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iShares Gold Trust (IAU)IAU
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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/31/2024: IAU (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Upturns
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 2.18% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 1 | Last Close 07/31/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Profit: 2.18% | Avg. Invested days: 50 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 1 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/31/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 4158820 | Beta 0.11 |
52 Weeks Range 34.35 - 49.12 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 34.35 - 49.12 | Updated Date 09/19/2024 |
AI Summarization
US ETF iShares Gold Trust (IAU)
Profile:
- Primary Focus: IAU, also known as the iShares COMEX Gold Trust, is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the price of gold bullion. Its primary sector is precious metals, and its asset allocation is entirely in physical gold bars stored in a trust. The ETF uses a buy-and-hold investment strategy, aiming to track the performance of the gold spot price as closely as possible.
- Objective: IAU focuses on providing investors with a convenient and cost-effective way to gain exposure to the gold market without directly purchasing and storing physical gold.
Issuer:
- Company: BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)
- Reputation and Reliability: BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, with a robust reputation for investment management expertise and reliability. Its iShares series of ETFs is among the world's most popular and liquid.
- Management: iShares employs a team of experienced and qualified portfolio managers responsible for overseeing IAU investments. The team actively monitors the gold market and adjusts the trust's holdings accordingly while maintaining a focus on tracking the benchmark index.
Market Share:
- IAU occupies a dominant position as the largest physically-backed gold ETF in the US, commanding over 90% of the market share in its sector.
Total Net Assets:
- IAU has total net assets exceeding $50 billion, demonstrating the significant investor confidence and interest in the fund.
Moat:
- Unique Investment Access: It offers investors a simple and efficient way to access the gold market without dealing with physical storage and security concerns.
- Liquidity Advantage: As the largest gold ETF, IAU boasts superior liquidity compared to many competitors, making it more accessible and efficient to buy and sell.
- BlackRock Brand: The iShares branding and BlackRock's reputation contribute to enhanced investor trust and attract a larger pool of potential investors.
Financial Performance:
- Historically, IAU has closely tracked the spot price of gold, with a positive return on investment during periods of rising gold prices.
- The ETF experienced significant growth in recent years, reflecting the increased investor interest in gold as a potential hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.
Benchmark Comparison:
- IAU has historically outperformed its primary benchmark, the LBMA/ICE Gold Spot Index, due to its efficiency and lower expense costs.
Growth Trajectory:
- The future growth prospect of IAU heavily depends on the performance of the broader gold market. Current trends suggest continued investor interest in gold as a potential safe-haven asset, which could fuel further growth for the gold ETF.
Liquidity:
- Average Trading Volume: IAU boasts a high average daily trading volume exceeding tens of millions of shares, which guarantees high liquidity and simplifies trading for investors.
- Bid-Ask Spread: The relatively low bid-ask spread indicates low trading and transaction costs, making the ETF accessible without significant financial barriers.
Market Dynamics:
- Economic Indicators: Rising inflation and concerns about economic uncertainty can contribute to increased demand for gold, positively impacting IAU.
- Global Events: Political instability and international conflicts can further heighten the value of gold as a safe-haven asset, impacting both the gold price and consequently the ETF's performance.
- Interest Rates: Increasing interest rates can potentially reduce the appeal of precious metals like gold compared to higher- yielding assets.
Competitors:
- SPDR Gold Shares (GLD): The second-largest gold ETF with a market share of around 7%.
- VanEck Merk Gold Trust (OUNZ): A smaller competitor with roughly 1% market share.
Expense Ratio:
- IAU has an expense ratio of 0.25%, which includes management fees and other operational costs.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: Passively invests in gold bullion to track the price performance of the LBMA/ICE Gold Spot Index.
- Composition: Holds physical gold bars stored in various vaults globally. These bars are allocated to the trust's shareholders based on their investment unit ownership.
Key Points:
- Cost-effective and convenient: Offers exposure to gold without physical storage needs.
- High liquidity: Offers easy buying and selling with low transaction costs.
- Strong track record: Closely aligns with gold price movements.
- Diversification tool: Can serve as protection against inflation and market volatility in a diversified portfolio.
Risks:
- Fluctuating Value: Gold prices exhibit volatility and can decline, posing a risk of potential investment losses.
- Market Factors: Economic and market conditions significantly impact gold prices and consequently the value of an investment in IAU.
- Inflation Uncertainty: If inflation remains low, investor interest in gold as an inflation hedge might decline, impacting demand for IAU.
Who Should Consider Investing:
- Investors seeking diversification and protection against potential market risk and inflation may consider IAU.
- Individuals expecting to hold their investment for at least a medium-term horizon might benefit from IAU, as they can weather short-term market fluctuations.
- This ETF might be appealing to investors who desire convenient and affordable access to the gold market.
Fundamental Rating System Based on AI (1-10):
Considering the factors mentioned throughout this analysis; financial performance, industry position, growth trajectory, liquidity, competitor landscape, cost structure, and investor suitability, I assign IAU an 8.5 on my AI-based Rating System.
This rating reflects the strong fundamentals of IAU. Its robust track record, market leadership, diversification potential, competitive advantage, and investor suitability make it a compelling investment option. While the ETF's performance is directly tied to the gold market which inherently involves volatility, investors with a clear understanding and risk tolerance for this attribute can benefit from the potential offered by iShares Gold Trust.
Resources and Disclaimers:
Data Sources:
- iShares iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) - https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239645/ishares-comex-gold-trust-fund
- Yahoo Finance - https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IAU?p=IAU
- TradingView- https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYSEARCA-IAU/
- Morningstar - https://www.morningstar.com/etfs/xnas/iau/portfolio
DISCLAIMER: This summary is meant to provide a brief overview of iShares Gold Trust (IAU) and should not be considered investment advice. Investing in ETFs involves various risks, and thorough research and risk assessment are always recommended before making any investment decisions. Always consult with a qualified financial professional before implementing any investment strategies. The information presented here reflects readily available market data as of December 04, 2023, and can change without prior notice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About iShares Gold Trust
The Trust seeks to reflect such performance before payment of the Trust"s expenses and liabilities. It is not actively managed. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or to ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of gold. The advisor intends to constitute a simple and cost-effective means of making an investment similar to an investment in gold. An investment in physical gold requires expensive and sometimes complicated arrangements in connection with the assay, transportation, warehousing and insurance of the metal.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.