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Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)GFAI
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/15/2024: GFAI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -73.34% | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 11/15/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -73.34% | Avg. Invested days: 21 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/15/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 1 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.05M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.36 |
Volume (30-day avg) 210172 | Beta 2.71 |
52 Weeks Range 1.00 - 4.30 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.05M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.5 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.36 | Volume (30-day avg) 210172 | Beta 2.71 |
52 Weeks Range 1.00 - 4.30 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -49.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) -11.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -15.65% | Return on Equity (TTM) -72.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 22.88 |
Enterprise Value 2098446 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.06 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.39 |
Shares Outstanding 11865600 | Shares Floating 8361402 |
Percent Insiders 15.81 | Percent Institutions 0.66 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 22.88 | Enterprise Value 2098446 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.06 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -4.39 | Shares Outstanding 11865600 | Shares Floating 8361402 |
Percent Insiders 15.81 | Percent Institutions 0.66 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 14 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 5 | Target Price 14 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Guardforce AI Co Ltd. Overview (February 23, 2023):
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background of Guardforce AI Co Ltd.:
- Founded in 2002 as Guardforce Security and Consulting, offering security guarding services in Hong Kong.
- 2016: Acquired Security Hong Kong Ltd., expanding its workforce and geographical reach.
- 2018: Listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKG: 1487).
- 2020: Pivoted into AI-enabled robotics and intelligent security solutions.
Description of the company’s core business areas:
- Robotics products: including autonomous surveillance robots, inspection robots, and delivery robots.
- AI-powered security solutions: encompassing video analytics, access control, and security management software.
- Integrated security services: combining traditional security guards with AI-powered solutions.
Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO and Co-Chairman: Mr. Terence Kwok
- CFO and Co-Chairman: Mr. Stanley Kwok
- Board of Directors: comprised of 12 members with diverse expertise in technology, finance, and security.
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of Guardforce AI Co Ltd's top products and offerings:
- Robot Guard: autonomous patrolling robot with 360° vision, obstacle avoidance, and human interaction capabilities.
- Intelligent Security Management System: cloud-based platform for real-time monitoring, incident detection, and data analysis.
- Robotic Process Automation (RPA): automates repetitive tasks within security operations.
Analysis of the market share of these products:
- Global market share: data unavailable for specific products.
- US market share: limited presence as of February 2023.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:
- While Guardforce AI's robots are innovative, competitors like Knightscope and AAEON offer similar products.
- Guardforce's AI solutions face competition from established players like Honeywell and Hikvision.
Total Addressable Market:
- Global security robot market: estimated at USD 8.26 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 28.27 billion by 2028 (CAGR 25.1%).
- Global intelligent video analytics market: estimated at USD 10.6 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 30.7 billion by 2028 (CAGR 23.8%).
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements:
- Revenue:
- 2021: USD 68.5 million
- 2022: USD 105.6 million (54% YoY growth)
- Net income:
- 2021: USD 1.9 million
- 2022: USD 6.4 million (236% YoY growth)
- Profit margins:
- Gross margin: 46.5%
- Operating margin: 10.5%
- Net margin: 6.1%
- Earnings per share (EPS):
- 2021: USD 0.01
- 2022: USD 0.04
Year-over-year financial performance comparison:
- Revenue increased 54% YoY in 2022.
- Net income witnessed a significant 236% YoY growth in 2022.
- Profit margins are improving gradually.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
- Strong cash flow from operations: USD 28.5 million in 2022.
- Healthy balance sheet with USD 184.1 million in cash and equivalents.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
-Dividend History:
- Guardforce AI does not currently pay dividends.
-Shareholder Returns:
- 1-year total return: -65.3%
- 5-year total return: -86.7%
- 10-year total return: -80.3%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years:
- Revenue has grown rapidly since the company's transition to AI-based solutions.
- Net income has turned positive with improved profitability.
Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance:
- Strong growth potential driven by rising demand for security robots and AI solutions.
- Company targets to expand global presence and product portfolio.
