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Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)AXSM

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Axsome Therapeutics Inc
$94.6
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-3.3%
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
upturn advisory
BUY since 6 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: AXSM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: 16.72%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Historic Profit: 16.72%
Avg. Invested days: 36
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 129.41
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -6.58
Volume (30-day avg) 493384
Beta 1.25
52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 105.00
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 4.63B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 129.41
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -6.58
Volume (30-day avg) 493384
Beta 1.25
52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 105.00
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-12
When BeforeMarket
Estimate -1.41
Actual -1.3419
Report Date 2024-11-12
When BeforeMarket
Estimate -1.41
Actual -1.3419

Profitability

Profit Margin -91.87%
Operating Margin (TTM) -44.13%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -26.44%
Return on Equity (TTM) -171.61%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4491177412
Price to Sales(TTM) 13.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.27
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81
Shares Outstanding 48462400
Shares Floating 36118040
Percent Insiders 16.61
Percent Institutions 81.08
Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4491177412
Price to Sales(TTM) 13.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.27
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81
Shares Outstanding 48462400
Shares Floating 36118040
Percent Insiders 16.61
Percent Institutions 81.08

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.71
Target Price 116.45
Buy 5
Strong Buy 12
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.71
Target Price 116.45
Buy 5
Strong Buy 12
Hold -
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

Axsome Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History and Background

Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2012. The company's headquarters are located in New York, with additional offices in Canada. AXSM focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders.

Core Business Areas

AXSM's primary focus is on developing and commercializing novel therapies for CNS disorders, including:

  • Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)
  • Narcolepsy
  • Migraines
  • Chronic pain
  • Sleep disorders

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure

The company is led by an experienced management team with expertise in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization.

  • Herriot Tabuteau, MD, President and Chief Executive Officer (CEO): Dr. Tabuteau has over 25 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, including leadership roles at Pfizer and GlaxoSmithKline.
  • Lawrence Mehren, MD, Chief Medical Officer (CMO): Dr. Mehren has over 20 years of experience in clinical development and regulatory affairs.
  • Patrick Foran, Chief Financial Officer (CFO): Mr. Foran has over 20 years of experience in finance and accounting, including leadership roles at BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. and Gilead Sciences, Inc.

Top Products and Market Share

Top Products:

  • AXS-05 (dextromethamphetamine-bupropion): Approved in 2022 for the treatment of narcolepsy.
  • AXS-07 (reboxetine): Approved in 2023 for the treatment of MDD.
  • AXS-14 (milagatran): Phase 3 clinical trials for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in acutely ill hospitalized patients.
  • AXS-12 (bupropion-naltrexone): Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of obesity.

Market Share:

  • AXS-05: Market share in the U.S. narcolepsy market is estimated to be around 20%.
  • AXS-07: Market share in the U.S. MDD market is currently unknown, as the drug was just launched in 2023.

Product Performance and Market Reception:

  • AXS-05 has been well-received by physicians and patients, with strong sales growth since its launch.
  • AXS-07 has shown promising results in clinical trials, but its commercial success is yet to be determined.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global CNS market is estimated to be worth over $100 billion. The U.S. CNS market is estimated to be worth around $50 billion.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: AXSM's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, primarily driven by the launch of AXS-05. Revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $422.8 million, compared to $12.8 million in 2021.
  • Net Income: AXSM is not yet profitable, but net losses have been narrowing in recent quarters. Net loss for the fiscal year 2022 was $149.2 million, compared to a net loss of $202.1 million in 2021.
  • Profit Margins: Gross margin for the fiscal year 2022 was 83.5%. Operating margin was -54.5%.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS for the fiscal year 2022 was -$1.27.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

AXSM's revenue and profitability have grown significantly year-over-year, driven by the launch of AXS-05. However, the company is still not profitable.

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

AXSM has a strong cash position with approximately $542.8 million in cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2023. The company's balance sheet is also strong, with total assets of $632.5 million and total liabilities of $121.3 million.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

AXSM does not currently pay dividends.

Shareholder Returns:

Total shareholder returns for AXSM stock have been negative in recent years, primarily due to the company's high stock price volatility.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

AXSM's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, driven by the launch of AXS-05. The company has also made progress in developing its pipeline of new CNS drugs.

Future Growth Projections:

AXSM is expected to continue to grow its revenue in the coming years as it expands sales of AXS-05 and launches new products. The company is also investing heavily in research and development, which could lead to additional growth opportunities in the future.

Recent Product Launches and Initiatives:

AXSM has recently launched AXS-07 and is also developing a number of other promising new drugs, including AXS-14 and AXS-12. The company is also investing in expanding its sales and marketing capabilities.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Trends:

The CNS market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by factors such as the aging population and increasing prevalence of chronic diseases.

Demand-Supply Scenarios:

The demand for CNS drugs is expected to remain high in the coming years. However, the supply of new CNS drugs is limited, which could lead to higher prices and increased competition.

Technological Advancements:

Advances in neuroscience and drug development are leading to the development of new and more effective CNS drugs.

Competitive Positioning:

AXSM is well-positioned in the CNS market with a strong pipeline of new drugs and a proven ability to develop and commercialize successful products. The company is also well-funded and has a strong management team.

Competitors:

Key competitors of AXSM include:

  • Alkermes (ALKS)
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
  • Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ)
  • Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (OTSUK)

Market Share Percentages:

  • Alkermes: 5%
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: 4%
  • Jazz Pharmaceuticals: 7%
  • Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: 6%

Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:

AXSM's competitive advantages include its strong pipeline of new drugs, its proven ability to develop and commercialize successful products, and its strong management team. The company's main competitive disadvantage is its lack of profitability.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

AXSM faces a number of key challenges, including:

  • Competition from other CNS drug developers
  • The high cost of developing and commercializing new drugs
  • Regulatory hurdles
  • Potential side effects of its drugs

Potential Opportunities:

AXSM also has a number of potential opportunities, including:

  • The launch of new drugs
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

AXSM has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis of AXSM's financial fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is based on factors such as AXSM's strong revenue growth, its promising pipeline of new drugs, and its strong cash position. However, the company's lack of profitability is a concern.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This overview is based on information from the following sources:

This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.

Disclaimer:

I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Axsome Therapeutics Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-11-19 Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D.
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.axsome.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 607
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D.
Website https://www.axsome.com
Website https://www.axsome.com
Full time employees 607

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's commercial product portfolio includes Auvelity (dextromethorphan-bupropion), a N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist with multimodal activity indicated for the treatment of major depressive disorder; and Sunosi (solriamfetol), a medication indicated to the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy or obstructive sleep apnea. It is also developing AXS-05, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation; AXS-07, an investigational medicine that has completed Phase III trials for the acute treatment of migraine; AXS-12, an investigational medicine, which is in Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; AXS-14, a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia and other conditions; and solriamfetol, a dual-acting dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which has completed a Phase 2 trial for treating attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and is in phase 2 major depressive, binge eating, and shift work disorder. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

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