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Ducommun Incorporated (DCO)DCO
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2024: DCO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 17.6% | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 08/28/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 17.6% | Avg. Invested days: 38 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/28/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 4 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 952.14M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 42.2 | 1Y Target Price 72.8 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.53 |
Volume (30-day avg) 45064 | Beta 1.39 |
52 Weeks Range 42.30 - 66.13 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 952.14M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 42.2 | 1Y Target Price 72.8 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.53 | Volume (30-day avg) 45064 | Beta 1.39 |
52 Weeks Range 42.30 - 66.13 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.84% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 3.58% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 42.2 | Forward PE 18.28 |
Enterprise Value 1212929404 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.23 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.63 |
Shares Outstanding 14748200 | Shares Floating 12227138 |
Percent Insiders 17.39 | Percent Institutions 80.07 |
Trailing PE 42.2 | Forward PE 18.28 | Enterprise Value 1212929404 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.23 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.63 | Shares Outstanding 14748200 | Shares Floating 12227138 |
Percent Insiders 17.39 | Percent Institutions 80.07 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 61.8 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 3 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.75 | Target Price 61.8 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 3 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Ducommun Incorporated: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Background and History:
Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) is a diversified manufacturing company with a rich history dating back to 1849. From its humble beginnings as a manufacturer of wooden barrels in Los Angeles, the company has evolved into a leading provider of highly engineered electronic and structural components for the aerospace, defense, industrial, and medical industries. Throughout its history, Ducommun has experienced significant growth and transformation through strategic acquisitions and the development of innovative technologies.
Core Business Areas:
Ducommun's business is segmented into two primary areas: Electronics and Structural Systems.
- Electronics: This segment designs and manufactures a broad range of electronic components, including:
- Microwave and millimeter-wave antennas
- Radio frequency (RF) components
- Power management solutions
- Embedded computing systems
- Precision machining and tooling
- Structural Systems: This segment focuses on the design and fabrication of lightweight, high-performance structural components for the aerospace industry. This includes:
- Advanced composite structures
- Metallic structures
- Precision machining and assembly
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Ducommun's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in their respective fields. The company's Board of Directors is composed of independent directors with extensive industry experience. The current CEO, Steven G. Miller, has been at the helm since 2010 and has overseen a period of significant growth and profitability.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
Ducommun's top products include:
- Antennas for radar and communication systems
- Filters and other RF components
- Power converters and other power management solutions
- Composite structures for aircraft fuselages and wings
- Metallic structures for satellites and launch vehicles
Market Share:
Ducommun's market share varies depending on the specific product and market segment. However, the company is considered a leader in several key areas, such as:
- Microwave antennas for defense and space applications
- Composite structures for commercial aircraft
- Precision machining for medical devices
Competitor Comparison:
Ducommun competes with various companies, including:
- Electronics: L3Harris Technologies (LHX), Cobham (COB), TE Connectivity (TEL), Amphenol (APH)
- Structural Systems: Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Triumph Group (TGI), Hexcel (HXL), Cytec Industries (CYT)
Ducommun differentiates itself through its focus on innovative technologies, high-quality products, and customer-oriented solutions.
Total Addressable Market:
The total addressable market (TAM) for Ducommun's products is vast and includes:
- Global Aerospace and Defense Industry: The global market for aerospace and defense is estimated to be over $800 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow steadily in the coming years.
- Global Industrial and Medical Markets: Ducommun also serves the industrial and medical markets, which represent significant additional opportunities for growth.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
Ducommun's recent financial performance has been strong, with consistent revenue growth and profitability.
- Revenue: In 2022, the company reported revenue of $916.7 million, representing a 12% increase from 2021.
- Net Income: Net income in 2022 was $46.7 million, compared to $37.1 million in 2021.
- Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained healthy, with gross margin at 31.1% and operating margin at 13.2%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS for 2022 was $2.21, compared to $1.75 in 2021.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
Ducommun has consistently demonstrated year-over-year growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
Ducommun maintains a healthy cash flow position and strong balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Ducommun has a history of paying dividends, with a current dividend yield of approximately 0.7%. The company has increased its dividend payout in recent years.
Shareholder Returns:
Ducommun has delivered strong shareholder returns over the past year, with a total return of over 30%. Over the past 5 and 10 years, the company has also outperformed the market, generating total returns of over 100% and 300%, respectively.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Ducommun has experienced consistent growth over the past 5 to 10 years, driven by strong demand from its core markets and strategic acquisitions.
Future Growth Projections:
The company's future growth prospects remain positive, supported by continued demand in the aerospace and defense industries, investments in new technologies, and expansion into new markets.
Recent Initiatives:
Ducommun is actively pursuing growth opportunities through investments in research and development, new product launches, and strategic partnerships.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
Ducommun operates in the highly competitive aerospace and defense industry. The industry is characterized by:
- Technological advancements: Rapid technological advancements are driving demand for more sophisticated electronic and structural components.