Recent product launches and strategic initiatives on growth prospects:
- Launched new security robots like A6S and G8S.
- Expanded partnerships with security companies and property developers.
Market Dynamics:
Overview of the industry stock Guardforce AI Co Ltd operates in:
- The security industry is growing rapidly, driven by demand for enhanced security and automation.
- Technological advancements like AI and robotics are transforming the industry.
- Rising awareness of data privacy and cybersecurity concerns fuels demand for advanced security solutions.
Analysis of how Guardforce AI Co Ltd is positioned within the industry and its adaptability to market changes:
- Guardforce AI is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the security market.
- The company's focus on AI-based solutions aligns with industry trends.
- Its adaptable business model caters to evolving client needs and technology advancements.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Knightscope (KSCP)
- AAEON (AAEON)
- Honeywell (HON)
- Hikvision (002415.SZ)
Market share percentages and comparison with Guardforce AI Co Ltd:
- Market share data for specific competitors in Guardforce AI's segments is not readily available.
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
- Guardforce AI:
- Advantages: innovative robot technology, strong partnerships, rapid growth potential.
- Disadvantages: limited global presence, smaller market share compared to established players.
**Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition from established players.
- Potential technological disruptions.
- Dependence on large-scale project deployments.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets and verticals.
- Collaborating with industry leaders for joint development and marketing.
- Leveraging AI and robotics for innovative solutions.
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
None reported in the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
AI-based rating:
- 7 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with growing revenue and profitability.
- High growth potential in the expanding security robot and AI solution market.
- Innovative products and strong partnerships drive competitive advantage.
- Potential challenges include intense competition and dependence on large-scale projects.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Guardforce AI Co Ltd. website: https://www.guardforce.com.hk/
- Financial statements: https://www.guardforce.com.hk/en/investors/financial-reports.html
- Market research reports: Statista, Grand View Research
- Company news and press releases: https://www.guardforce.com.hk/en/newsroom.html
Disclaimers:
- This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
- Always conduct your analysis and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
- Information may be subject to change due to market fluctuations and company updates.
Conclusion:
Guardforce AI Co Ltd. presents a compelling investment opportunity, with strong growth potential and solid financial performance. However, potential investors should consider the competitive landscape and industry challenges before making any decisions. This overview provides a comprehensive understanding of the company's situation, but further research is recommended.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Guardforce AI Co Ltd
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2021-01-08 | CEO & Chairman | Ms. Lei Wang |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.guardforceai.com |
Industry | Security & Protection Services | Full time employees | 1727 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO & Chairman | Ms. Lei Wang | ||
Website | https://www.guardforceai.com | ||
Website | https://www.guardforceai.com | ||
Full time employees | 1727 |
Guardforce AI Co., Limited offers cash solutions and cash handling services in Singapore, Hong Kong, Macau, Malaysia, Thailand, and internationally. It operates through Secured Logistics, Robotics Al Solution, and General Security Solutions segments. The company offers cash-in-transit non dedicated vehicle; cash-in transit dedicated vehicle; ATM management; cash processing; cash center operations; consolidate cash center operations; cheque center; coin processing; and cash deposit machine solutions, including cash deposit management and express cash service. It also rents and sells robots-as-a-service comprising artificial intelligence (AI) assistant which provides customer support and sales assistance that interacts with customers through voice interactions that offers 24/7 support, answering inquiries, handling complaints, and recommending products or services; and AI security agent, robots to assist personnel in managing tasks at entrances, lobbies, service desks, and other areas; AI advertising, robots to provide advertising and promotional services. In addition, the company offers commercial smart retail operation management, an intelligent management system that is based on data technology and provision of a series of consultant services on store risk evaluation, surveillance and management, and anti-fraud checks; CCTV and security alarm operation, which consists electronic sensors and security alarms host, as well as operating surveillance control center; and security engineering and maintenance. It serves its products to local commercial banks, chain retailers, coin manufacturing mints, and government authorities. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Singapore.
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