Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
Help & Tutorial 
Cancel anytime
- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
- Analyst Ratings
Upturn AI SWOT - About
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)
Stock price based on last close (see disclosures)
- ALL
- YEAR
- MONTH
- WEEK
Upturn Advisory Summary
04/04/2025: ZTO (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 1 days. Profits (-9.15%). Updated daily EoD!
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
AI Based Fundamental Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -33.24% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/04/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.54B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.36 | 1Y Target Price 26.04 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.36 | 1Y Target Price 26.04 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2787013 | Beta -0.02 | 52 Weeks Range 17.80 - 27.50 | Updated Date 04/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 17.80 - 27.50 | Updated Date 04/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.85% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.47 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-03-17 | When After Market | Estimate 3.2816 | Actual 3.24 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.91% | Operating Margin (TTM) 26.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) 14.46% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.36 | Forward PE 9.31 | Enterprise Value 14855897349 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35 |
Enterprise Value 14855897349 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9 | Shares Outstanding 592169984 | Shares Floating 407481270 |
Shares Outstanding 592169984 | Shares Floating 407481270 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.71 | Percent Institutions 26.12 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.62 | Target Price 38.11 | Buy 4 | Strong Buy 15 |
Buy 4 | Strong Buy 15 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. was founded in 2002 in Shanghai, China. It rapidly grew to become one of China's leading express delivery companies, capitalizing on the e-commerce boom. It listed on the NYSE in 2016.
Core Business Areas
- Express Delivery Services: ZTO's core service, providing domestic and international express delivery solutions for e-commerce businesses and individual customers.
- Logistics Services: Offers logistics services including warehousing, transportation, and distribution to support its express delivery operations.
- Other Services: Includes value-added services such as collection on delivery (COD), insurance, and supply chain management solutions.
Leadership and Structure
Lai Meisong is the founder and Chairman of ZTO Express. The company operates with a hierarchical structure typical of large logistics companies, with regional and operational divisions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Express Delivery: This is ZTO's primary product, focusing on efficient and reliable delivery of parcels, especially for e-commerce. Estimated market share within China is around 22%. Competitors include SF Express, Yunda Express, STO Express, and YTO Express.
- Cross-border E-commerce Logistics: Facilitates the movement of goods internationally, targeting e-commerce businesses expanding globally. Revenue contributed approximately 5-10% to overall revenue, but is growing. Competitors include DHL, UPS, FedEx, and other Chinese logistics providers expanding internationally.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The express delivery industry in China is characterized by intense competition, rapid growth fueled by e-commerce, and increasing demand for faster and more reliable delivery services.
Positioning
ZTO Express is positioned as a leading provider of express delivery services in China, leveraging its scale and network to offer competitive pricing and coverage. A key advantage is its franchise model.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Chinese express delivery market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars annually. ZTO, with its sizable market share and focus on e-commerce deliveries, is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive nationwide network
- Large delivery volume
- Franchise model for cost efficiency
- Strong technology infrastructure
- Established brand recognition
Weaknesses
- Reliance on e-commerce growth
- Intense price competition
- Fluctuations in fuel prices
- Vulnerability to regulatory changes
- Geopolitical risk
Opportunities
- Expansion into international markets
- Development of value-added services
- Increased automation and digitalization
- Growing demand for cold chain logistics
- Partnerships with e-commerce platforms
Threats
- Increased competition from other express delivery companies
- Economic slowdown in China
- Rising labor costs
- Changes in government regulations
- Technological disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FedEx (FDX)
- United Parcel Service (UPS)
- Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)
Competitive Landscape
ZTO's advantages include its large scale and franchise model, while its disadvantages compared to international competitors like FedEx and UPS include a narrower service portfolio outside of China and weaker global brand recognition.
Major Acquisitions
New Momentum
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 86
- Strategic Rationale: Expansion of its last-mile delivery capabilities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: ZTO Express has experienced significant growth over the past decade, driven by the rapid expansion of e-commerce in China.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for ZTO Express, although potentially at a slower pace due to increased competition and market saturation.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in automation, expansion of its international network, and development of new logistics solutions.
Summary
ZTO Express is a leading express delivery company in China, benefiting from the e-commerce boom, with large network and volume. However, it faces intense competition and is vulnerable to fluctuations in fuel prices and regulatory changes. The company must expand in international markets. Overall, ZTO has solid strength but competition is a concern.
Similar Companies
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
FDX
FedEx Corporation
FDX
FedEx Corporation
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change, and investment decisions should be made with due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-10-27 | Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Meisong Lai | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics | Full time employees - | Website https://www.zto.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.zto.com | ||
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Upturn is now on iOS and Android!
Experience Upturn on your mobile. Install it now!
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.