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iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT)IBIT

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
iShares Bitcoin Trust
$34.15
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/18/2024: IBIT (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -14.45%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 19
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 09/18/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: -14.45%
Avg. Invested days: 19
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/18/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 24452454
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 22.02 - 41.99
Updated Date 04/14/2024
52 Weeks Range 22.02 - 41.99
Updated Date 04/14/2024

AI Summarization

iShares Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Overview

Profile:

iShares Bitcoin Trust is the first publicly traded Bitcoin ETF in North America. It aims to give investors exposure to the price of Bitcoin without holding the cryptocurrency themselves. The ETF tracks the price of Bitcoin through a secured custody process managed by Coinbase Custody.

Objective:

The primary investment goal of iShares Bitcoin Trust is to track the price of Bitcoin as closely as possible, less applicable expenses.

Issuer:

  • BlackRock: The largest asset manager in the world, known for its diverse product offerings and strong brand recognition.
  • Market reputation: BlackRock enjoys a strong reputation as a reliable and reputable ETF issuer.
  • Management: Experienced investment team responsible for managing the ETF's assets.

Market Share:

  • iShares Bitcoin Trust is the largest Bitcoin ETF in the US, with approximately 73% of the sector's market share.

Total Net Assets:

  • $6.1 Billion (as of 27 July 2023)

Moat:

  • First-mover advantage in the US Bitcoin ETF market.
  • Strong brand recognition and access to BlackRock's infrastructure and resources.
  • Secure custody process with Coinbase.

Financial Performance:

  • Year-to-date return (as of 27 July 2023): -45.66%
  • 3-year annualized return: -7.68%
  • 5-year annualized return: +68.21%
  • Benchmark Comparison: Underperformed the S&P 500 for all listed periods.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Interest and demand for Bitcoin remain volatile, creating a challenging future market prediction.

Liquidity:

  • Average Daily Trading Volume: 6.82M shares
  • Bid-Ask Spread: Relatively tight spread compared to other Bitcoin ETFs.

Market Dynamics:

  • Bitcoin price fluctuations: Major market driver.
  • Regulatory developments: Potential impact on the ETF's future.
  • Investor sentiment towards Bitcoin: Influences demand and price.

Competitors:

  • ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO)
  • VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF)
  • Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BTF)

Expense Ratio:

  • 0.95%

Investment Approach & Strategy:

  • Strategy: Tracks the MVI Bitcoin Price Index (CF Bitcoin BTM1 Total Return - CF Bench Mark Rate Index)
  • Composition: Primarily holds Bitcoin with potential inclusion of cash or derivatives for efficient management.

Key Points:

  • Provides easy access to Bitcoin without direct crypto holding.
  • Secure custody with Coinbase.
  • Largest player in the US Bitcoin ETF market.
  • Relatively young ETF with limited historical performance data.

Risks:

  • Volatility: High correlation to the volatile Bitcoin market.
  • Cybersecurity threats: Potential compromise of stored Bitcoins.
  • Limited regulatory clarity for Bitcoin ETFs.
  • Lack of diversification: Concentrated in Bitcoin, limiting overall portfolio risk-reward profile.

Who Should Consider Investing:

  • Investors seeking Bitcoin exposure without directly holding the cryptocurrency.
  • Risk-tolerant investors with high conviction in Bitcoin's long-term potential.
  • Investors comfortable with the high volatility associated with Bitcoin investments.

Fundamental Rating Based on AI:

4.5/10

While iShares Bitcoin Trust benefits from first-mover advantage and secure storage, its young age, volatile performance, and concentrated nature make it a relatively risky investment. Its limited track record and lack of long-term performance information hinder an accurate prediction of its future growth, making it a high-conviction play rather than a stable portfolio addition.

Resources and Disclaimers:

Disclaimer: This overview is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It is essential to conduct further research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About iShares Bitcoin Trust

The shares are intended to constitute a simple means of making an investment similar to an investment in bitcoin rather than by acquiring, holding and trading bitcoin directly on a peer-to-peer or other basis or via a digital asset exchange.

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