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Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)AAP
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/14/2024: AAP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -39% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 10/14/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: -39% | Avg. Invested days: 24 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/14/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.30B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 48.73 | 1Y Target Price 45 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.43% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.79 |
Volume (30-day avg) 2964386 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 35.59 - 87.33 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 48.73 | 1Y Target Price 45 |
Dividends yield (FY) 2.43% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.79 | Volume (30-day avg) 2964386 | Beta 1.19 |
52 Weeks Range 35.59 - 87.33 | Updated Date 11/19/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-14 | When BeforeMarket |
Estimate 0.53 | Actual -0.04 |
Report Date 2024-11-14 | When BeforeMarket | Estimate 0.53 | Actual -0.04 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.67% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.25% | Return on Equity (TTM) -0.46% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 48.73 | Forward PE 25.71 |
Enterprise Value 5737160626 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.08 |
Shares Outstanding 59734500 | Shares Floating 58853466 |
Percent Insiders 1.1 | Percent Institutions 117.02 |
Trailing PE 48.73 | Forward PE 25.71 | Enterprise Value 5737160626 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.2 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.08 | Shares Outstanding 59734500 | Shares Floating 58853466 |
Percent Insiders 1.1 | Percent Institutions 117.02 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.04 | Target Price 68.61 | Buy 1 |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 22 | Sell 2 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 3.04 | Target Price 68.61 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 22 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
Advance Auto Parts Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Advance Auto Parts Inc. (NYSE: AAP), founded in 1932, is a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider in the United States. The company started as a single store in Kansas City and has expanded to over 4,900 stores across the U.S., Canada, and Puerto Rico. AAP also operates online platforms like AdvanceAutoParts.com and Carquest.com, reaching a broader customer base.
Core Business Areas: Advance Auto Parts focuses on three core business segments:
- Retail Stores: This segment encompasses the company's extensive network of physical stores, offering a wide range of auto parts, accessories, and repair services to DIY and professional customers.
- Commercial Business: This segment caters to the needs of professional repair shops and commercial fleets, providing them with a dedicated sales team, specialized parts inventory, and credit programs.
- Worldpac: Acquired in 2014, Worldpac is a leading distributor of import and domestic auto parts to the professional repair market in North America.
Leadership and Corporate Structure: The current leadership team at Advance Auto Parts Inc. includes:
- CEO: Tom Greco
- President: Michael A. Creedon
- Executive Vice President, Operations & Supply Chain: Willie A. Woods Jr.
- Chief Financial Officer: Jeff Shepherd
- Chief Information Officer: Eric M. Newell
The company operates with a decentralized organizational structure, empowering individual store managers to make decisions based on their local market and customer needs.
Products and Market Share:
Top Products: Advance Auto Parts offers a diverse range of automotive aftermarket parts and accessories, including:
- Batteries: One of their top-selling categories, with a prominent market presence in the replacement battery market.
- Filters: Air, oil, and fuel filters for various car models, catering to both DIY and professional customers.
- Brakes: Brake pads, rotors, calipers, and other braking components.
- Wipers: Windshield wipers for different vehicle types and weather conditions.
- Lighting: Headlights, taillights, fog lights, and other automotive lighting solutions.
Market Share: Advance Auto Parts holds a significant market share in the U.S. automotive aftermarket parts industry. According to IBISWorld, the company holds a 17.2% share of the market as of 2023, ranking second behind competitor AutoZone (AZO), which boasts a 21.5% share.
Competition:
The key competitors of Advance Auto Parts Inc. include:
- AutoZone (AZO)
- O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY)
- NAPA Auto Parts (NAP)
- Pep Boys (PBY)
These competitors offer similar products and services, and the competition revolves around pricing, product availability, customer service, and store network reach.
Total Addressable Market (TAM): The TAM for the automotive aftermarket parts industry in the United States is estimated to be around $320 billion in 2023. This represents a substantial market opportunity for companies like Advance Auto Parts.
Financial Performance:
Revenue and Earnings: In 2022, Advance Auto Parts reported total revenue of $11.6 billion, demonstrating consistent growth over the previous years. Net income for the year was $385.6 million, with a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.79.
Profitability: The company has maintained reasonable profitability with gross profit margin averaging around 35% over the last few years. Operating margin, however, has fluctuated between 6-8%.
Financial Health: Advance Auto Parts has a healthy financial position with a strong cash flow and moderate debt levels. The company's current ratio remains healthy, suggesting its ability to meet its short-term obligations.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: Advance Auto Parts has a consistent history of paying dividends to shareholders. The current annual dividend yield is around 1.8%, with a payout ratio of approximately 30% of earnings.
Shareholder Returns: Total shareholder return for Advance Auto Parts over the past year has been around 15%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. However, over a 5-year period, the return stands at -3%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: Advance Auto Parts has demonstrated steady historical growth, expanding its store network, increasing online sales, and acquiring strategic companies like Worldpac.
Future Growth: The company expects continued growth in the coming years, fueled by factors such as rising vehicle ownership, increasing miles driven, and growing demand for DIY repairs. Advance Auto Parts is also focusing on enhancing its digital capabilities and expanding its commercial business segment to drive future growth.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Trends: The automotive aftermarket parts industry is undergoing several key trends:
- Consolidation: Increasing consolidation among industry players, with larger companies acquiring smaller ones to expand their reach and market share.
- Technological Advancements: The growing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and advancements in automotive technology will reshape the demand for specific types of parts.
- E-commerce Growth: The increasing shift towards online parts purchasing presents both opportunities and challenges for traditional brick-and-mortar retailers like Advance Auto Parts.
Competitive Landscape: Advance Auto Parts is well-positioned within the industry with its extensive store network, strong brand recognition, and focus on customer service. However, intense competition and evolving market dynamics require constant adaptation and innovation.
Recent Acquisitions:
- In 2021, Advance Auto Parts acquired Autopart International, Inc., strengthening its presence in the heavy-duty aftermarket segment.
- In 2022, the company acquired Autopart International, Inc.'s remaining shares, solidifying its position in the heavy-duty market.
- In 2023, Advance Auto Parts acquired DIESEL DIRECT, Inc. This acquisition expands their presence in the California, Arizona, Nevada & New Mexico heavy-duty markets.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI analysis of Advance Auto Parts' financials, market position, and future prospects, the company receives a 7.5 out of 10 rating. This indicates a positive outlook with potential for future growth, supported by its strong financial health, brand recognition, and expansion strategies. However, challenges like industry consolidation and the shift towards online sales require continuous adaptation.
Sources and Disclaimers:
This overview relies on data from Advance Auto Parts Inc.'s annual reports, investor presentations, and publicly available financial data. While this information is believed to be reliable, it should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions.
Disclaimer: I am an AI chatbot and cannot provide financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Raleigh, NC, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2001-11-29 | President, CEO & Director | Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://shop.advanceautoparts.com |
Industry | Specialty Retail | Full time employees | 40000 |
Headquaters | Raleigh, NC, United States | ||
President, CEO & Director | Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly | ||
Website | https://shop.advanceautoparts.com | ||
Website | https://shop.advanceautoparts.com | ||
Full time employees | 40000 |
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company offers battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis and climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also offers air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluids; electrical wires and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers, and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting products; performance parts; sealants, adhesives, and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oils; oil filters, part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluids for engine maintenance. Further, it offers battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. Additionally, the company sells its products through its website. It serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. The company operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names, as well as branches under the Worldpac name. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and various Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
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