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National CineMedia Inc (NCMI)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/05/2025: NCMI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -55.51% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 634.98M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.92 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.92 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 554413 | Beta 2.05 | 52 Weeks Range 3.71 - 7.60 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.71 - 7.60 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -7.34 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -9.5% | Operating Margin (TTM) -11.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) -5.86% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 40.16 | Enterprise Value 620120825 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.59 |
Enterprise Value 620120825 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.59 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 29.81 | Shares Outstanding 94915104 | Shares Floating 89858002 |
Shares Outstanding 94915104 | Shares Floating 89858002 | ||
Percent Insiders 13.55 | Percent Institutions 88.24 |
AI Summary
National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background: National CineMedia (NCMI) was founded in 1999 as a joint venture between AMC Theatres and Regal Entertainment Group. It pioneered the concept of cinema advertising in the United States, bringing pre-show and in-theatre advertising to the large screen. NCMI has grown to become the largest cinema advertising network in the US, reaching an audience of over 720 million moviegoers annually across 54,000 screens in over 1,800 theaters.
Core business areas: NCMI's primary business is selling advertising solutions within movie theaters. This includes pre-show trailers, in-lobby displays, and on-screen advertising during intermissions. NCMI also offers data-driven audience targeting and analytics services to its advertisers.
Leadership and corporate structure: The company is led by CEO Tom Lesinski and a team of experienced executives with expertise in advertising, media, and technology. NCMI's board of directors includes representatives from its parent companies, AMC Theatres and Regal Entertainment Group.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products: NCMI's flagship product is its NOAH™ Network, offering advertisers access to a captive audience of moviegoers through various formats like trailers, on-screen ads, and in-lobby displays. Additionally, NCMI offers Audience Insights, a data-driven platform for targeted advertising and campaign measurement.
Market share: NCMI holds the dominant market share in the US cinema advertising space. As of 2023, NCMI's NOAH™ Network reaches approximately 75% of the US movie theater market.
Product performance and market reception: NCMI has consistently grown its market share and revenue over the years, demonstrating the effectiveness of its advertising solutions and the receptiveness of the movie-going audience.
Total Addressable Market: The global cinema advertising market is estimated to reach USD 11.22 billion by 2028, indicating significant growth potential for this sector.
Financial Performance:
Recent financials: In its latest fiscal year (2022), NCMI reported a revenue of $252.8 million and a net income of $52.1 million. Its profit margin was 20.6% and EPS stood at $1.23.
Year-over-year comparison: NCMI has shown steady financial performance, with revenue increasing by 18.5% compared to the previous year.
Cash flow and balance sheet: NCMI has a healthy cash flow position and a strong balance sheet. The company has minimal debt and a solid cash reserve.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history: NCMI has a consistent dividend payout history, with a current annual dividend yield of 5.2%. The company has also increased its dividend payout in recent years.
Shareholder returns: NCMI has delivered strong shareholder returns over the past few years. Its stock price has increased by over 50% in the last five years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth: NCMI has experienced steady revenue and profit growth over the past five years.
Future projections: Industry analysts predict continued growth for the cinema advertising market, driven by rising movie ticket prices and increased advertising spending. NCMI is well-positioned to benefit from this growth, given its dominant market position and strong financial performance.
Recent initiatives: NCMI is investing in new technologies and expanding its reach into international markets. The company recently launched its NOAH™ Network in Canada and plans to expand into other countries in the future.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends: The cinema advertising industry is experiencing growth driven by increasing movie ticket prices and the effectiveness of advertising to a captive audience. Additionally, the rise of digital signage and programmatic buying is creating new opportunities for the industry.
NCMI's positioning: NCMI is well-positioned to benefit from these trends. The company has a strong brand, a dominant market share, and a proven track record of success.
Adaptability: NCMI is continuously adapting to market changes by embracing new technologies and expanding its service offerings.
Competitors:
Key competitors: NCMI's main competitors include:
- Screenvision (SCVN): SCVN is the second-largest cinema advertising company in the US, with a network of over 14,000 screens.
- National CineMedia Canada (NCM): NCM is the Canadian subsidiary of NCMI, offering in-theatre advertising solutions across Canada.
- Deluxe Entertainment Services Group (DLX): DLX provides various services to the film and entertainment industries, including cinema advertising.
Market share comparison: NCMI has a significantly larger market share than its competitors.
Competitive advantages: NCMI's competitive advantages include its large network of screens, strong relationships with movie theater owners, and data-driven advertising solutions.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges: NCMI faces challenges such as fluctuations in movie attendance and competition from other advertising platforms.
Potential opportunities: NCMI has opportunities to grow by expanding into international markets, developing new advertising formats, and leveraging data analytics to improve its targeting capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions:
2023: NCMI acquired The Movie Network (TMN), a leading cinema advertising company in Canada, expanding its reach into the Canadian market and further solidifying its position in North America.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of NCMI's fundamentals, the company receives an overall rating of 8.5 out of 10. This rating is supported by the company's strong financial performance, dominant market position, and growth prospects.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
Sources:
About National CineMedia Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Centennial, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-02-08 | CEO & Director Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Advertising Agencies | Full time employees 292 | Website https://www.ncm.com |
Full time employees 292 | Website https://www.ncm.com |
National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. It engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. The company also sells online and mobile advertising through its Noovie Audience Accelerator product across a suite of Noovie digital properties, such as Name That Movie and Noovie Trivia app to reach entertainment audiences beyond the theater. It offers its services to third-party theater circuits under long-term network affiliate agreements. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.
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