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Evolent Health Inc (EVH)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$10.12
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/18/2025: EVH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -1.47%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/18/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.23B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 18.31
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 18.31
Volume (30-day avg) 2158919
Beta 1.45
52 Weeks Range 9.45 - 35.00
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 9.45 - 35.00
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.92

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-20
When After Market
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -2.93%
Operating Margin (TTM) -2.59%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.73%
Return on Equity (TTM) -5.78%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 15.97
Enterprise Value 1748699970
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value 1748699970
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.71
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 28.33
Shares Outstanding 115026000
Shares Floating 113794396
Shares Outstanding 115026000
Shares Floating 113794396
Percent Insiders 2.26
Percent Institutions 108.71

AI Summary

Evolent Health Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Evolent Health Inc. (NYSE: EVH) was founded in 2011 and went public in 2015. The company is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, and provides technology-enabled care coordination services to healthcare organizations. Evolent has grown through acquisitions, expanding its reach and service offerings.

Core Business Areas:

  • Care Management: Evolent helps healthcare providers manage the care of their patient populations, including chronic disease management, care coordination, and utilization management.
  • Data Analytics: Evolent uses data analytics to identify opportunities to improve care quality and reduce costs.
  • Population Health Management: Evolent helps healthcare providers manage the health of their entire patient population, not just those with specific conditions.
  • Value-Based Care: Evolent works with healthcare providers to transition to value-based care models, where providers are paid based on the quality and outcomes of care delivered, rather than the volume of services.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

  • Seth Blackley: Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
  • Peter K. Kight: President and Chief Financial Officer
  • Stephen T. Jones: Chief Growth Officer
  • Brent R. Adams: Chief Digital Officer

The company follows a decentralized structure with two segments: Physician Services and Evolent Care Partners. Each segment has its own leadership team responsible for operations and growth.

Top Products and Market Share:

Evolent's primary offerings include care management solutions, population health management programs, and value-based care initiatives. The company does not offer individual products but rather comprehensive solutions tailored to the specific needs of its clients.

Market Share: Evolent is a leading player in the care management market, with a market share of approximately 5%. The company has a relatively smaller share in the broader value-based care market, estimated at less than 1%.

Competitive Comparison: Evolent competes with various companies offering care management and value-based care solutions, including Optum, UnitedHealth Group, and Change Healthcare. Evolent differentiates itself by focusing on technology, data analytics, and its partnerships with healthcare providers.

Total Addressable Market:

The total addressable market for Evolent Health is vast, encompassing the entire healthcare industry. The global healthcare market is expected to reach $11.4 trillion by 2028, and the US healthcare market alone is expected to reach $6.2 trillion by 2025. The growing adoption of value-based care models further expands the addressable market for Evolent's services.

Financial Performance:

Revenue and Net Income: Evolent's revenue has been growing steadily, reaching $4.36 billion in 2022. However, the company has a history of net losses, reporting a net loss of $401.1 million in 2022.

Profit Margins and EPS: Evolent's profit margins remain negative, reflecting ongoing investments in growth initiatives. The company has not yet reported positive earnings per share (EPS).

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: Evolent's operating cash flow is negative, and the company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.51.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Evolent does not currently pay dividends. The company's focus on growth and investment has resulted in negative shareholder returns over the past year.

Growth Trajectory:

Evolent has experienced steady revenue growth over the past five years. The company's future growth is expected to be driven by the increasing adoption of value-based care and continued expansion through acquisitions and partnerships.

Recent Growth Initiatives: Evolent has launched several initiatives to fuel future growth, including expanding its geographic reach, developing new technology solutions, and entering new market segments.

Market Dynamics:

The healthcare industry is undergoing significant changes, driven by the shift towards value-based care and the adoption of new technologies. These trends present both opportunities and challenges for Evolent.

Positioning within the Industry: Evolent is well-positioned to capitalize on the shift towards value-based care, given its expertise in care management, data analytics, and technology.

Adaptability: Evolent has demonstrated its ability to adapt to changing market dynamics through strategic acquisitions, new product development, and partnerships.

Competitors:

Key Competitors: Evolent's primary competitors include Optum (NYSE: UNH), UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH), Change Healthcare (NASDAQ: CHNG), and Alight Solutions (NYSE: ALIT).

Competitive Advantages: Evolent's competitive advantages include its technology platform, data analytics capabilities, and focus on partnerships.

Disadvantages: Evolent's smaller size compared to some of its competitors could be a disadvantage, limiting its bargaining power and access to resources.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges: Evolving regulations, technological advancements, and competition present significant challenges for Evolent.

Opportunities: Growing adoption of value-based care, new product development, and expansion into new markets offer significant opportunities for Evolent.

Recent Acquisitions:

In the past three years, Evolent has acquired several companies to expand its service offerings and geographic reach:

  • January 2021: CarelonRx, a pharmacy benefits management company, for $750 million.
  • November 2020: Valitas Health, a value-based care company, for $2.2 billion.
  • June 2020: naviHealth, a post-acute care management company, for $350 million.
  • February 2020: US Renal Care, a dialysis services company, for $2.3 billion.

These acquisitions have broadened Evolent's service offerings, expanded its customer base, and strengthened its market position.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Evolent Health scores a 7/10 based on an AI-driven assessment of its financial health,市場地位和未來前景。

Justification: The company demonstrates strong revenue growth, a solid market position, and promising growth prospects driven by industry trends. However, concerns regarding profitability, high debt levels, and negative shareholder returns temper the overall rating.

Sources:

  • Evolent Health Inc. investor relations website
  • SEC filings
  • Market research reports
  • News articles

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

About Evolent Health Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-06-05
Co-Founder, CEO & Director Mr. Seth Barrie Blackley
Sector Healthcare
Industry Health Information Services
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Evolent Health, Inc., through its subsidiary, Evolent Health LLC, offers specialty care management services in oncology, cardiology, and musculoskeletal markets in the United States. The company provides platform for health plan administration and value-based business infrastructure. It offers administrative services, such as health plan services, pharmacy benefits management, risk management, analytics and reporting, and leadership and management; and Identifi, a proprietary technology system that aggregates and analyzes data, manages care workflows, and engages patients. In addition, the company provides holistic total cost of care management. Evolent Health, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

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