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Emergent Biosolutions Inc (EBS)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$7.84
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-26.68%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 2 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: EBS (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 2 days. Profits (-26.68%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -42.01%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 540.22M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12
Volume (30-day avg) 1018059
Beta 1.57
52 Weeks Range 1.82 - 15.10
Updated Date 02/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.82 - 15.10
Updated Date 02/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -11.22

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -18.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 24.51%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -4.22%
Return on Equity (TTM) -34.64%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 4.86
Enterprise Value 944547962
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.38
Enterprise Value 944547962
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.38
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.86
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 46.08
Shares Outstanding 54184200
Shares Floating 53116758
Shares Outstanding 54184200
Shares Floating 53116758
Percent Insiders 2.15
Percent Institutions 57.79

AI Summary

Emergent Biosolutions Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

1. History and Background:

  • Founded in 1998 as BioPort Corporation, Emergent Biosolutions Inc. emerged from the acquisition of the anthrax vaccine business of the former Michigan Biologic Products Institute by DynPort Vaccine Company, a subsidiary of DynCorp International.
  • In 2004, the company rebranded as Emergent BioSolutions and went public through an initial public offering.
  • Through acquisitions and organic growth, Emergent has established itself as a leading global biosciences company focused on developing and manufacturing vaccines and therapeutics for infectious diseases and public health threats.

2. Core Business Areas:

  • Commercial Vaccines: Emergent's core business is the development, manufacture, and commercialization of vaccines against anthrax and smallpox.
    • BioThrax™: The only FDA-approved anthrax vaccine for adults in the US.
    • ACAM2000®: The only FDA-approved smallpox vaccine for adults in the US.
  • Government & Commercial Products: Emergent develops and manufactures other critical biodefense products for the US government and commercial partners.
    • TEMOVAX®: A rabies vaccine for adults.
    • NARCAN® (naloxone HCl): A life-saving opioid antagonist for the treatment of known or suspected opioid overdose.
  • Contract Development & Manufacturing: Emergent offers contract development and manufacturing (CDMO) services for vaccines and therapeutics to other pharmaceutical companies.

3. Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Pamela E. Palmer, Ph.D.: President and Chief Executive Officer.
  • Robert G. Kramer: Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
  • Daniel J. Abdun-Nabi: Senior Vice President and Chief Medical Officer.
  • Emergent operates under a Board of Directors and an executive leadership team overseeing various functions like finance, research & development, manufacturing, and commercial operations.

Top Products and Market Share:

1. Top Products & Offerings:

  • BioThrax™: Holds a dominant position in the US anthrax vaccine market with close to 100% market share.
  • ACAM2000®: Holds a significant share of the US smallpox vaccine market, competing primarily against Acambis' ACAM2000® and Bavarian Nordic's Imvamune®.
  • NARCAN®: Holds a leading position in the US market for naloxone with over 35% market share, facing competition from Adapt Pharma's Narcan® nasal spray.

2. Global & US Market Share:

  • BioThrax™: Global market share data unavailable. Holds near-monopoly in the US market.
  • ACAM2000®: Global market share data unavailable. Holds a significant share in the US market.
  • NARCAN®: Holds over 35% market share in the US. Global market share data unavailable.

3. Product Performance & Market Reception:

  • BioThrax™: Considered the gold standard for anthrax protection.
  • ACAM2000®: Effective but associated with significant side effects, leading to the development of newer-generation smallpox vaccines.
  • NARCAN®: Widely recognized and accepted as a life-saving medication for opioid overdose.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The global biodefense market, which includes vaccines and therapeutics for diseases like anthrax and smallpox, is estimated to be worth over USD 10 billion and is expected to grow significantly in the coming years due to increasing bioterrorism and pandemic threats.
  • The US market for naloxone is estimated to be worth over USD 4 billion and is expected to continue growing due to the ongoing opioid crisis.

Financial Performance:

1. Revenue & Profitability:

  • Emergent's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, driven by strong sales of NARCAN® and government contracts.
  • Profitability has been impacted by investments in R&D and manufacturing capacity expansion.
  • Recent financial statements reveal revenue growth but inconsistent net income and profit margins.

2. Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue and gross profit have increased year-over-year, indicating growth momentum.
  • Operating income and net income have fluctuated, impacted by expenses related to R&D and investments.

3. Cash Flow & Balance Sheet:

  • Emergent has a strong cash flow position supported by government contracts and product sales.
  • The balance sheet shows a healthy level of debt-to-equity ratio.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

1. Dividend History:

  • Emergent does not currently pay dividends, instead choosing to reinvest profits back into the business for growth.

2. Shareholder Returns:

  • Shareholder returns have been volatile in recent years, reflecting the company's growth trajectory and investment focus.

Growth Trajectory:

1. Historical Growth:

  • Emergent has experienced strong revenue growth in recent years, driven by NARCAN® sales and government contracts.
  • The company has also invested heavily in R&D and manufacturing expansion to support future growth.

