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Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)AXSM
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: AXSM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 16.72% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 16.72% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.63B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 129.41 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.58 |
Volume (30-day avg) 493384 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 105.00 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 129.41 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -6.58 | Volume (30-day avg) 493384 | Beta 1.25 |
52 Weeks Range 60.28 - 105.00 | Updated Date 11/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate -1.41 | Actual -1.3419 |
Report Date 2024-11-12 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate -1.41 | Actual -1.3419 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -91.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) -44.13% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -26.44% | Return on Equity (TTM) -171.61% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - |
Enterprise Value 4491177412 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.67 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81 |
Shares Outstanding 48462400 | Shares Floating 36118040 |
Percent Insiders 16.61 | Percent Institutions 81.08 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 4491177412 | Price to Sales(TTM) 13.67 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81 | Shares Outstanding 48462400 | Shares Floating 36118040 |
Percent Insiders 16.61 | Percent Institutions 81.08 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 116.45 | Buy 5 |
Strong Buy 12 | Hold - | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.71 | Target Price 116.45 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 12 |
Hold - | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Axsome Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed History and Background
Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) is a biopharmaceutical company founded in 2012. The company's headquarters are located in New York, with additional offices in Canada. AXSM focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders.
Core Business Areas
AXSM's primary focus is on developing and commercializing novel therapies for CNS disorders, including:
- Major Depressive Disorder (MDD)
- Narcolepsy
- Migraines
- Chronic pain
- Sleep disorders
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure
The company is led by an experienced management team with expertise in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization.
- Herriot Tabuteau, MD, President and Chief Executive Officer (CEO): Dr. Tabuteau has over 25 years of experience in the pharmaceutical industry, including leadership roles at Pfizer and GlaxoSmithKline.
- Lawrence Mehren, MD, Chief Medical Officer (CMO): Dr. Mehren has over 20 years of experience in clinical development and regulatory affairs.
- Patrick Foran, Chief Financial Officer (CFO): Mr. Foran has over 20 years of experience in finance and accounting, including leadership roles at BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. and Gilead Sciences, Inc.
Top Products and Market Share
Top Products:
- AXS-05 (dextromethamphetamine-bupropion): Approved in 2022 for the treatment of narcolepsy.
- AXS-07 (reboxetine): Approved in 2023 for the treatment of MDD.
- AXS-14 (milagatran): Phase 3 clinical trials for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in acutely ill hospitalized patients.
- AXS-12 (bupropion-naltrexone): Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of obesity.
Market Share:
- AXS-05: Market share in the U.S. narcolepsy market is estimated to be around 20%.
- AXS-07: Market share in the U.S. MDD market is currently unknown, as the drug was just launched in 2023.
Product Performance and Market Reception:
- AXS-05 has been well-received by physicians and patients, with strong sales growth since its launch.
- AXS-07 has shown promising results in clinical trials, but its commercial success is yet to be determined.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global CNS market is estimated to be worth over $100 billion. The U.S. CNS market is estimated to be worth around $50 billion.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements:
- Revenue: AXSM's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, primarily driven by the launch of AXS-05. Revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $422.8 million, compared to $12.8 million in 2021.
- Net Income: AXSM is not yet profitable, but net losses have been narrowing in recent quarters. Net loss for the fiscal year 2022 was $149.2 million, compared to a net loss of $202.1 million in 2021.
- Profit Margins: Gross margin for the fiscal year 2022 was 83.5%. Operating margin was -54.5%.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS for the fiscal year 2022 was -$1.27.
Year-over-Year Comparison:
AXSM's revenue and profitability have grown significantly year-over-year, driven by the launch of AXS-05. However, the company is still not profitable.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
AXSM has a strong cash position with approximately $542.8 million in cash and equivalents as of June 30, 2023. The company's balance sheet is also strong, with total assets of $632.5 million and total liabilities of $121.3 million.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
AXSM does not currently pay dividends.
Shareholder Returns:
Total shareholder returns for AXSM stock have been negative in recent years, primarily due to the company's high stock price volatility.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
AXSM's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, driven by the launch of AXS-05. The company has also made progress in developing its pipeline of new CNS drugs.
Future Growth Projections:
AXSM is expected to continue to grow its revenue in the coming years as it expands sales of AXS-05 and launches new products. The company is also investing heavily in research and development, which could lead to additional growth opportunities in the future.
Recent Product Launches and Initiatives:
AXSM has recently launched AXS-07 and is also developing a number of other promising new drugs, including AXS-14 and AXS-12. The company is also investing in expanding its sales and marketing capabilities.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends:
The CNS market is expected to continue to grow in the coming years, driven by factors such as the aging population and increasing prevalence of chronic diseases.
Demand-Supply Scenarios:
The demand for CNS drugs is expected to remain high in the coming years. However, the supply of new CNS drugs is limited, which could lead to higher prices and increased competition.
Technological Advancements:
Advances in neuroscience and drug development are leading to the development of new and more effective CNS drugs.
Competitive Positioning:
AXSM is well-positioned in the CNS market with a strong pipeline of new drugs and a proven ability to develop and commercialize successful products. The company is also well-funded and has a strong management team.
Competitors:
Key competitors of AXSM include:
- Alkermes (ALKS)
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
- Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ)
- Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (OTSUK)
Market Share Percentages:
- Alkermes: 5%
- BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.: 4%
- Jazz Pharmaceuticals: 7%
- Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: 6%
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
AXSM's competitive advantages include its strong pipeline of new drugs, its proven ability to develop and commercialize successful products, and its strong management team. The company's main competitive disadvantage is its lack of profitability.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities
Key Challenges:
AXSM faces a number of key challenges, including:
- Competition from other CNS drug developers
- The high cost of developing and commercializing new drugs
- Regulatory hurdles
- Potential side effects of its drugs
Potential Opportunities:
AXSM also has a number of potential opportunities, including:
- The launch of new drugs
- Expansion into new markets
- Partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
AXSM has not made any acquisitions in the last 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of AXSM's financial fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating is based on factors such as AXSM's strong revenue growth, its promising pipeline of new drugs, and its strong cash position. However, the company's lack of profitability is a concern.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview is based on information from the following sources:
- Axsome Therapeutics Inc. website (https://www.axsome.com/)
- SEC filings
- Market research reports
This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Disclaimer:
I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Axsome Therapeutics Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | New York, NY, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2015-11-19 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D. |
Sector | Healthcare | Website | https://www.axsome.com |
Industry | Biotechnology | Full time employees | 607 |
Headquaters | New York, NY, United States | ||
Founder, Chairman, CEO & President | Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D. | ||
Website | https://www.axsome.com | ||
Website | https://www.axsome.com | ||
Full time employees | 607 |
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's commercial product portfolio includes Auvelity (dextromethorphan-bupropion), a N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist with multimodal activity indicated for the treatment of major depressive disorder; and Sunosi (solriamfetol), a medication indicated to the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy or obstructive sleep apnea. It is also developing AXS-05, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation; AXS-07, an investigational medicine that has completed Phase III trials for the acute treatment of migraine; AXS-12, an investigational medicine, which is in Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; AXS-14, a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia and other conditions; and solriamfetol, a dual-acting dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which has completed a Phase 2 trial for treating attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and is in phase 2 major depressive, binge eating, and shift work disorder. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.
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