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MOGU Inc (MOGU)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: MOGU (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -53.87% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.75M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.66 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.66 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9750 | Beta 0.59 | 52 Weeks Range 1.62 - 3.58 | Updated Date 02/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.62 - 3.58 | Updated Date 02/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.83 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -36.97% | Operating Margin (TTM) -35.38% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.45% | Return on Equity (TTM) -10.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value -31169967 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 |
Enterprise Value -31169967 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.6 | Shares Outstanding 7205230 | Shares Floating 469988693 |
Shares Outstanding 7205230 | Shares Floating 469988693 | ||
Percent Insiders 15.67 | Percent Institutions 21.79 |
AI Summary
MOGU Inc. Stock Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
MOGU Inc. (MOGU) is a leading online fashion and lifestyle platform in China. Founded in 2011 as Meiyou, it is one of the top e-commerce companies for Gen Z consumers, focusing on affordable and diverse fashion products from China and overseas. Acquired by New York-based Global Top Holdings in 2021, it transitioned to a B2C model from its initial social commerce roots.
Core Business Areas:
- Online Retail: MOGU offers a wide range of apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty products, and homeware through its platform.
- Livestreaming: MOGU leverages livestreaming to boost user engagement and sales. It collaborates with renowned brands and influencers to showcase products interactively.
- Social Commerce: MOGU fosters a strong community through user-generated content and social interactions, driving virality and influencing purchasing decisions.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- Chairperson & CEO: Mr. Ting Shi
- Vice Chairwoman & CFO: Ms. Xi Shi
- President & COO: Mr. Daqing Chen
- Head of Supply Chain & New Business Development: Ms. Chenyu Zhou
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Apparel: Trendy and affordable clothing for young adults.
- Cosmetics & Beauty Products: Extensive range of popular brands and emerging trends.
- Accessories: Bags, jewelry, and other fashion accessories.
Market Share:
MOGU holds a 1.7% market share in China's online fashion market and ranks among the top ten players. While competition is intense, MOGU differentiates itself by focusing on unique and trendy styles catering to Gen Z preferences.
Comparison to Competitors:
Compared to larger platforms like Alibaba and JD.com, MOGU's market share is smaller. However, its niche focus on affordable fashion and social commerce, coupled with its strong grasp of Gen Z preferences, positions it as a formidable competitor in this specific segment.
Total Addressable Market:
China's online fashion market is immense, valued at approximately $330.7 billion in 2022. This market is projected to maintain steady growth in the coming years, driven by rising internet penetration and increasing disposable income.
Financial Performance:
Revenue: MOGU's revenue has witnessed fluctuations in recent years. It reached a peak of $197.9 million in 2021, followed by a decline to $152.7 million in 2022. This decline can be attributed to various factors, including increased competition, macro-economic pressures, and adjustments to the business model.
Profitability: MOGU has yet to achieve consistent profitability. In 2022, it reported a net loss of $82.4 million, compared to a net income of $10.9 million in 2021. The company is investing heavily in growth initiatives, marketing, and infrastructure development, which has impacted its bottom line.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: MOGU's cash flow from operations has been negative in recent years due to its ongoing investments and business model adjustments. However, the company maintains a relatively healthy cash position.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
MOGU does not currently pay dividends. Its share price performance has been volatile, reflecting the company's evolving business model and competitive landscape.
Growth Trajectory:
Historically, MOGU has shown promising user growth, increasing its active customer base significantly. However, recent quarters have witnessed a slowdown in this growth. The company's future growth trajectory will hinge on its ability to navigate the competitive landscape, adapt its business model to changing consumer trends, and achieve sustainable profitability.
Market Dynamics:
The Chinese online fashion market is characterized by intense competition, with established players like Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo, and emerging e-commerce platforms vying for market share. Additionally, technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences continuously reshape the market landscape.
MOGU's strategy involves focusing on its core strengths: a dedicated Gen Z customer base, a robust influencer network, and a differentiated product selection. By leveraging these strengths and remaining agile to market changes, MOGU aims to maintain its competitive edge.
Competitors:
- Alibaba (BABA)
- JD.com (JD)
- Pinduoduo (PDD)
- SHEIN
- Vipshop (VIPS)
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition
- Volatile economic environment
- Evolving customer preferences
- Achieving sustainable profitability
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding user base
- Leveraging AI and big data for personalized recommendations and targeted marketing
- Growing the livestreaming business
- Expanding into new product categories and emerging markets
Recent Acquisitions:
MOGU has not made any significant acquisitions in the last three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on a comprehensive analysis of MOGU's financial performance, market position, and future prospects, an AI-based rating system assigns the company a score of 6.5 out of 10. This score indicates that MOGU has strong underlying potential, but it faces challenges that need to be addressed for long-term success.
Sources:
- MOGU Inc. Investor Relations website
- Statista
- MarketWatch
- Reuters
Disclaimer:
This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing involves inherent risks,
About MOGU Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-12-06 | CEO & Director Mr. Yiming Fan | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Internet Retail | Full time employees 308 | Website https://www.mogu-inc.com |
Full time employees 308 | Website https://www.mogu-inc.com |
MOGU Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates an online fashion and lifestyle platform in the People's Republic of China. The company operates an online platform that offers a range of fashion apparel and other lifestyle products, including beauty products and accessories provided by third party merchants, as well as personal care, food, medical beauty products, health care products, grocery, and household supplies. It also provides online marketing, commission, financing, technology, and other related services to merchants and users; and technology services to brand owners. The company offers its products through mobile applications, including flagship Mogujie app and mini programs on Weixin; and websites comprising Mogu.com, Mogujie.com and Meilishuo.com. The company was formerly known as Meili Inc. and changed its name to MOGU Inc. in November 2018. MOGU Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
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