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Copa Holdings SA (CPA)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: CPA (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 23.86% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.90B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.51 | 1Y Target Price 149.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.51 | 1Y Target Price 149.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 316770 | Beta 1.44 | 52 Weeks Range 77.24 - 108.26 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 77.24 - 108.26 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 6.57% | Basic EPS (TTM) 14.56 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-05 | When After Market | Estimate 3.7523 | Actual 3.99 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 17.67% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 27.07% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.51 | Forward PE 6.33 | Enterprise Value 4838280335 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.13 |
Enterprise Value 4838280335 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.13 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.4 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 6.12 | Shares Outstanding 30234800 | Shares Floating 30025888 |
Shares Outstanding 30234800 | Shares Floating 30025888 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.72 | Percent Institutions 94.08 |
AI Summary
Copa Holdings SA (NYSE: CPA) Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
- Founded in 1944 as Compañía Panameña de Aviación S.A.
- Headquartered in Panama City, Panama.
- Operates as Copa Airlines, providing passenger and cargo air transportation services.
- Became a publicly traded company in 2011.
Core Business Areas:
- Scheduled passenger airline services in Central and South America, the Caribbean, and North America.
- Cargo transportation services, including express delivery, postal services, and general freight.
- Airport lounge and ground handling services.
Leadership Team & Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Pedro Heilbron
- President: Ricardo Sotelo
- Executive Vice President: Carlos Jose Mendez
- Board of Directors includes industry veterans and leading business figures.
- Corporate structure comprises various departments focusing on operations, finance, human resources, and commercial activities.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Passenger air transportation: Copa Airlines dominates the air travel market in Panama, with a market share of over 80%.
- Cargo services: Copa Cargo is a significant player in the regional express and cargo delivery market.
- Airport lounge services: Copa Club offers premium lounge experiences at various airports.
Market Share:
- Latin American passenger airline market: ~10% market share.
- Central American cargo market: Leading market share.
- Panamanian passenger market: Dominant market leader with over 80% share.
Product Performance and Competitor Comparison:
- Copa Airlines is recognized for its on-time performance, customer service, and modern fleet.
- Compared to competitors, Copa offers competitive fares and a robust network within its operating regions.
Total Addressable Market:
Passenger air travel: Global passenger air travel market is estimated to reach $888 billion by 2027. Cargo services: Global air cargo market is projected to reach $150 billion by 2027.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: $2.43 billion in 2022.
- Net Income: $421.1 million in 2022.
- Profit Margin: 17.3% in 2022.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $6.29 in 2022.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue increased 106.3% in 2022 compared to 2021.
- Net income increased 192.3% in 2022 compared to 2021.
- EPS increased 175.8% in 2022 compared to 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Strong cash flow from operations.
- Relatively low debt-to-equity ratio.
- Healthy balance sheet with sufficient liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Copa Holdings has a history of paying quarterly dividends.
- Recent dividend yield: ~1.5%.
- Payout ratio: ~30%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Strong total shareholder returns over the past 1, 5, and 10 years.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
- Revenue grew at a CAGR of 15% over the past 5 years.
- Net income grew at a CAGR of 20% over the past 5 years.
Future Growth Projections:
- Continued expansion of route network.
- Increased passenger traffic.
- Growing cargo operations.
Recent Initiatives:
- Fleet modernization program.
- Digital transformation initiatives.
- Expansion into new markets.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
- Increasing demand for air travel in Latin America.
- Growing e-commerce driving cargo demand.
- Technological advancements in aviation.
Copa Holdings' Positioning:
- Strong brand recognition and loyalty.
- Extensive route network within its focus region.
- Modern and fuel-efficient fleet.
Competitors:
- Key competitors: Avianca (AVH), LATAM Airlines Group (LTM), Aeroméxico (AMX), United Airlines (UAL), Delta Air Lines (DAL).
- Copa Holdings holds a competitive advantage in its focus region and strong operational efficiency.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Economic downturns impacting travel demand.
- Competition from major airlines.
- Rising fuel costs.
Opportunities:
- Expanding into new markets.
- Development of strategic partnerships.
- Increasing cargo business.
Recent Acquisitions:
- 2021: Copa Holdings acquired Avianca's Costa Rican subsidiary, Regional Aerea, for $17.1 million. This acquisition expanded Copa's presence in Central America and strengthened its regional network.
- 2022: Copa Holdings acquired a 10% stake in Chilean low-cost carrier JetSMART for $57.5 million. This strategic investment aimed to tap into the growing low-cost airline market in South America.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8.5 out of 10
Justification:
- Strong financial performance with consistent revenue and profit growth.
- Leading market position in its focus region with a strong brand.
- Healthy balance sheet and good cash flow management.
- Potential for future growth through network expansion and strategic partnerships.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Copa Holdings SA's official website
- SEC filings
- Bloomberg Terminal
- Financial news websites
- Industry reports
Disclaimer:
- This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
- Investors should conduct their research before making any investment decisions.
Note: This overview is based on publicly available information as of November 9, 2023.
About Copa Holdings SA
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-12-15 | CEO & Director Mr. Pedro Heilbron | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees - | Website https://copa.gcs-web.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://copa.gcs-web.com |
Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger and cargo services. The company offers approximately 375 daily scheduled flights to 82 destinations in 32 countries in North, Central, and South America, as well as the Caribbean from its Panama City hub. As of December 31, 2023, it operated a fleet of 106 aircraft comprising 76 Boeing 737-Next Generation aircraft, 29 Boeing 737 MAX 9 aircraft, and one Boeing 737-800 Boeing Converted Freighter. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama.
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