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Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) (GBTC)




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Upturn Advisory Summary
03/11/2025: GBTC (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type ETF | Historic Profit 191.43% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | ETF Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 2768765 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 39.56 - 86.11 | Updated Date 03/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 39.56 - 86.11 | Updated Date 03/12/2025 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) Summary
Profile: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC) is a closed-end trust that invests in Bitcoin. It is the world's largest digital currency asset manager with over $13.5 billion in assets under management (AUM). The trust aims to track the price of Bitcoin and provides investors with exposure to the cryptocurrency without directly owning or storing it.
Objective: The primary investment goal of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is to provide investors with a secure and convenient way to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
Issuer: Grayscale Investments manages the trust. Grayscale is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group (DCG), a leading blockchain investment firm.
Reputation and Reliability: Grayscale has a strong reputation in the cryptocurrency industry. The company has been operating since 2013 and has a proven track record of managing digital assets. DCG, the parent company, is also a well-established and respected firm in the blockchain space.
Management: Grayscale's management team has extensive experience in the financial services and cryptocurrency industries. The team is led by Michael Sonnenshein, who has over 15 years of experience in the financial services industry.
Market Share: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has a dominant market share in the Bitcoin investment space. As of October 2023, it holds over 63% of the total assets invested in Bitcoin investment products.
Total Net Assets: The total net assets under management of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust are over $13.5 billion.
Moat: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's competitive advantages include its first-mover advantage, strong brand recognition, and experienced management team. The trust also benefits from its affiliation with DCG, which provides access to valuable resources and industry expertise.
Financial Performance: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has generated strong returns for investors since its inception. The trust's total return over the past five years is over 1,000%. However, it is important to note that Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and the trust's performance may fluctuate significantly in the future.
Benchmark Comparison: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has outperformed the Bitcoin price index over the past five years. This suggests that the trust has been effective in tracking the price of Bitcoin.
Growth Trajectory: The Bitcoin market is expected to continue growing in the coming years. This should provide Grayscale Bitcoin Trust with opportunities to increase its AUM and generate further returns for investors.
Liquidity: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a highly liquid investment product. The average daily trading volume for the trust is over $1 billion.
Bid-Ask Spread: The bid-ask spread for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is typically around 1%. This means that investors can buy and sell shares of the trust at a relatively low cost.
Market Dynamics: The Bitcoin market is influenced by a variety of factors, including economic conditions, regulatory developments, and technological advancements. Investors should be aware of these factors before investing in Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.
Competitors: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's main competitors include other Bitcoin investment products, such as the Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) and the Osprey Bitcoin Trust (OBTC).
Expense Ratio: The expense ratio for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is 2%. This includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust invests directly in Bitcoin. The trust does not use any leverage or derivatives.
Strategy: The trust's investment strategy is to passively track the price of Bitcoin.
Composition: The trust's portfolio consists solely of Bitcoin.
Key Points:
- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is the world's largest Bitcoin investment product.
- The trust provides investors with a secure and convenient way to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust has generated strong returns for investors since its inception.
- The trust is a highly liquid investment product with a low expense ratio.
Risks:
- Bitcoin is a highly volatile asset, and the trust's performance may fluctuate significantly in the future.
- The Bitcoin market is subject to a variety of risks, including regulatory uncertainty and technological advancements.
- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a closed-end trust, which means that investors cannot redeem their shares directly.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors who are interested in gaining exposure to Bitcoin.
- Investors who are comfortable with the volatility of Bitcoin.
- Investors who are looking for a secure and convenient way to invest in Bitcoin.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
Based on an AI-based analysis of various factors, including financial health, market position, and future prospects, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust receives a fundamental rating of 8.5 out of 10.
The AI analysis considers factors such as the trust's strong financial performance, dominant market share, experienced management team, and affiliation with DCG.
However, the AI analysis also acknowledges the risks associated with Bitcoin, such as its volatility and regulatory uncertainty.
Overall, the AI analysis suggests that Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is a well-managed investment product with strong growth potential.
Resources:
- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust website: https://grayscale.co/bitcoin-trust/
- Bitcoin price index: https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/BTC:CUR
- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust prospectus: https://grayscale.co/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/GBTC-Prospectus.pdf
Disclaimers:
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.
About Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC)
Exchange NYSE ARCA | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date - | CEO - | ||
Sector - | Industry - | Full time employees - | Website |
Full time employees - | Website |
The trust"s Bitcoins are carried, for financial statement purposes, at fair value as required by U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP"). The trust determines the fair value of Bitcoins based on the price provided by the Digital Asset Market that the trust considers its principal market as of 4:00 p.m., New York time, on the valuation date.
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