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Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)AAP
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/18/2024: AAP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -39.01% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 09/18/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Profit: -39.01% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.47B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 52.21 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.21 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2911638 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 37.51 - 87.92 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 52.21 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.42% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.21 | Volume (30-day avg) 2911638 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 37.51 - 87.92 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-08-22 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.94 | Actual 0.75 |
Report Date 2024-08-22 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.94 | Actual 0.75 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.25% | Return on Equity (TTM) -0.46% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.27 |
Enterprise Value 5940523043 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.99 |
Shares Outstanding 59674300 | Shares Floating 58872436 |
Percent Insiders 1.11 | Percent Institutions 110.43 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 12.27 | Enterprise Value 5940523043 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.99 | Shares Outstanding 59674300 | Shares Floating 58872436 |
Percent Insiders 1.11 | Percent Institutions 110.43 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 2.86 | Target Price 68.61 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 1 | Hold 24 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell 2 |
Rating 2.86 | Target Price 68.61 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Hold 24 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 2 |
AI Summarization
Advance Auto Parts Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1934 as Advance Stores Company in Roanoke, Virginia.
- Focused primarily on auto parts and services for repair shops.
- Expanded through acquisitions in the 1950s and 1960s.
- Renamed Advance Auto Parts in 1977 and went public in 1998.
- Today, Advance Auto Parts is one of the largest automotive aftermarket parts providers in North America.
Description of the company’s core business areas:
- Retailing automotive parts and accessories through a network of over 4,800 stores in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
- Selling parts to commercial customers through Worldpac, its business-to-business (B2B) segment.
Overview of the company’s leadership team and corporate structure:
- CEO: Tom Greco
- CFO: Jeff Shepherd
- President, Retail: Jason McDonell
- President, Commercial: Michael Moir
- The company's Board of Directors consists of 10 members, led by Chairman Kenneth C. Walker.
Top Products and Market Share:
Identification and description of Advance Auto Parts Inc's top products and offerings:
- Replacement parts for cars and light trucks: brakes, batteries, spark plugs, filters, etc.
- Accessories: car care products, tools, and equipment.
- Performance parts: exhaust systems, air intakes, and other modifications.
Analysis of the market share of these products in the global and US markets:
- Holds the #2 position in the US aftermarket parts market with a share of approximately 12.8%.
- Competes with AutoZone (#1 with 14.7% share) and O'Reilly Auto Parts (#3 with 11.8% share).
- Global market share is estimated to be around 3%.
Comparison of product performance and market reception against competitors:
- Advance Auto Parts receives generally positive customer reviews for its product selection, prices, and customer service.
- The company offers competitive pricing and a loyalty program to attract and retain customers.
- However, it faces challenges from competitors with larger store footprints and more comprehensive offerings.
Total Addressable Market:
- The global automotive aftermarket parts market is estimated to be worth around $570 billion in 2023.
- The U.S. market accounts for approximately $300 billion of this total.
- Growth is driven by increasing vehicle miles traveled, aging car fleet, and rising repair costs.
Financial Performance:
Detailed analysis of recent financial statements, including revenue, net income, profit margins, and EPS:
- Revenue: $10.7 billion in 2022, a 1.8% increase year-over-year.
- Net income: $361 million in 2022, a 14.5% decrease from 2021.
- Profit margins: Gross profit margin of 38.6% and operating margin of 7.5%.
- Earnings per share (EPS): $3.02 in 2022, a 15.3% decrease from 2021.
Year-over-year financial performance comparison:
- Revenue growth has slowed down in recent years due to market saturation and competition.
- Profitability has been impacted by rising operating costs and supply chain disruptions.
Examination of cash flow statements and balance sheet health:
- Strong cash flow from operations of $643 million in 2022.
- Healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.7.
- The company has ample liquidity to invest in growth initiatives.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Consistent dividend payer since 2004.
- Current annual dividend yield of 3.5%.
- Payout ratio of around 30%.
Shareholder Returns:
- Stock performance has lagged behind the S&P 500 in recent years.
- Total return of 23.5% over the past year, compared to 7.6% for the S&P 500.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth analysis over the past 5 to 10 years:
- Revenue has grown at a CAGR of 3.5% over the past 5 years.
- Same-store sales have remained relatively flat in recent years.
- The company has focused on expanding its B2B business and online presence.
Future growth projections based on industry trends and company guidance:
- Industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.0% over the next 5 years.
- Advance Auto Parts projects modest growth in the low single digits in the coming years.
- The company is investing in digital capabilities, store optimization, and new service offerings to drive future growth.
Market Dynamics:
**Overview of the industry stock Advance Auto Parts Inc operates in, including current trends, demand
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Raleigh, NC, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2001-11-29 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://shop.advanceautoparts.com |
Industry | Specialty Retail | Full time employees | 40000 |
Headquaters | Raleigh, NC, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly | ||
Website | https://shop.advanceautoparts.com | ||
Website | https://shop.advanceautoparts.com | ||
Full time employees | 40000 |
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company offers battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis and climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also offers air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluids; electrical wires and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives, and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oils; oil filters, part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluids for engine maintenance. Further, it offers battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. Additionally, the company sells its products through its website. It serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names, as well as branches under the Worldpac name. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and various Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
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