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SPDR® Gold Shares (GLD)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: GLD (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: ETF | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 6.62% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 63 |
Profits based on simulation | ETF Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: ETF | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 6.62% | Avg. Invested days: 63 |
Upturn Star Rating | ETF Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Volume (30-day avg) 6775206 | Beta 0.18 |
52 Weeks Range 183.78 - 257.71 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
52 Weeks Range 183.78 - 257.71 | Updated Date 12/21/2024 |
AI Summarization
ETF SPDR® Gold Shares: A Comprehensive Overview
Profile:
ETF SPDR® Gold Shares (GLD) is a physically backed exchange-traded fund that primarily invests in gold bullion. It aims to track the price of gold and offer investors a convenient way to gain exposure to this precious metal. GLD invests in gold bars held in secure vaults, and each share represents ownership of a fraction of these bars.
Objective:
The primary investment goal of GLD is to provide investors with a secure and liquid investment that mirrors the performance of gold bullion. This allows investors to diversify their portfolios and potentially hedge against inflationary pressures or economic uncertainty.
Issuer:
GLD is issued by State Street Global Advisors, a leading provider of financial services with a global presence.
Reputation and Reliability:
State Street Global Advisors has a strong reputation as a reliable and well-established financial institution. They are known for their expertise in the ETF space and for managing investments responsibly.
Management:
The ETF is managed by a team of experienced professionals with a deep understanding of the gold market. They continuously monitor the market and adjust the fund's holdings as needed to maintain its close correlation with the price of gold.
Market Share:
GLD is the largest and most liquid gold ETF in the world, with a market share of over 38%. It has approximately $59.67 billion in total net assets as of November 2023.
Moat:
GLD's competitive advantages include its:
- Significant brand recognition and market leadership: Its large size and liquidity make it the preferred choice for many investors seeking gold exposure.
- Physical gold backing: Unlike some other gold ETFs that use swaps or futures contracts, GLD offers investors direct ownership of physical gold, potentially reducing counterparty risk.
- Low expense ratio: GLD has a low expense ratio of 0.4%, making it a cost-effective way to invest in gold.
Financial Performance:
GLD has historically tracked the price of gold closely. Over the past 10 years, its annualized return has been 7.34%, closely mirroring the price movements of gold bullion. Its performance has also been relatively stable compared to other asset classes, with an annualized volatility of 14.14%.
Benchmark Comparison:
GLD has outperformed its benchmark, the S&P GSCI Gold Index, over the past 10 years. This indicates that the fund has been able to generate returns slightly exceeding the broader gold market.
Growth Trajectory:
The long-term outlook for GLD is positive due to increasing demand for gold as a safe haven asset and inflation hedge. Additionally, the growing popularity of ETFs as an investment vehicle is likely to fuel further growth for GLD.
Liquidity:
GLD is a highly liquid ETF with an average daily trading volume exceeding 15 million shares. This ensures easy entry and exit for investors looking to adjust their gold exposure. It also has a tight bid-ask spread, minimizing transaction costs for investors.
Market Dynamics:
Factors affecting GLD's market environment include:
- Global economic uncertainty: Rising concerns about inflation, economic downturns, or geopolitical issues can drive investors towards gold as a safe haven asset.
- Interest rate fluctuations: Rising interest rates can negatively impact the attractiveness of gold as it offers no interest income.
- Strength of the U.S. dollar: A strong dollar makes gold more expensive for non-U.S. investors, potentially curbing demand.
Competitors:
Key competitors of GLD include IAU (iShares Gold Trust) and GSG (Goldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF), holding market shares of approximately 25% and 7% respectively.
Expense Ratio:
GLD has an expense ratio of 0.4%, which is relatively low compared to other gold ETFs. This fee covers the costs associated with managing the fund and storing the gold bullion.
Investment Approach and Strategy:
- Strategy: GLD aims to passively track the price of gold bullion. It doesn't aim to outperform the market but rather seeks to provide investors with a convenient and low-cost way to gain gold exposure.
- Composition: The fund primarily holds gold bars stored in secure vaults. It may also hold small amounts of cash and other highly liquid assets for operational purposes.
Key Points:
- Largest and most liquid gold ETF globally.
- Direct ownership of physical gold.
- Strong track record of mirroring gold's price movements.
- Low expense ratio and high liquidity.
- Suitable for investors seeking long-term exposure to gold or a hedge against inflation and market volatility.
Risks:
- Gold price volatility: The price of gold can fluctuate significantly, impacting the value of GLD shares.
- Counterparty risk: Although GLD holds physical gold, there is a small risk that the custodian of the gold could default on its obligations.
- Liquidity risk: While GLD is highly liquid, there is always a possibility that trading could become less liquid during periods of market stress.
Who Should Consider Investing:
GLD is suitable for investors who:
- Want exposure to gold without needing to physically store it.
- Seek diversification and a potential hedge against inflation or market volatility.
- Have a long-term investment horizon.
- Understand the risks associated with gold investing.
Fundamental Rating Based on AI:
9/10
Justification: GLD demonstrates strong fundamentals across several metrics:
- Market Leader: With its dominant market share and liquidity, GLD offers investors a highly accessible and transparent investment vehicle.
- Solid Management: The experienced team at State Street Global Advisors ensures efficient portfolio management and adherence to the fund's investment objectives.
- Favorable Cost Structure: The low expense ratio makes GLD a cost-effective way to gain exposure to gold compared to other investment options.
- Proven Track Record: The fund's historical performance closely tracks the price of gold, demonstrating its effectiveness in achieving its stated objectives.
- Positive Growth Outlook: Rising demand for gold as a safe haven asset and the growing popularity of ETFs suggest continued growth potential for GLD.
Resources and Disclaimers:
- State Street Global Advisors website: https://www.ssga.com/us/en/individual/products/etfs/gold-etfs/spdr-gold-shares
- iShares website: https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239601/ishares-gold-trust
- Goldman Sachs website: https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/pages/gsg-physical-gold-etf.html
- ETF.com: https://www.etf.com/etfanalytics/profile/gld
- Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About SPDR® Gold Shares
The Trust holds gold bars and from time to time, issues Baskets in exchange for deposits of gold and distributes gold in connection with redemptions of Baskets. The investment objective of the Trust is for the Shares to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less the Trust"s expenses. The Sponsor believes that, for many investors, the Shares represent a cost-effective investment in gold.
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