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Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) (GBTC)GBTC

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)
$47.77
Delayed price
Today's Top Performer Top performer
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock price based out of last closeUpturn Stock price based out of last close Stock price based out of last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/17/2024: GBTC (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Upturns

Type: ETF
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 136.67%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5
Last Close 09/17/2024
Type: ETF
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Profit: 136.67%
Avg. Invested days: 30
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ETF Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/17/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance3

Key Highlights

Volume (30-day avg) 4122446
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 18.04 - 65.61
Updated Date 09/17/2024
52 Weeks Range 18.04 - 65.61
Updated Date 09/17/2024

AI Summarization

Overview of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)

Profile:

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is a publicly traded trust that invests exclusively in Bitcoin. It offers investors a convenient way to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly buying and holding the cryptocurrency.

Objective:

The primary objective of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is to track the performance of Bitcoin. It aims to provide investors with investment returns that, before expenses, generally correspond to the price performance of Bitcoin.

Issuer:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a product of Grayscale Investments, a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group (DCG). DCG is a prominent player in the cryptocurrency industry with a wide range of investments in blockchain and digital currency companies.

Reputation and Reliability:

Grayscale Investments has a strong reputation in the cryptocurrency industry. It is one of the largest and most established cryptocurrency asset managers, with over $20 billion in assets under management.

Management:

Grayscale Investments is managed by a team of experienced professionals with deep expertise in the financial and cryptocurrency markets. The team includes former executives from traditional Wall Street firms and leading technology companies.

Market Share:

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is the largest publicly traded Bitcoin investment vehicle, with over $13 billion in assets under management. It holds over 3% of the total Bitcoin in circulation.

Total Net Assets:

As of November 8, 2023, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has approximately $13.5 billion in total net assets.

Moat:

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust benefits from several competitive advantages:

  • First Mover Advantage: It was the first publicly traded Bitcoin investment vehicle, giving it a head start in the market.
  • Institutional Backing: Grayscale Investments has a strong reputation and track record, which attracts institutional investors.
  • Convenience: The trust provides a convenient way for investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without needing to directly manage the cryptocurrency.

Financial Performance:

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has generated impressive returns since its inception. However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is highly volatile, which can lead to significant fluctuations in the trust's share price.

Benchmark Comparison:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has outperformed the Bitcoin price in recent years. This suggests that the trust has been successful in tracking the performance of Bitcoin.

Growth Trajectory:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has experienced strong growth in recent years. This growth is likely to continue as more investors seek exposure to Bitcoin.

Liquidity:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a highly liquid investment vehicle. Its average daily trading volume is over $1 billion.

Bid-Ask Spread:

The bid-ask spread for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is typically less than 1%. This indicates that the trust is relatively easy to buy and sell.

Market Dynamics:

Several factors can affect the market environment for the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, including:

  • Bitcoin Price Volatility: The price of Bitcoin is highly volatile, which can impact the trust's share price.
  • Regulatory Landscape: The regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is constantly evolving, which could have a significant impact on the trust's business.
  • Competition: The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust faces competition from other Bitcoin investment vehicles, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Competitors:

Key competitors of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust include:

  • Bitcoin ETF (BITO)
  • ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITI)
  • VanEck Bitcoin ETF (XBTF)

Market Share:

  • Grayscale Bitcoin Trust: 75%
  • Bitcoin ETF (BITO): 15%
  • ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITI): 7%
  • VanEck Bitcoin ETF (XBTF): 3%

Expense Ratio:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has an expense ratio of 2%.

Investment Approach and Strategy:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust tracks the performance of Bitcoin. It invests in Bitcoin and does not engage in any active trading strategies.

Composition:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust holds Bitcoin as its sole asset.

Key Points:

  • Largest publicly traded Bitcoin investment vehicle
  • Strong reputation and track record
  • Convenient way to gain exposure to Bitcoin
  • High liquidity
  • High expense ratio

Risks:

  • Volatility: The price of Bitcoin is highly volatile, which can lead to significant fluctuations in the trust's share price.
  • Market Risk: The cryptocurrency market is still evolving and faces regulatory uncertainty, which could impact the trust's value.
  • Custody Risk: The trust's Bitcoin holdings are held in cold storage by a third-party custodian. There is a risk that the custodian could lose or misappropriate the Bitcoin.

Who Should Consider Investing:

The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is suitable for investors who:

  • Believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin
  • Are comfortable with high volatility
  • Have a long-term investment horizon

Fundamental Rating Based on AI:

Based on the factors mentioned above, an AI-based rating system would likely give Grayscale Bitcoin Trust a rating of 7 or 8 out of 10. The trust benefits from a strong track record, high liquidity, and first-mover advantage. However, it is important to consider the high volatility and market risks associated with Bitcoin before investing.

Resources:

Disclaimers:

This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)

The trust"s Bitcoins are carried, for financial statement purposes, at fair value as required by U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"). The trust determines the fair value of Bitcoins based on the price provided by the Digital Asset Market that the trust considers its principal market as of 4:00 p.m., New York time, on the valuation date.

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