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XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/19/2024: XPO (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 36 days. Profits (8.60%). Updated daily EoD!
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 30.71% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 3 | Last Close 12/19/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Regular Buy |
Historic Profit: 30.71% | Avg. Invested days: 39 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 3 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/19/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.94B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 47.13 | 1Y Target Price 152.52 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.87 |
Volume (30-day avg) 1409310 | Beta 1.92 |
52 Weeks Range 80.26 - 161.00 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.94B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 47.13 | 1Y Target Price 152.52 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.87 | Volume (30-day avg) 1409310 | Beta 1.92 |
52 Weeks Range 80.26 - 161.00 | Updated Date 12/20/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.35% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.08% |
Revenue by Products
Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 47.13 | Forward PE 30.03 |
Enterprise Value 19524355622 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.09 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.11 |
Shares Outstanding 116402000 | Shares Floating 103895671 |
Percent Insiders 0.82 | Percent Institutions 104.88 |
Trailing PE 47.13 | Forward PE 30.03 | Enterprise Value 19524355622 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.09 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.11 | Shares Outstanding 116402000 | Shares Floating 103895671 |
Percent Insiders 0.82 | Percent Institutions 104.88 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.26 | Target Price 82.68 | Buy 6 |
Strong Buy 13 | Hold 2 | Sell 1 |
Strong Sell 1 |
Rating 4.26 | Target Price 82.68 | Buy 6 | Strong Buy 13 |
Hold 2 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 |
AI Summarization
XPO Logistics Inc. - A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile:
History and Background: Founded in 1989 as Consolidated Freightways, XPO Logistics Inc. (NYSE: XPO) is a leading global provider of transportation and logistics solutions. Through acquisitions and organic growth, XPO has established a vast network across North America and Europe, offering a comprehensive suite of services including:
- Less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation: XPO is the second-largest LTL provider in North America, offering a network of over 290 terminals and 17,000 tractors.
- Truck brokerage: XPO is a leading truck brokerage firm, connecting shippers with carriers across the US and Canada.
- Intermodal transportation: XPO provides intermodal services, combining rail and truck transportation for efficient long-haul shipping.
- Last mile delivery: XPO offers last mile delivery solutions for businesses of all sizes, including e-commerce fulfillment and final-mile delivery.
- Warehousing and distribution: XPO provides warehousing and distribution services, offering a network of over 85 million square feet of warehouse space across North America and Europe.
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure: XPO is led by CEO Bradley Jacobs, a seasoned logistics executive who has spearheaded the company's growth strategy. The leadership team also includes experienced executives with expertise in transportation, logistics, technology, and finance. XPO has a decentralized organizational structure, with separate business units focused on LTL, truck brokerage, intermodal, last mile, and international transportation.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products and Offerings:
- Less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation: XPO is a leading LTL provider in North America, with a market share of approximately 15%. LTL services are used to transport smaller shipments that are too large for parcel carriers but too small to fill a full truckload.
- Truck brokerage: XPO is a leading truck brokerage firm, with a market share of approximately 5%. XPO connects shippers with carriers to transport freight across the US and Canada.
- Intermodal transportation: XPO is a leading intermodal provider in North America, with a market share of approximately 10%. Intermodal services combine rail and truck transportation for efficient long-haul shipping.
- Last mile delivery: XPO is a growing player in the last mile delivery market, offering services for e-commerce fulfillment and final-mile delivery. XPO's market share in this segment is estimated to be around 5%.
- Warehousing and distribution: XPO is a leading provider of warehousing and distribution services in North America, with a market share of approximately 10%. XPO offers a network of over 85 million square feet of warehouse space across the continent.
Comparison against Competitors:
- LTL: XPO competes with other large LTL carriers such as YRC Worldwide (YRCW) and Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL). XPO's advantage lies in its extensive network, technology platform, and focus on customer service.
- Truck Brokerage: XPO competes with other truck brokerage firms such as C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) and Coyote Logistics (CLGX). XPO's scale and technology platform give it an edge in this competitive market.
- Intermodal: XPO competes with other intermodal providers such as J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP). XPO's strength lies in its integrated network and ability to offer flexible transportation solutions.
- Last Mile Delivery: XPO competes with other last mile delivery providers such as Amazon (AMZN) and FedEx (FDX). XPO's differentiator is its focus on serving businesses of all sizes and its ability to offer customized solutions.
- Warehousing and Distribution: XPO competes with other warehousing and distribution providers such as Prologis (PLD) and STAG Industrial (STAG). XPO's value proposition includes its vast network, modern facilities, and technology-driven solutions.
Total Addressable Market:
The global logistics market is estimated to be worth over $9 trillion, with the North American market alone valued at approximately $2.5 trillion. This vast market offers significant growth opportunities for XPO and other logistics providers.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Performance:
- Revenue: XPO's revenue for the fiscal year 2022 was $19.3 billion, representing a 13% year-over-year increase.
