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Geo Group Inc (GEO)




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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/01/2025: GEO (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 1 days. Profits (0.00%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 242.71% | Avg. Invested days 50 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.21B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 134.09 | 1Y Target Price 44.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 134.09 | 1Y Target Price 44.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2945662 | Beta 0.88 | 52 Weeks Range 11.75 - 36.46 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.75 - 36.46 | Updated Date 04/2/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.32% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 2.43% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 134.09 | Forward PE 24.33 | Enterprise Value 6009979302 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.74 |
Enterprise Value 6009979302 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.74 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.91 | Shares Outstanding 142836000 | Shares Floating 122796342 |
Shares Outstanding 142836000 | Shares Floating 122796342 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.67 | Percent Institutions 86.24 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.5 | Target Price 29.2 | Buy - | Strong Buy 3 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 3 | ||
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Geo Group Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
The Geo Group Inc, founded in 1984 as Wackenhut Corrections Corporation, is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, leasing, and management of correctional, detention, and reentry facilities. It evolved from managing facilities to becoming a publicly traded company focused on government solutions.
Core Business Areas
- U.S. Secure Services: Manages secure correctional and detention facilities primarily in the United States, providing housing, security, and inmate processing services to federal, state, and local government agencies.
- GEO Care: Offers community-based services, including residential reentry centers, youth services programs, and electronic monitoring, aimed at reducing recidivism and providing rehabilitation programs.
- International Services: Operates correctional and detention facilities internationally, including in Australia, South Africa and the UK (historical).
Leadership and Structure
The GEO Group Inc. is led by its executive management team, including the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure includes various departments overseeing operations, finance, legal, and business development. The company operates as a REIT.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Secure Correctional Facilities: Management and operation of secure correctional and detention facilities for government agencies. Market share is difficult to pinpoint precisely, but estimates place GEO Group as one of the larger players. Competitors include CoreCivic (CXW). Revenues from this segment are substantial, representing a significant portion of GEO's overall revenue.
- Reentry and Rehabilitation Services: Community-based reentry centers and rehabilitation programs aimed at reducing recidivism. This market is fragmented with many smaller players. Competitors include non-profits and smaller private companies. This segment contributes significantly to revenue.
- Electronic Monitoring: Provides electronic monitoring services for individuals under supervision. The electronic monitoring market is growing, with increasing adoption by law enforcement and correctional agencies. Competitors in this space are Attenti, BI Incorporated and similar technology focused companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The correctional and detention facility industry is influenced by government policies, crime rates, and budget constraints. Demand fluctuates based on incarceration rates and government decisions to contract out facility management.
Positioning
GEO Group is a major player in the private prison industry, providing secure facilities and community-based services. Its competitive advantages include its scale, experience, and relationships with government agencies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for private corrections is estimated to be billions of dollars annually. GEO Group is positioned to capture a significant share of this market, though trends towards reducing private prison usage present headwinds.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established relationships with government agencies
- Large portfolio of facilities
- Experienced management team
- Diversified service offerings
Weaknesses
- Dependence on government contracts
- Negative public perception
- Political and regulatory risks
- High debt load
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Growth in community-based services
- Increased demand for rehabilitation programs
- Technological advancements in corrections
Threats
- Government policies to reduce private prison usage
- Increased competition
- Litigation risks
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CXW
Competitive Landscape
GEO Group faces competition from other private prison operators like CoreCivic (CXW). It also competes with government-run facilities. GEO's advantages include its scale and relationships with government agencies, but it faces challenges related to public perception.
Major Acquisitions
BI Incorporated
- Year: 2011
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 385
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded electronic monitoring and community supervision capabilities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: GEO Group experienced substantial growth in the past, driven by increased government outsourcing of correctional services. However, recent years have seen challenges due to policy changes and public sentiment.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are uncertain and depend on government policies and market conditions. Analyst estimates vary, and potential investors should conduct thorough research.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic realignment of their real estate investment to core competencies and reduced debt.
Summary
GEO Group faces substantial hurdles due to government policies aiming to reduce or eliminate the use of private prisons. While community based and electronic monitoring services provide some diversification, the secure facilities segment still makes up the bulk of their revenues. The company needs to continue to diversify its services, focus on reducing debt, and navigate the evolving regulatory landscape to ensure long-term stability. The political and social sentiment towards the private prison industry remain a key risk factor for GEO.
Similar Companies

CXW

CoreCivic Inc



CXW

CoreCivic Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Financial Reports
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Geo Group Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Boca Raton, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-07-26 | CEO - | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Security & Protection Services | Full time employees 16500 | Website https://www.geogroup.com |
Full time employees 16500 | Website https://www.geogroup.com |
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO) engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, Florida.
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