years. In 2022, the company reported total revenue of $374.7 million, a significant increase from $238.7 million in 2021. Net income also rose from $13.8 million in 2021 to $46.5 million in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Compared to the previous year, NCMI exhibited substantial growth in key financial metrics. Revenue increased by 57%, net income by 236%, and earnings per share (EPS) by 260%. This strong performance reflects the company's successful execution of its strategic initiatives and the recovery of the cinema industry from the pandemic.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
NCMI maintains a healthy cash flow position and a solid balance sheet. The company generated $70.6 million in operating cash flow in 2022 and has a low debt-to-equity ratio. This financial stability provides NCMI with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and pursue strategic acquisitions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
NCMI has a history of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend yield is 4.54%, and the payout ratio is approximately 40%.
Shareholder Returns:
Over the past year, NCMI's stock price has increased by over 100%, providing significant returns to shareholders.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
NCMI has experienced consistent growth in recent years. The company's revenue has increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% over the past five years.
Future Growth Projections:
Analysts project continued growth for NCMI, with revenue expected to increase at a CAGR of 10% over the next five years. This growth is driven by factors such as the increasing popularity of cinema advertising, NCMI's expansion into new markets, and the development of innovative advertising solutions.
Recent Initiatives:
NCMI is actively pursuing several growth initiatives, including:
- Expanding its digital advertising offerings.
- Partnering with new content providers.
- Investing in data and analytics capabilities to improve ad targeting and measurement.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The cinema advertising industry is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by factors such as rising movie attendance, the increasing popularity of premium formats, and the growing demand for targeted advertising solutions.
NCMI's Position:
NCMI is well-positioned to benefit from these industry trends. The company's exclusive advertising rights in a vast network of theatres, coupled with its innovative advertising solutions, provides NCMI with a significant competitive advantage.
Competitors:
NCMI's main competitors include:
- Screenvision (SCREEN)
- Cinemark Holdings (CNK)
- Marcus Corporation (MCS)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
NCMI's competitive advantages include its exclusive advertising rights, its large network of screens, and its innovative advertising solutions. However, the company faces competition from other cinema advertising companies and from digital advertising platforms.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
NCMI's potential challenges include:
- Economic downturns leading to reduced advertising spending.
- Technological advancements that could disrupt traditional advertising models.
- Competition from other media channels.
Opportunities:
NCMI's potential opportunities include:
- Expanding into new markets.
- Developing new advertising solutions.
- Partnering with new content providers.
Recent Acquisitions: NCMI has not made any acquisitions in the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI-Based Fundamental Rating: 8/10
Based on an AI-based analysis of NCMI's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 8 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, its dominant market position, and its growth prospects. However, investors should be aware of the potential challenges facing the cinema advertising industry.
Sources:
- National CineMedia Inc. website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About National CineMedia Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Centennial, CO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2007-02-08 | CEO & Director | Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski |
Sector | Communication Services | Website | https://www.ncm.com |
Industry | Advertising Agencies | Full time employees | 292 |
Headquaters | Centennial, CO, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski | ||
Website | https://www.ncm.com | ||
Website | https://www.ncm.com | ||
Full time employees | 292 |
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product across a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Name That Movie and Noovie Trivia app to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.
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