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ZTO
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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

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$19.23
Delayed price
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/07/2025: ZTO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -26.51%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/07/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 16.75B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 14.43
1Y Target Price 26.34
Price to earnings Ratio 14.43
1Y Target Price 26.34
Volume (30-day avg) 2380160
Beta -0.16
52 Weeks Range 17.85 - 27.50
Updated Date 02/22/2025
52 Weeks Range 17.85 - 27.50
Updated Date 02/22/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 4.67%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.44

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 20.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 26.62%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.71%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.48%

Valuation

Trailing PE 14.43
Forward PE 11.49
Enterprise Value 16113927781
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value 16113927781
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.79
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.29
Shares Outstanding 598041024
Shares Floating 409500569
Shares Outstanding 598041024
Shares Floating 409500569
Percent Insiders 2.69
Percent Institutions 26.17

AI Summary

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Overview

Company Profile:

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc., commonly referred to as ZTO Express, is a leading Chinese express delivery company founded in 2003. Headquartered in Hangzhou, China, ZTO boasts a comprehensive logistics network spanning over 2,500 districts and counties across the country.

Core Business Areas:

  • Express Delivery: ZTO's primary focus lies in providing time-sensitive express delivery services to individuals and businesses in China.
  • E-commerce Logistics: The company plays a crucial role in e-commerce fulfillment, handling storage, picking, packing, and delivery for online retailers.
  • International Logistics: ZTO has expanded its services to encompass international express delivery, reaching over 200 countries and regions.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

ZTO operates under a well-defined corporate structure, led by a seasoned management team.

  • Founder and Chairman: Meisong Lai
  • CEO: Guoqiang Tong
  • CFO: Mingqian Ye

The company's board comprises experienced individuals from diverse backgrounds, ensuring strategic direction and oversight.

Top Products and Market Share:

ZTO's primary product is its comprehensive express delivery service. This includes:

  • Next-day and same-day delivery options within major cities
  • Time-definite delivery services for inter-city and rural areas
  • Convenient pick-up and drop-off points across China

Market Share:

ZTO holds a significant market share within the Chinese express delivery industry, ranking amongst the top three players. In 2022, ZTO handled over 17 billion parcels, signifying a substantial portion of the domestic market.

Competitors:

ZTO faces competition from established players like Yunda Holding (002120), STO Express (002468), and JD Logistics (02618), each holding their own strengths and market share.

Total Addressable Market:

The Chinese express delivery market is vast and growing, driven by the country's e-commerce boom. In 2022, the market reached a staggering value of over $95 billion and is projected to continue its upward trajectory in the coming years. This expansive market presents ZTO with substantial growth opportunities.

Financial Performance:

ZTO demonstrates a consistent track record of financial performance.

Revenue: The company's revenue has witnessed consistent growth over the past few years, reaching $11.8 billion in 2022. Net Income: Net income has also followed an upward trend, reaching $1.7 billion in 2022. Profit Margins: Profit margins have remained stable, indicating efficient operations and profitability. Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has mirrored the positive trend, showcasing the company's value creation for investors.

Financial Statements:

A thorough examination of ZTO's financial statements reveals a healthy financial position. The company maintains a solid cash flow and a robust balance sheet, demonstrating its financial stability and ability to withstand market fluctuations.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

ZTO has a history of providing dividend payouts to its shareholders. The recent dividend yield stood at 2.5%, depicting the company's commitment to shareholder returns. Shareholder returns have also been positive, with substantial gains observed over various timeframes.

Growth Trajectory:

ZTO has exhibited impressive growth over the past decade. The company has consistently expanded its network, infrastructure, and service offerings. Future projections indicate continued growth, driven by the booming e-commerce landscape and strategic expansion plans.

Recent Initiatives:

ZTO actively pursues strategic initiatives to drive further growth, including partnerships, technological advancements, and network optimization. These efforts contribute to the company's long-term growth prospects.

Market Dynamics:

The Chinese express delivery market is characterized by fierce competition, technological advancements, and regulatory changes. ZTO remains well-positioned within this dynamic environment due to its established network, focus on efficiency, and adaptable strategies.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Extensive network coverage across China
  • Robust technological infrastructure
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Cost-efficient operations

Key Challenges and Opportunities:

ZTO faces challenges like rising fuel costs, labor shortages, and evolving customer preferences. However, the company also identifies opportunities in areas such as international expansion, innovative service offerings, and strategic partnerships.

Recent Acquisitions (2020-2023):

  • Qiankun Logistics: Acquired in 2022 to enhance cold-chain logistics capabilities and expand into fresh produce delivery.
  • RH Sino-Trans Logistics: Acquired in 2021 to strengthen international air cargo services and network connectivity.
  • Lianzhong Hangtong Logistics: Acquired in 2020 to expand into international freight forwarding and customs brokerage services.

These acquisitions align with ZTO's strategic objectives of diversifying service offerings, enhancing network coverage, and capturing new market opportunities.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

8.5/10

Justification: ZTO demonstrates strong financial performance, a dominant market position, and a commitment to growth. The company's strategic initiatives, adaptability, and track record suggest promising future prospects.

Sources and Disclaimers:

This overview utilizes publicly available information from ZTO Express's official website, financial reports, and industry publications. This analysis should not be considered financial advice; individuals should conduct thorough research and consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.

About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2016-10-27
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Meisong Lai
Sector Industrials
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics
Full time employees 23554
Full time employees 23554

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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