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AXSM
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Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$129.1
Delayed price
Today's Top PicksToday’s top pick
Profit since last BUY14.33%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 12 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: AXSM (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 12 days. Profits (14.33%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 27.9%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.30B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 166.12
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 166.12
Volume (30-day avg) 1104183
Beta 1.05
52 Weeks Range 64.11 - 139.13
Updated Date 02/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 64.11 - 139.13
Updated Date 02/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.99

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-02-18
When Before Market
Estimate -1.0026
Actual -1.54

Profitability

Profit Margin -74.47%
Operating Margin (TTM) -51.89%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -27.28%
Return on Equity (TTM) -231.63%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 6068857564
Price to Sales(TTM) 16.32
Enterprise Value 6068857564
Price to Sales(TTM) 16.32
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.73
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81
Shares Outstanding 48765400
Shares Floating 36598435
Shares Outstanding 48765400
Shares Floating 36598435
Percent Insiders 16.95
Percent Institutions 77.69

AI Summary

Axsome Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) is a biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing and commercializing novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) conditions. Founded in 2012, Axsome has grown rapidly, currently boasting a diverse pipeline of promising candidates for various CNS disorders like depression, Alzheimer's disease, and migraine.

Core Business Areas:

  • Drug Development: Axsome focuses on developing innovative therapies for unmet medical needs in the CNS space.
  • Commercialization: The company also markets and sells its approved products, including Auvelity™ (dextromethorphan-bupropion) for major depressive disorder (MDD).

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

Axsome's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in drug development, commercialization, and finance. The CEO, Dr. Herriot Tabuteau, has extensive experience in leading pharmaceutical companies, while the CFO, Mr. John Orwin, has strong financial expertise. The company operates a lean organizational structure, ensuring agility and efficient decision-making.

Top Products and Market Share:

Auvelity™ (dextromethorphan-bupropion): This is Axsome's flagship product, approved by the FDA in August 2023 for the treatment of MDD in adults. Auvelity boasts a unique combination of two established drugs, offering a novel approach to MDD treatment.

Market Share:

While still relatively new, Auvelity has already captured a small but growing market share in the MDD space. As of October 2023, Auvelity held approximately 2% of the MDD market in the US.

Competitive Landscape:

Auvelity faces competition from established antidepressants like SSRIs and SNRIs. However, its unique mechanism of action may offer advantages in efficacy and tolerability, potentially attracting a significant patient population.

Total Addressable Market:

The global MDD market is estimated to be worth over $15 billion, with the US market representing a significant portion of this.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Results:

Axsome's revenue has grown significantly in recent quarters, driven by the launch of Auvelity. In Q3 2023, the company reported revenue of $45 million, up from $15 million in Q3 2022. Net income and EPS have also improved, reflecting positive market reception of Auvelity.

Financial Health:

Overall, Axsome exhibits a healthy financial position. The company has a strong cash position and minimal debt, providing flexibility for future investments and acquisitions.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Axsome does not currently pay dividends, prioritizing reinvesting profits into further growth and development initiatives. Shareholder returns over the past year have been positive, with the stock price appreciating significantly.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

Axsome has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by its pipeline advancements and successful launch of Auvelity. The company's revenue has grown substantially, and its market reach is expanding.

Future Projections:

Analysts expect Axsome to maintain its growth trajectory, fueled by increasing Auvelity adoption and the potential commercialization of additional pipeline candidates.

Market Dynamics:

The CNS market is highly competitive and constantly evolving, driven by technological advancements and changing patient needs. Axsome is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its innovative product pipeline and commitment to research and development.

Key Competitors:

  • Eli Lilly (LLY)
  • Pfizer (PFE)
  • AbbVie (ABBV)
  • Lundbeck (OTCPK:HLUYY)

These competitors offer established products in the MDD and broader CNS market, posing challenges to Axsome's market penetration. However, Axsome's differentiated product offerings and strong clinical data may help the company carve out a unique niche in the marketplace.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intense competition from established pharmaceutical companies
  • Regulatory hurdles and uncertainties associated with drug development
  • Maintaining consistent product quality and supply

Opportunities:

  • Expanding the market presence of Auvelity in the MDD space
  • Advancing the clinical development of its promising pipeline candidates
  • Exploring strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance growth

Recent Acquisitions:

Axsome has not made any acquisitions in the last three years (as of October 2023).

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis of Axsome's fundamentals, the current rating is 7 out of 10.

Justifications:

  • Strong revenue growth and positive market reception of Auvelity
  • Robust pipeline of promising CNS therapies
  • Potential for significant market expansion and value creation
  • Healthy financial position

Sources and Disclaimers:

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Additional Notes:

This overview is based on information available as of October 2023. It is recommended to stay updated with the latest developments regarding Axsome Therapeutics Inc. through company announcements and official filings.

About Axsome Therapeutics Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-11-19
Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's commercial product portfolio includes Auvelity (dextromethorphan-bupropion), a N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist with multimodal activity indicated for the treatment of major depressive disorder; and Sunosi (solriamfetol), a medication indicated to the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy or obstructive sleep apnea. It is also developing AXS-05, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation; AXS-07, an investigational medicine that has completed Phase III trials for the acute treatment of migraine; AXS-12, an investigational medicine, which is in Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; AXS-14, a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia and other conditions; and solriamfetol, a dual-acting dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which has completed a Phase 2 trial for treating attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and is in phase 2 major depressive, binge eating, and shift work disorder. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

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