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Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/20/2025: AXSM (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 12 days. Profits (14.33%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 27.9% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 166.12 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 166.12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1104183 | Beta 1.05 | 52 Weeks Range 64.11 - 139.13 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 64.11 - 139.13 | Updated Date 02/21/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -5.99 |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-02-18 | When Before Market | Estimate -1.0026 | Actual -1.54 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -74.47% | Operating Margin (TTM) -51.89% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -27.28% | Return on Equity (TTM) -231.63% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 6068857564 | Price to Sales(TTM) 16.32 |
Enterprise Value 6068857564 | Price to Sales(TTM) 16.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 15.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -14.81 | Shares Outstanding 48765400 | Shares Floating 36598435 |
Shares Outstanding 48765400 | Shares Floating 36598435 | ||
Percent Insiders 16.95 | Percent Institutions 77.69 |
AI Summary
Axsome Therapeutics Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Axsome Therapeutics Inc. (AXSM) is a biopharmaceutical company focusing on developing and commercializing novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) conditions. Founded in 2012, Axsome has grown rapidly, currently boasting a diverse pipeline of promising candidates for various CNS disorders like depression, Alzheimer's disease, and migraine.
Core Business Areas:
- Drug Development: Axsome focuses on developing innovative therapies for unmet medical needs in the CNS space.
- Commercialization: The company also markets and sells its approved products, including Auvelity™ (dextromethorphan-bupropion) for major depressive disorder (MDD).
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Axsome's leadership team comprises experienced individuals with expertise in drug development, commercialization, and finance. The CEO, Dr. Herriot Tabuteau, has extensive experience in leading pharmaceutical companies, while the CFO, Mr. John Orwin, has strong financial expertise. The company operates a lean organizational structure, ensuring agility and efficient decision-making.
Top Products and Market Share:
Auvelity™ (dextromethorphan-bupropion): This is Axsome's flagship product, approved by the FDA in August 2023 for the treatment of MDD in adults. Auvelity boasts a unique combination of two established drugs, offering a novel approach to MDD treatment.
Market Share:
While still relatively new, Auvelity has already captured a small but growing market share in the MDD space. As of October 2023, Auvelity held approximately 2% of the MDD market in the US.
Competitive Landscape:
Auvelity faces competition from established antidepressants like SSRIs and SNRIs. However, its unique mechanism of action may offer advantages in efficacy and tolerability, potentially attracting a significant patient population.
Total Addressable Market:
The global MDD market is estimated to be worth over $15 billion, with the US market representing a significant portion of this.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Results:
Axsome's revenue has grown significantly in recent quarters, driven by the launch of Auvelity. In Q3 2023, the company reported revenue of $45 million, up from $15 million in Q3 2022. Net income and EPS have also improved, reflecting positive market reception of Auvelity.
Financial Health:
Overall, Axsome exhibits a healthy financial position. The company has a strong cash position and minimal debt, providing flexibility for future investments and acquisitions.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Axsome does not currently pay dividends, prioritizing reinvesting profits into further growth and development initiatives. Shareholder returns over the past year have been positive, with the stock price appreciating significantly.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth:
Axsome has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by its pipeline advancements and successful launch of Auvelity. The company's revenue has grown substantially, and its market reach is expanding.
Future Projections:
Analysts expect Axsome to maintain its growth trajectory, fueled by increasing Auvelity adoption and the potential commercialization of additional pipeline candidates.
Market Dynamics:
The CNS market is highly competitive and constantly evolving, driven by technological advancements and changing patient needs. Axsome is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends with its innovative product pipeline and commitment to research and development.
Key Competitors:
- Eli Lilly (LLY)
- Pfizer (PFE)
- AbbVie (ABBV)
- Lundbeck (OTCPK:HLUYY)
These competitors offer established products in the MDD and broader CNS market, posing challenges to Axsome's market penetration. However, Axsome's differentiated product offerings and strong clinical data may help the company carve out a unique niche in the marketplace.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intense competition from established pharmaceutical companies
- Regulatory hurdles and uncertainties associated with drug development
- Maintaining consistent product quality and supply
Opportunities:
- Expanding the market presence of Auvelity in the MDD space
- Advancing the clinical development of its promising pipeline candidates
- Exploring strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance growth
Recent Acquisitions:
Axsome has not made any acquisitions in the last three years (as of October 2023).
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis of Axsome's fundamentals, the current rating is 7 out of 10.
Justifications:
- Strong revenue growth and positive market reception of Auvelity
- Robust pipeline of promising CNS therapies
- Potential for significant market expansion and value creation
- Healthy financial position
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- Axsome Therapeutics Inc. website: https://www.axsome.com/
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/#/
- Industry reports and market research data
Disclaimer:
This overview is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Additional Notes:
This overview is based on information available as of October 2023. It is recommended to stay updated with the latest developments regarding Axsome Therapeutics Inc. through company announcements and official filings.
About Axsome Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-11-19 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Dr. Herriot Tabuteau M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees - | Website https://www.axsome.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.axsome.com |
Axsome Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of novel therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders in the United States. The company's commercial product portfolio includes Auvelity (dextromethorphan-bupropion), a N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antagonist with multimodal activity indicated for the treatment of major depressive disorder; and Sunosi (solriamfetol), a medication indicated to the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in patients with narcolepsy or obstructive sleep apnea. It is also developing AXS-05, which is in Phase III clinical trial to treat Alzheimer's disease agitation, as well as that has completed phase II clinical trial for the treatment of smoking cessation; AXS-07, an investigational medicine that has completed Phase III trials for the acute treatment of migraine; AXS-12, an investigational medicine, which is in Phase III trial to treat narcolepsy; AXS-14, a selective and potent norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor that has completed Phase III trial for the treatment of fibromyalgia and other conditions; and solriamfetol, a dual-acting dopamine and norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor, which has completed a Phase 2 trial for treating attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and is in phase 2 major depressive, binge eating, and shift work disorder. Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. has a research collaboration agreement with Duke University for evaluating AXS-05 in smoking cessation. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.
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