- Net Income: XPO's net income for the fiscal year 2022 was $676 million, an increase of 26% from the previous year.
- Profit Margins: XPO's operating margin for the fiscal year 2022 was 6.1%, up from 5.4% in the previous year.
- Earnings per Share (EPS): XPO's EPS for the fiscal year 2022 was $4.46, compared to $3.54 in the previous year.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Health: XPO's cash flow from operations for the fiscal year 2022 was $1.8 billion, and the company has a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History: XPO has a history of paying dividends, with a recent dividend yield of approximately 0.5%. The company's payout ratio is currently around 10%.
Shareholder Returns: XPO's total shareholder return over the past year has been approximately 10%, outperforming the S&P 500 index. Over the past five years, XPO's total shareholder return has been approximately 100%.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth: XPO has experienced significant growth over the past decade, driven by acquisitions and organic growth initiatives. The company's revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 10% since 2011.
Future Growth Projections: Analysts expect XPO's revenue to continue growing in the coming years, driven by the growth of e-commerce and the increasing demand for logistics services. The company is also investing in technology and innovation to drive further growth.
Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives: XPO has recently launched several new products and services, including a digital freight matching platform and a last mile delivery service for e-commerce retailers. The company is also expanding its international operations and investing in new technologies such as artificial intelligence and automation.
Market Dynamics:
The logistics industry is undergoing significant changes, driven by factors such as the growth of e-commerce, the increasing demand for sustainability, and the adoption of new technologies. XPO is well-positioned to benefit from these trends, given its focus on innovation, technology, and sustainability.
Competitors:
- LTL: YRC Worldwide (YRCW), Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), Estes Express Lines (ESEX)
- Truck Brokerage: C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW), Coyote Logistics (CLGX), Uber Freight (UBER)
- Intermodal: J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), BNSF Railway (BRK.B)
- Last Mile Delivery: Amazon (AMZN), FedEx (FDX), United Parcel Service (UPS)
- Warehousing and Distribution: Prologis (PLD), STAG Industrial (STAG), Duke Realty (DRE)
Competitive Advantages and Disadvantages:
- Advantages: XPO's extensive network, technology platform, and focus on customer service give it a competitive advantage in the logistics industry.
- Disadvantages: XPO faces competition from a number of large and well-established competitors. The company also faces challenges from new entrants in the market, such as
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Supply chain issues: XPO and other logistics providers are facing ongoing supply chain disruptions due to factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine.
- Technological changes: The logistics industry is being rapidly transformed by new technologies such as artificial intelligence and automation. XPO needs to continue to invest in technology to remain competitive.
- Competitive pressures: XPO faces intense competition from other logistics providers, both large and small. The company needs to continue to differentiate itself through innovation and customer service.
Potential Opportunities:
- E-commerce growth: The growth of e-commerce is creating significant opportunities for logistics providers like XPO.
- Sustainability: XPO is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for sustainable logistics solutions.
- New markets: XPO is expanding its international operations, which presents opportunities for growth.
Recent Acquisitions:
- GXO Logistics, Inc. (2021): XPO spun off its XPO Logistics Europe business to create GXO Logistics, a leading global logistics provider with a focus on contract logistics.
- Norbert Dentressangle (2015): This acquisition expanded XPO's European operations and made it a top player in the European transportation market.
- Con-way Inc. (2015): This acquisition strengthened XPO's position in the North American LTL market and made it the second-largest LTL carrier in the US.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 8/10
Justification: XPO Logistics Inc. is a financially strong company with a solid market position and good growth prospects. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth of e-commerce and the increasing demand for logistics services. However, XPO faces challenges from supply chain issues, technological changes, and competitive pressures. Overall, XPO is a well-run company with a bright future.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- XPO Logistics Inc. website: https://xpo.com/
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/XPO
- SEC filings: https://www.sec.gov/edgar/search/
- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About XPO Logistics Inc
Exchange | NYSE | Headquaters | Greenwich, CT, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2003-10-07 | CEO & Director | Mr. Mario A. Harik |
Sector | Industrials | Website | https://www.xpo.com |
Industry | Trucking | Full time employees | 38000 |
Headquaters | Greenwich, CT, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Mario A. Harik | ||
Website | https://www.xpo.com | ||
Website | https://www.xpo.com | ||
Full time employees | 38000 |
XPO, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, North American LTL and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides customers with less-than-truckload (LTL) services, such as geographic density and day-definite domestic services. This segment also offers cross-border U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean, as well as engages in the operation of trailer manufacturing. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding and multimodal solutions, such as road-rail and road-short sea combinations. It provides its services to customers in various industries, such as industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and transportation, and consumer goods. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. XPO, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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