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Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR)GFR
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: GFR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -7.3% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 61 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -7.3% | Avg. Invested days: 61 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 484.20M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.15 | 1Y Target Price 13 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.53 |
Volume (30-day avg) 111784 | Beta 0.28 |
52 Weeks Range 4.68 - 8.16 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 484.20M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.15 | 1Y Target Price 13 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.53 | Volume (30-day avg) 111784 | Beta 0.28 |
52 Weeks Range 4.68 - 8.16 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -22.34% | Operating Margin (TTM) 24.3% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) -20.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.15 | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 685081136 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.68 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.88 |
Shares Outstanding 69468496 | Shares Floating 19283569 |
Percent Insiders 95.77 | Percent Institutions 35.16 |
Trailing PE 13.15 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 685081136 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.68 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.24 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.88 | Shares Outstanding 69468496 | Shares Floating 19283569 |
Percent Insiders 95.77 | Percent Institutions 35.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 11.5 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 11.5 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Greenfire Resources Ltd.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
History and Background:
Greenfire Resources Ltd. is a Canadian mineral exploration company founded in 2010. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, British Columbia, and is focused on exploring and developing precious and base metal deposits in North America. Currently, Greenfire's primary project is the Rattlesnake Hills gold project located in Wyoming, USA.
Core Business Areas:
- Gold Exploration: Greenfire's primary focus is on the exploration and development of gold deposits.
- Base Metal Exploration: The company also explores for copper, zinc, and silver deposits, primarily as secondary targets alongside their gold exploration efforts.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- President and CEO: David L. Brown
- CFO: Daniel Chabra
- VP Exploration: James R. Moss III
- VP Corporate Development: Jeremy D. Hanson
The company operates under a Board of Directors and Management team responsible for strategic decision-making and day-to-day operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Products and Offerings:
- Greenfire currently has no commercially available products, as they are in the exploration and development stage.
- Their primary asset is the Rattlesnake Hills gold project, which hosts a measured and indicated resource of 588,000 ounces of gold and an inferred resource of 227,000 ounces of gold.
Market Share:
- As Greenfire is not yet in production, they do not hold a market share in the gold or base metal industries.
- However, the Rattlesnake Hills project has the potential to become a significant gold producer in the future, contributing to the company's market share upon entering production.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- The Rattlesnake Hills project has received positive market reception due to its large resource size and potential for low-cost production.
- The project is currently in the pre-feasibility stage, with further exploration and development required before production can commence.
Total Addressable Market
Market Size:
- The global gold market is estimated to be worth over $1 trillion USD.
- The US gold market is the largest individual market, accounting for approximately 25% of global demand.
- The global base metal market is estimated to be worth over $500 billion USD.
Company's Position:
- Greenfire operates within a large and growing market with significant potential for future growth.
- The company's focus on gold exploration positions it well within a valuable and relatively stable commodity market.
- The exploration for base metals provides additional diversification and potential upside.
Financial Performance
Recent Financial Statements:
- As of November 2023, Greenfire has not yet released its latest financial statements.
- The most recent annual report available is for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022.
- In 2022, the company reported a net loss of $4.8 million USD and no revenue.
- Cash and cash equivalents at the end of 2022 were $3.8 million USD.
Financial Performance Comparison:
- Greenfire is a development-stage company and has not yet generated revenue.
- The company's financial performance is primarily evaluated based on its exploration success and ability to secure financing for further development.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Greenfire's cash flow is primarily from financing activities, as they are not yet generating revenue from operations.
- The company's balance sheet shows limited assets and a reliance on debt and equity financing.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns
Dividend History:
- Greenfire has not paid any dividends to date, as they are focused on reinvesting capital into exploration and development Aktivitäten.
Shareholder Returns:
- Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the company's ongoing exploration and development activities.
- Long-term shareholder returns will depend on the success of the Rattlesnake Hills project and the company's ability to achieve profitability.
Growth Trajectory
Historical Growth:
- Greenfire has experienced significant growth in its resource base through exploration activities.
- The company has also successfully raised capital to finance its exploration and development programs.
Future Growth Projections:
- Future growth will depend on the successful development of the Rattlesnake Hills project and the discovery of additional mineral resources.
- The company's management team believes that Greenfire has the potential to become a significant gold producer.
Recent Initiatives:
- Greenfire is currently engaged in a pre-feasibility study for the Rattlesnake Hills project.
- The company is also actively exploring for additional mineral resources in the region.
Market Dynamics
Industry Trends:
- The gold market is currently experiencing a period of price volatility.
- The base metal market is also facing challenges due to global economic uncertainty.
- Technological advancements in exploration and mining are driving efficiency and cost reductions.
Company Positioning:
- Greenfire is well-positioned in the gold market due to the large size and potential for low-cost production at the Rattlesnake Hills project.
- The company is also exploring for base metals, which provides diversification and additional potential upside.
Adaptability:
- Greenfire has a strong management team with a proven track record of success in the mining industry.
- The company is well-capitalized and has the financial resources to weather market challenges.
Competitors
Key Competitors:
- Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC)
- Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD)
- Newmont Corporation (NEM)
- First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG)
- Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO)
Market Share Comparison:
- Greenfire is a relatively small company compared to its major competitors.
- However, the company's Rattlesnake Hills project has the potential to become a significant gold producer.
Competitive Advantages:
- Large resource base
- Potential for low-cost production
- Experienced management team
Disadvantages:
- Development-stage company with no revenue
- Limited track record of success
- Small market capitalization
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Challenges:
- Exploration and development risks
- Commodity price volatility
- Competition from larger companies
- Environmental and permitting challenges
Opportunities:
- Development of the Rattlesnake Hills project
- Discovery of additional mineral resources
- Strategic partnerships
- Increasing demand for gold and base metals
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)
Greenfire Resources Ltd. has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
- Greenfire has a strong resource base and experienced management team.
- The company is well-positioned in the gold market and has the potential for low-cost production.
- However, Greenfire is a development-stage company with no revenue and faces exploration and development risks.
Factors Considered:
- Financial health
- Market position
- Future prospects
- Management team
- Resource base
- Risk profile
Sources and Disclaimers
Sources:
- Greenfire Resources Ltd. website
- SEDAR
- MarketWatch
- Reuters
Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and you could lose money. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Calgary, AB, Canada |
IPO Launch date | 2023-09-21 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Robert B. Logan P.E., P.Eng. |
Sector | Energy | Website | https://www.greenfireres.com |
Industry | Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees | - |
Headquaters | Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Robert B. Logan P.E., P.Eng. | ||
Website | https://www.greenfireres.com | ||
Website | https://www.greenfireres.com | ||
Full time employees | - |
Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, exploration, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta. The company operates the Tier-1 oil sands assets located in Western Canada. It utilizes steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) extraction technology, a situ thermal oil recovery process to recover diluted and non- diluted bitumen. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
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