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O’Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)ORLY
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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/16/2024: ORLY (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 2.26% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 08/16/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 2.26% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/16/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 65.59B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 28.41 | 1Y Target Price 1192.17 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 39.7 |
Volume (30-day avg) 383584 | Beta 0.92 |
52 Weeks Range 860.10 - 1169.11 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 65.59B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 28.41 | 1Y Target Price 1192.17 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 39.7 | Volume (30-day avg) 383584 | Beta 0.92 |
52 Weeks Range 860.10 - 1169.11 | Updated Date 09/18/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 20.21% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 14.61% | Return on Equity (TTM) 58.64% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 28.41 | Forward PE 24.75 |
Enterprise Value 72992229538 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.03 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.78 |
Shares Outstanding 58005700 | Shares Floating 57451710 |
Percent Insiders 0.88 | Percent Institutions 89.85 |
Trailing PE 28.41 | Forward PE 24.75 | Enterprise Value 72992229538 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.03 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.48 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.78 | Shares Outstanding 58005700 | Shares Floating 57451710 |
Percent Insiders 0.88 | Percent Institutions 89.85 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 1022.6 | Buy 4 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold 10 | Sell - |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 4 | Target Price 1022.6 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold 10 | Sell - | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
O'Reilly Automotive Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
- Founded in 1957 in Springfield, Missouri, as O'Reilly Auto Parts by the O'Reilly family.
- Initially operated as a single store, expanding through acquisitions and new store openings.
- Became publicly traded in 1993.
- Today, O'Reilly Automotive Inc. is the second-largest retailer of automotive parts, tools, and accessories in the United States, with over 5,800 stores across 47 U.S. states and 24 in Mexico.
Core business areas:
- Retailing of automotive parts, tools, and accessories to both professional technicians and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers.
- Products include a wide range of engine parts, body parts, electrical components, fluids, tools, and equipment.
- Distribution of automotive parts to commercial customers, including repair shops, garages, and fleets.
- Operates through two primary segments: Retail O'Reilly Stores and Wholesale O'Reilly Stores.
Leadership team and corporate structure:
- Chairman and CEO: Gregory C. Johnson
- President and COO: Jeffrey C. Wood
- EVP and CFO: Thomas H. McFall
- EVP and Chief Information Officer: Jeffery D. Shaffer
- Board of Directors consists of 11 members, including industry experts and experienced business leaders.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top products:
- Engine parts (spark plugs, filters, belts, etc.)
- Body parts (mirrors, bumpers, lights, etc.)
- Electrical components (batteries, starters, alternators, etc.)
- Fluids (oil, coolant, brake fluid, etc.)
- Tools and equipment (sockets, wrenches, scanners, etc.)
Market share:
- Holds approximately 18% of the U.S. automotive aftermarket retail market.
- Leading competitor AutoZone holds approximately 28% of the market.
- Other competitors include Advance Auto Parts, NAPA Auto Parts, and CARQUEST.
Product performance and market reception:
- O'Reilly enjoys a strong reputation for its product quality, availability, and customer service.
- DIY customers appreciate the convenience and expertise offered by O'Reilly stores.
- Professional technicians value the reliability and competitive pricing of O'Reilly products.
Total Addressable Market:
- The total addressable market for the U.S. automotive aftermarket retail market was estimated at $312 billion in 2022.
- This market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.5% over the next five years.
Financial Performance:
Recent financial performance (2022):
- Revenue: $15.65 billion
- Net income: $1.27 billion
- Profit margin: 8.1%
- Earnings per share (EPS): $9.28
Year-over-year comparison:
- Revenue increased by 7.7% compared to 2021.
- Net income increased by 8.8% compared to 2021.
- EPS increased by 10.3% compared to 2021.
Cash flow and balance sheet:
- O'Reilly has a strong financial position with significant cash flow and a low debt-to-equity ratio.
- The company has consistently generated positive free cash flow and invested in share repurchases and store expansion.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend history:
- O'Reilly has a history of increasing dividends annually since 2004.
- Recent dividend yield is approximately 2.2%.
- Dividend payout ratio is approximately 40%.
Shareholder returns:
- Total shareholder return over the past 1 year: 17.5%
- Total shareholder return over the past 5 years: 84.5%
- Total shareholder return over the past 10 years: 522.7%
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
- O'Reilly has consistently grown its revenue and earnings over the past decade.
- The company has benefited from its strong brand recognition, market share gains, and disciplined management.
Future growth projections:
- O'Reilly is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years.
- Analysts project revenue growth of 3-5% annually over the next five years.
- Growth drivers include expanding store base, investments in e-commerce, and the increasing popularity of do-it-yourself auto repair.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
- Consolidation within the automotive aftermarket industry.
- Increasing demand for DIY automotive repair.
- Growth of e-commerce retail channels.
- Technological advancements in automotive technology.
Competitive positioning:
- O'Reilly is well-positioned to benefit from industry trends with its strong brand, diverse product offerings, and omnichannel distribution strategy.
- The company is adapting to technological advancements by investing in digital tools and services for customers.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- AutoZone (AZO)
- Advance Auto Parts (AAP)
- NAPA Auto Parts
- CARQUEST
Market share comparison:
- AutoZone: 28%
- O'Reilly Automotive: 18%
- Advance Auto Parts: 13%
- NAPA Auto Parts: 10%
- CARQUEST: 4%
Competitive advantages and disadvantages:
Advantages:
- Strong brand recognition
- Extensive store network
- Wide product offering
- Omnichannel distribution strategy
- Strong financial position
Disadvantages:
- Lower market share compared to AutoZone
- Smaller international presence
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key challenges:
- Competition from larger rivals
- Rising costs of labor and materials
- Supply chain disruptions
- Technological changes in the automotive industry
Potential opportunities:
- Expansion into new markets
- Growth of e-commerce sales
- Acquisition of smaller competitors
- Partnerships with technology providers
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
2020:
- C&G Automotive: Purchased for $135 million, expanding O'Reilly's presence in the Northeast.
2021:
- Hi/Lo Auto Supply: Acquired for an undisclosed amount, strengthening O'Reilly's position in the Chicago market.
2022:
- International Parts Corporation of America (IPCA): Acquired for $110 million, expanding O'Reilly's operations to Mexico.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8.5/10
Justification:
- O'Reilly Automotive Inc. possesses a strong financial position, a solid market share in a growing industry, and a well-developed omnichannel strategy.
- The company's consistent dividend increases and share repurchase programs demonstrate its commitment to rewarding shareholders.
- Potential challenges such as competition and technological advancements are mitigated by the company's strong brand recognition, product diversification, and adaptation to market changes.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Sources:
- O'Reilly Automotive Inc. investor relations website
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Industry reports from S&P Global Market Intelligence and IBISWorld
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About O’Reilly Automotive Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Springfield, MO, United States |
IPO Launch date | 1993-04-22 | CEO | - |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://www.oreillyauto.com |
Industry | Specialty Retail | Full time employees | 91874 |
Headquaters | Springfield, MO, United States | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.oreillyauto.com | ||
Website | https://www.oreillyauto.com | ||
Full time employees | 91874 |
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, and Mexico. The company provides new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. It also offers auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools, and professional service provider service equipment. In addition, the company provide enhanced services and programs comprising used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; battery diagnostic testing; electrical and module testing; check engine light code extraction; loaner tool program; drum and rotor resurfacing; custom hydraulic hoses; and professional paint shop mixing and related materials. Further, it offers do-it-yourself and professional service for domestic and imported automobiles, vans, and trucks. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.
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