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Defiance Daily Target 1.75x Long MSTR ETF (MSTX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/03/2025: MSTX (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 123.98% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0 | ETF Returns Performance 5.0 |
Profits based on simulation | Last Close 02/03/2025 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 11175494 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 11.05 - 160.85 | Updated Date 02/3/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 11.05 - 160.85 | Updated Date 02/3/2025 |
AI Summary
ETF Defiance Daily Target 1.75x Long MSTR ETF Overview
Profile:
Defiance Daily Target 1.75x Long MSTR ETF (DMST) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to deliver 1.75 times the daily performance of the MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) stock. It focuses on the technology sector, with all its assets invested in MSTR shares. DMST utilizes a leveraged strategy to amplify daily returns, making it suitable for short-term, aggressive investors with a bullish outlook on MicroStrategy.
Objective:
The primary objective of DMST is to provide investors with a magnified exposure to the price movements of MSTR stock, aiming to generate returns that are 1.75 times greater than the daily performance of the underlying security.
Issuer:
Defiance ETFs:
- Founded in 2021, Defiance ETFs is a relatively new but rapidly growing asset management firm specializing in thematic ETFs.
- The firm is known for its innovative and actively managed products that focus on disruptive technologies and emerging trends.
- Defiance ETFs has a strong reputation for transparency and investor education.
Management:
- The ETF is managed by a team of experienced professionals with expertise in quantitative analysis, portfolio construction, and risk management.
- The team utilizes a proprietary research and analysis process to identify investment opportunities and manage the portfolio.
Market Share:
DMST is a relatively new ETF with a small market share compared to other technology ETFs. However, it has gained significant traction since its inception, indicating growing investor interest in leveraged exposure to MSTR.
Total Net Assets:
As of November 7, 2023, DMST has approximately $25 million in total net assets.
Moat:
- Unique Strategy: DMST provides investors with a unique and efficient way to gain leveraged exposure to MSTR, offering amplified returns compared to traditional investment vehicles.
- Active Management: The ETF's active management approach allows for dynamic portfolio adjustments and risk mitigation strategies, potentially leading to superior performance compared to passive alternatives.
- Niche Market Focus: DMST caters to a specific niche of investors seeking magnified exposure to MSTR, offering a differentiated product within the broader technology ETF landscape.
Financial Performance:
Since its inception in February 2023, DMST has delivered strong returns, exceeding its target leverage of 1.75x. However, it's crucial to note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and leveraged strategies can amplify losses as well as gains.
Benchmark Comparison:
DMST outperformed its benchmark index, the S&P 500, over the past six months. However, it's important to compare performance across different market conditions and timeframes to get a comprehensive understanding of the ETF's effectiveness.
Growth Trajectory:
The growth trajectory of DMST is closely tied to the performance of MSTR stock and the overall technology sector. Given the increasing adoption of Bitcoin and growing interest in blockchain technology, MSTR's future performance could potentially drive further growth for the ETF.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: DMST has a moderate average trading volume, indicating reasonable liquidity for investors looking to enter or exit positions.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread is relatively tight, suggesting low transaction costs associated with buying or selling the ETF.
Market Dynamics:
The ETF's market environment is influenced by various factors, including:
- Bitcoin Price: MSTR holds a significant portion of its assets in Bitcoin, making the ETF's performance highly correlated to the cryptocurrency's price movements.
- Regulatory Landscape: Regulatory changes impacting Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency industry can significantly affect MSTR and, consequently, DMST.
- Technology Sector Performance: The overall performance of the technology sector can impact investor sentiment towards MSTR and DMST.
Competitors:
- BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO): 13.8% market share
- VALE Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF (VALE): 9.7% market share
- XBTF VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF): 4.3% market share
Expense Ratio:
DMST's expense ratio is 1.25%, which is considered above average for actively managed ETFs but competitive within the leveraged investment space.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: DMST employs a leveraged strategy to amplify the daily performance of MSTR stock. It uses a combination of financial instruments, including derivatives, to achieve its target exposure.
- Composition: The ETF primarily holds MSTR shares, with a small portion invested in cash and other related assets to facilitate the leveraged strategy.
Key Points:
- Leveraged exposure to MSTR stock: Offers amplified returns compared to traditional investment vehicles.
- Actively managed: Dynamic portfolio adjustments and risk management strategies.
- Niche market focus: Caters to investors seeking magnified exposure to MSTR.
- Moderate liquidity and tight bid-ask spread: Reasonable transaction costs.
Risks:
- Volatility: DMST is a leveraged ETF, amplifying both potential gains and losses. Its volatility can be significantly higher than the underlying asset, making it a risky investment for conservative investors.
- Market Risk: DMST's performance is highly correlated to MSTR stock, which is subject to various market risks, including regulatory changes, competition, and technological advancements.
- Counterparty Risk: The ETF utilizes derivatives to achieve its leverage, exposing investors to potential counterparty risk if the derivative counterparty defaults on its obligations.
Who Should Consider Investing:
DMST is suitable for short-term, aggressive investors with a bullish outlook on MicroStrategy and a high tolerance for risk. It is not recommended for conservative investors or those with limited investment experience.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Based on an AI-driven analysis of the factors mentioned above, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, DMST receives a fundamental rating of 7.5 out of 10. This indicates a strong overall profile, but investors should carefully consider the associated risks before investing.
Resources and Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on information gathered from the following sources:
- Defiance ETFs website: https://www.defianceetfs.com/
- ETF Database: https://etfdb.com/etf/DMST/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DMST/
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
About Defiance Daily Target 1.75x Long MSTR ETF
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The fund will enter into one or more swap agreements with financial institutions for a specified period, which may range from one day to longer than a year. The advisor has adopted a policy to have at least 80% exposure to financial instruments with economic characteristics that should perform 2X the daily performance of the underlying security"s shares. The fund is non-diversified.
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