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American Airlines Group (AAL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/21/2025: AAL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -25.19% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0 | Stock Returns Performance 1.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/21/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 12.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 43.5 | 1Y Target Price 20.11 |
Price to earnings Ratio 43.5 | 1Y Target Price 20.11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 26823343 | Beta 1.4 | 52 Weeks Range 9.07 - 18.65 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 9.07 - 18.65 | Updated Date 01/20/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.42 |
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-01-23 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.39 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.51% | Operating Margin (TTM) 4.91% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.75% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 43.5 | Forward PE 7.31 | Enterprise Value 42706783296 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 |
Enterprise Value 42706783296 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.99 | Shares Outstanding 657131008 | Shares Floating 645545777 |
Shares Outstanding 657131008 | Shares Floating 645545777 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.24 | Percent Institutions 57.15 |
AI Summary
American Airlines Group: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
American Airlines Group (AAL) boasts a rich history, tracing its roots back to 1926. Through various mergers and acquisitions, including TWA in 1998 and US Airways in 2013, it became the world's largest airline. AAL operates a vast network, serving over 350 destinations in 50 countries.
Core Business Areas:
- Passenger Transportation: AAL's primary business involves transporting passengers across its extensive network.
- Cargo Services: AAL offers cargo transportation services for various goods and materials.
- Loyalty Programs: AAL operates the AAdvantage frequent flyer program, rewarding loyal customers with miles and benefits.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Robert Isom
- President: Derek Kerr
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer: Derek Kerr
- Board of Directors: Comprised of 11 members with expertise in various fields.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Domestic Flights: AAL dominates the domestic market with a significant share, particularly in major hubs like Dallas/Fort Worth and Charlotte.
- International Flights: AAL offers a wide range of international flights, connecting the US to major cities across the globe.
- AAdvantage Program: With over 118 million members, AAdvantage is one of the largest frequent flyer programs globally.
Market Share:
- Global: AAL holds a significant portion of the global airline market, ranking among the top airlines worldwide.
- US Domestic: AAL commands a leading position in the domestic market, holding approximately 20% of the market share.
Total Addressable Market:
The global airline industry is vast, with an estimated market size of over $800 billion. The US domestic market also represents a significant opportunity, with a market size exceeding $250 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: AAL generated $42.4 billion in revenue for the fiscal year 2022.
- Net Income: The company reported a net income of $1.2 billion in 2022.
- Profit Margins: AAL's operating margin stood at 8.3% in 2022.
- Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS for 2022 was $0.85 per share.
Year-Over-Year Comparison:
AAL has witnessed a strong recovery from the pandemic, with revenue and net income increasing significantly compared to 2021.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
AAL's cash flow from operations has improved, and the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with sufficient liquidity.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: AAL has a history of paying dividends, with a recent dividend yield of 0.8%.
Shareholder Returns: AAL's stock price has increased by over 40% in the past year, providing strong returns to shareholders.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: AAL has experienced significant growth over the past few years, driven by increased passenger demand and improved operational efficiency.
Future Projections: The company expects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by continued travel recovery and strategic initiatives.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The airline industry is experiencing a rebound from the pandemic, with increasing demand and rising airfare prices.
Technological Advancements: AAL is investing in new technologies to enhance customer experience and improve operational efficiency.
Market Positioning: AAL is well-positioned within the industry, with a strong brand recognition, extensive network, and loyal customer base.
Competitors:
Key Competitors:
- Delta Air Lines (DAL)
- United Airlines (UAL)
- Southwest Airlines (LUV)
- Spirit Airlines (SAVE)
Market Share Comparison:
AAL faces stiff competition from other major airlines, each holding significant market shares in the US and globally.
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: AAL benefits from its extensive network, strong brand recognition, and loyal customer base.
- Disadvantages: The company faces stiff competition and is susceptible to economic downturns and fuel price fluctuations.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Economic Downturns: Economic recessions can negatively impact travel demand and airline revenue.
- Fuel Price Fluctuations: AAL's expenses are significantly impacted by fuel price volatility.
- Competition: Intense competition from other airlines puts pressure on AAL to maintain its market share.
Opportunities:
- Expansion into New Markets: AAL can explore opportunities to expand its network and reach new customer segments.
- Technological Advancements: AAL can leverage new technologies to improve operational efficiency and enhance customer experience.
- Strategic Partnerships: AAL can form strategic partnerships with other airlines or businesses to expand its reach and offerings.
Recent Acquisitions:
AAL has not made any significant acquisitions within the past three years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7 out of 10
Justification: AAL possesses strong fundamentals, with a robust financial performance, leading market position, and potential for future growth. However, the company faces challenges from competition and economic factors.
Sources:
- American Airlines Group Investor Relations website
- Yahoo Finance
- MarketWatch
Disclaimer:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Individual investors should conduct their research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About American Airlines Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Fort Worth, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2005-09-27 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Robert D. Isom Jr. | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 134200 | Website https://www.aa.com |
Full time employees 134200 | Website https://www.aa.com |
American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Doha, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. It operates a mainline fleet of 965 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
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