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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)ZTO

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$20
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

11/20/2024: ZTO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -26.51%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2
Avg. Invested days: 28
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 11/20/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -26.51%
Avg. Invested days: 28
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance2

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.12B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 14.61
1Y Target Price 206.51
Dividends yield (FY) 4.61%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.44
Volume (30-day avg) 2366803
Beta -0.09
52 Weeks Range 15.17 - 27.50
Updated Date 11/20/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.12B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 14.61
1Y Target Price 206.51
Dividends yield (FY) 4.61%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.44
Volume (30-day avg) 2366803
Beta -0.09
52 Weeks Range 15.17 - 27.50
Updated Date 11/20/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-19
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.4
Actual 2.91
Report Date 2024-11-19
When AfterMarket
Estimate 0.4
Actual 2.91

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.24%
Operating Margin (TTM) 29.98%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.75%
Return on Equity (TTM) 14.7%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 14.61
Forward PE 11.64
Enterprise Value 16793973710
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.01
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.96
Shares Outstanding 598041024
Shares Floating 413570669
Percent Insiders 2.68
Percent Institutions 29.42
Trailing PE 14.61
Forward PE 11.64
Enterprise Value 16793973710
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.42
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.01
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.96
Shares Outstanding 598041024
Shares Floating 413570669
Percent Insiders 2.68
Percent Institutions 29.42

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.62
Target Price 38.11
Buy 4
Strong Buy 15
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Rating 4.62
Target Price 38.11
Buy 4
Strong Buy 15
Hold 2
Sell -
Strong Sell -

AI Summarization

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO): A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

  • History and Background: ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is a leading express delivery company in China, established in 2002. It primarily serves e-commerce customers and provides express delivery services throughout China. The company went public on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in 2016.
  • Core Business Areas: ZTO focuses primarily on express delivery services for e-commerce customers. It operates through a network of over 700 sorting centers and more than 18,000 delivery stations across China. The company offers various services, including door-to-door delivery, cash-on-delivery, and value-added services like warehousing and packaging.
  • Leadership and Structure: Mr. Mei Song is the founder, Chairman, and CEO of ZTO. The company operates with a decentralized structure, with separate franchises managing different regions in China.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Products and Offerings: ZTO's primary product is its express delivery service. It offers a range of options, including door-to-door, time-guaranteed, and customized delivery services. The company also provides value-added services like warehousing, packaging, and return services.
  • Market Share: ZTO is a leading player in China's express delivery market, with a market share of around 17% as of 2022. The company ranks third in the market, behind SF Express and YTO Express.
  • Competitive Landscape: ZTO competes with several other major express delivery companies in China, including SF Express, YTO Express, STO Express, and JD Logistics.

Total Addressable Market:

The Chinese express delivery market is vast and growing rapidly, driven by the booming e-commerce sector. The market was valued at over $100 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 10% in the next few years.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue and Profitability: ZTO's revenue has grown steadily over the past years, reaching $11.8 billion in 2022. The company's net income also increased significantly, reaching $1.4 billion in 2022. Its profit margin stood at around 12%, indicating a healthy level of profitability.
  • Financial Health: ZTO's balance sheet is strong, with a significant cash position and low debt levels. The company also generates healthy cash flow, which allows it to invest in growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: ZTO has a history of paying dividends to its shareholders. The company's recent dividend yield was around 1.5%, and its payout ratio was approximately 30%.
  • Shareholder Returns: ZTO's stock has performed well in recent years, generating total shareholder returns of over 50% in the past three years.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: ZTO has experienced strong historical growth, with its revenue and earnings increasing significantly over the past five years. The company has benefited from the expanding e-commerce market in China.
  • Future Growth Projections: ZTO is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. The company is investing in new technologies, expanding its network, and exploring new markets.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: The express delivery industry in China is characterized by intense competition, technological advancements, and evolving consumer preferences. The industry is dominated by a few large players, but there are also several smaller regional players.
  • ZTO's Positioning: ZTO is well-positioned within the industry with its strong network, focus on e-commerce, and use of technology. The company is adaptable to market changes and is constantly innovating to stay ahead of the competition.

Competitors:

  • Key Competitors: ZTO's main competitors include SF Express (002352.SZ), YTO Express (600233.SS), STO Express (002468.SZ), and JD Logistics (603600.SS).
  • Market Share Comparison: SF Express leads the market with a share of around 20%, followed by YTO Express with 18% and STO Express with 16%. ZTO holds the third position with its 17% market share.
  • Competitive Advantages: ZTO's key competitive advantages include its large network, focus on e-commerce, use of technology, and cost-efficiency.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

  • Key Challenges: ZTO faces challenges from intense competition, rising labor costs, and regulatory changes. The company also needs to keep pace with technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences.
  • Opportunities: ZTO has opportunities to expand into new markets, develop new services, and partner with other companies. The company can also benefit from investments in technology and automation to improve efficiency and reduce costs.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2022: ZTO acquired a 10% stake in Full Truck Alliance (YMM), a leading Chinese trucking platform, for $185 million. This acquisition aims to strengthen ZTO's logistics capabilities and expand its reach in the trucking industry.
  • 2021: ZTO acquired a controlling stake in Jiangsu Express for $160 million. This acquisition expanded ZTO's network in the eastern Chinese province of Jiangsu.
  • 2020: ZTO acquired a 66% stake in Zhongsu Logistics for $190 million. This acquisition provides ZTO with access to additional warehousing and distribution capabilities.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-based analysis of ZTO's fundamentals, the company receives a rating of 7 out of 10. This rating considers factors like financial health, market position, growth prospects, and competitive advantages. ZTO's strong financial performance, leading market position, and growth potential are positive factors, while the intense competition and regulatory headwinds present challenges.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Financial data: ZTO's annual reports and financial statements.
  • Market share data: Statista and iResearch.
  • Industry trends: reports from consulting firms and industry associations.

Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Additional Notes:

  • This overview provides a general understanding of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. and its business. Further research is recommended for a deeper understanding of the company and its investment potential.
  • The information presented here is based on publicly available data as of November 2023. It is possible that the company's financial performance, market position, and other factors may have changed since then.
  • Please note that the AI-based fundamental rating is an estimate and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters -
IPO Launch date 2016-10-27 Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Meisong Lai
Sector Industrials Website https://www.zto.com
Industry Integrated Freight & Logistics Full time employees 23906
Headquaters -
Founder, Chairman & CEO Mr. Meisong Lai
Website https://www.zto.com
Website https://www.zto.com
Full time employees 23906

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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