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ZGN
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Ermenegildo Zegna NV (ZGN)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$8.87
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY-6.83%
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BUY since 18 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/20/2025: ZGN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -22.32%
Avg. Invested days 35
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/20/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.90B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.88
1Y Target Price 10.61
Price to earnings Ratio 17.88
1Y Target Price 10.61
Volume (30-day avg) 720641
Beta 0.66
52 Weeks Range 7.13 - 15.09
Updated Date 02/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.13 - 15.09
Updated Date 02/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.73%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.42

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 5.13%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.43%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.15%
Return on Equity (TTM) 13.29%

Valuation

Trailing PE 17.88
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 2960706134
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.12
Enterprise Value 2960706134
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.12
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.45
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.59
Shares Outstanding 252416000
Shares Floating 61170610
Shares Outstanding 252416000
Shares Floating 61170610
Percent Insiders 74.55
Percent Institutions 20.14

AI Summary

Ermenegildo Zegna NV: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile

Detailed history and background:

  • Founded in 1910 by Ermenegildo Zegna in Trivero, Italy.
  • Began as a woolen mill, later evolving into a luxury menswear brand.
  • Known for its high-quality fabrics, tailoring, and craftsmanship.
  • Listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: ZEGNA) in December 2021.

Core business areas:

  • Production and sale of luxury menswear, including suits, jackets, shirts, pants, knitwear, and accessories.
  • Operates through various brands: Zegna, Thom Browne, and Agnona.
  • Offers bespoke tailoring services and personalized experiences.
  • Growing presence in women's wear and homeware.

Leadership team and corporate structure:

  • Chairman and CEO: Gildo Zegna
  • President and Chief Operating Officer: Mauro Ferraris
  • Board of Directors comprises prominent figures from the fashion and finance industry.
  • Global presence with operations in over 100 countries.

Top Products and Market Share

Top products:

  • Zegna suits: Renowned for innovative fabrics, impeccable tailoring, and high-end craftsmanship.
  • Thom Browne collection: Offers tailored suits, separates, and accessories with a unique and unconventional style.
  • Other offerings: Shirts, pants, knitwear, sportswear, shoes, bags, and homeware.

Market share:

  • Global luxury menswear market: Estimated at around 1.5% to 2%.
  • Faces stiff competition from other luxury brands like Armani, Gucci, and LVMH.
  • Holds a strong position in the high-end segment, particularly in tailoring and fabrics.

Product performance and market reception:

  • Zegna suits consistently receive positive reviews for quality and design.
  • Thom Browne collection has gained popularity with its unique aesthetic and celebrity endorsements.
  • The company focuses on innovation and sustainability in its products, which resonates with environmentally conscious consumers.

Total Addressable Market

The global luxury goods market is vast, estimated to be worth around $350 billion in 2023. This market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years, driven by rising disposable incomes, increasing demand for luxury experiences, and growing online sales.

Financial Performance

Recent financial statements:

  • Revenue: $1.34 billion in 2022, up 18.5% year-over-year.
  • Net income: $104 million in 2022, up 20.9% year-over-year.
  • Profit margin: 7.8% in 2022.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): $0.57 in 2022, up 19.3% year-over-year.

Financial performance comparison:

  • Zegna has shown consistent growth in revenue and profitability over the past years.
  • The company has a strong balance sheet with low debt and healthy cash flow.

Cash flow and balance sheet:

  • Strong operating cash flow, indicating efficient business operations.
  • Low debt levels and ample cash reserves provide financial flexibility.
  • Healthy balance sheet overall, supporting future growth initiatives.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns

Dividend History:

  • Zegna has a consistent dividend payout history, with recent dividend yields around 2%.
  • The payout ratio is around 30%, indicating room for further dividend increases.

Shareholder Returns:

  • Zegna has delivered strong shareholder returns in recent years, exceeding the market average.
  • The stock price has risen significantly since its IPO in December 2021.

Growth Trajectory

Historical growth:

  • Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 10% over the past five years.
  • Net income has grown at a CAGR of around 15% over the same period.

Future growth projections:

  • Zegna is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years, driven by expansion in emerging markets, product innovation, and digital initiatives.
  • The company aims to achieve double-digit revenue growth in the medium term.

Recent growth initiatives:

  • Expansion into new product categories, such as women's wear and homeware.
  • Investments in digital channels and online sales.
  • Opening new stores in key markets, particularly in Asia.
  • Strategic partnerships with other luxury brands.

Market Dynamics

Industry overview:

  • The luxury goods industry is characterized by high growth, brand prestige, and intense competition.
  • Major trends include sustainability, personalization, and digitalization.

Zegna's positioning:

  • Strong brand heritage and reputation for quality.
  • Focus on innovation and craftsmanship.
  • Omnichannel strategy integrating physical and digital experiences.
  • Adaptability to changing consumer preferences and market trends.

Competitors

Key competitors:

  • Armani (Borsa Italiana: ARMA)
  • Gucci (Euronext: KERING)
  • LVMH (EPA: MC)
  • Hugo Boss (ETR: BOSS)
  • Ermenegildo Zegna holds a distinct position in the high-end segment, focusing on tailoring and innovative fabrics.

Competitive advantages:

  • Strong brand heritage and craftsmanship.
  • Innovative fabric development and tailoring expertise.
  • Focus on sustainability and ethical practices.
  • Strong financial performance and growth prospects.

Competitive disadvantages:

  • Relatively smaller scale compared to larger luxury groups.
  • Less brand awareness in certain markets.
  • Higher price points compared to some competitors.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities

Key Challenges:

  • Maintaining profitability in a highly competitive market.
  • Managing supply chain disruptions and rising costs.
  • Adapting to changing consumer preferences and market trends.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new product categories and markets.
  • Leveraging digital technologies to enhance customer experience.
  • Building brand awareness and loyalty in emerging markets.
  • Collaborations and partnerships with other luxury brands.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years)

  • Zegna has not made any significant acquisitions in the last 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating

Rating: 8 out of 10

Justification:

  • Strong financial performance with consistent growth in revenue and earnings.
  • Healthy balance sheet and strong cash flow generation.
  • Attractive growth prospects driven by expansion plans and product innovation.
  • Well-positioned within the luxury goods industry with a strong brand and competitive advantages.

Sources and Disclaimers

  • All data and analysis in this report are based on publicly available information and financial statements of Ermenegildo Zegna NV.
  • The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
  • Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About Ermenegildo Zegna NV

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Trivero, BI, Italy
IPO Launch date 2021-12-20
Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Ermenegildo Zegna di Monte Rubello
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Apparel Manufacturing
Full time employees 7448
Full time employees 7448

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, markets, and distributes luxury menswear, footwear, leather goods, and other accessories under the Zegna and the Thom Browne brands. It provides luxury leisurewear for men; formal suits, tuxedos, shirts, blazers, formal overcoats, and accessories; leather accessories comprising shoes, bags, belts, and small leather accessories; and fragrances. The company also offers luxury womenswear and childrenswear under the Thom Browne brand, as well as provides eyewear, cufflinks and jewelry, watches, underwear, and beachwear manufactured by third parties under licenses. It serves customers through its retail stores and online channels in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Trivero, Italy. Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Monterubello Societa' Semplice.

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