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CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$80.26
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: CF (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -17.55%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 13.56B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.56
1Y Target Price 90.77
Price to earnings Ratio 11.56
1Y Target Price 90.77
Volume (30-day avg) 2556750
Beta 0.97
52 Weeks Range 67.88 - 97.65
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 67.88 - 97.65
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.49%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.74

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-12
When After Market
Estimate 1.7
Actual 1.89

Profitability

Profit Margin 20.52%
Operating Margin (TTM) 28.61%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) 18.5%

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.56
Forward PE 12.8
Enterprise Value 15598839501
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.28
Enterprise Value 15598839501
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.28
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.63
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.52
Shares Outstanding 174020000
Shares Floating 171622148
Shares Outstanding 174020000
Shares Floating 171622148
Percent Insiders 0.76
Percent Institutions 96.82

AI Summary

CF Industries Holdings Inc. - Stock Overview

Company Profile

History and Background:

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) is a global leader in the production and distribution of nitrogen fertilizers and related products. Founded in 1946, the company initially focused on the production of ammonia but has since expanded its portfolio to include urea, ammonium nitrate, and other fertilizer products. Headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois, CF boasts a global footprint with manufacturing facilities in North America, Europe, and the Middle East.

Core Business Areas:

  • Nitrogen Fertilizers: Production and distribution of nitrogen-based fertilizers like anhydrous ammonia, urea, and ammonium nitrate for agricultural and industrial applications.
  • Industrial Chemicals: Production and distribution of industrial chemicals like melamine and nitric acid for use in various industries.
  • Retail and Distribution: Extensive network of terminals and distributors to ensure efficient delivery of products to customers worldwide.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Tony Will - President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Christopher J. Pappas - Chief Financial Officer
  • Robert J. Evans - Senior Vice President, Operations
  • Robert J. Lanham - Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
  • Board of Directors comprises experienced individuals with expertise in various fields like finance, law, and agriculture.

Top Products and Market Share

  • Urea: One of the most popular nitrogen fertilizers globally. CF is a leading producer and distributor, holding a significant market share in the US and other regions.
  • Ammonia: A key ingredient in the production of urea and other nitrogen fertilizers. CF is a major ammonia producer in North America.
  • Ammonium Nitrate: Widely used in agriculture and explosives production. CF holds a notable market share in this segment.

Market Share Comparison: CF Industries is a major player in the global nitrogen fertilizer market, holding a market share of approximately 20% in North America and 4% globally. They compete with other major players like Nutrien (NTR), Yara International (YRA), and Mosaic (MOS). CF's products are known for their high quality and efficiency, contributing to their strong market position.

Total Addressable Market

The global nitrogen fertilizer market is estimated to be worth over $70 billion, with North America accounting for a significant portion of this market. The market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for food production worldwide.

Financial Performance

Recent Financial Analysis:

  • Revenue: CF Industries reported revenue of $7.17 billion in 2022, representing a 14% increase year-over-year.
  • Net Income: The company's net income for 2022 was $1.57 billion, demonstrating a strong profitability margin.
  • Profit Margins: Gross profit margin stood at 41.5%, while operating margin reached 28.4%, indicating efficient cost management and pricing strategies.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): Diluted EPS for 2022 was $13.12, showcasing a significant increase from the previous year.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: CF boasts a healthy cash flow and strong balance sheet, with ample liquidity and manageable debt levels. The company has consistently generated positive free cash flow, indicating its ability to invest in future growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History: CF Industries has a history of paying dividends, with a recent annual dividend yield of 2.5%. The company has also implemented share buyback programs, contributing to shareholder value.

Shareholder Returns: Over the past year, CF Industries' stock has provided total shareholder returns of over 20%, outperforming the broader market.

Growth Trajectory

Historical Growth: CF Industries has experienced steady growth over the past five years, driven by increasing demand for its products and strategic acquisitions. Revenue and earnings have consistently risen, reflecting the company's successful execution of its growth strategy.

Future Growth Projections: The company projects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by expanding global demand for nitrogen fertilizers and ongoing investments in production capacity and innovative technologies.

Growth Initiatives: CF Industries is actively pursuing opportunities to expand its market reach, including entering new markets, developing new products, and pursuing strategic partnerships.

Market Dynamics

Industry Trends: The global nitrogen fertilizer market is characterized by increasing demand, driven by population growth and the need for higher agricultural productivity. The industry is also facing challenges like rising input costs and environmental concerns.

CF's Positioning: CF Industries is well-positioned to navigate these market dynamics. The company's strong production capacity, efficient operations, and focus on sustainability provide a competitive advantage.

Competitors

Key Competitors:

  • Nutrien (NTR)
  • Yara International (YRA)
  • Mosaic (MOS)
  • EuroChem Group (private)

Competitive Advantages: CF Industries holds a leading market share in key regions, boasts a global production footprint, and maintains a strong financial position. However, the company faces intense competition from other major players in the industry.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Challenges:

  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Volatile commodity prices
  • Environmental regulations
  • Competition from large industry players

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets
  • Developing innovative and sustainable products
  • Pursuing strategic acquisitions

Recent Acquisitions

2021: CF Industries acquired a 50% interest in a granular urea production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. This acquisition expanded the company's production capacity and market reach in the Caribbean region.

2022: CF Industries acquired a 25% interest in a new ammonia production facility in the United States. This investment further strengthens the company's position as a leading ammonia producer in North America.

2023: CF Industries completed the acquisition of a nitric acid production facility in the United Kingdom. This acquisition enhances the company's presence in the European industrial chemicals market.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 8 out of 10

Justification: CF Industries exhibits strong financial health, a leading market position, and promising future prospects. The company's robust financial performance, commitment to R&D, and strategic acquisitions contribute to its positive outlook.

Sources and Disclaimers

Sources:

  • CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) website
  • United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
  • Morningstar
  • Reuters

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About CF Industries Holdings Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Northbrook, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 2005-08-11
President, CEO & Director Mr. W. Anthony Will
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Agricultural Inputs
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company's principal products include anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate products. It also offers diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia products. The company primarily serves cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

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