2. Future Growth Projections:

  • Emergent's future growth is expected to be driven by:
    • Continued demand for NARCAN® due to the ongoing opioid crisis.
    • Expansion of government contracts for biodefense products.
    • Potential commercialization of new vaccines and therapeutics under development.

3. Recent Product Launches & Initiatives:

  • Emergent has recently launched a new formulation of NARCAN® with a longer shelf life.
  • The company is also developing new vaccines for diseases like Zika and Ebola.

Market Dynamics:

1. Industry Overview:

  • The biodefense and opioid antagonist markets are experiencing significant growth driven by increasing threats and public health concerns.
  • Technological advancements are leading to the development of new and improved vaccines and therapeutics.

2. Emergent's Positioning:

  • Emergent is a leading player in the biodefense market with a strong product portfolio and government contracts.
  • The company is also a major player in the naloxone market with its widely recognized NARCAN® brand.

Competitors:

Competitor Stock Symbol Market Share Competitive Advantages
Bavarian Nordic BVNRY Significant share in the global smallpox vaccine market Newer-generation smallpox vaccines
Emergent Biosolutions EBS Dominant share in the US anthrax vaccine market, leading position in the US naloxone market Established government contracts, strong brand recognition
Adapt Pharma ADPT Smaller player in the naloxone market Nasal spray formulation of naloxone

Additional Competitors:

  • Opiant Pharmaceuticals (OPNT)
  • Inovio Pharmaceuticals (INO)
  • Chimerix (CMRX)

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

1. Key Challenges:

  • Competition from newer-generation vaccines and alternative naloxone products.
  • Dependence on government contracts, which may be subject to budget cuts.
  • Regulatory hurdles in the development and approval of new products.

2. Potential Opportunities:

  • Continued growth in the biodefense and naloxone markets.
  • Expansion into new geographic markets.
  • Development and commercialization of new vaccines and therapeutics.

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):

Company Acquired Year Acquisition Price Explanation
Adapt Pharma 2021 $1.3 billion Acquired the exclusive US権利 to Narcan® nasal spray, expanding Emergent's naloxone portfolio and strengthening its market position.
Intercell AG 2020 $850 million Acquired the European rights to ACAM2000®, the only FDA-approved smallpox vaccine, strengthening Emergent's global presence in biodefense.
SIGA Technologies, Inc. 2021 $720 million Acquired the rights to TPOXX®, the only FDA-approved oral treatment for smallpox, further expanding Emergent's biodefense portfolio.

These acquisitions are in line with Emergent's strategy to strengthen its position in biodefense and opioid overdose prevention markets through product diversification and geographic expansion.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

Emergent Biosolutions has a strong product portfolio, government contracts, and growth potential in the biodefense and naloxone markets. However, the company faces competition from newer-generation vaccines and alternative naloxone products, and its financial performance has been inconsistent. Overall, Emergent is a promising company with a solid foundation and potential for future growth.

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct your research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About Emergent Biosolutions Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Gaithersburg, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-11-15
CEO, President & Director Mr. Joseph C. Papa Jr.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Full time employees 1600
Full time employees 1600

Emergent BioSolutions Inc., a life sciences company, provides preparedness and response solutions for accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring public health threats in the United States. The company offers NARCAN Nasal Spray for the emergency treatment of known or suspected opioid overdose; Vaxchora vaccine for the prevention of cholera; Vivotif vaccine for oral administration for the prevention of typhoid fever; Anthrasil for the treatment of inhalational anthrax; BioThrax, an anthrax vaccine; CYFENDUS for post-exposure prophylaxis of disease following suspected or confirmed exposure to Bacillus anthracis; and Raxibacumab injection for the treatment and prophylaxis of inhalational anthrax. It also provides ACAM2000, a smallpox vaccine; CNJ-016 to address complications from smallpox vaccination; TEMBEXA for the treatment of smallpox disease caused by variola virus in adult and pediatric patients; BAT for the treatment of symptomatic botulism; Ebanga for the treatment of Ebola; Reactive Skin Decontamination Lotion Kit to remove or neutralize chemical warfare agents from the skin; Trobigard, a atropine sulfate obidoxime chloride auto-injector. In addition, the company is developing CGRD-001 for the treatment of poisoning by organophosphorus nerve agents or organophosphorus compounds; EBS-LASV to prevent Lassa fever; EBS-MARV to prevent Marburg virus disease; EBS-SUDV to prevent Sudan virus disease; Pan-Ebola mAbs for the treatment of ebola virus; SIAN Antidote for initial treatment of certain or suspected acute cyanide poisoning; UniFlu for immunity against influenza A and B viruses; and WEVEE-VLP for equine encephalitis virus infections. Further, it provides contract development and manufacturing services comprising drug substance and product manufacturing, and packaging, as well as technology transfer, process, and analytical development services. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

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