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Xp Inc (XP)XP
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/20/2024: XP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 14.51% | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 11/20/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: PASS |
Historic Profit: 14.51% | Avg. Invested days: 32 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 11/20/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 2 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.41B USD |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.44 | 1Y Target Price 137.58 |
Dividends yield (FY) 7.88% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.37 |
Volume (30-day avg) 3416334 | Beta 1.66 |
52 Weeks Range 15.24 - 27.02 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.41B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.44 | 1Y Target Price 137.58 |
Dividends yield (FY) 7.88% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.37 | Volume (30-day avg) 3416334 | Beta 1.66 |
52 Weeks Range 15.24 - 27.02 | Updated Date 11/21/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - |
Estimate - | Actual - |
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 27.13% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.4% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.25% |
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.44 | Forward PE 9.59 |
Enterprise Value 5848018903 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.91 |
Shares Outstanding 433628992 | Shares Floating 350513918 |
Percent Insiders 7.88 | Percent Institutions 87.52 |
Trailing PE 11.44 | Forward PE 9.59 | Enterprise Value 5848018903 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.53 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.91 | Shares Outstanding 433628992 | Shares Floating 350513918 |
Percent Insiders 7.88 | Percent Institutions 87.52 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.91 | Target Price 27.29 | Buy 2 |
Strong Buy 4 | Hold 5 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 3.91 | Target Price 27.29 | Buy 2 | Strong Buy 4 |
Hold 5 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Comprehensive Overview of Xp Inc. (NYSE: XPO)
Company Profile:
History and Background:
Xp Inc. is a leading global provider of transportation and logistics solutions. Founded in 1989 by Bradley Jacobs and David Drucker, the company initially focused on expedited trucking before expanding into various other segments within the industry. Xp Inc. has grown through acquisitions, including its 2015 purchase of Con-way Inc. and 2021 acquisition of GXO Logistics.
Core Business Areas:
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): XPO provides LTL shipping services through its North American LTL network.
- Truck Brokerage: The company offers full truckload brokerage services, connecting carriers with shippers.
- Last Mile Delivery: XPO handles final-mile deliveries for various businesses, including e-commerce companies.
- Logistics: XPO provides various logistical services, such as warehousing and distribution, freight forwarding, and international trade management.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: Bradley Jacobs
- President: Troy Cooper
- CFO: Drew Wilkerson
- XPO operates through three segments: North American LTL, Truck Brokerage, and Last Mile Delivery.
Top Products and Market Share:
- LTL: Ranked as the second largest LTL provider in North America with a market share of approximately 12%.
- Truck Brokerage: One of the largest truck brokerage firms in the world, generating over $7.2 billion in revenue in 2022.
- Last Mile Delivery: Growing segment with a focus on servicing the e-commerce market.
Total Addressable Market:
The global transportation and logistics market is estimated to reach $15.5 trillion by 2023. XPO operates in various segments of this vast market, with significant opportunities for further expansion.
Financial Performance:
- Revenue: $22.4 billion in 2022, with a 29.6% year-over-year increase.
- Net Income: $230 million in 2022, compared to a net loss of $62 million in 2021.
- Profit Margin: 3.4% in 2022.
- EPS: $0.15 in 2022.
- Cash Flow: Strong free cash flow generation of $828 million in 2022.
- Balance Sheet: Healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.71.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
- Dividend History: Xp Inc. has a limited history of dividend payments. The current dividend yield is 0.47%, with a payout ratio of 14%.
- Shareholder Returns: The company's stock price has shown significant volatility in recent years. Total shareholder return over the past year is -23%.
Growth Trajectory:
- Historical Growth: XPO has experienced significant growth through acquisitions and organic expansion. Revenue has increased by over 200% since 2017.
- Future Growth: The company sees potential for continued growth in its LTL, Truck Brokerage, and Last Mile Delivery segments. XPO is also focusing on expanding its technology offerings and international operations.
Market Dynamics:
- Industry Trends: The transportation and logistics industry is undergoing significant changes due to factors such as automation, e-commerce growth, and environmental concerns.
- Company Positioning: Xp Inc. is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends through its expansive network, technology investments, and focus on sustainability.
Competitors:
- LTL: Yellow Corporation (NASDAQ: YRCW), TForce Freight (NYSE: TFRG)
- Truck Brokerage: C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ: CHRW), Echo Global Logistics (NASDAQ: ECHO)
- Last Mile Delivery: UPS (NYSE: UPS), FedEx (NYSE: FDX)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Economic Downturn: A potential economic slowdown could negatively impact demand for transportation services.
- Labor Shortage: The industry is facing a shortage of qualified drivers, which could increase operating costs.
- Competition: Xp Inc. faces intense competition from other major players in the market.
Opportunities:
- E-commerce Growth: The growing e-commerce market presents a significant opportunity for XPO's last mile delivery services.
- Technological Advancements: The company is investing in technology to improve efficiency and expand its service offerings.
- Strategic Partnerships: XPO can leverage partnerships to expand its reach and capabilities.
Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):
- 2021: GXO Logistics – A leading global contract logistics provider. This acquisition strengthened Xp Inc.'s logistics capabilities and expanded its global footprint.
- 2021: RXO – A leading provider of over-the-road transportation management services. This acquisition enhanced XPO's truck brokerage offering.
- 2020: Select Express & Logistics – A provider of last-mile delivery services in the UK and Ireland. This acquisition expanded XPO's European footprint and strengthened its last mile capabilities.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an analysis of financial health, market position, and future prospects, XPO Inc. receives an AI-based fundamental rating of 7 out of 10.
- Strengths: Strong financial performance, sizable market share, and growth potential through e-commerce and technology investments.
- Weaknesses: Limited dividend history, volatile stock price, and exposure to economic downturns.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- XPO Inc. Investor Relations website
- SEC Filings
- Bloomberg Terminal
- YCharts
- Zacks Investment Research
Disclaimer: This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Xp Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | - |
IPO Launch date | 2019-12-11 | CEO | - |
Sector | Financial Services | Website | https://www.xpinc.com |
Industry | Capital Markets | Full time employees | 6834 |
Headquaters | - | ||
CEO | - | ||
Website | https://www.xpinc.com | ||
Website | https://www.xpinc.com | ||
Full time employees | 6834 |
XP Inc. provides financial products and services in Brazil. It operates XP Platform, an open product platform that provides clients to access investment products in the market comprising brokerage securities, fixed income securities, mutual, hedge, and private equity funds; derivatives and synthetic instruments; credit cards; loan operations/collateralized credit products; pension and social security funds, and life and travel insurance products; and other investment products comprising real estate funds, and equity and debt capital markets solutions, as well as wealth management services. The company offers brokerage and issuer services to institutional and corporate clients. It also manages mutual funds focused on stocks and macro strategies distributed to retail and to institutional clients; funds and managed portfolios for high-net-worth retail clients, and proprietary treasury funds; and passive mutual funds that track market indexes, and mutual and investment funds focused on fixed income, credit, real estate, infrastructure, and other alternative strategies. In addition, the company offers securities brokerage services for institutional and retail investors; interdealer brokerage services for institutional traders; and commercial and investment banking products, such as loan operations and transactions in the foreign exchange markets and deposits, as well as develops and sells financial education courses and events online and in person to retail clients. It offers its sell products and services through its omni-channel distribution network and online portals. XP Inc. was founded in 2001 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.
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