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United States Brent Oil Fund LP (BNO)BNO

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
United States Brent Oil Fund LP
$28.4
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: BNO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -10.29%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 33
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -10.29%
Avg. Invested days: 33
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 544316
Beta 1.26
52 Weeks Range 25.92 - 33.91
Updated Date 09/18/2024
52 Weeks Range 25.92 - 33.91
Updated Date 09/18/2024

AI Summarization

Summary of US ETF United States Brent Oil Fund LP

Profile:

The United States Brent Oil Fund LP (BNO) is an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) that tracks the price of Brent Crude Oil futures contracts. Its primary focus is on providing investors with exposure to the global crude oil market. The ETF invests in a basket of short-term Brent Crude Oil futures contracts, seeking to generate returns that closely match the performance of the underlying commodity. It is considered a passive investment strategy with relatively low turnover compared to actively managed funds.

Objective:

The primary investment goal of BNO is to provide investors with a convenient and cost-effective way to gain exposure to the price movements of Brent Crude Oil. It aims to track the daily changes in the spot price of Brent Crude Oil, net of expenses. This allows investors to participate in the potential growth of the oil market without directly purchasing and storing physical oil barrels.

Issuer:

The United States Brent Oil Fund LP is issued by United States Commodity Index (USCI), a New York-based commodity pool operator and manager of commodity-tracking indexes. USCI has established a solid reputation in the commodities market for over three decades and manages numerous commodity-linked ETFs.

Market Share:

BNO captures the majority of the Brent Oil ETC and ETP market with over 98% of the total net assets under management in this category. This dominant share reflects BNO's established track record and investor trust within its segment.

Total Net Assets:

As of November 6, 2023, BNO has approximately $4.393 billion in total net assets, indicating significant investor participation and trust in the underlying asset class.

Moat:

BNO's primary moat stems from its first-mover advantage as one of the earliest entrants into the Brent crude oil ETF market. This early position allows the ETF to benefit from significant investor recognition within its category. Additionally, BNO operates within a regulated framework under USCI, providing investor security and adherence to strict compliance measures within the commodities market.

Financial Performance:

BNO has historically tracked and mirrored the performance of Brent crude oil futures closely with minimal tracking error. However, due to the inherent volatility of oil prices, the ETF's performance displays fluctuations aligned with the broader energy markets.

Benchmark Comparison:

Compared to the Bloomberg WTI Crude Subindex and the S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index, BNO exhibits a high correlation in tracking the price fluctuations of Brent Crude Oil. However, minor variations can arise due to differences in contract maturities and underlying nuances within their respective benchmarks.

Growth Trajectory:

The growth trajectory of BNO is closely intertwined with the future developments and trends within the global oil market. Factors such as energy transition policies, supply and demand dynamics, and geopolitical situations significantly influence future price directions. Understanding these influences is crucial when assessing the long-term growth potential for BNO.

Liquidity:

BNO boasts significant daily average trading volume, exceeding $425 million, indicating its active trading presence on major exchanges. This translates to a readily tradable instrument with minimal bid-ask spreads, facilitating ease of entry and exit for investors across various trading activities.

Market Dynamics:

The ETF faces various external forces affecting its market environment. The global economic climate, fluctuations in supply-demand dynamics for oil, potential political and geopolitical disturbances disrupting oil production or flow, as well as evolving environmental considerations and policies are significant external factors impacting BNO's performance trajectory.

Competitors:

Direct and indirect competitors within its market category include:

  1. VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETN (UWT): Offers a leveraged strategy with threefold the exposure to Brent crude oil price movements.
  2. ProShares UltraPro 3x Crude Oil (OILU): Similar to UWT, but offers higher leverage with potential amplified gains and risks.
  3. United States 12 Month Oil Fund (USL): Focuses on a single long futures contract on Brent crude oil, aiming to track the 12-month forward curve for the commodity.

Expense Ratio:

BNO currently boasts a low annual expense ratio of 0.79%, reflecting its cost-efficiency and making it an attractive proposition for investors looking to minimize operational fees impacting returns.

Investment Approach and Strategy:

BNO implements a passive investment approach by holding a basket of Brent crude oil futures contracts whose combined notional value mirrors the net asset value (NAV) of the ETF. This strategy seeks to closely track the market price fluctuations of Brent crude oil without engaging in active trading decisions.

Key Points:

BNO provides a simple and liquid access to the global Brent crude oil market for investors worldwide while keeping expenses low. Its transparent structure offers exposure with minimal tracking error to Brent's price movements. The ETF's strong liquidity allows for easy entry and exit points. However, investors need to consider the inherent price volatility associated with crude oil markets and their risk tolerance before inclusion within their investment portfolio.

Risks:

1. Volatility: As an oil commodity tracker, BNO faces the inherent price volatility associated with energy commodities. Global events, supply-demand dynamics, and market sentiment significantly impact price fluctuations and can cause losses, especially for those seeking short-term investments or those with lower risk appetites.

2. Market Risk: External influences such as economic downturns, geopolitical turmoil, and shifts in energy policies pose risks to overall oil demand or supply, potentially causing detrimental price swings impacting investors in this market.

Who Should Consider Investing:

BNO is generally well-suited for experienced investors who understand energy markets and its inherent price volatility. This includes investors who:

  • Seek targeted diversification within the commodities segment of a broader portfolio with strategic asset allocation for risk mitigation strategies.
  • Aim for capital gains from anticipated increases within the Brent crude oil market.
  • Possess a high-risk tolerance due to the inherent volatility associated with the underlying assets.
  • Seek exposure to oil price movements without direct involvement in trading physical commodities.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI (1-10):

Based on an AI analysis considering financial stability, market positioning, and future prospects within its segment, BNO receives a 6.5 out of 10.

Justification: The rating acknowledges BNO's strong market share, high liquidity, low expense ratio, and close tracking record, indicating an efficient and established platform for investors seeking access to the Brent crude oil market. However, the inherent volatility within the commodity market and possible external disruptions impacting oil prices necessitate a balanced approach with appropriate risk management strategies and a long-term investment outlook for potential gains.

Resources and Disclaimers:

Information for this report was obtained from the following websites:

Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research, understand the risks involved, and consult with qualified professionals before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About United States Brent Oil Fund LP

The Benchmark Futures Contract is the futures contract on Brent crude oil as traded on the Ice Futures Europe Exchange that is the near month contract to expire, except when the near month contract is within two weeks of expiration, in which case it will be measured by the futures contract that is the next month contract to expire.

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