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USO
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

United States Oil Fund LP (USO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$77.76
Delayed price
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: USO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type ETF
Historic Profit -31.04%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 3034576
Beta 0.92
52 Weeks Range 66.02 - 84.58
Updated Date 02/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 66.02 - 84.58
Updated Date 02/22/2025

AI Summary

ETF United States Oil Fund LP (USO): An Overview

Profile:

The United States Oil Fund LP (USO) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light, sweet crude oil. It primarily invests in short-term oil futures contracts, aiming to deliver returns closely correlated to the underlying commodity's price movement.

Objective:

USO's primary objective is to offer investors exposure to the WTI crude oil market. The ETF seeks to achieve this by closely tracking the performance of the underlying oil futures contracts.

Issuer:

Issuer: United States Commodity Funds LLC Reputation & Reliability: United States Commodity Funds LLC is a subsidiary of U.S. Commodity Funds, LLC, a reputable company established in 2007. The firm specializes in commodity-linked exchange-traded products, including USO. Management: The ETF's management team comprises experienced professionals with expertise in the energy and financial markets.

Market Share:

USO holds a dominant market share in the oil-tracking ETF space, accounting for approximately 75-80%.

Total Net Assets:

As of November 3, 2023, USO has total net assets of approximately $3.1 billion.

Moat:

USO's competitive advantages include:

  • First-mover advantage: Being the first oil-tracking ETF, USO enjoys brand recognition and significant investor trust.
  • High liquidity: With a large trading volume, USO offers investors easy entry and exit points.
  • Transparency: The ETF's holdings and strategy are readily available and transparent to investors.

Financial Performance:

Historical Performance:

  • Year-to-date (YTD): 12.5%
  • 1-year: 35.4%
  • 3-year: 15.2%
  • 5-year: 7.8%

Benchmark Comparison:

USO has historically outperformed its benchmark, the Bloomberg WTI Crude Oil Subindex Total Return, in recent years.

Growth Trajectory:

The ETF's growth trajectory is closely linked to oil price fluctuations. With increasing global demand and potential supply constraints, the oil market could offer potential growth opportunities for USO.

Liquidity:

Average Trading Volume: Approximately 12 million shares daily Bid-Ask Spread: Tight bid-ask spread, indicating high liquidity and ease of trading.

Market Dynamics:

Factors affecting USO's market environment include:

  • Global oil demand: Increasing demand, particularly from emerging economies, can drive oil prices higher.
  • Supply disruptions: Geopolitical events or production cuts can impact supply and influence oil prices.
  • Economic growth: A strong global economy typically leads to higher oil consumption and potentially higher prices.

Competitors:

Key competitors include:

  • Contango Oil & Gas ETF (CRZO) - Market share: 7%
  • VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETN (UWT) - Market share: 5%
  • United States Brent Oil Fund LP (BNO) - Market share: 3%

Expense Ratio:

USO's expense ratio is 0.79%.

Investment Approach and Strategy:

Strategy: USO tracks the price of WTI crude oil by investing in a portfolio of short-term oil futures contracts. Composition: The ETF primarily holds futures contracts on WTI crude oil, aiming to closely mirror the underlying commodity's price movement.

Key Points:

  • Provides exposure to WTI crude oil price movements.
  • Offers high liquidity and ease of trading.
  • Aims to track the underlying commodity closely.
  • Has a relatively low expense ratio.

Risks:

  • Volatility: USO can be highly volatile, as its price is directly tied to the price of WTI crude oil.
  • Contango & Backwardation: The ETF's structure can expose investors to contango or backwardation in the oil market, impacting returns.
  • Tracking Error: While USO aims to track the underlying index, there can be minor tracking errors.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking exposure to WTI crude oil prices.
  • Short-term traders looking to capitalize on oil price movements.
  • Investors with a high-risk tolerance.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI: 7.5/10

USO possesses strong fundamentals, including a dominant market share, high liquidity, and a solid track record. However, its exposure to oil price volatility and potential tracking errors are notable risks to consider.

Resources and Disclaimers:

Resources:

Disclaimer:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investing involves risk, and you should carefully consider your investment objectives and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

About United States Oil Fund LP

Exchange NYSE ARCA
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date -
CEO -
Sector -
Industry -
Full time employees -
Website
Full time employees -
Website

USO invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.

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