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Mercer International Inc (MERC)MERC
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: MERC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -42.67% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -42.67% | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 419.95M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.12 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.87 |
Volume (30-day avg) 378506 | Beta 1.37 |
52 Weeks Range 5.27 - 10.97 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 419.95M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.12 |
Dividends yield (FY) 4.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.87 | Volume (30-day avg) 378506 | Beta 1.37 |
52 Weeks Range 5.27 - 10.97 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-10-31 | When AfterMarket |
Estimate 0.08 | Actual -0.26 |
Report Date 2024-10-31 | When AfterMarket | Estimate 0.08 | Actual -0.26 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -9.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 1.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) -31.99% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 94.34 |
Enterprise Value 1797305460 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.29 |
Shares Outstanding 66870800 | Shares Floating 54251222 |
Percent Insiders 37.92 | Percent Institutions 56.05 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 94.34 | Enterprise Value 1797305460 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.21 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.29 | Shares Outstanding 66870800 | Shares Floating 54251222 |
Percent Insiders 37.92 | Percent Institutions 56.05 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 15.8 | Buy - |
Strong Buy - | Hold 4 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3 | Target Price 15.8 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Hold 4 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Mercer International Inc. (MERC): A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1955 as a pulp and paper manufacturer.
- Initially focused on bleached softwood kraft pulp and paper production.
- Acquired by Weyerhaeuser in 1964 and spun off as an independent company in 2006.
- Currently operates in two segments: Pulp and Cellulosic Fibres (65% of sales) and Lumber (35% of sales).
Core Business Areas:
- Pulp and Cellulosic Fibres: Production of bleached and unbleached softwood kraft pulp, dissolving pulp, and other specialty pulp products. These are used in various applications such as printing and writing paper, tissue, and hygiene products.
- Lumber: Manufacturing of lumber products such as studs, framing lumber, and decking. These are primarily sold to the North American residential construction market.
Leadership and Structure:
- CEO: J.R. Howard (since June 2014)
- Other Key Executives: Peter F. Duncanson (President & COO), J.L. VanGilder (CFO)
- Headquarters: Bellevue, Washington, USA
- Board of Directors: 10 members, including 3 independent directors
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Bleached softwood kraft pulp
- Unbleached softwood kraft pulp
- Dissolving pulp
- Lumber products
Market Share:
- Pulp: Global market share of approximately 2% (2022).
- Lumber: Market share in North America is not publicly disclosed.
Comparison to Competitors:
- Major competitors in the pulp market include Weyerhaeuser, International Paper, and Domtar.
- Mercer International holds a relatively smaller market share compared to these larger players.
- In the lumber market, Mercer International faces competition from various regional and national lumber producers.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global pulp market: Approximately 60 million metric tons (2022).
- North American lumber market: Approximately 55 billion board feet (2022).
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements (2022):
- Revenue: $856.9 million
- Net Income: $228.1 million
- Profit Margin: 26.6%
- EPS: $4.77
Year-over-Year Performance:
- Revenue increased by 22.6% compared to 2021.
- Net income increased by 119.1% compared to 2021.
- Notable increase in pulp prices drove the improved performance.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health:
- Strong cash flow from operations, with $246.1 million generated in 2022.
- Healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Dividend payout history is inconsistent.
- Current dividend yield (as of October 26, 2023): 3.5%
- Payout ratio (as of October 26, 2023): 20%
Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year total return: 80%
- 5-year total return: 120%
- 10-year total return: 170%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 7% over the past 5 years.
- Net income has grown at a CAGR of 15% over the past 5 years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Management projects continued growth in both pulp and lumber segments driven by increasing demand and improving prices.
- Recent investments in modernization and expansion of pulp and lumber facilities are expected to further drive growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
- The pulp and paper industry is mature and cyclical, with demand highly dependent on economic conditions.
- The North American lumber market is also cyclical and heavily influenced by housing starts.
- Technological advancements are leading to innovation in pulp and paper production, including increased use of recycled fibers and bio-based materials.
Mercer International's Positioning:
- Strong market positions in both pulp and lumber segments.
- Diversification across two business segments provides some protection from industry downturns.
- Focus on sustainable forestry practices and environmental stewardship.
Competitors:
- Pulp: Weyerhaeuser (WY), International Paper (IP), Domtar (UFS)
- Lumber: West Fraser Timber (WFG), Weyerhaeuser (WY), PotlatchDeltic (PCH)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Cyclical nature of the pulp and paper and lumber industries.
- Rising input costs and potential for inflation.
- Competition from larger and more diversified players.
Opportunities:
- Increasing demand for sustainable packaging solutions and hygiene products.
- Growth in emerging markets.
- Potential for mergers and acquisitions to further expand market share.
Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):
- No major acquisitions were completed during this time period.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Overall Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance and improving profitability.
- Continued growth potential in both pulp and lumber segments.
- Cyclical nature of the industry and potential for market downturns.
- Competition from larger players.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Data sources:
- Mercer International Inc. website
- Yahoo Finance
- SEC filings
- Industry reports
- The information provided in this overview should not be considered financial advice. It is important to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Mercer International Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Vancouver, BC, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 1987-04-20 | CEO, President & Director | Mr. Juan Carlos Bueno |
Sector | Basic Materials | Website | https://www.mercerint.com |
Industry | Paper & Paper Products | Full time employees | 3508 |
Headquaters | Vancouver, BC, Canada | ||
CEO, President & Director | Mr. Juan Carlos Bueno | ||
Website | https://www.mercerint.com | ||
Website | https://www.mercerint.com | ||
Full time employees | 3508 |
Mercer International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells northern bleached softwood kraft (NBSK) and northern bleached hardwood kraft (NBHK) pulp worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Pulp and Solid Wood. It manufactures, sells, and distributes pulp, electricity, and chemicals through pulp mills. The company also manufactures, distributes, and sells lumber, cross-laminated timber, finger joint lumber, glue-laminated timber, wood pallets, electricity, biofuels, and wood residuals. In addition, it generates and sells green energy produced from biomass cogeneration power plant to third party. Further, it produces and sells NBSK pulp manufactured from softwood; green energy using carbon-neutral biofuels, such as black liquor and wood waste; tall oil from black liquor for use as a chemical additive and green energy source; bio extractives and biomaterials, including lignin, turpentine, cellulose filaments, and sandalwood oil; and biofuels; as well as provides transportation and logistics services. The company sells its pulp to pulp markets, integrated paper and paperboard manufacturers; and lumber products to distributors, construction firms, secondary manufacturers, retail yards, and home centers. Mercer International Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
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