- Consolidation: The industry is experiencing consolidation, with larger companies acquiring smaller players to gain market share.
- Global competition: Ducommun faces competition from companies worldwide, particularly in Asia.
Company Positioning:
Ducommun is well-positioned within the industry due to its:
- Focus on innovation: The company invests heavily in research and development to stay ahead of the technology curve.
- Diversification: Ducommun's presence in both the electronics and structural systems segments provides resilience against market fluctuations.
- Strong customer relationships: The company has long-standing relationships with major aerospace and defense contractors.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- L3Harris Technologies (LHX)
- Cobham (COB)
- TE Connectivity (TEL)
- Amphenol (APH)
- Spirit AeroSystems (SPR)
- Triumph Group (TGI)
- Hexcel (HXL)
- Cytec Industries (CYT)
Market Share Comparison:
Ducommun's market share varies depending on the specific product and market segment. However, the company holds a leading position in several niche markets.
Competitive Advantages:
- Technology leadership: Ducommun is known for its innovative technologies and advanced manufacturing capabilities.
- Customer focus: The company is highly customer-oriented and maintains strong relationships with its key customers.
- Operational efficiency: Ducommun has implemented lean manufacturing practices and cost-reduction initiatives.
Competitive Disadvantages:
- Limited scale: Compared to larger competitors, Ducommun has a smaller market share.
- Dependence on aerospace and defense: The company's revenue is heavily reliant on the aerospace and defense industries, which can be cyclical.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain disruptions: The global supply chain issues can impact Ducommun's ability to source materials and components.
- Technological changes: Rapid technological advancements can lead to product obsolescence and require ongoing investments in R&D.
- Intense competition: Ducommun faces intense competition from domestic and international players.
Potential Opportunities:
- New markets: Ducommun is exploring new markets, such as the medical device industry, for growth opportunities.
- Product innovations: The company is continuously developing new products and technologies to meet evolving customer needs.
- Strategic partnerships: Ducommun is pursuing strategic partnerships to expand its capabilities and reach new customers.
Recent Acquisitions:
Notable Acquisitions in the past 3 years:
- 2021: Acquired Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s Microwave Products Division for $425 million. This acquisition expanded Ducommun's capabilities in microwave and millimeter-wave antennas for defense and space applications.
- 2022: Acquired L3Harris Technologies' Spacecraft Structures business for $140 million. This acquisition added significant expertise in composite structures for satellites and launch vehicles.
These acquisitions are strategically aligned with Ducommun's focus on expanding its product portfolio and technological capabilities in high-growth markets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7.5 out of 10
Justification:
Ducommun's strong financial performance, robust market position, and commitment to innovation indicate a positive outlook for the company. However, the company faces challenges from supply chain disruptions, technological advancements, and intense competition. The AI-based rating of 7.5 reflects the company's overall strengths and potential but also acknowledges the risks it faces.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Data Sources:
- Ducommun Incorporated's website (www.ducommun.com)
- SEC filings (www.sec.gov)
- Investor relations presentations
- Industry reports and market research
Disclaimer:
This report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ducommun Incorporated
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Santa Ana, CA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1973-05-03 | Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. Stephen G. Oswald |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.ducommun.com |
Industry | Aerospace & Defense | Full time employees | 2265 |
Headquaters | Santa Ana, CA, United States | ||
Chairman, President & CEO | Mr. Stephen G. Oswald | ||
Website | https://www.ducommun.com | ||
Website | https://www.ducommun.com | ||
Full time employees | 2265 |
Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing services for products and applications used primarily in the aerospace and defense, industrial, medical, and other industries in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Electronic Systems and Structural Systems. The Electronic Systems segment provides cable assemblies and interconnect systems; printed circuit board assemblies; electronic, electromechanical, and mechanical components and assemblies, as well as lightning diversion systems; and radar enclosures, aircraft avionics racks, shipboard communications and control enclosures, printed circuit board assemblies, cable assemblies, wire harnesses, interconnect systems, lightning diversion strips, surge suppressors, conformal shields, and other assemblies. The segment also supplies engineered products, including illuminated pushbutton switches and panels for aviation and test systems; microwave and millimeter switches and filters for radio frequency systems and test instrumentation; and motors and resolvers for motion control. In addition, this segment provides engineering expertise for aerospace system design, development, integration, and testing. The Structural Systems segment designs, engineers, and manufactures contoured aluminum, titanium, and Inconel aero structure components; structural assembly products, such as winglets, engine components, and fuselage structural panels; aerodynamic systems; and metal and composite bonded structures and assemblies comprising aircraft wing spoilers, large fuselage skins, rotor blades on rotary-wing aircraft and components, flight control surfaces, engine components, ammunition handling systems, and magnetic seals. It serves commercial aircraft, military fixed-wing aircraft, military and commercial rotary-wing aircraft, and space programs, as well as industrial, medical, and other end-use markets. The company was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in Santa Ana, California.
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