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National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)NCMI

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
National CineMedia Inc
$6.69
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -51.81%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 26
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -51.81%
Avg. Invested days: 26
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 641.63M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 8.06
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -7.34
Volume (30-day avg) 484050
Beta 2.07
52 Weeks Range 3.63 - 7.39
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 641.63M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 8.06
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -7.34
Volume (30-day avg) 484050
Beta 2.07
52 Weeks Range 3.63 - 7.39
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-05
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.03
Actual -0.04
Report Date 2024-11-05
When AfterMarket
Estimate -0.03
Actual -0.04

Profitability

Profit Margin -9.5%
Operating Margin (TTM) -11.7%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.17%
Return on Equity (TTM) -5.86%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.26
Enterprise Value 616324222
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.62
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.63
Shares Outstanding 94915104
Shares Floating 63485848
Percent Insiders 4.96
Percent Institutions 85.83
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.26
Enterprise Value 616324222
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.62
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.63
Shares Outstanding 94915104
Shares Floating 63485848
Percent Insiders 4.96
Percent Institutions 85.83

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.25
Target Price 4.85
Buy 1
Strong Buy 2
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.25
Target Price 4.85
Buy 1
Strong Buy 2
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

History and Background

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) was founded in 1999 as a joint venture between AMC Theatres and Regal Cinemas. It is the leading cinema advertising network in the United States, exclusively representing approximately 20,450 screens in 1,645 theaters across all 50 states. NCMI provides comprehensive advertising solutions to national, regional, and local advertisers, offering a wide range of formats and technologies to reach moviegoers.

Core Business Areas

NCMI's core business areas include:

  • Pre-show advertising: This includes trailers, in-theater commercials, and branded content that is shown before feature films.
  • In-theater promotions: NCMI offers various promotional opportunities within the cinema environment, such as product sampling, interactive experiences, and partnerships with concession stands.
  • Digital advertising: NCMI provides digital advertising solutions across its network of theaters, including on-screen displays, mobile apps, and websites.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure

NCMI is led by a team of experienced executives, including:

  • CEO: Jeffrey Cuban
  • President and COO: Peter Faricy
  • CFO: William D. Gipson
  • EVP, Chief Technical Officer: Brian L. Mulligan

The company's corporate structure consists of a board of directors, executive management team, and various departments responsible for operations, sales, marketing, finance, and technology.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products and Offerings

NCMI's top products include:

  • Noovie Pre-show: This in-theater advertising program reaches millions of moviegoers each month with a mix of trailers, commercials, and branded content.
  • Cinema Network: NCMI's digital advertising network provides advertisers with access to a wide range of digital screens and platforms within the cinema environment.
  • In-theater promotions: NCMI offers a variety of in-theater promotional opportunities, allowing brands to engage with consumers directly at the point of purchase.

Market Share Analysis

NCMI holds a dominant position in the cinema advertising market, with an estimated market share of over 70% in the United States. The company has a long-standing relationship with major theater chains, providing it with exclusive access to a vast network of screens.

Compared to its competitors, NCMI offers a more comprehensive advertising solution, including a variety of formats, technologies, and data-driven insights. This allows NCMI to reach a broader audience and deliver more impactful advertising campaigns.

Total Addressable Market

The total addressable market for cinema advertising in the United States is estimated to be around $3.5 billion. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising movie attendance and the increasing popularity of in-theater advertising.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Performance

NCMI's recent financial performance has been mixed. The company has experienced challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which led to temporary theater closures and reduced advertising spending. However, NCMI has taken steps to adapt to the changing market conditions, focusing on digital advertising and developing new advertising solutions.

  • Revenue: NCMI's revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $222.3 million, a decrease of 14.4% from the previous year.
  • Net Income: NCMI reported a net income of $4.2 million for the fiscal year 2022, compared to a net income of $18.3 million in the previous year.
  • Profit Margins: NCMI's profit margin for the fiscal year 2022 was 1.9%, down from 8.4% in the previous year.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): NCMI's EPS for the fiscal year 2022 was $0.08, compared to EPS of $0.32 in the previous year.

Financial Health Analysis

NCMI's financial health is relatively strong. The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio and a solid cash position. However, NCMI's revenue and profitability have been impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The company is actively working to improve its financial performance and adapt to the changing market landscape.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History

NCMI has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. However, the company suspended its dividend payout in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Shareholder Returns

Shareholder returns for NCMI have been negative in recent years, primarily due to the decline in the company's stock price. However, long-term investors may still benefit from potential future growth and recovery in the cinema advertising market.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth

NCMI experienced strong growth in the years leading up to the COVID-19 pandemic. The company's revenue and profitability increased steadily as movie attendance grew and in-theater advertising became more popular.

Future Growth Projections

NCMI's future growth prospects are uncertain. The company's recovery will depend on several factors, including the pace of the economic recovery, movie attendance trends, and the adoption of new advertising technologies.

Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives

NCMI has launched several new products and initiatives in recent years to drive growth, including:

  • Noovie Pre-show Plus: This enhanced pre-show program offers advertisers additional features and data-driven insights.
  • Cinema Network Expansion: NCMI is expanding its digital advertising network to reach more moviegoers across different platforms.
  • Strategic Partnerships: NCMI is partnering with各大 technology companies and data providers to enhance its advertising solutions.

Market Dynamics

Industry Overview

The cinema advertising industry is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising movie attendance and the increasing popularity of in-theater advertising. However, the industry is also facing challenges, such as the rise of streaming services and the changing consumer behavior.

Competitive Position

NCMI is well-positioned within the industry, with its dominant market share and long-standing relationships with major theater chains. The company is also adapting to the changing market conditions by focusing on digital advertising and developing new advertising solutions.

Competitors

NCMI's major competitors include:

  • Screenvision (SCVN): Screenvision is the second-largest cinema advertising network in the United States, with a market share of approximately 20%.
  • Digital Cinema Media (DCM): DCM is a subsidiary of the National Association of Theatre Owners (NATO), representing independent theater chains.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges

NCMI faces several key challenges, including:

  • Competition: NCMI faces stiff competition from other cinema advertising networks and from streaming services.
  • Economic Uncertainty: The COVID-19 pandemic has created economic uncertainty, which could impact movie attendance and advertising spending.
  • Changing Consumer Behavior: Consumers are increasingly watching movies at home or on mobile devices, which could reduce the effectiveness of in-theater advertising.

Potential Opportunities

NCMI also has several potential opportunities, including:

  • Growth of Digital Advertising: NCMI is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of digital advertising within the cinema environment.
  • Technological Advancements: NCMI can leverage new technologies to enhance its advertising solutions and improve targeting and measurement.
  • Strategic Partnerships: NCMI can partner with other companies to expand its reach and offer more comprehensive advertising solutions.

Recent Acquisitions

NCMI has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Based

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

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About National CineMedia Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08 CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski
Sector Communication Services Website https://www.ncm.com
Industry Advertising Agencies Full time employees 292
Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States
CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski
Website https://www.ncm.com
Website https://www.ncm.com
Full time employees 292

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product across a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Name That Movie and Noovie Trivia app to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.

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